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As of September 26, 2026, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) trades at $210.97. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $290.00, 37.5% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $290.00 across 19 analysts. RSI at 73 is in overbought territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $209.96.
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO)
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd NASDAQ
$210.97
15.00 (7.65%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
79 / 100
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) is currently trading at $210.97, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($209.96 and $176.17), indicating a bullish technical trend. The company has demonstrated exceptional revenue growth of 114.7%, significantly outpacing the sector median of 24.1%. This growth is supported by strong analyst sentiment, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $290, implying a 37.5% upside. Despite the positive technicals and growth outlook, a significant amount of insider selling, totaling $606.1 million, has been reported, leading to a 'Heavy Sell Signal' verdict. This warrants close attention as it contrasts with the otherwise optimistic analyst view and strong fundamental performance, including a healthy profit margin of 33.83% and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01.
CRDO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$201.59
Day Range
$198.00 to $214.87
Prev Close
$195.97
Volume
11.73M
52-Week Range
$86.49 to $308.67
Market Cap
$39.65B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+104%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
CRDO Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, CRDO beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
CRDO Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+37.46% Upside
Median of 19 analysts (12-month)
$290.00
AI Technical Analysis
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($209.96 and $176.17), signaling a bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 73.22, indicating an 'Overbought' condition, which suggests a potential for a short-term pullback. The MACD is currently at -5.95, suggesting weakening momentum, though it remains above the 200-day SMA. Volume has been above average, with the latest volume at 11.73 million compared to an average of 9.31 million, indicating strong investor interest. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA, while resistance may be tested near previous highs. The 'Overbought' RSI suggests caution for new entries, but the overall trend remains positive as long as the price stays above the key moving averages.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely, as the recent heavy selling totaling $606.1 million contrasts sharply with the positive analyst outlook and warrants careful observation.
- Given the 'Overbought' RSI reading of 73.22, consider waiting for a technical pullback or consolidation before initiating new positions to improve the risk-reward ratio.
- The company's premium valuation multiples require sustained exceptional revenue growth; any deceleration could lead to significant price volatility.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold a total of $606.1 million in stock, indicating a lack of confidence or a need for liquidity among management, which could weigh on the stock price.
Source: Insider Trading DataBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast revenue growth of 87.00% for the current year and 55.00% for the next, driven by strong demand for Credo's semiconductor solutions.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
The consensus rating is 'Buy' with a median price target of $290, suggesting a 37.5% upside potential from the current price, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusBearish
Overbought Technical Conditions
The RSI is at 73.22, indicating an 'Overbought' condition, which historically suggests a potential for a price correction or consolidation in the near term.
Source: Technical Analysis DataMarket Outlook
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) is expected to continue its strong growth trajectory over the next 6-12 months, driven by its leading position in the semiconductor market and strong demand for its products. Analysts project revenue to reach $2.5 billion in the current year and $3.8 billion in the next, with EPS estimates of $6.31 and $9.70 respectively. The median analyst price target of $290 suggests significant upside potential from the current price of $210.97. The primary upside catalysts include continued market share gains and successful product innovation, which could drive revenue growth beyond current estimates. However, the significant insider selling and 'Overbought' technical conditions present near-term risks. A failure to meet elevated growth expectations or a shift in market sentiment could lead to a valuation reset, despite the company's strong fundamentals and positive long-term outlook.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 39.65B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 69.25 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.83 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 308.67 |
| 52 Week Low | 86.49 |
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) exhibits strong fundamental performance with a current P/E ratio of 69.25, which is significantly higher than the sector median of 34, indicating a premium valuation. However, its Price-to-Sales ratio stands at 23.15, also above the sector median of 7.5, reflecting high market expectations for future growth. The company boasts an impressive Return on Equity (ROE) of 30.67% and a healthy profit margin of 33.83%, both substantially exceeding sector averages. Its balance sheet is strong, with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, indicating minimal financial leverage. The exceptional revenue growth of 114.7% further supports the premium valuation, suggesting that investors are pricing in continued strong expansion. While the valuation appears stretched compared to sector averages, the company's profitability and growth trajectory provide a basis for its current market price.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending September 2026, with an EPS of $1.20 against an estimate of $1.17, a slight beat of 2.56%. However, this positive earnings surprise was accompanied by a significant -20.04% price drop, suggesting market concerns beyond the immediate earnings figure. Prior quarters showed consistent beats, including a 12.62% surprise in June 2026 and a 13.83% beat in March 2026, though these also saw mixed price reactions. The company's revenue growth remains exceptionally strong, with current quarter estimates showing a +98.00% year-over-year increase.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Credo Technology Group (CRDO) stems from significant insider selling, with over $606 million in dispositions reported, signaling potential concerns among management despite positive analyst ratings. The stock's 'Overbought' RSI reading of 73.22 suggests a potential for a near-term pullback, especially given the recent negative price reaction to its latest earnings report. Also, the high valuation multiples, with a P/E ratio of 69.25 and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 23.15, place considerable pressure on the company to maintain its exceptional growth trajectory.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 73.22 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -5.95 |
