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As of September 26, 2026, Intel Corporation (INTC) trades at $123.00. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $112.00, 8.9% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $112.00 across 49 analysts. RSI at 72 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $99.05.
Intel Corporation (INTC)
Intel Corporation NASDAQ
$123.00
-4.390 (-3.45%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
57 / 100
Intel Corporation (INTC) is currently trading at $123, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($99.05 and $79.20), signaling positive short-term momentum. The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth, with current year estimates at +19.00% year-over-year, and recent quarterly earnings have consistently beaten analyst expectations, with the latest quarter to June 2026 showing a 90.91% surprise. However, the stock's current valuation appears stretched as it trades above the median Wall Street price target of $112, suggesting limited immediate upside potential. Insiders have been net buyers, acquiring $10.2 million in stock versus $7.5 million sold, indicating some level of confidence, but the overall consensus remains 'Hold' with a score of 57. The company's fundamental picture is mixed, with a negative net profit margin of -19.79% and negative EPS of -2.09, despite a positive operating margin of 12.19%. While revenue growth is strong at 25.4% and projected to continue, the profitability challenges and the current price exceeding analyst targets present a key risk. The technology sector average P/E is 34, and while INTC's P/S of 11.40 is above the sector median of 7.50, its negative EPS makes a direct P/E comparison difficult. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and the company's ability to translate revenue growth into sustainable profitability.
INTC Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$126.83
Day Range
$122.84 to $126.93
Prev Close
$127.39
Volume
97.48M
52-Week Range
$24.22 to $142.35
Market Cap
$650.19B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+2,280%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
INTC Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, INTC beat estimates 2 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
INTC Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-8.94% Downside
Median of 49 analysts (12-month)
$112.00
AI Technical Analysis
Intel Corporation (INTC) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($99.05 and $79.20), with the price currently at $123, indicating a bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 71.82, which is in overbought territory, suggesting a potential for a short-term pullback. The MACD is positive at 7.17, supporting the current upward momentum. Volume has been below average recently, with 97.5 million shares traded compared to a 122.9 million average, which could indicate waning conviction behind the recent price action. Key support levels are expected around the 50-day SMA of $99.05 and the 200-day SMA of $79.20. Resistance is less defined given the recent upward move, but the current price is already above the median Wall Street target of $112. The stochastic oscillator is also in overbought territory at 86.51, reinforcing the possibility of a near-term consolidation or correction. Investors should watch for any signs of a reversal from overbought conditions or a decisive break above recent highs.
ProTips
- Intel Corporation's (INTC) recent earnings beats are positive, but monitor the company's ability to convert revenue growth into sustainable profitability, as net margins remain negative.
- The stock is trading in overbought territory according to the RSI (71.82), suggesting a potential for a short-term pullback or consolidation.
- Given the current price exceeds the median Wall Street target, consider a more conservative entry or wait for a more favorable risk-reward setup.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Intel Corporation (INTC) has consistently surpassed analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, including a 90.91% surprise in the quarter to June 2026, indicating operational improvements and effective cost management.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts project strong revenue growth for Intel Corporation (INTC), with current year estimates at +19.00% year-over-year and next year's estimates at +14.00%, signaling strong market demand for its products.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBullish
Positive Insider Buying Activity
Insiders at Intel Corporation (INTC) have recently been net buyers, with total purchases of $10.2 million compared to $7.5 million in sales, suggesting a degree of confidence in the company's future prospects.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Current Price Exceeds Median Analyst Target
Intel Corporation's (INTC) current stock price of $123 is trading above the median Wall Street price target of $112, indicating limited upside potential and a potential for price reversion.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBearish
Overbought Technical Conditions
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Intel Corporation (INTC) is at 71.82, indicating the stock is in overbought territory and may be due for a short-term correction or consolidation.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Intel Corporation (INTC) is expected to continue its strong revenue growth trajectory, with current year estimates projecting a 19.00% increase and next year's estimates at 14.00%. The base case scenario for the stock price in 2030 is $179.87, with a downside projection of $55.49, reflecting the inherent uncertainties in translating revenue growth into sustainable profitability. The company's ability to improve its net profit margin from -19.79% and its negative EPS will be critical for achieving higher valuations. Upside catalysts could include successful execution of its product roadmap and a significant improvement in manufacturing efficiency, leading to better margins and potentially higher analyst ratings. Conversely, downside risks include intensified competition from rivals like AMD and NVDA, further delays in product development, or a failure to convert revenue growth into positive net income. The current overbought RSI reading also suggests a potential for near-term price consolidation or a pullback.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 650.19B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -2.09 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.41% |
| 52 Week High | 142.35 |
| 52 Week Low | 24.22 |
Intel Corporation (INTC) presents a complex fundamental picture, with a current P/S ratio of 11.40 significantly above the sector median of 7.50, while its P/E ratio is mathematically negative due to an EPS of -2.09. Despite this, the company is experiencing strong revenue growth of 25.4% and is projected to see continued expansion, with next year's revenue growth estimated at 14.00%. The operating margin stands at a healthy 12.19%, but the net profit margin is negative at -19.79%, indicating significant costs or inefficiencies impacting bottom-line profitability. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49 is below the sector average, suggesting a relatively manageable debt load. However, the negative return on equity of -10.72% highlights profitability issues. While forward-looking estimates show significant revenue growth and a projected earnings per share of $2.06 for next year, the current negative profitability and high price-to-sales ratio warrant caution. Investors are essentially betting on a substantial turnaround in profitability to justify the current valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Intel Corporation (INTC) has demonstrated a strong track record of beating earnings estimates in its recent quarterly reports. The latest quarter to June 2026 saw an EPS of $0.42, significantly exceeding the estimate of $0.22 by 90.91%, although the stock price reacted negatively with a -7.89% drop. Prior quarters also showed substantial positive surprises, including a 2800% beat in the quarter to March 2026. Despite these consistent earnings beats, the company's overall profitability remains a concern, with a negative net profit margin and negative EPS.
