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As of September 11, 2026, C3.ai, Inc. (AI) trades at $10.47. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $8.00, 23.6% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $8.00 across 14 analysts. RSI at 52 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $9.63.
C3.ai, Inc. (AI)
C3.ai, Inc. NYSE
$10.47
0.0900 (0.87%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
25 / 100
C3.ai, Inc. (AI) is currently trading at $10.47, below its 200-day moving average of $10.58, signaling a bearish technical trend. The company faces substantial challenges, including a significant revenue contraction of -25.5% year-over-year in the current quarter, with projections indicating continued revenue declines for the full year. Despite recent positive earnings surprises, the overall financial health is concerning due to persistent losses and a heavy insider selling signal, with over $187 million in sales versus only $302 thousand in purchases. This divergence suggests a lack of confidence from management regarding future performance, overshadowing any short-term technical bounces.
AI Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$10.30
Day Range
$10.23 to $10.57
Prev Close
$10.38
Volume
3.98M
52-Week Range
$7.68 to $20.22
Market Cap
$1.68B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, AI trades at 7.24x, +72% versus the sector average of 4.20x.
AI Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-23.59% Downside
Median of 14 analysts (12-month)
$8.000
AI Technical Analysis
C3.ai is trading below its 200-day Simple Moving Average of $10.58, indicating a bearish long-term trend. While the stock is currently above its 50-day SMA ($9.63) and 20-day EMA ($10.28), suggesting some short-term support, the overall picture is one of weakness. The RSI is neutral at 52.3, offering no clear indication of overbought or oversold conditions. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 3.98 million compared to an average of 6.39 million, suggesting a lack of conviction behind current price movements. Key resistance lies at the 200-day SMA, while support is found near the 50-day SMA.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; the current heavy selling signal is a strong indicator of potential future price declines.
- Given the bearish technicals and negative revenue growth, consider limiting exposure or employing stop-loss orders to manage downside risk.
- The significant revenue contraction and negative EPS highlight the company's ongoing struggle for profitability, warranting a cautious approach.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Exceeds $187 Million
Insiders have sold over $187 million worth of C3.ai stock, significantly outweighing total purchases of $302 thousand. This heavy selling pressure, particularly from Thomas M. Siebel, indicates a strong lack of confidence in the company's future prospects.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Continued Revenue Contraction
C3.ai reported a -25.5% year-over-year revenue decline in the most recent quarter. Projections for the next year show only a modest 10% growth, which is insufficient to reverse the negative trend and suggests ongoing business challenges.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBearish
Trading Below 200-Day Moving Average
The stock's current price of $10.47 is below its 200-day Simple Moving Average of $10.58, signaling a bearish long-term technical trend and potential for further price depreciation.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Negative Earnings and Analyst Price Targets
C3.ai continues to report negative EPS, and Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $8.00, implying a significant downside from the current trading price.
Source: Wall Street SummaryMarket Outlook
The outlook for C3.ai is bearish, with the stock trading below its 200-day moving average and facing significant revenue contraction. The median Wall Street price target of $8.00 suggests a potential downside of 23.6% from the current price of $10.47. Continued revenue declines and heavy insider selling present substantial challenges that are unlikely to be overcome in the near term. Any positive price action should be viewed with caution given the underlying fundamental and insider selling pressures.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 1.68B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -3.09 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 20.22 |
| 52 Week Low | 7.68 |
C3.ai's valuation is problematic, with a negative EPS of -3.09 and no meaningful P/E ratio due to ongoing losses. The company's revenue growth has turned sharply negative at -25.5% year-over-year for the current quarter, and projections for the next year show only a modest 10% growth, which is insufficient to offset current declines and cover operating expenses. The balance sheet is not detailed here, but the persistent negative EPS and revenue contraction raise concerns about long-term profitability and sustainability. The current price of $10.47 is significantly below the median Wall Street price target of $8.00, implying a substantial downside risk.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
C3.ai's recent earnings reports show a mixed but concerning trend. The company beat EPS estimates in the latest quarter (June 2026) with an actual EPS of -0.33 against an estimate of -0.37, a 10.81% surprise, though the stock reacted negatively with a -1.21% price change. Prior quarters have shown significant misses, such as in February 2026 where the EPS surprise was -37.93% and the stock dropped 18.53%. This pattern of inconsistent performance and significant negative surprises in the past indicates ongoing operational challenges, despite the most recent beat.
