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01

The short version

Where USD/MXN stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

USD/MXN at a glance

US Dollar / Mexican Peso (USD/MXN): Strong Buy, 85/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (MXN 17.61 and MXN 17.41).
  • Volatility Daily moves average 0.63% (30-day standard deviation).

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

USD/MXN carries a CleaRank rating of Strong Buy and a model score of 85/100.

Trend is the largest contributor: the price sits 6.23% above its 200-day average and 5.00% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 1.17% above the 200-day. Those averages are MXN 17.6118 for the 50-day and MXN 17.4088 for the 200-day.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from USD/MXN's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

4/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of MXN 18.49 is 5.0% above the 50-day simple moving average of MXN 17.61.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 6.2% above the 200-day simple moving average of MXN 17.41.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average (MXN 17.61) is 1.2% above the 200-day average (MXN 17.41), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 85% of its 52-week range, between MXN 16.85 and MXN 18.77.

USD/MXN share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far USD/MXN has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start MXN 18.3841 Oct 17, 2025
Latest close MXN 18.4930 Oct 17, 2026
High MXN 18.6534 Nov 4, 2025
Low MXN 16.8866 Sep 4, 2026

Today's trading

Where USD/MXN sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 0.23% wide
MXN 18.4930
MXN 18.4701 MXN 18.5132
52-week range 85% of the way up
MXN 18.4930
MXN 16.8503 MXN 18.7730
Open
MXN 18.5049
Previous close
MXN 18.5038
03

Key levels

The figures the trade plan is built on.

Key levels

The averages and the year's range that USD/MXN's trade plan is built on.

Price
MXN 18.4930
50-day average
MXN 17.6118
price +5.00%
200-day average
MXN 17.4088
price +6.23%
14-day RSI
69.2
buyers ahead
52w low MXN 16.8503 200-day MXN 17.4088 50-day MXN 17.6118 Price MXN 18.4930 52w high MXN 18.7730

Short-term trend: USD/MXN is above its 50-day average of MXN 17.6118.

Long-term trend: It is above its 200-day average of MXN 17.4088.

52-week range: MXN 16.8503 to MXN 18.7730; the price sits 85% of the way up.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of USD/MXN's drivers and risks.

The big picture

US Dollar / Mexican Peso (USD/MXN) gained 0.59% over the past year, with prices moving between MXN 16.8503 and MXN 18.7730.

The average daily move runs at 0.63%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. Because USD/MXN compares two currencies, it moves with anything that shifts demand for one against the other. Interest rate expectations, trade flows and changes in risk appetite all feed into that balance.

Key risks

On a typical day the price of USD/MXN shifts by 0.63%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

3/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 69.2, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 69.2 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of USD/MXN

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
85/100
Strong Buy
What the AI sees

USD/MXN's trend is up. The price of MXN 18.4930 sits 6.23% above its 200-day average of MXN 17.4088 and 5.00% above its 50-day average of MXN 17.6118. Near the top of its 52-week range, the price is 1.49% below the high of MXN 18.7730 and 9.75% above the low of MXN 16.8503. The 50-day average is 1.17% above the 200-day, so the two averages also point to an uptrend.

The 14-day RSI of 69.2 is in the bullish zone, below the overbought line, and the MACD line is positive. The record is positive across every period shown: the price rose 5.38% over the past three months, rose 6.82% over the past six months and rose 0.59% over the past year.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 52-week high of MXN 18.7730 sits above the price, while the 20-day EMA of MXN 18.2066 sits below it.
  2. With the 14-day RSI at 69.2, momentum reads as bullish and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
Market outlook

The uptrend rests on USD/MXN staying above its 50-day average at MXN 17.6118 and its 200-day average at MXN 17.4088; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 20-day EMA at MXN 18.2066.

Overhead, the next level is the 52-week high of MXN 18.7730. The RSI sits in the bullish zone, so momentum still supports the move.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for USD/MXN, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bullish 4 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bullish
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Bullish
69.214-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 0.24 Bullish
Trend Golden cross
+5.0%price against the 50-day average
200-day MXN 17.41 50-day MXN 17.61 Price MXN 18.49
Price against the 200-day +6.2% Bullish

As of October 17, 2026, with USD/MXN at MXN 18.49, its 14-day RSI is 69.2 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is MXN 17.61 and its 200-day is MXN 17.41.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What USD/MXN moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) -0.46 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) -0.44 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) -0.28 Weak
Gold (XAU) -0.32 Weak

As of October 17, 2026, USD/MXN's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.46 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.44 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.28 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.32 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

USD/MXN trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
MXN
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
MXN 18.12
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
MXN 18.49
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
MXN 17.58
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (69.2) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
MXN 19.03
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
MXN 19.94
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
MXN 20.84
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

With leverage, losses on USD/MXN can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much USD/MXN tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
0.63%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
MXN 18.49
MXN 16.85 85% of the way up MXN 18.77

Compare USD/MXN

Put USD/MXN side by side with other forex pairs and benchmarks.

