Stock·NASDAQ·Technology
ASML Holding N.V. NY Registered Shares (ASML)
- Market cap
- $630.51B
- P/E
- 40.39
- Dividend yield
- 0.55%
- Street target
- $2,186.31median of 42 analysts
- 52-week range
- $946.11 $1,999.96
The short version
Where ASML stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
ASML at a glance
ASML Holding N.V. NY Registered Shares (ASML): Buy, 65/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($1,577.22 and $1,739.63).
- Earnings ASML beat estimates in 5 of its last 5 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
- Valuation P/E of 40.4 against 35.1 for the Technology sector: broadly in line with peers (+15%).
Figures as of October 18, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
ASML Holding N.V. NY Registered Shares (ASML) earns a Buy from CleaRank with a model score of 65/100.
The analysts' outlook pushes the score up the most: 37 of 42 analysts rate the stock a buy, and the median target is 33.2% above the price. Momentum pulls hardest in the other direction, with the 14-day RSI at 37.7, in the bearish zone, and a negative MACD line. The trend is mixed, with the price 5.64% below its 50-day average of $1,739.63 yet 4.08% above its 200-day average of $1,577.22. Across the past year, the price climbed 61.00%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ASML's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $1,641.52 is 5.6% below the 50-day simple moving average of $1,739.63.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 4.1% above the 200-day simple moving average of $1,577.22.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($1,739.63) is 10.3% above the 200-day average ($1,577.22), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 66% of its 52-week range, between $946.11 and $1,999.96.
ASML share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far ASML has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where ASML sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 40.39 is 15.1% above the Technology median of 35.1.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 15.97 is 110.2% above the sector median of 7.6.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $15.2B on revenue of $44.4B, a net margin of 34.1%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
ASML beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 5 reports.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 0.55%, or $9.09 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for ASML.
As of October 18, 2026, ASML trades at $1,641.52, with a market value of $630.51B, a P/E ratio of 40.39 and a dividend yield of 0.55%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of ASML's valuation, growth and risks.
ASML Holding N.V. NY Registered Shares (ASML) trades at 40.39 times trailing earnings, a multiple that is 15.1% above the Technology sector median of 35.1. The peer comparison on this page calls that P/E broadly in line with peers. Measured against sales, the P/S of 15.97 is 110.1% above the sector median P/S of 7.6. In terms of size, ASML has a market value of $630.5B.
In the latest year revenue grew 55.20%, 31.0 percentage points faster than the sector median of 24.2%. ASML turns sales into profit at a net margin of 34.14% and an operating margin of 44.36%, alongside a return on equity of 65.64%, above the sector median of 13.4%. Debt-to-equity of 0.09 and a trailing dividend yield of 0.55% ($9.09 a share a year) round out the fundamentals.
ASML's October 14, 2026 report topped forecasts by 9.85%, with $11.82 per share reported against an estimate of $10.76. Investors responded positively, and the stock climbed 0.45% in the next session.
ASML has beaten the EPS estimate in all 5 of its recent reports, but beats have not guaranteed gains: the stock fell the next day after 2 of them. The April 15, 2026 report stands out among the earlier ones: a beat of 8.01%, after which the stock fell 4.79%. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $38.35, which would be growth of 55.2%, and $51.92 for next year (growth of 35.4%).
ASML's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 2.31%. The price sits 17.92% under its 52-week high of $1,999.96.
ASML against the Technology sector
How ASML compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (15% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
Return vs XLK: Since May 6, 2025, ASML has gained 141.4% against a gain of 71.7% for XLK.
Performance against XLK
ASML and the Technology sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much ASML sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 3.3% in FY2025 to €32.7B, from €33.8B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 29.4% in FY2025, up from 26.8% the year before.
