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As of September 26, 2026, Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) trades at $106.70. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $106.70, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $135.00 across 28 analysts. RSI at 44 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $112.45.
Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
Cisco Systems, Inc. NASDAQ
$106.70
-0.2700 (-0.25%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Cisco Systems (CSCO) is currently trading at $106.70, aligning with its calculated fair value. The company operates within the Communication Equipment industry, a segment of the broader Technology sector. Recent earnings have shown mixed performance, with a notable beat in the quarter to September 2026 but a slight miss in the quarter to June 2026. Despite a solid market position and a dividend yield of 1.57%, significant insider selling totaling $118.1 million raises concerns about management's near-term outlook. The stock is currently trading above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) but below its 50-day SMA and 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating a mixed technical picture. While Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $135.00, suggesting 26.5% upside, the heavy insider selling pressure is a key risk factor to monitor.
CSCO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$106.99
Day Range
$106.53 to $108.64
Prev Close
$106.97
Volume
19.95M
52-Week Range
$66.35 to $130.37
Market Cap
$420.67B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-6% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
CSCO Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, CSCO beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
CSCO Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+26.52% Upside
Median of 28 analysts (12-month)
$135.00
AI Technical Analysis
Cisco Systems (CSCO) is currently trading at $106.70, below its 50-day SMA of $112.45 and 20-day EMA of $109.27, but above its 200-day SMA of $96.98. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 44.42, indicating neutral momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at -1.46, suggesting a bearish short-term trend. Volume has been slightly below average recently, which could imply a lack of conviction behind current price movements. Key support levels are near the 200-day SMA, while resistance is observed around the 50-day SMA and the 20-day EMA. The current technical setup suggests a cautious stance, with potential for consolidation or a slight downward bias until a clearer trend emerges.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely; the current heavy selling trend warrants significant caution despite positive analyst ratings.
- Given the mixed technical signals and trading below key short-term moving averages, consider waiting for a clearer bullish trend or a pullback to stronger support levels before initiating new positions.
- The projected decline in long-term growth warrants a review of Cisco's strategy for future revenue streams and market adaptation.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $118.1 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Slowing Long-Term Growth Projections
Forward-looking estimates project an average annual growth rate of -14.7% over the next five years, suggesting potential challenges in future revenue expansion.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Positive Earnings Surprise in Latest Quarter
Cisco Systems exceeded EPS estimates by 23.53% in the quarter ending September 2026, demonstrating operational execution.
Source: Company Earnings ReportBullish
Wall Street 'Buy' Consensus and Price Target
A median analyst price target of $135.00 suggests a 26.5% upside potential from the current stock price, supported by a 'Buy' rating from a majority of analysts.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsMarket Outlook
The base case for Cisco Systems (CSCO) over the next 6-12 months suggests limited upside from its current fair value of $106.70, with a median Wall Street price target of $135.00 indicating potential appreciation. The company's strong profitability and dividend payments provide a stable foundation, and recent earnings beats suggest operational resilience. However, the outlook is tempered by significant insider selling and a concerning long-term growth projection of -14.7% annually. Upside catalysts could include stronger-than-expected enterprise spending or successful integration of new technologies, while downside risks include intensified competition and a continued slowdown in core networking markets, which could pressure the stock towards its 200-day SMA support level.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 420.67B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 32.04 |
| EPS (TTM) | 3.33 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.57% |
| 52 Week High | 130.37 |
| 52 Week Low | 66.35 |
Cisco Systems (CSCO) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.04, which is slightly below the Technology sector median P/E of 34, suggesting a modest valuation discount relative to peers. The company's Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio stands at 6.64, compared to the sector average of 7.5. Cisco demonstrates strong profitability with a net profit margin of 20.95% and a return on equity (ROE) of 27.32%, both exceeding the sector averages of 13.4% for ROE. However, the company's long-term growth estimates show a concerning decline, with projected 5-year average annual growth at -14.7%, contrasting with a positive current year growth estimate of 18.8%. This divergence warrants attention, as it may indicate slowing future expansion despite current strong profitability and a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, which is in line with the sector average.