06

The long record

USD/MXN's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

1/2
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 0.63% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $9,813.74, against $35,938 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into USD/MXN in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

USD/MXN today
$9,813.74
from $10,000 in October 2016
S&P 500 today
$35,938
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$26,124
0.3x the index result
Total change
-2%
1.0x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
USD/MXN S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: USD/MXN trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $9,813.74 against $35,938.

A $10,000 investment in USD/MXN in October 2016 would be worth about $9,814 today, compared with about $35,938 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to USD/MXN, and which have not.

Jan4/10 upFeb4/10 upMar2/10 upApr5/10 upMay3/10 upJun6/10 upJul4/10 upAug6/10 upSep6/10 upOct6/9 upNov5/10 upDec3/10 up

Strongest month, March: an average of +1.48%, up in 2 of 10 years.

Weakest month, May: an average of -1.42%, up in 3 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +0.93%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, USD/MXN's strongest calendar month has been March (average +1.48%, up in 2 of 10 years) and its weakest May (average -1.42%, up in 3 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in USD/MXN, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$6,179
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$10,000
median path
Upside, 2036
$16,184
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in USD/MXN today could grow to about $10,000 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $16,184 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,179. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

USD/MXN 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
MXN 18.49
Base case, 2030
MXN 18.49
1.0x over 4 years
Range, 2030
MXN 13.64 to MXN 25.07
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near MXN 18.49 for USD/MXN by 2030 in the base case, from MXN 18.49 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near MXN 13.64. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on USD/MXN's historical return distribution, not price targets.

USD/MXN simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 MXN 15.88 MXN 18.49 MXN 21.53
2028 MXN 14.91 MXN 18.49 MXN 22.94
2029 MXN 14.21 MXN 18.49 MXN 24.07
2030 MXN 13.64 MXN 18.49 MXN 25.07
2031 MXN 13.16 MXN 18.49 MXN 25.99

Method: a lognormal simulation of USD/MXN's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is US Dollar / Mexican Peso (USD/MXN) a buy right now?
CleaRank's model scores USD/MXN 85/100, a Strong Buy rating. The trend does the most to lift the score, since the price is 6.23% above its 200-day average and 5.00% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 1.17% above the 200-day. Every factor in the model is neutral or positive. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has US Dollar / Mexican Peso (USD/MXN) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price rose 0.59%. Over shorter periods it rose 5.38% in three months and rose 7.73% in the past month. It now trades 1.49% below its 52-week high of MXN 18.7730.
What are the key price levels for USD/MXN?
Above the price, the level is the 52-week high at MXN 18.7730. Below it, the levels are the 20-day EMA at MXN 18.2066 and the 50-day SMA at MXN 17.6118.
How volatile is USD/MXN?
On an average day, USD/MXN's price changes by 0.63%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of USD/MXN?
Over the past 52 weeks, USD/MXN has ranged from MXN 16.8503 to MXN 18.7730. The price of MXN 18.4930 lands at 85% of that band, 9.75% over the low and 1.49% under the high.
Is USD/MXN in an uptrend?
Yes. US Dollar / Mexican Peso (USD/MXN) trades at MXN 18.49, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages (MXN 17.61 and MXN 17.41). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 69.2, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.
What are USD/MXN's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, March has been USD/MXN's strongest month on average (+1.48%, rising in 2 of 10 years) and May its weakest (-1.42%, rising in 3 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does USD/MXN move with the stock market?
Over the past year USD/MXN's daily returns were moderately inversely correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (-0.46). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.44; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.28; Gold (XAU): -0.32. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in USD/MXN be worth today?
$10,000 put into USD/MXN in October 2016 would be worth about $9,814 today, against about $35,938 for the same amount in the S&P 500.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for USD/MXN in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from USD/MXN's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near MXN 18.49, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of MXN 13.64 and MXN 25.07. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, commodity trading advisor (CTA), or financial regulatory body. The commodity and forex analysis presented for USD/MXN is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an offer to trade any commodity, currency, or derivative instrument. Commodity and forex trading involves substantial risk of loss, potentially exceeding your initial deposit due to leverage. Prices are influenced by geopolitical events, central bank policy, supply chain disruptions, and macroeconomic factors that can cause rapid, unpredictable price movements. All analysis is AI-generated based on historical price data and technical indicators which may not predict future market conditions. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed. You should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Consult a qualified financial advisor or commodity trading advisor before trading. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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