Key Risks
The most significant risk for C3.ai is the heavy insider selling, with over $187 million in sales versus minimal purchases, signaling a lack of confidence from management. Also, the company is experiencing substantial revenue contraction, with current quarter YoY growth at -25.5%, indicating significant business headwinds. The stock also trades below its 200-day moving average, reinforcing a bearish technical outlook and suggesting potential for further downside.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 52.30 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.23 |
| SMA 50 | 9.63 |
| SMA 200 | 10.58 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $9.632, 200-day: $10.58), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.48
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.48
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
AI Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
🔴 SHORT ENTRY (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$10.68
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
AGGRESSIVE
$10.47
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$11.21
MAX LOSS
-5.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (52.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$10.15
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$9.611
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$9.077
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in AI in December 2020 would be worth about $1,132 today, compared with about $20,658 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AI today could grow to about $2,440 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $18,514 and a bear case around $322. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AI Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $5.96 for AI by 2030 in the base case, from $10.47 today (0.6x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1.65. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $4.79 | $9.09 | $17.26 |
| 2028 | $3.19 | $7.90 | $19.54 |
| 2029 | $2.26 | $6.86 | $20.81 |
| 2030 | $1.65 | $5.96 | $21.45 |
| 2031 | $1.23 | $5.17 | $21.68 |
| 2032 | $0.9348 | $4.49 | $21.58 |
| 2033 | $0.7159 | $3.90 | $21.26 |
| 2034 | $0.5531 | $3.39 | $20.75 |
| 2035 | $0.4303 | $2.94 | $20.12 |
| 2036 | $0.3368 | $2.56 | $19.38 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
AI Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$302.3K
2 Transactions
Sold
$187.1M
55 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.3M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 2.3M | $192.0M |
| Jun 7, 2021 | TPG GROUP HOLDINGS SBS ADVISORS, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.5M | $156.7M |
| Jun 9, 2021 | TPG GROUP HOLDINGS SBS ADVISORS, INC.
Former
|
Sell | 1.6M | $105.3M |
| Mar 15, 2021 | TPG GROUP HOLDINGS SBS ADVISORS, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 1.1M | $98.8M |
| Mar 17, 2021 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.1M | $95.6M |
| Jun 9, 2021 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.3M | $80.8M |
| Apr 8, 2021 | BAKER HUGHES HOLDINGS LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 873.4K | $56.1M |
| Mar 10, 2021 | TPG GROUP HOLDINGS SBS ADVISORS, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 617.7K | $53.0M |
| Mar 22, 2021 | TPG GROUP HOLDINGS SBS ADVISORS, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 600.0K | $45.6M |
| Jun 10, 2021 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 705.6K | $41.6M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is C3.AI's stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, C3.ai's stock price is projected to be $5.96 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $1.65, while the upside projection reaches $21.45. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees.
Is C3.AI stock a buy right now?
C3.ai stock is not recommended as a buy at this time. The consensus rating is 'Sell' with a consensus score of 25, and Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $8.00, implying a significant downside from the current price of $10.47.
What are the biggest risks facing C3.AI?
The primary risks for C3.ai include substantial insider selling totaling over $187 million, indicating a lack of management confidence, and significant revenue contraction of -25.5% year-over-year. The stock is also trading below its 200-day moving average, suggesting a bearish technical trend.
How has C3.AI performed in recent earnings reports?
C3.ai recently beat EPS estimates in June 2026 with a surprise of 10.81%, but the stock reacted negatively. Previous quarters have shown significant misses, such as a -37.93% surprise in February 2026, indicating inconsistent earnings performance.
What is C3.AI's revenue growth outlook?
C3.ai is experiencing significant revenue contraction, with current quarter year-over-year growth at -25.5%. Projections for the next year indicate a modest 10% growth, which is insufficient to overcome current declines and cover operating expenses.
How does C3.AI compare to its sector averages?
C3.ai's revenue growth is negative (-25.5%), significantly underperforming the sector average of 10.0%. Its valuation metrics are also concerning, with negative EPS and no P/E ratio, while the sector average P/E is 25.5.
What is the sentiment from Wall Street analysts regarding C3.AI?
Wall Street sentiment for C3.ai is predominantly 'Hold' and 'Sell', with 7 'Hold' ratings, 3 'Sell' ratings, and 3 'Strong Sell' ratings out of 14 analysts. The median price target is $8.00, suggesting a -23.6% downside from the current price.