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Cisco Systems (CSCO) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending September 2026, exceeding analyst estimates with an EPS of $0.21 against a forecast of $0.17, a 23.53% surprise, though the stock saw a minor price decline of -0.26%. The prior quarter to June 2026 also showed a beat, with EPS of $1.22 versus an estimate of $1.17, a 4.27% surprise, but resulted in a more significant price drop of -8.4%. Overall, the company has demonstrated an ability to beat earnings expectations, but market reactions have been mixed, suggesting that forward-looking guidance and overall market sentiment serve a significant role in price action.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, with $118.1 million in dispositions and zero purchases, presents a key risk, signaling potential lack of confidence from management. Also, the projected long-term annual growth rate of -14.7% over the next five years indicates potential headwinds for future expansion. The stock's technicals are also mixed, trading below its shorter-term moving averages, which could precede a price pullback.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 44.42 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.46 |
| SMA 50 | 112.45 |
| SMA 200 | 96.98 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($112.45) above the 200-day SMA ($96.98), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.53
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.52
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with CSCO? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
CSCO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$105.63
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$106.70
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$102.46
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (44.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$108.80
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$110.91
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$114.08
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for CSCO is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CSCO in September 2016 would be worth about $34,342 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CSCO today could grow to about $26,137 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $76,594 and a bear case around $8,919. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CSCO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $157 for CSCO by 2030 in the base case, from $107 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $79.39. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CSCO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $83.60 | $117 | $165 |
| 2028 | $79.94 | $129 | $209 |
| 2029 | $78.99 | $142 | $257 |
| 2030 | $79.39 | $157 | $309 |
| 2031 | $80.65 | $173 | $369 |
| 2032 | $82.57 | $190 | $437 |
| 2033 | $85.03 | $209 | $514 |
| 2034 | $87.97 | $230 | $602 |
| 2035 | $91.35 | $253 | $703 |
| 2036 | $95.16 | $279 | $817 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CSCO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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CSCO Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$118.1M
61 Transactions
Insiders
19
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.9M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 602.4K | $47.0M |
| Nov 17, 2025 | STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
|
Sell | 164.6K | $12.8M |
| Nov 14, 2025 | PATEL JEETENDRA I
President
|
Sell | 163.9K | $12.8M |
| Nov 17, 2023 | ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 231.8K | $11.1M |
| Nov 19, 2020 | ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 242.8K | $10.0M |
| Nov 15, 2024 | ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 171.7K | $9.9M |
| Nov 22, 2019 | ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 208.1K | $9.3M |
| Nov 24, 2021 | ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 163.0K | $9.0M |
| Dec 18, 2023 | HERREN RICHARD SCOTT
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 119.9K | $6.0M |
| Nov 23, 2022 | ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 115.9K | $5.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Cisco Systems (CSCO) stock a buy right now?
Cisco Systems (CSCO) is currently trading at $106.70, which is its calculated fair value. Wall Street analysts have a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $135.00, suggesting potential upside. However, significant insider selling and slowing long-term growth estimates warrant caution.
What is Cisco Systems' (CSCO) price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Cisco Systems' (CSCO) base case price projection for 2030 is $156.70, with a downside scenario of $79.39 and an upside scenario of $309.30. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
How is Cisco Systems' (CSCO) financial health?
Cisco Systems (CSCO) demonstrates strong financial health with a profit margin of 20.95% and a return on equity of 27.32%, both exceeding sector averages. Its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 is in line with the industry, and it pays a dividend yield of 1.57%.
What are the main risks for Cisco Systems (CSCO)?
The primary risks for Cisco Systems (CSCO) include substantial insider selling totaling $118.1 million, a projected negative long-term annual growth rate of -14.7%, and mixed technical indicators suggesting potential near-term weakness.
How does Cisco Systems (CSCO) compare to its sector averages?
Cisco Systems (CSCO) trades at a P/E ratio of 32.04 and a P/S ratio of 6.64, both slightly below the Technology sector medians of 34 and 7.5, respectively. Its ROE of 27.32% significantly outperforms the sector average of 13.4%.
What was Cisco Systems' (CSCO) most recent earnings performance?
In the quarter ending September 2026, Cisco Systems (CSCO) reported EPS of $0.21, beating estimates by 23.53%, although the stock saw a minor price decline. The previous quarter to June 2026 also beat estimates but resulted in a larger price drop.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Cisco Systems (CSCO)?
Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus for Cisco Systems (CSCO), with 5 Strong Buys, 14 Buys, and 9 Holds among 28 analysts. The median price target is $135.00, implying a 26.5% upside from the current price.