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As of October 11, 2026, MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) trades at $385.93. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $460.00, 19.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $460.00 across 41 analysts. RSI at 44 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $395.17.
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB)
MongoDB, Inc. NASDAQ
$385.93
14.58 (3.93%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
74 / 100
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) is trading at $385.93, below its 50-day moving average but above its 200-day moving average, indicating a mixed technical picture. The company operates in the Software - Infrastructure industry within the Technology sector, a space characterized by strong growth and innovation. Analysts maintain a predominantly positive outlook, with a consensus rating of Buy and a median price target of $460.00, suggesting an upside potential of 19.2% from current levels. Revenue growth is projected to be strong, with current quarter estimates at +21.00% year-over-year and current year estimates at +23.00%. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 2.12% and a return on equity of 1.99%, which are modest but indicate profitability. Its debt-to-equity ratio is exceptionally low at 0.02, suggesting a strong balance sheet. However, a significant concern is the heavy insider selling, with over $157.9 million in sales and no reported purchases, signaling potential caution from management despite the positive analyst sentiment and growth projections. This divergence between analyst optimism and insider actions requires careful consideration for investors.
MDB Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$375.85
Day Range
$371.53 to $387.85
Prev Close
$371.35
Volume
1.97M
52-Week Range
$215.68 to $473.10
Market Cap
$31.04B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+1,467%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
MDB Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
MDB Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+19.19% Upside
Median of 41 analysts (12-month)
$460.00
AI Technical Analysis
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) is currently exhibiting neutral momentum, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 43.56. The stock is trading below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $395.17, which is acting as resistance, but remains above its 200-day SMA of $341.42, indicating a longer-term uptrend is still intact. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -6.73, suggesting bearish momentum in the short term. Volume has been significantly lower than average recently, down 59.3%, which may indicate a lack of conviction from traders. Key support can be found around the 200-day SMA, while the 50-day SMA presents immediate resistance. The current price action suggests a consolidation phase following recent price declines. Investors should monitor for a decisive move above the 50-day SMA with increasing volume to confirm a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a break below the 200-day SMA could signal a more significant downtrend.
ProTips
- Monitor insider selling activity closely, as the recent $157.9 million in dispositions could signal management's caution despite positive analyst ratings.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA, suggesting near-term resistance. A decisive move above $395.17 with increased volume would be a bullish signal.
- Given the premium valuation, consider employing a strategy that manages downside risk, such as setting stop-loss orders below the 200-day SMA or exploring options strategies for hedging.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast current quarter revenue growth of +21.00% and current year growth of +23.00%, indicating continued market adoption and expansion for MongoDB's platform.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Positive EPS Growth Estimates
Current year EPS is projected to increase to $6.54 from $4.97 in the prior year, reflecting improving profitability and operational efficiency.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Activity
Insiders have sold over $157.9 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, suggesting a potential lack of confidence in near-term stock performance or a desire to diversify holdings.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Trading Below 50-Day SMA
The stock is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $395.17, which may act as immediate resistance and indicates potential short-term weakness.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) is positioned for continued growth, with analysts projecting a median price target of $460.00, implying a 19.2% upside from the current price of $385.93. The company is expected to deliver strong revenue growth of approximately 23.00% for the current year, supported by strong earnings per share estimates. The exceptionally low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 provides a solid financial foundation for future expansion and potential acquisitions. However, the outlook is tempered by significant insider selling totaling over $157.9 million, which contrasts with the optimistic analyst consensus. Investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings reports and management commentary for any signs of slowing growth or increased competitive pressures. A failure to sustain the projected growth trajectory or an escalation of insider selling could pressure the stock, especially given its premium valuation. The company's ability to maintain its market leadership in the database space will be critical for achieving its long-term potential.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 31.04B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 532.76 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.7200 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 473.10 |
| 52 Week Low | 215.68 |
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) trades at a Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 11.09, which is considerably higher than the sector median of 7.5, indicating a premium valuation. The company's Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 532.76, significantly above the sector median of 34, further underscoring its rich valuation. Despite these high multiples, MongoDB demonstrates a positive profit margin of 2.12% and a return on equity of 1.99%, suggesting it is generating profits, albeit at a lower rate compared to its valuation. The company's balance sheet is exceptionally strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.02, indicating minimal financial leverage and low risk from debt obligations. While the valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages, the projected revenue growth of 23.00% for the current year and 19.00% for the next year, coupled with a strong balance sheet, provides some justification for the premium. However, the high P/E and P/S ratios warrant close monitoring of future growth and profitability to ensure they meet market expectations.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) is expected to report current quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $1.61, representing a 21.8% increase year-over-year. For the current fiscal year, analysts forecast EPS of $6.54, a significant jump from $4.97 in the prior year. Revenue growth is also strong, with current quarter estimates at +21.00% and current year estimates at +23.00%. These strong forward-looking estimates suggest continued business expansion and increasing profitability, supporting the positive analyst sentiment.
