C3.ai, Inc. (AI)
C3.ai, Inc. NYSE
AI at a glance
C3.ai, Inc. (AI): Sell, 33/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($10.65 and $10.14).
- Earnings AI beat estimates in 6 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $178.4M and bought $302K over the last 18 months.
As of October 15, 2026, C3.ai, Inc. (AI) trades at $11.89. Wall Street's consensus target is $7.500 across 13 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 65, showing bullish momentum without being overbought, and the price is above its 50-day simple moving average of $10.65.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from AI's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
AI Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
AI Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
| Report | EPS estimate | EPS actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 (after close) | -$0.26 | -$0.20 | +23.08% | +3.61% | -0.48% |
| Jun 3, 2026 (after close) | -$0.37 | -$0.33 | +10.81% | -1.21% | +0.84% |
| Feb 25, 2026 (after close) | -$0.29 | -$0.40 | -37.93% | -18.53% | -9.89% |
| Dec 3, 2025 (after close) | -$0.33 | -$0.25 | +24.24% | +2.07% | +5.40% |
| Sep 3, 2025 (after close) | -$0.21 | -$0.37 | -76.19% | -7.31% | -6.41% |
| May 28, 2025 (after close) | -$0.20 | -$0.16 | +20.00% | +20.76% | +14.07% |
| Feb 26, 2025 (after close) | -$0.25 | -$0.12 | +52.00% | -9.68% | -14.37% |
| Dec 9, 2024 (after close) | -$0.16 | -$0.06 | +62.50% | +0.12% | +3.02% |
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, AI has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on September 2, 2026, came in 23.08% above the estimate and the stock moved +3.61% in the first session.
AI Analysis
- Given the heavy insider selling and negative revenue growth, investors should exercise extreme caution with C3.ai, Inc. (AI) and consider the significant downside risk indicated by Wall Street's consensus.
- While technically above key moving averages, the lack of conviction in volume suggests that the current price action may not be sustainable. Monitor for a decisive break below the 50-day SMA.
Insiders have sold $178.4 million worth of shares against minimal purchases.
Source: Insider Trading DataC3.ai reported a 25.5% year-over-year revenue decline, which is a significant concern for a growth-oriented software company and contrasts sharply with sector averages.
Source: Company FinancialsA significant portion of Wall Street analysts maintain 'Hold' or 'Sell' ratings, with a median price target of $7.50, suggesting considerable downside risk from the current price.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsC3.ai beat EPS estimates in its most recent earnings report (September 2, 2026), which temporarily boosted the stock price, but this follows a pattern of misses and does not alter the overall loss-making status.
Source: Company Earnings ReportKey Statistics
| Market Cap | 1.88B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -3.08 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 19.60 |
| 52 Week Low | 7.68 |
As of October 15, 2026, AI trades at $11.89, with a market value of $1.88B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14-day) | 65.41 |
|---|---|
| MACD (12, 26) | 0.351 |
| SMA (50-day) | 10.65 |
| SMA (200-day) | 10.14 |
As of October 15, 2026, with AI at $11.89, its 14-day RSI is 65.4 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $10.65 and its 200-day is $10.14.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
As of October 15, 2026, AI's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.47 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.47 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.42 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.13 with gold (XAU).
How does any other asset move with AI? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
AI Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Perform |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Perform |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Perform |
| Sep 3, 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Underperform |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Hold |
As of October 15, 2026, 13 Wall Street analysts cover AI: 0 rate it a buy or strong buy, 7 a hold and 6 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $6.00 to $12.00, with a median of $7.50, 36.9% below the price of $11.89.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
AI Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from AI's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in AI in December 2020 would be worth about $1,262 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $22,740 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Compare with Another Ticker
AI Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 15, 2026, AI's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 6 years with dividends reinvested was -95.2% (December 2020 to March 2026); it is still 92.6% below that peak, and 31% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AI today could grow to about $3,446 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $26,142 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $454. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AI Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $7.76 for AI by 2030 in the base case, from $11.89 today (0.7x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $2.16. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $5.63 | $10.69 | $20.29 |
| 2028 | $3.88 | $9.61 | $23.78 |
| 2029 | $2.85 | $8.64 | $26.21 |
| 2030 | $2.16 | $7.76 | $27.97 |
| 2031 | $1.67 | $6.98 | $29.25 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of AI's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
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AI Insider Trading Analysis
As of October 15, 2026, AI insiders reported 56 open-market sales worth $178.4M and 2 open-market purchases worth $302K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | LATH HITESH
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 45.8K | - |
| Sep 16, 2026 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 444.2K | $4.8M |
| Sep 16, 2026 | LATH HITESH
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 21.1K | $220.9K |
| Sep 16, 2026 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 444.2K | $1.7M |
| Sep 15, 2026 | LATH HITESH
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 29.0K | - |
| Sep 14, 2026 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 22.8K | $240.6K |
| Sep 14, 2026 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 22.0K | - |
| Sep 11, 2026 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 44.8K | - |
| Sep 3, 2026 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 15.8K | - |
| Sep 2, 2026 | SIEBEL THOMAS M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 16.9K | $174.0K |