As of September 26, 2026, ASML Holding N.V. NY Registered Shares (ASML) trades at $1,743.94. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $2,194.90, 25.9% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $2,194.90 across 42 analysts. RSI at 53 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $1,717.57.
ASML Holding N.V. NY Registered Shares (ASML)
ASML Holding N.V. NY Registered Shares NASDAQ
ASML Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
ASML Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
ASML Analysis
- Monitor geopolitical developments closely, as trade policies and international relations significantly impact ASML's global operations and customer base.
- Given ASML's premium valuation, consider position sizing carefully and look for pullbacks to add to positions, as the stock is sensitive to market sentiment shifts.
- ASML's indispensable role in producing advanced chips for AI and high-performance computing suggests a long-term secular growth trend, making it a strategic holding for technology-focused portfolios.
ASML reported EPS of $7.58 for the quarter to June 2026, exceeding estimates by 9.06% and driving a 2.23% stock price increase, indicating strong operational execution.
Source: Company Earnings ReportAnalysts project current quarter revenue to reach $11.7 billion, a 55.00% year-over-year increase, signaling strong demand for ASML's lithography systems.
Source: Analyst EstimatesASML's exclusive supply of Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines is critical for advanced chip manufacturing, ensuring sustained demand from leading foundries like TSMC and Intel.
Source: Industry AnalysisRecent analyst actions, such as Barclays upgrading to Overweight on January 29, 2026, and multiple firms maintaining Buy/Overweight ratings, reflect positive sentiment and confidence in future performance.
Source: Analyst RatingsPotential export controls or trade disputes, particularly between major semiconductor producing nations, could limit ASML's market access and impact future sales.
Source: Geopolitical AnalysisKey Statistics
| Market Cap | 669.85B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 59.17 |
| EPS (TTM) | 29.11 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.52% |
| 52 Week High | 1,999.96 |
| 52 Week Low | 833.92 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 53.02 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.66 |
| SMA 50 | 1,717.57 |
| SMA 200 | 1,524.93 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with ASML? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
ASML Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ASML in September 2016 would be worth about $160,333 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ASML today could grow to about $44,746 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $220,991 and a bear case around $9,060. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ASML Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3,176 for ASML by 2030 in the base case, from $1,744 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $1,157. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ASML's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $1,223 | $2,026 | $3,357 |
| 2028 | $1,152 | $2,353 | $4,807 |
| 2029 | $1,140 | $2,734 | $6,556 |
| 2030 | $1,157 | $3,176 | $8,720 |
| 2031 | $1,192 | $3,689 | $11,412 |
| 2032 | $1,244 | $4,285 | $14,766 |
| 2033 | $1,308 | $4,978 | $18,940 |
| 2034 | $1,386 | $5,783 | $24,128 |
| 2035 | $1,476 | $6,718 | $30,566 |
| 2036 | $1,580 | $7,803 | $38,539 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ASML's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. ASML is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.