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01

The short version

Where AUD/USD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

AUD/USD at a glance

Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD): Sell, 26/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($0.7064 and $0.7068).
  • Volatility Daily moves average 0.33% (30-day standard deviation).

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD) receives a Sell rating from CleaRank, with a model score of 26/100.

The biggest contributor to that score is one-year performance, as the price rose 6.83% over the past year. The trend weighs on it most: the price trades 1.72% below the 200-day average and 1.67% below the 50-day, while the 50-day sits 0.06% under the 200-day. Those averages are $0.7064 for the 50-day and $0.7068 for the 200-day.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from AUD/USD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

1/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $0.6947 is 1.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $0.7064.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 1.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $0.7068.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($0.7064) is 0.1% below the 200-day average ($0.7068), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 61% of its 52-week range, between $0.6421 and $0.728.

AUD/USD share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far AUD/USD has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $0.6502 Oct 17, 2025
Latest close $0.6947 Oct 17, 2026
High $0.7258 May 13, 2026
Low $0.6455 Nov 20, 2025

Today's trading

Where AUD/USD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 0.18% wide
$0.6947
$0.6942 $0.6955
52-week range 61% of the way up
$0.6947
$0.6421 $0.7280
Open
$0.6945
Previous close
$0.6946
03

Key levels

The figures the trade plan is built on.

Key levels

The averages and the year's range that AUD/USD's trade plan is built on.

Price
$0.6947
50-day average
$0.7064
price -1.67%
200-day average
$0.7068
price -1.72%
14-day RSI
39.9
sellers ahead
52w low $0.6421 200-day $0.7068 50-day $0.7064 Price $0.6947 52w high $0.7280

Short-term trend: AUD/USD is below its 50-day average of $0.7064.

Long-term trend: It is below its 200-day average of $0.7068.

52-week range: $0.6421 to $0.7280; the price sits 61% of the way up.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of AUD/USD's drivers and risks.

The big picture

AUD/USD gained 6.83% across the last twelve months, with its price moving between $0.6421 and $0.7280 during that stretch.

Day to day, the price moves 0.33% on average (the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns). As a currency pair, AUD/USD reflects the relative value of two currencies, so it responds to anything that changes demand for one against the other, such as interest rate expectations, trade flows and risk appetite.

Key risks

The downtrend carries risk for as long as the price remains under both moving averages. Daily returns on AUD/USD have a 30-day standard deviation of 0.33%.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 39.9, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 39.9 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of AUD/USD

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
26/100
Sell
What the AI sees

At $0.6947, Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD) sits beneath both of its principal moving averages, 1.67% below the 50-day average of $0.7064 and 1.72% below the 200-day average of $0.7068. Across its 52-week range, which runs from $0.6421 up to $0.7280, the price stands at 61%.

The recent pullback sits within a longer record that is still firmer. Over the past month the price fell 2.30%, and over the past three months it fell 0.50%, yet across the past year it rose 6.83%. Momentum is soft: the 14-day RSI stands at 39.9, inside the bearish zone without reaching oversold territory, and the MACD line is negative.

ProTips
  1. The two levels closest to the price are the 20-day EMA at $0.6977, sitting above it, and the 52-week low at $0.6421, sitting below it.
  2. With the 14-day RSI at 39.9, momentum falls in the bearish zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings beyond 70 or under 30 signal stretched momentum.
Market outlook

The downtrend holds for as long as AUD/USD trades below both its 50-day average of $0.7064 and its 200-day average of $0.7068. A close back above the 50-day would mark the first sign of a repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $0.6977 is the first obstacle a rally would face.

Should the price fall further, the 52-week low at $0.6421 is the next level it would reach. The RSI is in the bearish band, a reading that argues against a rapid rebound.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for AUD/USD, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Neutral
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
39.914-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.00282 Bearish
Trend No clear cross
-1.7%price against the 50-day average
200-day $0.7068 50-day $0.7064 Price $0.6947
Price against the 200-day -1.7% Bearish

As of October 17, 2026, with AUD/USD at $0.6947, its 14-day RSI is 39.9 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $0.7064 and its 200-day is $0.7068.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What AUD/USD moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.50 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.48 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.34 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.46 Moderate

As of October 17, 2026, AUD/USD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.50 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.48 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.34 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.46 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

AUD/USD trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$0.7086
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$0.6947
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$0.7298
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (39.9) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$0.6731
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$0.6377
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$0.6023
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

With leverage, losses on AUD/USD can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much AUD/USD tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
0.33%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$0.6947
$0.6421 61% of the way up $0.7280

Compare AUD/USD

Put AUD/USD side by side with other forex pairs and benchmarks.

