NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
NVIDIA Corporation NASDAQ
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is trading at $221.30, below its 50-day SMA of $223.22 but above its 200-day SMA of $202.69. The company's recent earnings report for the quarter reported August 26, 2026, showed an EPS of $2.22, beating estimates by 6.22% and leading to an 8.74% price increase. This follows a pattern of consistent EPS beats over the last four reported quarters.
The semiconductor giant is positioned for continued growth, with Wall Street analysts projecting substantial revenue increases of 91.00% year-over-year for the current year and 68.00% for the next year. The median analyst price target stands at $315.00, suggesting an upside potential of 42.3% from the current price. However, significant insider selling, totaling $3.8 billion, presents a notable risk that investors should monitor closely.
NVDA at a glance
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA): Buy, 77/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($202.69 and $223.22).
- Earnings NVDA beat estimates in 4 of its last 4 quarters, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $3.8B and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 28.6 against 34.0 for the Technology sector: broadly in line with peers (-16%).
As of October 15, 2026, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) trades at $221.30. Wall Street's consensus target is $315.00 across 62 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 44, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $223.22.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
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Figures we compute ourselves from NVDA's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
NVDA Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
NVDA Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
| Report | EPS estimate | EPS actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | $2.09 | $2.22 | +6.22% | +8.74% | +7.04% |
| May 20, 2026 | $1.77 | $1.87 | +5.65% | -1.77% | -4.13% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $1.54 | $1.62 | +5.19% | -5.46% | -6.40% |
| Nov 19, 2025 | $1.26 | $1.30 | +3.17% | -3.15% | -3.36% |
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, NVDA has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 4 of its last 4 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on August 26, 2026, came in 6.22% above the estimate and the stock moved +8.74% in the first session.
NVDA Analysis
NVIDIA Corporation is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($223.22) and 20-day EMA ($227.80), indicating some near-term weakness, yet it remains above its 200-day SMA ($202.69), suggesting a longer-term uptrend is intact. The 14-day RSI is at 44.14, reflecting neutral momentum, while the MACD at 1.99 suggests a potential shift in momentum.
Volume on the latest trading day was 117.25 million shares, which is 15% above the average volume of 101.97 million shares, indicating increased investor interest. Key support is observed around the 200-day SMA, while resistance may be encountered near the 50-day SMA and the 20-day EMA. The current technical setup suggests a period of consolidation before the next significant move.
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as the recent $3.8 billion in dispositions could signal caution among management.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, suggesting potential near-term headwinds, but remains above its 200-day SMA, indicating a longer-term bullish trend.
NVIDIA has exceeded analyst EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters, most recently by 6.22% for the quarter reported August 26, 2026, driving positive price action.
Source: Earnings ReportAnalysts forecast revenue growth of 91.00% for the current year and 68.00% for the next, indicating sustained demand for NVIDIA's products.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesInsiders have sold approximately $3.8 billion worth of stock, indicating potential concerns or diversification strategies among management.
Source: Insider Trading DataThe stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 20-day SMAs, suggesting potential near-term consolidation or downward pressure.
Source: Technical AnalysisNVIDIA Corporation is expected to maintain its growth trajectory, driven by strong demand for its AI-focused products and continued innovation. The median analyst price target of $315.00 suggests a potential upside of 42.3% from the current price, supported by projected revenue growth of 91.00% for the current year and 68.00% for the next. The company's strong profitability and healthy balance sheet provide a solid foundation for future expansion.
Potential upside catalysts include further breakthroughs in AI hardware, securing new large-scale contracts, and continued market share gains. Conversely, significant insider selling and a high price-to-sales ratio represent key risks. A slowdown in AI adoption, increased competition from rivals like AMD or Intel, or broader market downturns could negatively impact the stock's performance.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 5.34T |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 28.61 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.91 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.23% |
| 52 Week High | 243.37 |
| 52 Week Low | 164.27 |
As of October 15, 2026, NVDA trades at $221.30, with a market value of $5.34T, a P/E ratio of 28.61 and a dividend yield of 0.23%.
