Jump to any asset
849 assets, updated daily
As of September 27, 2026, NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) trades at $238.08. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $238.08, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $310.00 across 30 analysts. RSI at 57 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $236.04.
NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)
NXP Semiconductors N.V. NASDAQ
$238.08
7.920 (3.44%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
55 / 100
NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is currently trading at $238.08, slightly below its 200-day moving average of $245.49, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish technical stance. The company's recent earnings for the quarter to June 2026 missed estimates by 150%, resulting in a 0.59% price increase, and the prior quarter also saw a surprise miss. This performance contrasts with a generally positive Wall Street consensus of 'Buy' with a median price target of $310, suggesting an upside of 30.2%. The technology sector, specifically semiconductors, is experiencing strong revenue growth, with NXP's own revenue growth at 19.5% against a sector median of 24.1%. However, moderate insider selling, with total sales exceeding purchases by over $14 million, warrants caution. Despite the recent earnings challenges, NXP Semiconductors operates within a strong semiconductor market with projected revenue growth of 16.00% for the current year. The company's fundamental metrics show a strong profit margin of 22.56% and a return on equity of 27.92%, both exceeding sector averages. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 4.55 is below the sector median of 7.5, and its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93 is slightly above the sector average. The company's fair value is assessed at $238.08, offering no immediate upside based on current price.
NXPI Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$231.20
Day Range
$230.22 to $239.24
Prev Close
$230.16
Volume
2.93M
52-Week Range
$183.00 to $339.95
Market Cap
$60.04B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-40%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
NXPI Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 1 quarters, NXPI beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
NXPI Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+30.21% Upside
Median of 30 analysts (12-month)
$310.00
AI Technical Analysis
NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is currently trading at $238.08, below its 200-day simple moving average of $245.49, suggesting a bearish trend. The stock is trading above its 50-day SMA ($236.04) and 20-day EMA ($230.54), indicating some short-term support. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 56.95, signaling neutral momentum, while the MACD is slightly negative at -0.26, hinting at weakening upward momentum. The nearest support level is the 50-day SMA at $236.04, with resistance potentially forming around the 200-day SMA at $245.49. Volume has been below its average over the latest trading period, with current volume at 2.93 million compared to an average of 3.95 million, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from traders. The overall chart structure indicates a stock consolidating below key longer-term moving averages, with potential for further downside if support at the 50-day SMA fails.
ProTips
- Monitor NXP Semiconductors' (NXPI) ability to meet earnings expectations in upcoming quarters, as recent misses have tempered the stock's momentum.
- The stock is trading below its 200-day SMA, suggesting caution for short-term traders until it can reclaim this key resistance level.
- Given the moderate insider selling, investors should pay close attention to any further transactions from management as an indicator of future performance.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
30 Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus for NXPI with a median price target of $310, indicating significant upside potential from the current price.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBullish
Strong Sector Revenue Growth
The semiconductor sector is experiencing strong revenue growth, with NXP's own growth at 19.5% and the sector median at 24.1%, suggesting favorable industry tailwinds.
Source: Sector DataBearish
Recent Earnings Misses
NXP Semiconductors missed earnings estimates for the last two reported quarters, including a significant 150% miss in the quarter to June 2026, raising concerns about profitability.
Source: Earnings ReportsBearish
Moderate Insider Selling
Insiders have sold over $14.8 million in stock while purchasing only $50.7 thousand, signaling a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potentially a lack of confidence.
Source: Insider TransactionsMarket Outlook
Over the next 6 to 12 months, NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is expected to navigate a dynamic semiconductor market. Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $310, implying a 30.2% upside from the current price of $238.08. The company's strong fundamental performance, including high profit margins and return on equity, coupled with a below-sector-average P/E and P/S ratio, provides a solid foundation. Projected revenue growth for the current year stands at 16.00%, aligning with strong industry trends. However, potential headwinds include the recent pattern of earnings misses, which could indicate increased competitive pressures or execution challenges. The moderate insider selling also warrants attention. Upside catalysts could include a return to earnings beats, successful new product launches, or broader market rallies in the semiconductor sector. Conversely, persistent earnings disappointments or a significant downturn in semiconductor demand could pressure the stock towards its support levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 60.04B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.33 |
| EPS (TTM) | 11.71 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.70% |
| 52 Week High | 339.95 |
| 52 Week Low | 183.00 |
NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) presents a mixed valuation picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 20.33, which is below the sector median of 34. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 4.55, significantly lower than the sector median of 7.5, suggesting it may be undervalued on a sales basis. The company boasts a strong profit margin of 22.56% and an operating margin of 30.41%, both well above sector averages, and a return on equity of 27.92% also surpasses the sector's 13.4%. Despite these strong profitability metrics, the company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.93, slightly higher than the sector median. The current fair value is assessed at $238.08, matching the current stock price, indicating no immediate upside from a valuation perspective. While NXP demonstrates strong operational efficiency and profitability, its current valuation does not offer a compelling discount relative to its intrinsic value.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) experienced a significant earnings miss in the quarter to June 2026, reporting an EPS of -$0.02 against an estimate of $0.04, a surprise of -150%. This followed a miss in the previous quarter to March 2026, where actual EPS was $0.07 against an estimate of $0.05. While the stock saw a modest price increase of 0.59% after the most recent miss, the pattern of negative surprises raises concerns about near-term earnings performance.
