CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Ryan Brothwell, Financial Journalist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) is trading at $179.23, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($208.16 and $179.89), signaling a bearish technical trend. The company has demonstrated exceptional revenue growth, with current year estimates at +87.00% and next year projected at +55.00%. Analysts maintain a strong buy consensus with a median price target of $288.50, implying a 61% upside. However, this positive outlook is overshadowed by significant insider selling totaling $637.9 million, with no insider purchases reported. This heavy selling pressure, coupled with a neutral RSI, suggests caution despite the company's impressive top-line expansion and positive analyst ratings.
CRDO at a glance
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO): Sell, 21/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendDown: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($208.16 and $179.89).
EarningsCRDO beat estimates in 4 of its last 4 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
InsidersInsiders sold $637.9M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
ValuationP/E of 70.3 against 34.0 for the Technology sector: a premium to peers (+107%).
As of October 14, 2026, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) trades at $179.23. Wall Street's consensus target is $288.50 across 20 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 41, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $208.16.
Figures as of October 14, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from CRDO's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+107%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
CRDO Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last 4 quarters, CRDO beat the analyst estimate 4 times; the stock fell in the first session after 2 of those beats.
CRDO earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Sep 1, 2026
$1.17
$1.20
+2.56%
-20.04%
-18.73%
Jun 1, 2026
$1.03
$1.16
+12.62%
+1.28%
-1.69%
Mar 2, 2026
$0.94
$1.07
+13.83%
-14.81%
+1.54%
Dec 1, 2025
$0.50
$0.67
+34.00%
+10.12%
+4.56%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 14, 2026, CRDO has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 4 of its last 4 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on September 1, 2026, came in 2.56% above the estimate and the stock moved -20.04% in the first session.
CRDO Analysis
Company's Health3/5
12-Month Analyst Target+60.97% above price
Median of 20 analysts (12-month)
$288.50
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreSell
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $208.16 and its 200-day SMA of $179.89, indicating a bearish trend. The 20-day EMA at $200.38 also sits above the current price, reinforcing the downward momentum. The 14-day RSI is at 40.53, reflecting neutral momentum, while the MACD indicates a slight positive divergence. Volume has been above average recently, suggesting increased trading activity. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the moving averages, but the current price is hovering near the 200-day SMA, which may act as a psychological level. The overall technical picture suggests a stock in a downtrend, with potential for further weakness if key support fails.
ProTips
Given the heavy insider selling totaling $637.9 million, investors should closely monitor any further disposition of shares by management and consider the implications for future price action.
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($208.16 and $179.89), suggesting a bearish trend. Consider waiting for a confirmed break above these levels before initiating new long positions.
Key Catalysts
BearishPrice Below Key Moving Averages
CRDO is trading below its 50-day SMA ($208.16) and 200-day SMA ($179.89), signaling a bearish technical trend and potential for further downside.
Source: Technical Analysis
BullishStrong Revenue Growth Projections
The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with current year estimates at +87.00% and next year at +55.00%, indicating strong market demand for its products.
Source: Wall Street Estimates
BullishConsistent EPS Beats
Credo Technology Group has a track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, demonstrating operational efficiency and profitability.
Source: Earnings Reports
Market Outlook
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) faces a challenging outlook despite strong revenue growth and positive analyst sentiment. The current price of $179.23 is below key technical indicators, and substantial insider selling totaling $637.9 million raises concerns about management's confidence. While analysts have a median price target of $288.50, suggesting significant upside, the bearish technicals and heavy selling pressure could limit upside potential in the near term. Potential catalysts for a bullish reversal would require a significant shift in insider sentiment, a clear break above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, and sustained positive earnings surprises without negative price reactions. Conversely, continued selling pressure, a failure to break key resistance levels, or any negative news regarding competition or market demand could exacerbate the bearish trend, pushing the stock towards its lower support levels.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
33.69B
P/E Ratio
70.32
EPS (TTM)
2.82
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
308.67
52 Week Low
86.49
As of October 14, 2026, CRDO trades at $179.23, with a market value of $33.69B and a P/E ratio of 70.32.
