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As of September 26, 2026, Twilio Inc. (TWLO) trades at $275.80. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $267.50, 3.0% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $267.50 across 30 analysts. RSI at 67 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $227.40.
Twilio Inc. (TWLO)
Twilio Inc. NYSE
$275.80
-23.86 (-7.96%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
74 / 100
Twilio Inc. is trading at $275.80, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($227.40 and $172.11), indicating positive short-to-medium term momentum. The company has demonstrated consistent earnings beats, with the latest quarter to June 2026 showing a 11.36% EPS surprise and a significant 24.89% stock price increase. Revenue growth remains strong at 22% year-over-year, exceeding the sector median of 24.1% and projected to continue at 18% for the current year. The company's fundamentals are solid, with a healthy profit margin of 20.62% and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12, comparing favorably to sector averages. However, a significant headwind exists in the form of heavy insider selling, with $623.8 million in dispositions and no reported insider purchases. This heavy insider selling from insider transactions suggests a lack of confidence from management, which contrasts with the bullish technicals and analyst consensus. The median Wall Street price target of $267.50 implies a slight downside from the current price, and the 'Buy' consensus score of 74 suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook from analysts.
TWLO Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$286.68
Day Range
$273.52 to $298.45
Prev Close
$299.66
Volume
4.26M
52-Week Range
$98.44 to $304.75
Market Cap
$42.36B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (12% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
TWLO Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, TWLO beat estimates 4 times. The stock rose 4 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
TWLO Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-3.01% Downside
Median of 30 analysts (12-month)
$267.50
AI Technical Analysis
Twilio Inc. is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($227.40 and $172.11), signaling an uptrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 67.32 indicates bullish momentum, and the MACD at 15.52 further supports positive sentiment. The stock is also trading above its 20-day EMA ($253.30), reinforcing the current upward trajectory. Key support is found near the 50-day SMA, while resistance levels are less defined given the recent strong performance. Volume has been notably higher than average, with a 38.6% increase, suggesting strong investor interest. The overall chart structure points to continued upward potential, provided the bullish momentum can be sustained against the backdrop of significant insider selling.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely, as the current heavy selling signal warrants significant attention and could precede a price correction.
- Given the stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($227.40 and $172.11) with bullish RSI, consider using pullbacks towards these support levels for potential entry points, while maintaining strict stop-loss discipline.
- The significant insider selling suggests that investors should be wary of potential downward pressure on the stock price, even with positive analyst ratings and technical momentum.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Continues
Insiders have sold $623.8 million worth of shares with no reported purchases, indicating a strong lack of confidence from management and potentially signaling future price weakness.
Source: Insider TransactionsBullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Twilio Inc. has demonstrated a strong track record of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently with an 11.36% surprise in the quarter to June 2026, which drove a significant stock price increase.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Momentum
The company reported 22% year-over-year revenue growth, with projections for the current year at 18.00%, indicating sustained demand for its services.
Source: Company FilingsNeutral
Analyst Price Targets Suggest Limited Upside
The median Wall Street price target of $267.50 implies a slight downside from the current trading price of $275.80, suggesting that analysts see limited immediate upside potential.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsMarket Outlook
The base case for Twilio Inc. over the next 6-12 months suggests continued operational strength, supported by its strong revenue growth and consistent earnings beats. Analysts project revenue to grow by 18.00% in the current year and 11.00% in the next, with an average EPS estimate of $5.93 for the current year. The stock's bullish technical momentum, trading above key moving averages, further supports a positive near-term outlook. However, the significant insider selling presents a substantial risk that could temper upside potential. A shift in market sentiment or a failure to meet elevated growth expectations could lead to a pullback towards the median analyst target price of $267.50. Conversely, continued strong execution and positive news flow could drive the stock towards its higher analyst targets, though the current valuation and insider activity warrant a cautious approach.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 42.36B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 38.04 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.25 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 304.75 |
| 52 Week Low | 98.44 |