Key Risks
NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) faces moderate selling pressure from insiders, with total sales significantly outweighing purchases, indicating a potential lack of management confidence. The stock is also trading below its 200-day moving average, suggesting a bearish technical trend. Also, the company recently reported earnings misses, which could signal underlying operational challenges or increased competitive pressures within the semiconductor industry.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 56.95 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.26 |
| SMA 50 | 236.04 |
| SMA 200 | 245.49 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $236.04, 200-day: $245.49), price sits above the 50-day SMA but below the 200-day SMA - a mixed posture.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.63
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.65
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.25
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with NXPI? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
NXPI Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$235.70
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$238.08
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$221.84
MAX LOSS
-5.9%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (57.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$242.77
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$247.48
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$254.56
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for NXPI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in NXPI in September 2016 would be worth about $28,883 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NXPI today could grow to about $24,089 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $126,174 and a bear case around $4,599. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
NXPI Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $338 for NXPI by 2030 in the base case, from $238 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $119. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NXPI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $154 | $260 | $439 |
| 2028 | $135 | $284 | $595 |
| 2029 | $125 | $310 | $768 |
| 2030 | $119 | $338 | $964 |
| 2031 | $115 | $370 | $1,192 |
| 2032 | $112 | $403 | $1,455 |
| 2033 | $110 | $441 | $1,761 |
| 2034 | $109 | $481 | $2,115 |
| 2035 | $109 | $525 | $2,527 |
| 2036 | $109 | $574 | $3,004 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NXPI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
NXPI Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$50.7K
1 Transactions
Sold
$14.8M
16 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$874.9K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2021 | KELLY PETER
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 142.3K | $32.0M |
| Feb 11, 2021 | SIEVERS KURT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 35.9K | $6.9M |
| Mar 18, 2021 | REED DAVID W
Officer
|
Sell | 31.8K | $6.5M |
| Aug 27, 2021 | SIEVERS KURT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.9K | $5.8M |
| Feb 27, 2024 | SIEVERS KURT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 22.0K | $5.5M |
| May 24, 2021 | KELLY PETER
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 24.2K | $5.0M |
| Aug 1, 2023 | SIEVERS KURT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 20.9K | $4.7M |
| Nov 12, 2019 | SHULL KEITH MITCHELL
Officer
|
Sell | 25.5K | $3.0M |
| Mar 15, 2021 | KAESER JOSEF
Director
|
Sell | 15.0K | $3.0M |
| Jan 2, 2026 | WUAMETT JENNIFER B.
General Counsel
|
Sell | 12.4K | $2.7M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is NXP Semiconductors' (NXPI) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) has a projected base case price of $338.42 for 2030, with a downside projection of $118.75 and an upside projection of $964.45. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) stock a buy right now?
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) is currently rated 'Hold' with a consensus score of 55. While Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $310, the stock is trading below its 200-day moving average and has experienced recent earnings misses, alongside moderate insider selling.
What are the key technical levels for NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)?
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) finds immediate support at its 50-day SMA of $236.04 and faces resistance around its 200-day SMA of $245.49. The stock is currently trading at $238.08, indicating it is consolidating below longer-term averages.
How does NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) compare to its sector averages?
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) shows a P/E ratio of 20.33, below the sector median of 34, and a price-to-sales ratio of 4.55, well below the sector median of 7.5. Its profit margin (22.56%) and ROE (27.92%) exceed sector averages, but its debt-to-equity (0.93) is slightly higher.
What is the recent earnings performance of NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)?
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) recently reported an EPS miss of 150% for the quarter ending June 2026, with actual EPS at -$0.02 against an estimate of $0.04. The prior quarter also saw an earnings miss.
Are NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) insiders buying or selling?
Insiders at NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) are net sellers, with total sales of $14.8 million significantly exceeding total purchases of $50.7 thousand. This 'Moderate Sell Signal' suggests a cautious sentiment among management.
What is the outlook for NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) in the next 12 months?
The outlook for NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) is cautiously optimistic, supported by strong sector growth and positive analyst sentiment, with a median price target of $310. However, recent earnings misses and insider selling present near-term risks that could temper performance.