Jump to any asset
850 assets, updated daily
As of September 11, 2026, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) trades at $219.15. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $315.00, 43.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $315.00 across 60 analysts. RSI at 53 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $212.60.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
NVIDIA Corporation NASDAQ
$219.15
0.7850 (0.36%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
77 / 100
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is trading at $219.15, showing a mixed technical picture with price below its 20-day EMA but above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($212.60 and $197.48). The company has demonstrated exceptional revenue growth, projected at 90.00% year-over-year for the current year, reaching an estimated $411.3 billion. This growth is underpinned by strong demand in AI and data center markets, as reflected in recent earnings beats. However, a significant bearish signal comes from insider activity, with heavy net selling totaling $3.5 billion, indicating potential concerns among management despite the bullish outlook from Wall Street analysts who maintain a median price target of $315.00, suggesting a 43.7% upside. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $5.27 trillion, reflecting its dominant position in the semiconductor industry. While the stock's valuation metrics, such as a P/E ratio of 28.57, appear elevated compared to sector averages, the extraordinary revenue growth and forward estimates of 65.00% for next year provide some justification. The primary risk remains the substantial insider selling, which could signal a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation or a realization of gains by executives, juxtaposed against the strong analyst consensus and AI-driven demand.
NVDA Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$221.24
Day Range
$218.93 to $222.00
Prev Close
$218.36
Volume
1.21M
52-Week Range
$164.07 to $236.54
Market Cap
$5.27T
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (12% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
NVDA Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, NVDA beat estimates 5 times. However, the stock fell 4 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
NVDA Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+43.74% Upside
Median of 60 analysts (12-month)
$315.00
AI Technical Analysis
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is currently trading below its 20-day exponential moving average at $219.99, indicating some near-term weakness, but remains above its 50-day simple moving average of $212.60 and its 200-day simple moving average of $197.48, suggesting a longer-term uptrend is intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral at 52.94, showing no immediate overbought or oversold conditions, while the MACD at 2.64 suggests a lack of strong momentum in either direction. Key support levels are seen around the 50-day SMA, while resistance may emerge near the 20-day EMA. Volume has been significantly below average recently, which could imply a lack of conviction from traders. The current technical setup suggests a period of consolidation or a potential pullback towards the 50-day SMA if selling pressure intensifies, though the longer-term trend remains positive as long as the price holds above the 200-day SMA.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as the $3.5 billion in dispositions represents a significant bearish signal that could precede price weakness.
- Given the premium valuation, consider position sizing carefully and be prepared for potential volatility, especially if growth rates falter or competitive pressures increase.
- The company's strong revenue growth and consistent earnings beats are key drivers, but the high P/E ratio warrants vigilance against any signs of slowing momentum.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Continued AI Demand Growth
Sustained high demand for NVIDIA's AI accelerators in data centers and enterprise applications is expected to drive revenue growth beyond current estimates.
Source: Market AnalysisBullish
New Product Cycle Success
Successful launch and adoption of next-generation AI chips could further solidify NVIDIA's market leadership and drive revenue expansion.
Source: Industry TrendsBearish
Heavy Insider Selling
Significant insider selling totaling $3.5 billion with a heavy insider selling verdict indicates potential concerns among management regarding future stock performance.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Competitive Pressures
Increasing competition from companies like AMD and Intel in the AI chip market could impact NVIDIA's market share and pricing power.