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) exhibits strong fundamental performance with a profit margin of 33.83% and an operating margin of 25.20%, significantly outpacing sector medians. Its return on equity stands at a strong 30.67%, well above the sector average of 13.4%. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 23.43 is high compared to the sector median of 7.5, suggesting a premium valuation. However, its debt-to-equity ratio is extremely low at 0.01, indicating a very healthy balance sheet with minimal leverage. Despite the premium valuation, the company's exceptional revenue growth of 114.7% and strong profitability metrics support its current valuation, though the high P/S ratio warrants attention.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Prior quarters showed positive surprises, including a 12.62% beat in June 2026 and a 13.83% beat in March 2026. Revenue growth remains exceptionally strong, with current year estimates at +87.00% and next year projected at +55.00%, indicating strong demand for its products.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) stems from significant insider selling, with over $637.9 million in shares disposed of and no reported purchases, signaling potential management concerns. Additionally, the stock is trading below its key moving averages, indicating a bearish technical trend that could lead to further price declines. The high price-to-sales ratio of 23.43, compared to the sector median of 7.5, suggests the stock may be overvalued, increasing its vulnerability to market corrections or negative news.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
40.53
MACD (12, 26)
0.945
SMA (50-day)
208.16
SMA (200-day)
179.89
Technical RatingNeutral
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($208.16) above the 200-day SMA ($179.89), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 14, 2026, with CRDO at $179.23, its 14-day RSI is 40.5 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $208.16 and its 200-day is $179.89.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 14, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.50
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.60
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.27
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.10
Weak correlation
As of October 14, 2026, CRDO's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.50 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.60 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.27 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.10 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with CRDO? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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CRDO Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $185.00Median $288.50 (+61.0%)High $315.00
The price, $179.23, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Buy 19Hold 1Sell 03 months ago: 18 of 19 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on CRDO
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Oct 5, 2026
Stifel
Maintains
Buy
Sep 21, 2026
Mizuho
Maintains
Outperform
Sep 2, 2026
JP Morgan
Maintains
Overweight
Sep 2, 2026
Evercore ISI Group
Maintains
Outperform
Sep 2, 2026
Rosenblatt
Maintains
Neutral
Sep 2, 2026
B of A Securities
Maintains
Buy
As of October 14, 2026, 20 Wall Street analysts cover CRDO: 19 rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $185.00 to $315.00, with a median of $288.50, 61.0% above the price of $179.23.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
CRDO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$182.81
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$179.23
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$207.60
MAX LOSS
-13.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (40.5) and current market volatility
CRDO moves about 4.7% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CRDO in January 2022 would be worth about $170,223 today, compared with about $18,041 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
CRDO Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 5 years
-58.8%
February 2023 to May 2023
Recovery
7 months
back at the old peak by November 2023
From the 5-year high
-40.8%
highest close, June 2026
1-year holds that gained
90%
of every 1-year window
As of October 14, 2026, CRDO's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 5 years was -58.8% (February 2023 to May 2023); it regained that peak by November 2023, 7 months after the low, and 90% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CRDO today could grow to about $30,925 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $234,620 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,076. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CRDO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $282 for CRDO by 2030 in the base case, from $179 today (1.6x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $78.15. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CRDO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
CRDO simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$106
$201
$381
2028
$90.76
$225
$556
2029
$82.88
$251
$763
2030
$78.15
$282
$1,014
2031
$75.21
$315
$1,321
Method: a lognormal simulation of CRDO's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. CRDO is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.
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CRDO Insider Trading Analysis
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
▲Bought
None
No open-market buys
▼Sold
$637.9M
114 Transactions
●Insiders
12
Active Traders
$Avg Transaction
$5.6M
Large trades
As of October 14, 2026, CRDO insiders reported 114 open-market sales worth $637.9M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in CRDO
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Oct 6, 2026
CHENG CHI FUNG
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
27.5K
$6.1M
Oct 1, 2026
LAUFMAN JAMES L
Officer
Sell
5.0K
$1.0M
Sep 29, 2026
CHENG CHI FUNG
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
27.5K
$5.3M
Sep 25, 2026
LAM YAT TUNG
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
100.0K
$20.6M
Sep 25, 2026
LAM YAT TUNG
Chief Operating Officer
Grant
175.0K
-
Sep 21, 2026
LAUFMAN JAMES L
Officer
Sell
5.0K
$925.0K
Sep 17, 2026
CHENG CHI FUNG
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
27.5K
$4.6M
Sep 14, 2026
BRENNAN WILLIAM JOSEPH III
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
16.7K
$2.5M
Sep 11, 2026
CHENG CHI FUNG
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
27.5K
$4.5M
Sep 4, 2026
CHENG CHI FUNG
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
3.8K
$644.3K
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the biggest risks facing Credo Technology Group?
The most significant risks for Credo Technology Group (CRDO) include substantial insider selling totaling $637.9 million, a bearish technical trend indicated by prices below key moving averages, and a premium valuation with a high price-to-sales ratio compared to its peers.
How has Credo Technology Group performed in recent earnings reports?
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, including a 2.56% surprise in its latest report on September 1, 2026. Despite these beats, the stock experienced a significant price drop following the most recent earnings release.
What is the outlook for Credo Technology Group's revenue growth?
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) is projected to experience substantial revenue growth, with current year estimates at +87.00% and next year's estimates at +55.00%. This strong top-line expansion is a key driver for analyst optimism.
How does Credo Technology Group's valuation compare to its sector?
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) trades at a premium valuation, with a price-to-sales ratio of 23.43 compared to the sector median of 7.5. However, its strong profit margins and exceptional revenue growth help justify this premium.
What does the insider trading activity suggest for Credo Technology Group?
Insider activity for Credo Technology Group (CRDO) shows a clear net selling trend, with over $637.9 million in sales and no reported purchases. This heavy selling pressure is a significant bearish signal that investors should consider.
Is CRDO in an uptrend?
No. Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) trades at $179.23, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($208.16 and $179.89). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 40.5, in neutral territory.
What is the analyst price target for CRDO?
As of October 14, 2026, the 20 Wall Street analysts covering CRDO have 12-month targets from $185.00 to $315.00, with a median of $288.50, 61.0% above the current price of $179.23. 19 rate it a buy or strong buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 18 of 19 rated it a buy.
What is CRDO's biggest drop in the last 5 years?
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 5 years was -58.8%, from February 2023 to May 2023. It regained that peak by November 2023, 7 months after the low. Over the same period, 90% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are CRDO's best and worst months?
Over the last 5 years, June has been CRDO's strongest month on average (+31.56%, rising in 5 of 5 years) and March its weakest (-16.24%, rising in 0 of 5 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does CRDO move with the stock market?
Over the past year CRDO's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.50). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.60; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.27; Gold (XAU): +0.10. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
