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As of September 10, 2026, MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) trades at $358.38. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $465.00, 29.8% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $465.00 across 41 analysts. RSI at 32 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $374.69.
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB)
MongoDB, Inc. NASDAQ
$358.38
2.380 (0.67%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
74 / 100
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) is currently trading at $358.38, below its 50-day SMA ($374.69) but above its 200-day SMA ($342.64), signaling near-term technical weakness. Despite this, the company operates in the Software - Infrastructure industry, a sector with strong growth prospects. Analysts maintain a strong 'Buy' consensus, with a median price target of $465, suggesting an upside of nearly 30% from current levels. This divergence between technicals and fundamental analyst outlooks warrants close monitoring. The company's financial health is supported by consistent revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting over 23% year-over-year expansion. While the current P/E ratio is high, reflecting growth expectations, the strong analyst conviction and forward-looking revenue estimates provide a bullish underpinning. The primary risk remains the current bearish technical momentum and significant insider selling activity.
MDB Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$359.97
Day Range
$354.19 to $365.49
Prev Close
$356.00
Volume
2.38M
52-Week Range
$215.68 to $473.10
Market Cap
$28.83B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (0.00% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
MDB Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
MDB Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+29.75% Upside
Median of 41 analysts (12-month)
$465.00
AI Technical Analysis
MongoDB (MDB) exhibits bearish technical momentum, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 31.93, indicating it is in oversold territory and trending downwards. The stock is trading below both its 50-day ($374.69) and 20-day ($397.55) exponential moving averages, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. The MACD is also negative at -2.017, further suggesting downward pressure. Key support levels are being tested as the stock trades below its short-term moving averages. Volume has been slightly below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction behind the current downward move. Investors should watch for a potential bounce from oversold conditions, but a sustained move above the 50-day SMA would be required to signal a reversal of the current bearish trend.
ProTips
- Significant insider selling totaling over $161 million warrants caution, suggesting potential concerns about the stock's current valuation or future prospects.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, indicating bearish momentum; a move above the 50-day SMA would be needed to signal a potential trend reversal.
- Given the high P/E ratio of 513.01, investors should closely monitor MongoDB's ability to consistently meet or exceed revenue growth expectations to justify its premium valuation.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Analyst Buy Consensus and Price Targets
41 analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $465.00, indicating significant upside potential of 29.8% from the current price.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBullish
Projected Strong Revenue Growth
Current year revenue is estimated to grow by 23.00% year-over-year, with next year projected at 18.00%, demonstrating sustained demand for MongoDB's platform.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold over $161.4 million worth of stock, indicating potential concerns about the current valuation or future outlook.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, with an RSI of 31.93, suggesting a bearish trend and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
MongoDB (MDB) is positioned for potential upside, with a median analyst price target of $465 suggesting a nearly 30% increase from its current trading price of $358.38. The base case projection for 2030 is $649.01, supported by strong projected revenue growth of 23.00% for the current year and 18.00% for the next. The company's healthy balance sheet and consistent revenue expansion provide a solid foundation for future growth. However, the outlook is tempered by significant insider selling and bearish technical indicators. A sustained move above the 50-day SMA would be a positive signal, while continued selling pressure could lead to further downside. Investors should monitor insider activity and technical levels closely, as they may precede significant price movements.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 28.83B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 513.01 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.7000 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 473.10 |
| 52 Week Low | 215.68 |
MongoDB (MDB) presents a high valuation with a P/E ratio of 513.01, significantly above sector averages, indicating that the market has high growth expectations. However, the company is demonstrating strong revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a 23.00% increase year-over-year, and next year's growth expected at 18.00%. This growth trajectory is a key factor supporting the current valuation. The company's balance sheet appears healthy, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.1, suggesting prudent financial management. While the current P/E is elevated, the strong revenue growth and positive analyst outlook suggest that investors are pricing in substantial future expansion. The key challenge will be for MongoDB to continue delivering on its growth promises to justify its premium valuation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
MongoDB (MDB) is expected to report current quarter revenue of $760.5 million, representing a 21.00% year-over-year increase. Forward-looking estimates show continued strong revenue growth, with next quarter projected at $806.8 million (+16.00% YoY) and the current year estimated at $3.03 billion (+23.00% YoY). This consistent revenue expansion indicates sustained demand for MongoDB's platform.