Source: Competitor AnalysisMarket Outlook
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is expected to maintain its strong growth trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by continued demand for its AI and data center solutions. The median analyst target price of $315.00 suggests a potential upside of 43.7% from the current price of $219.15, supported by strong revenue growth estimates and consistent earnings beats. The primary upside catalysts include further advancements in AI technology, expansion into new markets, and potential new product cycles that could exceed current growth expectations. Conversely, downside risks are primarily centered around the substantial insider selling, a potential slowdown in AI demand, increased competition from rivals like AMD and Intel, or regulatory scrutiny. A failure to meet the exceptionally high growth expectations could lead to a significant valuation correction.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 5.27T |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 28.57 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.83 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2373% |
| 52 Week High | 236.54 |
| 52 Week Low | 164.07 |
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) exhibits a P/E ratio of 28.57, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a premium valuation. However, this premium is somewhat justified by its exceptional revenue growth rate of 105.9%, significantly outpacing the sector average of 10.0%. The company's forward revenue estimates are strong, with next year's projected revenue of $677.8 billion (capped to $617.0 billion due to outlier skew) representing a 65.00% year-over-year increase. Profitability metrics are strong, with EPS at $7.83, and the company consistently beats analyst estimates, as seen in its recent earnings reports. The balance sheet appears healthy. The current valuation, while high, is supported by substantial growth prospects and market leadership in AI, but the premium demands continued strong execution and innovation to sustain.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) most recently reported earnings on August 26, 2026, beating the EPS estimate of $2.09 with an actual EPS of $2.22, a surprise of 6.22%, and the stock reacted positively with an 8.74% price increase. This follows a pattern of consistent earnings beats, including a 5.65% surprise in May 2026 and a notable 16.15% surprise in January 2026. The company's ability to consistently exceed expectations highlights its operational strength and market demand for its products.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is the heavy insider selling, with $3.5 billion in dispositions and a heavy insider selling verdict, which could indicate a lack of confidence from management or a strategic profit-taking move. Additionally, the stock's premium valuation, with a P/E ratio above the sector average, presents a risk if growth expectations are not met or if competitive pressures intensify. The company's reliance on the AI market, while currently a strength, also poses a concentration risk should demand shift or new disruptive technologies emerge.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 52.94 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 2.64 |
| SMA 50 | 212.60 |
| SMA 200 | 197.48 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($212.60) above the 200-day SMA ($197.48), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.70
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.76
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.30
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
NVDA Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$214.76
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$219.15
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$206.39
MAX LOSS
-3.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (52.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$225.50
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$236.24
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$246.98
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for NVDA is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in NVDA in September 2016 would be worth about $1,437,761 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NVDA today could grow to about $58,017 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $436,031 and a bear case around $7,720. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
NVDA Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $443 for NVDA by 2030 in the base case, from $219 today (2.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $124. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NVDA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $138 | $261 | $494 |
| 2028 | $126 | $311 | $768 |
| 2029 | $123 | $371 | $1,121 |
| 2030 | $124 | $443 | $1,585 |
| 2031 | $127 | $528 | $2,197 |
| 2032 | $132 | $629 | $3,002 |
| 2033 | $139 | $750 | $4,056 |
| 2034 | $147 | $894 | $5,433 |
| 2035 | $157 | $1,066 | $7,227 |
| 2036 | $169 | $1,271 | $9,555 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NVDA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. NVDA is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
NVDA Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$3.5B
88 Transactions
Insiders
20
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$39.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | STEVENS MARK A
Director
|
Sell | 1.8M | $410.8M |
| Sep 20, 2024 | COXE TENCH C
Director
|
Sell | 2.0M | $235.7M |
| Sep 4, 2026 | STEVENS MARK A
Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $235.6M |
| Jun 4, 2026 | STEVENS MARK A
Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $221.1M |
| Jun 18, 2026 | STEVENS MARK A
Director
|
Sell | 885.0K | $186.0M |
| Mar 5, 2024 | COXE TENCH C
Director
|
Sell | 200.0K | $170.0M |
| Jun 3, 2025 | STEVENS MARK A
Director
|
Sell | 1.1M | $149.1M |
| Dec 1, 2021 | HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 440.0K | $143.5M |
| Jun 9, 2025 | COXE TENCH C
Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $142.8M |
| Jan 3, 2022 | HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 440.0K | $133.0M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is NVIDIA's stock price prediction for 2030?
NVIDIA's (NVDA) long-range projection for 2030 estimates a base case price of $442.75, with a downside scenario at $123.64 and an upside scenario at $1585.48. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and should not be considered definitive price targets.
Is NVIDIA stock a buy right now?
NVIDIA (NVDA) currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating with a consensus score of 77 and a median Wall Street price target of $315.00, suggesting a 43.7% upside from its current price of $219.15.
What are the biggest risks facing NVIDIA shareholders?
The primary risks for NVIDIA (NVDA) shareholders include significant insider selling totaling $3.5 billion, a premium valuation relative to its sector, and potential concentration risk due to its heavy reliance on the AI market.
How is NVIDIA performing in terms of recent earnings?
NVIDIA (NVDA) has consistently beaten earnings estimates, most recently reporting an EPS of $2.22 against an estimate of $2.09 on August 26, 2026, which led to an 8.74% stock price increase.
What is NVIDIA's revenue growth outlook?
NVIDIA (NVDA) is projected to achieve current year revenue of $411.3 billion, representing a 90.00% year-over-year growth, with next year's revenue estimated at $617.0 billion, indicating a 65.00% growth rate.
How does NVIDIA's valuation compare to its sector?
NVIDIA (NVDA) has a P/E ratio of 28.57, which is higher than the sector average of 25.5, indicating a premium valuation that is supported by its significantly higher revenue growth rate compared to the sector average.
What is the technical outlook for NVIDIA stock?
Technically, NVIDIA (NVDA) is trading below its 20-day EMA but above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($212.60 and $197.48), with a neutral RSI at 52.9, suggesting a mixed short-term outlook with longer-term uptrend support.