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Euro / Swiss Franc (EUR/CHF)

Euro / Swiss Franc

CHF 0.9291 -0.002370 (-0.2544%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
Sell
35 / 100
Last updated: • Price at analysis: CHF 0.9291
CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Kate Leaman, Financial Journalist and Market Analyst. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
The Euro/Swiss Franc pair is currently trading at 0.9291 in October 2026. The pair has seen its price move below the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA, indicating a shift in short-term momentum. The 14-day RSI at 37.2 confirms this bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential for further downside. Despite these short-term technical weaknesses, the EUR/CHF remains above its 200-day SMA, which sits at 0.9273. This longer-term support level could provide a floor if selling pressure intensifies. However, the immediate outlook is clouded by the bearish technical signals.

EUR/CHF at a glance

Euro / Swiss Franc (EUR/CHF): Sell, 35/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average (CHF 0.9273 and CHF 0.9394).
  • Volatility Daily moves average 0.31% (30-day standard deviation).

As of October 15, 2026, Euro / Swiss Franc (EUR/CHF) trades at CHF 0.9291. The nearest technical resistance sits at CHF 0.9394; there is no analyst coverage. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 37, showing bearish momentum without being oversold, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of CHF 0.9394.

Figures as of October 15, 2026.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from EUR/CHF's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

Seasonality
Mar +0.6% · Aug -0.5%
average best and worst month; Mar rose in 6 of 10 years
Moves with
SPY +0.26 · BTC -0.07 · Gold -0.15
1-year correlation of daily returns
2030 simulation
CHF 0.9291 base
10th-90th percentile CHF 0.8133 to CHF 1.06

EUR/CHF Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
CHF 0.9315
Day Range
CHF 0.9278 to CHF 0.9324
Prev Close
CHF 0.9315
52-Week Range
CHF 0.8946 to CHF 0.9488

EUR/CHF Analysis

Key Trend Level +1.11% above price
The 50-day moving average (a technical level, not a price target)
CHF 0.9394
AI Analyst Consensus Score Sell
The nearest resistance for EUR/CHF is the 50-day SMA at 0.9394, with the 20-day EMA at 0.9341 also acting as resistance. The price is currently trading below both these levels. The nearest support is the 200-day SMA at 0.9273. The 14-day RSI is at 37.2, indicating bearish momentum. The CCI is at -109.14, further supporting a bearish short-term outlook. The Stochastic indicator is at 20.59, suggesting the pair is approaching oversold territory, but the prevailing trend is downward.
Market Outlook
The outlook for the Euro/Swiss Franc in the next 6-12 months is cautiously bearish, primarily driven by short-term technical weakness and potential divergence in central bank policies. The pair is currently trading below key short-term moving averages, and the bearish momentum indicated by the RSI suggests further downside. If the EUR/CHF breaks decisively below the 200-day SMA at 0.9273, it could signal a more significant downtrend, potentially targeting levels closer to the 0.91 handle. Conversely, a sustained move back above the 50-day SMA at 0.9394 would negate the bearish short-term outlook and could lead to a retest of higher levels.

Market Correlations

How this forex pair moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.26
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.23
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) -0.07
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) -0.15
Weak correlation

As of October 15, 2026, EUR/CHF's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.26 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.23 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), -0.07 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.15 with gold (XAU).

Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with EUR/CHF? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

EUR/CHF is analysed on price action, rate differentials and macro flows: 50-day average CHF 0.9394, 200-day average CHF 0.9273, RSI 37. The trade plan below is built on these levels.
52 Week High 0.9488
52 Week Low 0.8946
Central bank policy divergence remains a key driver for the Euro/Swiss Franc. The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained a cautious stance on interest rates, while the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has shown a greater willingness to adjust its monetary policy in response to inflation and growth dynamics. This divergence can create volatility. Recent economic data from the Eurozone has shown mixed signals, with some indicators pointing to slowing growth, while others suggest resilience. In Switzerland, the economic outlook appears more stable, supported by strong export performance and contained inflation. These factors contribute to the ongoing tug-of-war between the two currencies.

Macro & Supply-Demand Drivers

Recent economic releases for the Eurozone have indicated a moderation in inflation, prompting the ECB to maintain its current interest rate policy. Conversely, the Swiss National Bank has been closely monitoring inflation and growth, with its policy decisions closely watched by the market. The interplay between these central bank policies and their impact on economic growth and inflation differentials is key for the EUR/CHF pair. Employment data from both regions continues to be a key focus. Stable or improving employment figures in the Eurozone could support the Euro, while any signs of weakness in the Swiss labor market might put pressure on the Franc. Market participants are keenly observing these macroeconomic indicators to gauge the future direction of monetary policy and, consequently, the EUR/CHF exchange rate.