Profitable: ASML earned €9.6B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did ASML beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: ASML beat the analyst estimate in 5 of the last 5 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 5 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026after close | $10.76 | $11.82 | +9.85% | +0.45% | - |
| Jul 14, 2026after close | $6.95 | $7.58 | +9.06% | +2.23% | +1.46% |
| Apr 15, 2026after close | $6.62 | $7.15 | +8.01% | -4.79% | -2.57% |
| Oct 15, 2025after close | $5.37 | $5.49 | +2.23% | +0.97% | +0.17% |
| Jul 16, 2025after close | $5.25 | $5.90 | +12.38% | -1.26% | -4.97% |
As of October 18, 2026, ASML has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 5 of its last 5 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on October 14, 2026, came in 9.85% above the estimate and the stock moved +0.45% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 37.7, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 37.7 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of ASML
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
ASML Holding N.V. NY Registered Shares (ASML) is trading between its two moving averages. The price of $1,641.52 is 4.08% above the 200-day average of $1,577.22, yet 5.64% below the 50-day average of $1,739.63. Within the 52-week range, which runs from $946.11 to $1,999.96, the price stands at 66% of the way up.
Momentum points down for now: the 14-day RSI sits at 37.7, inside the bearish zone without reaching oversold territory, and the MACD line is negative. The picture depends on the time frame. Over the past month the price climbed 2.45%, but across the past three months it slid 6.07%. Looking back a full year, the price gained 61.00%.
Earnings beat ›
The October 14, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 9.85%, and the share price rose 0.45% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, October 14, 2026
Rating reaffirmed ›
JP Morgan kept its Overweight rating on July 16, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, July 16, 2026
- The two closest levels to keep an eye on are the 20-day EMA, at $1,734.73 overhead, and the 200-day SMA, at $1,577.22 underneath.
- The 14-day RSI reads 37.7, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- After the October 14, 2026 report the share price rose 0.45% in the first session; ASML beat estimates in 5 of the last 5 reports.
The trend is mixed: ASML is above its 200-day average at $1,577.22 but below its 50-day average at $1,739.63. A close above the 50-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 200-day would turn both down. In the meantime the price sits between the 200-day SMA ($1,577.22) underneath and the 20-day EMA ($1,734.73) overhead.
The RSI sits in the bearish band, which leans against a quick recovery.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for ASML, from its daily closes.
As of October 18, 2026, with ASML at $1,641.52, its 14-day RSI is 37.7 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $1,739.63 and its 200-day is $1,577.22.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 18, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What ASML moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 18, 2026, ASML's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.59 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.68 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.22 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.16 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
37 of 42 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $2,186.31 is 33.2% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
37 of 42 rate it a buy now, against 40 of 44 three months ago.
ASML Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight |
| Jul 16, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform |
| Jul 14, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform |
| Jun 22, 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 18, 2026, 42 Wall Street analysts cover ASML: 37 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $863.34 to $2,887.68, with a median of $2,186.31, 33.2% above the price of $1,641.52.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
ASML trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from ASML's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much ASML tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
ASML's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.31% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 54.6%, from September 2021 to October 2022, regained by January 2024.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
75% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $176,018, against $41,793 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
ASML Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 18, 2026, ASML's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -54.6% (September 2021 to October 2022); it regained that peak by January 2024, 15 months after the low, and 75% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into ASML in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: ASML beat the S&P 500 over this period: $176,018 against $41,793.
A $10,000 investment in ASML in October 2016 would be worth about $176,018 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $41,793 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to ASML, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +10.29%, up in 7 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -1.53%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +3.81%, up in 7 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, ASML's strongest calendar month has been January (average +10.29%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -1.53%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in ASML, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ASML today could grow to about $29,551 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $146,205 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,973. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.55% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ASML Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $2,532 for ASML by 2030 in the base case, from $1,642 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $921. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ASML's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $1,103 | $1,829 | $3,033 | |
| 2028 | $997 | $2,039 | $4,168 | |
| 2029 | $946 | $2,272 | $5,454 | |
| 2030 | $921 | $2,532 | $6,961 | |
| 2031 | $911 | $2,822 | $8,741 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of ASML's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 18, 2026.