06

The long record

AUD/USD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

1/2
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 0.33% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $9,104.47, against $35,938 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into AUD/USD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

AUD/USD today
$9,104.47
from $10,000 in October 2016
S&P 500 today
$35,938
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$26,833
0.3x the index result
Total change
-9%
0.9x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
AUD/USD S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: AUD/USD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $9,104.47 against $35,938.

A $10,000 investment in AUD/USD in October 2016 would be worth about $9,104 today, compared with about $35,938 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to AUD/USD, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb5/10 upMar2/10 upApr5/10 upMay6/10 upJun5/10 upJul6/10 upAug3/10 upSep2/10 upOct4/9 upNov4/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, January: an average of +1.49%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -1.51%, up in 2 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged -0.78%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, AUD/USD's strongest calendar month has been January (average +1.49%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -1.51%, up in 2 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in AUD/USD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$6,848
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$10,000
median path
Upside, 2036
$14,602
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AUD/USD today could grow to about $10,000 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $14,602 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,848. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

AUD/USD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$0.6947
Base case, 2030
$0.6947
1.0x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$0.5467 to $0.8826
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $0.6947 for AUD/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $0.6947 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $0.5467. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AUD/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets.

AUD/USD simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $0.6163 $0.6947 $0.783
2028 $0.5865 $0.6947 $0.8228
2029 $0.5646 $0.6947 $0.8547
2030 $0.5467 $0.6947 $0.8826
2031 $0.5315 $0.6947 $0.9079

Method: a lognormal simulation of AUD/USD's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates AUD/USD Sell, on a model score of 26/100. Most of the lift comes from one-year performance, as the price rose 6.83% over the past year. The biggest drag is the trend: the price is 1.72% below its 200-day average and 1.67% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.06% below the 200-day. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price rose 6.83%. Over shorter periods it fell 0.50% in three months and fell 2.30% in the past month. It now trades 4.58% below its 52-week high of $0.7280.
What are the key price levels for AUD/USD?
Overhead, the nearest levels are the 20-day EMA at $0.6977 and the 50-day SMA at $0.7064. The level beneath the price is the 52-week low at $0.6421.
How volatile is AUD/USD?
On an average day, AUD/USD's price swings 0.33%, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of AUD/USD?
Over the last 52 weeks, AUD/USD has moved between $0.6421 and $0.7280. Trading at $0.6947, it is at 61% of that band, 8.18% above the bottom and 4.58% under the top.
Is AUD/USD in an uptrend?
No. Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD) trades at $0.6947, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($0.7064 and $0.7068). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 39.9, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What are AUD/USD's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, January has been AUD/USD's strongest month on average (+1.49%, rising in 7 of 10 years) and March its weakest (-1.51%, rising in 2 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does AUD/USD move with the stock market?
Over the past year AUD/USD's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.50). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.48; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.34; Gold (XAU): +0.46. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in AUD/USD be worth today?
$10,000 put into AUD/USD in October 2016 would be worth about $9,104 today, against about $35,938 for the same amount in the S&P 500.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for AUD/USD in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from AUD/USD's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $0.6947, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $0.5467 and $0.8826. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, commodity trading advisor (CTA), or financial regulatory body. The commodity and forex analysis presented for AUD/USD is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an offer to trade any commodity, currency, or derivative instrument. Commodity and forex trading involves substantial risk of loss, potentially exceeding your initial deposit due to leverage. Prices are influenced by geopolitical events, central bank policy, supply chain disruptions, and macroeconomic factors that can cause rapid, unpredictable price movements. All analysis is AI-generated based on historical price data and technical indicators which may not predict future market conditions. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed. You should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Consult a qualified financial advisor or commodity trading advisor before trading. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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