Key Risks
MongoDB (MDB) faces significant insider selling pressure, with over $161 million in sales reported, signaling potential concerns among management regarding the stock's current valuation or future prospects. The stock is also trading below key short-term moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum that could lead to further price declines. Additionally, the high P/E ratio of 513.01 presents a valuation risk, requiring continuous strong growth to justify.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 31.93 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.02 |
| SMA 50 | 374.69 |
| SMA 200 | 342.64 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($374.69) above the 200-day SMA ($342.64), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.08
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.07
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
MDB Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🟢 LONG ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$351.21
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
AGGRESSIVE
$358.38
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$325.85
MAX LOSS
-7.2%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (31.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$368.77
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$386.33
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$403.89
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
MDB is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.81%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MDB in October 2017 would be worth about $111,749 today, compared with about $29,806 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MDB today could grow to about $44,133 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $334,821 and a bear case around $5,817. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MDB Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $649 for MDB by 2030 in the base case, from $358 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $180. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MDB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $219 | $416 | $789 |
| 2028 | $195 | $482 | $1,194 |
| 2029 | $184 | $559 | $1,697 |
| 2030 | $180 | $649 | $2,338 |
| 2031 | $180 | $753 | $3,155 |
| 2032 | $182 | $873 | $4,196 |
| 2033 | $186 | $1,013 | $5,521 |
| 2034 | $192 | $1,175 | $7,199 |
| 2035 | $199 | $1,363 | $9,322 |
| 2036 | $208 | $1,582 | $11,999 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MDB's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MDB is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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MDB Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$161.4M
55 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.9M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 225.0K | $65.2M |
| Oct 6, 2020 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 225.0K | $54.8M |
| Jan 12, 2022 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 106.3K | $47.7M |
| Sep 26, 2023 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 134.0K | $43.8M |
| Nov 7, 2023 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 100.5K | $37.7M |
| Jan 6, 2022 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 85.0K | $36.6M |
| Jul 5, 2023 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 54.2K | $22.1M |
| Sep 9, 2022 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 85.0K | $21.3M |
| Jun 2, 2026 | BOTHA ROELOF FREDERICK
Director
|
Sell | 44.1K | $17.5M |
| Sep 7, 2021 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 35.0K | $17.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is MongoDB's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, MongoDB's stock price is projected to reach a base case of $649.01 by 2030. The downside scenario suggests a price of $180.16, while the upside scenario indicates a potential of $2,337.98. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is MongoDB stock a buy right now?
MongoDB is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $465.00, suggesting a 29.8% upside from its current price of $358.38. However, the stock is exhibiting bearish technical momentum, trading below key moving averages.
What is MongoDB's current valuation compared to its sector?
MongoDB's P/E ratio stands at 513.01, which is significantly higher than the sector average. This suggests the stock is trading at a premium, likely due to its strong growth prospects.
What are the main risks facing MongoDB investors?
Key risks include substantial insider selling totaling over $161 million, bearish technical indicators, and a high P/E ratio of 513.01 that demands continued strong growth to be justified.
How is MongoDB's revenue growth trending?
MongoDB is demonstrating strong revenue growth, with current year estimates projecting a 23.00% year-over-year increase, and next year's growth expected at 18.00%.
What is the Wall Street consensus for MongoDB stock?
The Wall Street consensus for MongoDB is 'Buy', with 41 analysts covering the stock. The consensus score is 74 out of 100, with a median price target of $465.00.
What is MongoDB's dividend policy?
MongoDB does not currently pay a dividend, as indicated by a dividend yield and rate of 0.