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As of September 27, 2026, Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) trades at $123.61. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $123.61, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $160.00 across 17 analysts. RSI at 33 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $129.06.
Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS)
Leidos Holdings, Inc. NYSE
$123.61
0.2600 (0.21%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) is trading at $123.61, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($129.06 and $148.90), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently by 12.03% for the quarter ending June 2026, yet this has not translated into sustained price appreciation. Insider activity shows a moderate sell signal, with $10.2 million in sales versus no reported purchases, indicating a degree of caution from management. Wall Street maintains a neutral consensus with a median price target of $160.00, suggesting a potential upside of 29.4% but reflecting a divided analyst outlook with a majority holding a 'Hold' rating.
LDOS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$122.84
Day Range
$122.27 to $124.96
Prev Close
$123.35
Volume
939.8K
52-Week Range
$98.86 to $205.77
Market Cap
$15.51B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-66%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
LDOS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, LDOS beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
LDOS Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+29.44% Upside
Median of 17 analysts (12-month)
$160.00
AI Technical Analysis
Leidos Holdings, Inc. is currently exhibiting bearish momentum, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($129.06 and $148.90) at $129.06 and $148.90 respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 33.14 further confirms this bearish sentiment, indicating weakening momentum. The MACD is also negative, suggesting downward pressure on the stock. The current price action indicates a downward trend over the past quarter. Volume on the latest trading day was 939,800, which is 33.3% below the average volume, suggesting subdued investor interest during this bearish phase.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; a continuation of the moderate sell signal could weigh on investor sentiment.
- The stock's current position below key moving averages suggests a cautious approach until a clear bullish technical reversal is confirmed.
- Given the neutral analyst consensus, look for specific catalysts such as major contract awards or positive earnings surprises that could shift analyst ratings.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Consistent EPS Beats
Leidos Holdings, Inc. has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently by 12.03% for the quarter ending June 2026. This demonstrates operational efficiency and potential for future earnings growth.
Source: Earnings ReportBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $10.2 million worth of stock with no reported purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal that may suggest a lack of immediate confidence from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsNeutral
Wall Street Neutral Consensus
The majority of Wall Street analysts rate Leidos Holdings, Inc. as 'Hold', reflecting a balanced view of its prospects and potential risks, with a median price target of $160.00.
Source: Analyst RatingsBullish
Attractive Valuation vs. Sector
Leidos Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 11.52 and P/S ratio of 0.88, significantly below sector medians, suggesting potential undervaluation.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Leidos Holdings, Inc. suggests a potential recovery towards its median analyst target price of $160.00 over the next 6-12 months, driven by its consistent EPS beats and attractive valuation relative to the sector. However, the current bearish technical trend and moderate insider selling present near-term challenges. Upside catalysts could include stronger-than-expected revenue growth or new contract wins, while downside risks involve persistent insider selling pressure or a broader market downturn impacting technology stocks.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 15.51B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.52 |
| EPS (TTM) | 10.71 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.39% |
| 52 Week High | 205.77 |
| 52 Week Low | 98.86 |
Leidos Holdings, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.52, which is significantly below the sector median of 34.0. Its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 0.88 is also below the sector average of 7.5. The company boasts a strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 27.78% and a healthy operating margin of 11.72%, although its profit margin of 7.80% is slightly below the sector median. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.23, matching the sector average. Despite attractive valuation metrics compared to peers, the moderate insider selling and neutral analyst consensus temper the bullish case for its fundamentals.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Leidos Holdings, Inc. has demonstrated a consistent ability to beat earnings per share (EPS) estimates, most recently surpassing expectations by 12.03% for the quarter ending June 2026 with an actual EPS of $3.26 against an estimate of $2.91. This positive earnings surprise trend has been observed across multiple quarters, though it has not consistently driven positive price action, with the stock experiencing a 2.87% decline following the latest earnings release. Revenue growth for the current quarter is projected at +6.00% year-over-year, with expectations for continued growth in the coming quarters.