Key Risks

A significant risk to the current outlook is a sudden hawkish shift from the ECB, which could strengthen the Euro against the Swiss Franc. Geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe or the Middle East could also lead to a flight to safety, benefiting the Swiss Franc and pushing EUR/CHF lower. Also, unexpected economic data surprises from either the Eurozone or Switzerland could trigger sharp moves. Intervention by either central bank to manage currency levels, though less common, remains a tail risk that could rapidly alter the pair's trajectory.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14-day) 37.20
MACD (12, 26) -0.0029
SMA (50-day) 0.9394
SMA (200-day) 0.9273
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA (CHF 0.9394) above the 200-day SMA (CHF 0.9273), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.

As of October 15, 2026, with EUR/CHF at CHF 0.9291, its 14-day RSI is 37.2 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is CHF 0.9394 and its 200-day is CHF 0.9273.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

EUR/CHF Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
CHF 0.9477
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
CHF 0.9291
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
CHF 0.9761
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (37.2) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
CHF 0.9003
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
CHF 0.8529
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
CHF 0.8056
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Calculate Your Trade
Position Size Stop Loss Risk/Reward P&L Calculator Trailing Stop Fibonacci Pivot Points Win Rate Expectancy

With leverage, losses on EUR/CHF can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in EUR/CHF in October 2016 would be worth about $8,562 today, compared with about $36,237 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

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Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in EUR/CHF today could grow to about $10,000 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $12,344 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,101. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

EUR/CHF 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near CHF 0.9291 for EUR/CHF by 2030 in the base case, from CHF 0.9291 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near CHF 0.8133. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on EUR/CHF's historical return distribution, not price targets.

EUR/CHF simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile
2027 CHF 0.8693 CHF 0.9291 CHF 0.9931
2028 CHF 0.8456 CHF 0.9291 CHF 1.02
2029 CHF 0.8279 CHF 0.9291 CHF 1.04
2030 CHF 0.8133 CHF 0.9291 CHF 1.06
2031 CHF 0.8006 CHF 0.9291 CHF 1.08

Method: a lognormal simulation of EUR/CHF's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the long-term outlook for the Euro/Swiss Franc?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the EUR/CHF pair has a median projection of 0.9291 for 2030. The downside projection is 0.8133, and the upside projection is 1.062. These are statistical outcomes, not price targets.
Why is the Euro/Swiss Franc trading at 0.9291 in October 2026?
The current price of 0.9291 reflects a balance of factors including central bank policy divergence between the ECB and SNB, mixed economic data from the Eurozone, and a more stable outlook in Switzerland. Technical indicators also have a part to play in short-term price movements.
What are the key technical support and resistance levels for EUR/CHF?
The nearest resistance levels are the 20-day EMA at 0.9341 and the 50-day SMA at 0.9394. The key support level is the 200-day SMA at 0.9273.
How is the 14-day RSI influencing the EUR/CHF?
The 14-day RSI is currently at 37.2, indicating bearish momentum. This suggests that the downward trend in the EUR/CHF pair is currently favored by momentum indicators.
What are the growth and momentum indicators for EUR/CHF telling us?
Momentum is currently bearish, as indicated by the 14-day RSI at 37.2 and the CCI at -109.14. The Stochastic indicator is approaching oversold levels, but the prevailing trend is downward.
What are EUR/CHF's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, March has been EUR/CHF's strongest month on average (+0.55%, rising in 6 of 10 years) and August its weakest (-0.53%, rising in 3 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does EUR/CHF move with the stock market?
Over the past year EUR/CHF's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.26). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.23; Bitcoin (BTC): -0.07; Gold (XAU): -0.15. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in EUR/CHF be worth today?
$10,000 put into EUR/CHF in October 2016 would be worth about $8,562 today, against about $36,237 for the same amount in the S&P 500.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for EUR/CHF in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from EUR/CHF's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near CHF 0.9291, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of CHF 0.8133 and CHF 1.06. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.
How volatile is EUR/CHF?
EUR/CHF's daily price moves average 0.31% (30-day standard deviation of daily returns). Over the past 52 weeks it traded between CHF 0.8946 and CHF 0.9488.
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Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, commodity trading advisor (CTA), or financial regulatory body. The commodity and forex analysis presented for EUR/CHF is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an offer to trade any commodity, currency, or derivative instrument. Commodity and forex trading involves substantial risk of loss, potentially exceeding your initial deposit due to leverage. Prices are influenced by geopolitical events, central bank policy, supply chain disruptions, and macroeconomic factors that can cause rapid, unpredictable price movements. All analysis is AI-generated based on historical price data and technical indicators which may not predict future market conditions. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed. You should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Consult a qualified financial advisor or commodity trading advisor before trading. Analysis generated on October 15, 2026.

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