| SMA 50 | 209.96 |
| SMA 200 | 176.17 |
RSI
Overbought
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($209.96) above the 200-day SMA ($176.17), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages, RSI at 73.2 indicates overbought conditions; consider caution for immediate entries.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.50
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.60
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.29
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.08
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with CRDO? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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CRDO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$206.75
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$210.97
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$175.04
MAX LOSS
-15.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (73.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$217.09
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$227.43
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$237.76
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
CRDO is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 6.20%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CRDO in January 2022 would be worth about $181,090 today, compared with about $17,887 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CRDO today could grow to about $57,101 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $433,206 and a bear case around $7,527. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CRDO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $424 for CRDO by 2030 in the base case, from $211 today (2.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $118. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CRDO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $132 | $251 | $477 |
| 2028 | $121 | $299 | $740 |
| 2029 | $117 | $356 | $1,080 |
| 2030 | $118 | $424 | $1,526 |
| 2031 | $120 | $504 | $2,113 |
| 2032 | $125 | $600 | $2,883 |
| 2033 | $131 | $714 | $3,892 |
| 2034 | $139 | $850 | $5,208 |
| 2035 | $148 | $1,012 | $6,920 |
| 2036 | $159 | $1,205 | $9,139 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CRDO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. CRDO is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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CRDO Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$606.1M
113 Transactions
Insiders
12
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$5.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | LAM YAT TUNG
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 370.0K | $56.7M |
| Jul 31, 2026 | LAM YAT TUNG
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 105.4K | $22.5M |
| Aug 1, 2025 | BRENNAN WILLIAM JOSEPH III
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 196.4K | $21.0M |
| Dec 16, 2024 | TAN LIP-BU
Director
|
Sell | 250.0K | $18.8M |
| Jun 14, 2023 | LAM YAT TUNG
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 900.0K | $15.8M |
| Oct 8, 2025 | FLEMING DANIEL W
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 112.6K | $15.6M |
| Dec 6, 2024 | TAN LIP-BU
Director
|
Sell | 200.0K | $14.5M |
| Feb 12, 2024 | LAM YAT TUNG
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 643.7K | $14.5M |
| Oct 10, 2024 | TAN LIP-BU
Director
|
Sell | 407.0K | $14.2M |
| Jan 26, 2022 | CHENG CHI FUNG
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 1.4M | $13.9M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Credo Technology Group (CRDO) stock a buy right now?
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts with a median price target of $290, suggesting a 37.5% upside from its current price of $210.97. The stock exhibits strong revenue growth and healthy profit margins, but significant insider selling and an 'Overbought' RSI warrant caution.
What is CRDO's stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Credo Technology Group's (CRDO) stock price is projected to be $423.52 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $117.57, and the upside projection is $1525.71. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
How does CRDO's valuation compare to its sector peers?
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) trades at a premium compared to its sector peers. Its P/E ratio of 69.25 versus the sector median of 34, and its Price-to-Sales ratio is 23.15 compared to the sector median of 7.5. However, its revenue growth of 114.7% significantly outpaces the sector average of 24.1%.
What are the main risks facing Credo Technology Group?
The main risks for Credo Technology Group (CRDO) include substantial insider selling totaling over $606 million, an 'Overbought' RSI indicating potential for a pullback, and a high valuation that requires sustained exceptional growth to justify.
How has Credo Technology Group performed in recent earnings reports?
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) recently reported an EPS beat for the quarter ending September 2026, but the stock price declined by 20.04%. Prior quarters also showed earnings beats, though price reactions were mixed. Revenue growth remains a strong point, with current quarter estimates showing nearly 100% year-over-year growth.
What is the technical outlook for Credo Technology Group stock?
Technically, Credo Technology Group (CRDO) is in a bullish trend, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($209.96 and $176.17). However, the RSI is in 'Overbought' territory, suggesting a potential for a short-term correction, while MACD indicates weakening momentum.
What are the forward-looking growth estimates for Credo Technology Group?
Analysts project strong growth for Credo Technology Group (CRDO), with revenue expected to grow by 87.00% in the current year and 55.00% in the next year. EPS is estimated to grow from $6.31 in the current year to $9.70 in the next year.