Key Risks
A primary risk for Leidos Holdings, Inc. stems from insider selling, with a moderate sell signal indicated by $10.2 million in sales and no reported purchases, suggesting potential caution among management. The stock's current technical position below key moving averages and a bearish RSI also present near-term headwinds. Also, the neutral Wall Street consensus, with a significant portion of analysts rating the stock as 'Hold', indicates a lack of strong conviction from the analyst community.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 33.14 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -2.15 |
| SMA 50 | 129.06 |
| SMA 200 | 148.90 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $129.06, 200-day: $148.90), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.17
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.03
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with LDOS? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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LDOS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$122.37
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$123.61
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$118.34
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (33.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$126.05
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$128.49
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$132.16
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for LDOS is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LDOS in September 2016 would be worth about $28,318 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LDOS today could grow to about $23,860 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $74,562 and a bear case around $7,635. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LDOS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $175 for LDOS by 2030 in the base case, from $124 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $85.14. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LDOS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $94.05 | $135 | $193 |
| 2028 | $88.37 | $147 | $245 |
| 2029 | $85.96 | $160 | $299 |
| 2030 | $85.14 | $175 | $360 |
| 2031 | $85.31 | $191 | $427 |
| 2032 | $86.17 | $208 | $503 |
| 2033 | $87.58 | $227 | $589 |
| 2034 | $89.45 | $248 | $687 |
| 2035 | $91.73 | $270 | $797 |
| 2036 | $94.38 | $295 | $922 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LDOS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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LDOS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$10.2M
13 Transactions
Insiders
21
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$788.1K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | KRONE ROGER A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 50.8K | $5.4M |
| Mar 6, 2020 | SCHOLL JONATHAN W
Officer
|
Sell | 30.6K | $3.1M |
| Nov 8, 2022 | KRONE ROGER A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.2K | $2.7M |
| Nov 15, 2022 | KRONE ROGER A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 24.8K | $2.6M |
| Aug 20, 2025 | HULL STEPHEN EDWARD
Officer
|
Sell | 12.9K | $2.3M |
| Sep 4, 2025 | HULL STEPHEN EDWARD
Officer
|
Sell | 12.5K | $2.2M |
| Nov 30, 2022 | KRONE ROGER A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 13.4K | $1.4M |
| Nov 23, 2022 | KRONE ROGER A
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 13.2K | $1.4M |
| Aug 11, 2026 | GEER NOEL BROWN
Director
|
Sell | 10.0K | $1.4M |
| Aug 8, 2025 | HULL STEPHEN EDWARD
Officer
|
Sell | 7.5K | $1.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Leidos Holdings, Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Leidos Holdings, Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $175.03 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $85.14, while the upside projection reaches $359.82. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees.
Is Leidos Holdings, Inc. stock a buy right now?
Leidos Holdings, Inc. currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts and exhibits bearish technical momentum, trading below its key moving averages. While the stock offers potential upside to its median analyst target price of $160.00, insider selling and a neutral analyst outlook suggest caution.
What is the current technical outlook for Leidos Holdings, Inc. stock?
The technical outlook for Leidos Holdings, Inc. is bearish, with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($129.06 and $148.90) and a RSI at 33.1 indicating weakening momentum. The MACD also suggests downward pressure.
How has Leidos Holdings, Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
Leidos Holdings, Inc. has consistently beaten EPS estimates, most recently by 12.03% for the quarter ending June 2026. However, this has not always translated into positive price performance, with a recent 2.87% stock decline following the latest earnings release.
What are the main risks facing Leidos Holdings, Inc.?
Key risks include moderate insider selling totaling $10.2 million, a bearish technical trend indicated by its position below moving averages and a low RSI, and a neutral Wall Street consensus with a majority of analysts rating the stock as 'Hold'.
How does Leidos Holdings, Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Leidos Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 11.52 and a P/S ratio of 0.88, significantly below the Technology sector medians of 34.0 and 7.5 respectively. Its ROE of 27.78% is strong compared to the sector median of 13.4%, while its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.23 matches the sector average.
What is the institutional and insider sentiment towards Leidos Holdings, Inc. stock?
Insider sentiment is currently leaning bearish, with a moderate sell signal indicating $10.2 million in sales and no reported purchases. Wall Street analysts maintain a neutral stance, with 10 out of 17 analysts rating the stock as 'Hold'.