Twilio Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture, with strong growth metrics but a valuation that appears stretched relative to its median analyst target price. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 7.60 is above the sector median of 7.5, and its P/E ratio of 38.04 is also higher than the sector median of 34. Despite this, its return on equity at 13.50% is slightly above the sector average of 13.4%, and its profit margin of 20.62% is strong. The company's revenue growth of 22% is a key strength, and forward estimates suggest continued growth, albeit at a decelerating rate, with next year's revenue growth projected at 11.00%. While the balance sheet appears healthy with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12, the current stock price is trading above the median analyst target price of $267.50, suggesting limited upside from current levels according to Wall Street.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Twilio Inc. has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, with the quarter to June 2026 reporting an EPS of $1.47 against an estimate of $1.32, a 11.36% surprise. This beat was accompanied by a substantial 24.89% stock price increase. The prior quarter to March 2026 also saw a significant EPS beat of 18.11%. While there was a reported loss in the quarter to March 2026, the overall trend in recent reported quarters indicates positive earnings performance and strong investor reaction to these results.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Twilio Inc. stems from significant insider selling, with over $623 million in dispositions and no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence from management. Additionally, the current stock price is trading slightly above the median Wall Street price target of $267.50, suggesting limited upside potential and a potential for mean reversion. Competitive pressures within the cloud communications market could also pose a risk, although the company's consistent revenue growth and earnings beats currently mitigate this concern.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 67.32 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 15.52 |
| SMA 50 | 227.40 |
| SMA 200 | 172.11 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($227.40) above the 200-day SMA ($172.11), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.39
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.39
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.21
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with TWLO? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
TWLO Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$270.28
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$275.80
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$233.34
MAX LOSS
-13.7%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (67.3) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$283.80
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$297.31
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$310.83
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
TWLO is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.68%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TWLO in September 2016 would be worth about $42,933 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TWLO today could grow to about $28,872 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $219,042 and a bear case around $3,806. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TWLO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $421 for TWLO by 2030 in the base case, from $276 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $117. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TWLO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $162 | $307 | $582 |
| 2028 | $138 | $341 | $844 |
| 2029 | $125 | $379 | $1,150 |
| 2030 | $117 | $421 | $1,518 |
| 2031 | $112 | $469 | $1,964 |
| 2032 | $108 | $521 | $2,504 |
| 2033 | $106 | $579 | $3,157 |
| 2034 | $105 | $644 | $3,946 |
| 2035 | $105 | $716 | $4,897 |
| 2036 | $105 | $796 | $6,041 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TWLO's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. TWLO is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TWLO Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$623.8M
45 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$13.9M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | STAFMAN ANDREW J.
Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $184.1M |
| May 12, 2026 | STAFMAN ANDREW J.
Director
|
Sell | 675.0K | $130.6M |
| Dec 2, 2025 | STAFMAN ANDREW J.
Director
|
Sell | 1.0M | $129.0M |
| Aug 12, 2026 | STAFMAN ANDREW J.
Director
|
Sell | 500.0K | $123.5M |
| Feb 16, 2021 | LAWSON JEFF
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 49.5K | $21.4M |
| Jul 21, 2021 | LAWSON JEFF
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 49.5K | $19.2M |
| Jan 19, 2021 | LAWSON JEFF
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 49.5K | $19.0M |
| Apr 19, 2021 | LAWSON JEFF
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 49.5K | $18.5M |
| Aug 9, 2021 | LAWSON JEFF
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 49.5K | $18.5M |
| Dec 21, 2020 | LAWSON JEFF
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 49.5K | $18.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is Twilio Inc. stock a buy right now?
Twilio Inc. is currently rated a 'Buy' by Wall Street analysts with a consensus score of 74 out of 100. The stock is trading at $275.80, above key moving averages, and has a median analyst target price of $267.50, suggesting a slight downside from current levels.
What is Twilio Inc.'s price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Twilio Inc.'s stock price is projected to be $421.49 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $117, while the upside projection reaches $1518.37. These figures represent statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What are the main risks facing Twilio Inc.?
The most significant risk for Twilio Inc. is the heavy insider selling totaling over $623 million, which signals a potential lack of confidence from management. Also, the stock is trading slightly above its median analyst price target, indicating limited immediate upside.
How is Twilio Inc. performing financially?
Twilio Inc. reported strong revenue growth of 22% year-over-year and has consistently beaten earnings estimates in recent quarters. The company maintains healthy profit margins of 20.62% and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12.
What is Twilio's revenue growth outlook?
Twilio Inc. is projected to grow revenue by 18.00% for the current year and 11.00% for the next year. This indicates continued expansion, though at a potentially decelerating pace compared to recent performance.
What is the Wall Street consensus on Twilio Inc. stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Twilio Inc. is predominantly 'Buy', with 6 'Strong Buy' ratings, 19 'Buy' ratings, and 4 'Hold' ratings among 30 analysts. The overall consensus score is 74 out of 100.
How does Twilio Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Twilio Inc. generally performs well against sector averages in the Technology industry. Its revenue growth of 22% is in line with the sector median of 24.1%, and its return on equity of 13.50% slightly exceeds the sector median of 13.4%. However, its P/E ratio of 38.04 and Price-to-Sales of 7.60 are slightly higher than sector medians.