Key Risks
The primary risk for MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) is its elevated valuation, with a P/E ratio of 532.76 and a P/S ratio of 11.09, significantly exceeding sector medians. Additionally, substantial insider selling, totaling over $157.9 million with no offsetting purchases, raises concerns about management's near-term confidence in the stock. While the company exhibits strong revenue growth and a healthy balance sheet, any failure to meet aggressive growth expectations could lead to a sharp valuation correction.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 43.56 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -6.73 |
| SMA 50 | 395.17 |
| SMA 200 | 341.42 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($395.17) above the 200-day SMA ($341.42), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.05
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with MDB? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
MDB Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$378.21
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$385.93
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$348.90
MAX LOSS
-7.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (43.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$397.12
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$416.03
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$434.94
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
MDB is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.16%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in MDB in October 2017 would be worth about $120,340 today, compared with about $30,438 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MDB today could grow to about $44,733 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $339,375 and a bear case around $5,896. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MDB Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $703 for MDB by 2030 in the base case, from $386 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $195. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MDB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $236 | $448 | $851 |
| 2028 | $210 | $521 | $1,289 |
| 2029 | $199 | $605 | $1,835 |
| 2030 | $195 | $703 | $2,531 |
| 2031 | $195 | $816 | $3,421 |
| 2032 | $197 | $948 | $4,556 |
| 2033 | $202 | $1,101 | $6,001 |
| 2034 | $209 | $1,279 | $7,837 |
| 2035 | $217 | $1,486 | $10,162 |
| 2036 | $228 | $1,726 | $13,098 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using MDB's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. MDB is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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MDB Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$157.9M
51 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.1M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 225.0K | $65.2M |
| Oct 6, 2020 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 225.0K | $54.8M |
| Jan 12, 2022 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 106.3K | $47.7M |
| Sep 26, 2023 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 134.0K | $43.8M |
| Nov 7, 2023 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 100.5K | $37.7M |
| Jan 6, 2022 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 85.0K | $36.6M |
| Jul 5, 2023 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 54.2K | $22.1M |
| Sep 9, 2022 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 85.0K | $21.3M |
| Jun 2, 2026 | BOTHA ROELOF FREDERICK
Director
|
Sell | 44.1K | $17.5M |
| Sep 7, 2021 | ITTYCHERIA DEV C
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 35.0K | $17.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is MongoDB, Inc.'s current stock price and consensus rating?
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) is currently trading at $385.93. The consensus rating among analysts is Buy, with a consensus score of 74 out of 100.
What is the median analyst price target for MDB stock?
The median analyst price target for MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) is $460.00, suggesting an upside potential of 19.2% from its current trading price.
How is MongoDB, Inc. performing financially based on recent earnings estimates?
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) shows strong forward-looking earnings and revenue growth. Current quarter EPS is estimated at $1.61, and current year EPS is projected at $6.54. Revenue growth is expected to be around 21.00% for the current quarter and 23.00% for the current year.
What are the key risks associated with investing in MongoDB, Inc. stock?
The main risks include MongoDB's high valuation multiples (P/E of 532.76, P/S of 11.09) and significant insider selling exceeding $157.9 million. Failure to meet high growth expectations could lead to a substantial price correction.
How does MongoDB, Inc.'s valuation compare to its sector averages?
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) trades at a premium compared to its sector averages. Its P/E ratio of 532.76 and P/S ratio of 11.09 are significantly higher than the sector medians of 34 and 7.5, respectively. However, its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 is much lower than the sector average.
What is MongoDB, Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, MongoDB, Inc.'s (MDB) stock price forecast for 2030 shows a base case of $702.69, with a downside projection of $195.06 and an upside projection of $2,531.35. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
What is the technical outlook for MongoDB, Inc. stock?
MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) shows neutral momentum with an RSI at 43.6. It is trading below its 50-day SMA ($395.17) but above its 200-day SMA ($341.42). Bearish short-term momentum is indicated by the MACD, and low volume suggests a lack of conviction.