Key Risks
Intel Corporation (INTC) faces significant risks related to its profitability, as evidenced by its negative net profit margin of -19.79% and negative EPS of -2.09, despite strong revenue growth. The current stock price of $123 is trading above the median Wall Street price target of $112, suggesting a potential for downside if the company fails to translate its revenue growth into sustainable profits. Additionally, the RSI is in overbought territory at 71.82, indicating that the stock may be due for a correction.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 71.82 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 7.17 |
| SMA 50 | 99.05 |
| SMA 200 | 79.20 |
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($99.05) above the 200-day SMA ($79.20), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 71.8 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.48
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.55
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.29
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.11
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with INTC? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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INTC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$121.77
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$123.00
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$111.54
MAX LOSS
-8.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (71.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$125.42
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$127.86
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$131.51
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
INTC is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.24%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in INTC in September 2016 would be worth about $33,561 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in INTC today could grow to about $25,860 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $166,050 and a bear case around $4,027. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
INTC Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $180 for INTC by 2030 in the base case, from $123 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $55.49. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on INTC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $75.12 | $135 | $244 |
| 2028 | $64.75 | $149 | $342 |
| 2029 | $59.07 | $164 | $453 |
| 2030 | $55.49 | $180 | $583 |
| 2031 | $53.11 | $198 | $737 |
| 2032 | $51.51 | $218 | $918 |
| 2033 | $50.47 | $239 | $1,134 |
| 2034 | $49.85 | $263 | $1,388 |
| 2035 | $49.56 | $289 | $1,688 |
| 2036 | $49.54 | $318 | $2,042 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using INTC's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
INTC Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$10.2M
2 Transactions
Sold
$7.5M
3 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MILLER BOISE APRIL
Officer
|
Sell | 40.3K | $4.0M |
| Apr 29, 2020 | RENDUCHINTALA VENKATA S M
Officer
|
Sell | 46.5K | $2.8M |
| Nov 15, 2019 | BRYANT ANDY D
Chairman of the Board
|
Sell | 46.9K | $2.7M |
| May 29, 2026 | CHANDRASEKARAN NAGASUBRAMANIYAN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 21.0K | $2.5M |
| Apr 7, 2020 | RODGERS STEVEN RALPH
General Counsel
|
Sell | 38.2K | $2.3M |
| Feb 2, 2022 | RODGERS STEVEN RALPH
General Counsel
|
Sell | 26.8K | $1.3M |
| Feb 2, 2026 | MILLER BOISE APRIL
Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $981.0K |
| Jan 2, 2020 | YEARY FRANK D
Director
|
Sell | 12.5K | $757.0K |
| Nov 7, 2024 | HOLTHAUS MICHELLE JOHNSTON
General Counsel
|
Sell | 25.0K | $650.0K |
| Apr 1, 2020 | SHENOY NAVIN
Officer
|
Sell | 10.9K | $577.5K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Intel Corporation (INTC) stock a buy right now?
Intel Corporation (INTC) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts with a consensus score of 57. While the stock shows positive technical momentum and consistent earnings beats, its current price of $123 exceeds the median analyst target price of $112, and its profitability metrics remain negative.
What is Intel Corporation's (INTC) fair value?
The fair value estimate for Intel Corporation (INTC) is $112.00, based on the median Wall Street price target. This suggests an upside of -8.9% from the current price of $123, indicating that the stock may be fully valued at its current trading level.
What are the key risks for Intel Corporation (INTC)?
Key risks for Intel Corporation (INTC) include its negative net profit margin of -19.79% and negative EPS of -2.09, despite strong revenue growth. The stock is also trading above the median Wall Street price target, and its RSI is in overbought territory, suggesting potential for a pullback.
How is Intel Corporation (INTC) performing in terms of revenue growth?
Intel Corporation (INTC) is experiencing strong revenue growth, with a reported 25.4% year-over-year increase. Current year revenue estimates project a +19.00% growth, and next year's estimates indicate a further 14.00% expansion, signaling strong top-line momentum.
What is the outlook for Intel Corporation (INTC) earnings?
Intel Corporation (INTC) has consistently beaten earnings estimates in recent quarters, with the latest quarter to June 2026 showing a 90.91% EPS surprise. Forward estimates suggest continued earnings growth, with next year's EPS projected at $2.06, although the company's overall profitability remains a concern due to negative net margins.
How does Intel Corporation's (INTC) valuation compare to its sector peers?
Intel Corporation (INTC) has a price-to-sales ratio of 11.40, which is significantly higher than the technology sector median of 7.50. Due to negative EPS, a direct P/E ratio comparison is not feasible, but the company's valuation appears stretched relative to its sector based on sales multiples.
What is Intel Corporation's (INTC) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Intel Corporation's (INTC) stock price forecast for 2030 has a base case of $179.87 and a downside projection of $55.49. These are statistical outcomes and not definitive price targets.