NVIDIA Corporation exhibits a P/E ratio of 28.61, which is below the sector median of 34, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to peers. The company's price-to-sales ratio stands at 18.04, significantly higher than the sector average of 7.5, indicating a premium valuation based on revenue. Its return on equity is exceptionally strong at 117.21%, far exceeding the sector average of 13.4%, and its profit margin of 63.66% is also substantially higher than the sector median.
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 is well below the sector average, indicating a healthy balance sheet with minimal leverage. Despite the high price-to-sales ratio, NVIDIA's superior profitability and growth metrics, coupled with its strong balance sheet, appear to justify its premium valuation in the semiconductor industry.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
NVIDIA Corporation has consistently beaten EPS estimates over the past four reported quarters, most recently reporting $2.22 for the quarter reported August 26, 2026, a 6.22% surprise, which spurred an 8.74% stock price increase. The company's revenue growth is projected to be exceptionally strong, with current year estimates at +91.00% year-over-year and next year at +68.00%.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, with over $3.8 billion in dispositions, presents a key risk that warrants close attention, despite the company's strong fundamentals and positive analyst ratings. While NVIDIA's valuation is supported by exceptional growth, its high price-to-sales ratio of 18.04 compared to the sector average of 7.5 could make it vulnerable to market corrections or shifts in investor sentiment.
The company's reliance on continued demand for its advanced semiconductors in a rapidly evolving technological landscape also poses a competitive risk. Any slowdown in AI development or a significant increase in competition could impact future growth projections.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14-day) | 44.14 |
|---|---|
| MACD (12, 26) | 1.99 |
| SMA (50-day) | 223.22 |
| SMA (200-day) | 202.69 |
As of October 15, 2026, with NVDA at $221.30, its 14-day RSI is 44.1 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $223.22 and its 200-day is $202.69.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
As of October 15, 2026, NVDA's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.69 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.74 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.35 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.12 with gold (XAU).
How does any other asset move with NVDA? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
NVDA Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 15, 2026, 62 Wall Street analysts cover NVDA: 59 rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $180.00 to $515.00, with a median of $315.00, 42.3% above the price of $221.30.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
NVDA Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from NVDA's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in NVDA in October 2016 would be worth about $1,349,185 today, compared with about $36,237 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
NVDA Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 15, 2026, NVDA's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -63.3% (December 2021 to October 2022); it regained that peak by May 2023, 8 months after the low, and 81% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NVDA today could grow to about $30,962 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $232,914 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,116. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.23% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
NVDA Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $348 for NVDA by 2030 in the base case, from $221 today (1.6x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $97.06. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NVDA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $131 | $248 | $469 |
| 2028 | $113 | $277 | $684 |
| 2029 | $103 | $311 | $938 |
| 2030 | $97.06 | $348 | $1,246 |
| 2031 | $93.48 | $389 | $1,622 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of NVDA's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. NVDA is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.
People Also Watch
NVDA Insider Trading Analysis
As of October 15, 2026, NVDA insiders reported 86 open-market sales worth $3.8B and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | TETER TIMOTHY S
General Counsel
|
Sell | 30.5K | $6.8M |
| Sep 18, 2026 | STEVENS MARK A
Director
|
Sell | 1.4M | $300.1M |
| Sep 9, 2026 | PARKER NICHOLAS P
Officer
|
Grant | 172.5K | - |
| Sep 4, 2026 | STEVENS MARK A
Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $235.6M |
| Sep 2, 2026 | STEVENS MARK A
Director
|
Sell | 1.8M | $410.8M |
| Sep 2, 2026 | COXE TENCH C
Director
|
Grant | 500.0K | - |
| Aug 31, 2026 | TETER TIMOTHY S
General Counsel
|
Sell | 30.0K | $6.5M |
| Aug 10, 2026 | NORA JOHNSON SUZANNE M
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Aug 5, 2026 | COXE TENCH C
Director
|
Grant | 500.0K | - |
| Jul 1, 2026 | COXE TENCH C
Director
|
Grant | 500.0K | - |