Forex
British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD)
- 52-week range
- $1.30 $1.39
The short version
Where GBP/USD stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
GBP/USD at a glance
British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD): Hold, 48/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($1.34 and $1.34).
- Volatility Daily moves average 0.30% (30-day standard deviation).
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Over the past several months GBP/USD has traded below its 200-day simple moving average at 1.34, and the pair currently prices at 1.33.
The Bank of England and the Federal Reserve remain the main drivers, with the rate differential between sterling and the dollar setting the broad direction for the pair. Price holds above the 20-day EMA at 1.33, which points to short-term stabilisation after recent weakness. The 14-day RSI at 56.81 reads as neutral, so neither buyers nor sellers hold a decisive edge at this level. Dollar demand tied to US yields continues to cap rallies in cable. Sterling support comes from UK inflation that has been slower to cool than in the euro area, which keeps Bank of England rate cuts gradual. Traders should watch the next UK and US inflation prints, as either could shift the rate path priced into the pair.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from GBP/USD's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $1.33 is 0.2% below the 50-day simple moving average of $1.34.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 0.6% below the 200-day simple moving average of $1.34.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($1.34) is 0.4% below the 200-day average ($1.34), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 38% of its 52-week range, between $1.30 and $1.39.
GBP/USD share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far GBP/USD has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where GBP/USD sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Key levels
The figures the trade plan is built on.
Key levels
The averages and the year's range that GBP/USD's trade plan is built on.
Short-term trend: GBP/USD is below its 50-day average of $1.3361.
Long-term trend: It is below its 200-day average of $1.3414.
52-week range: $1.3011 to $1.3862; the price sits 38% of the way up.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of GBP/USD's drivers and risks.
Over the past six months the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve have kept policy settings that favour the dollar on yield, and this rate differential remains the central driver of GBP/USD.
The Bank of England faces sticky services inflation, which limits how quickly it can cut rates and supports sterling. The Federal Reserve policy path, shaped by US yields, keeps dollar demand firm and caps further gains in the pair. Divergence between the two central banks sets the medium-term direction, so every inflation and employment release from either side moves the rate-expectation curve. Cable trading at 1.33 reflects this balance, with neither currency holding a clear policy advantage.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 56.8, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 56.8 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of GBP/USD
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Nearest resistance sits at the 50-day simple moving average of 1.34 and the 200-day simple moving average of 1.34, both above the 1.33 price, so the pair must reclaim the 1.34 zone to change the trend.
Nearest support is the 20-day EMA at 1.33, which sits below the price and marks the first floor on pullbacks. The 14-day RSI at 56.8 shows neutral momentum, and the MACD reading of -0.00 is slightly negative, which signals that upside momentum has not yet built. The stochastic oscillator at 98.86 is at an extreme high, while the CCI at 337.40 is well above zero, both of which point to short-term stretching. A close above 1.34 would bring the averages into position as support, while a break below the 20-day EMA would open the way toward lower levels. Traders should treat the 1.33 to 1.34 band as the decision zone until the averages align.
- Watch the 1.34 zone, where the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages cluster, as the key level that decides the trend.
- Use the 20-day EMA at 1.33 as a reference point for pullback entries while momentum stays neutral.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for GBP/USD, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with GBP/USD at $1.33, its 14-day RSI is 56.8 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $1.34 and its 200-day is $1.34.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What GBP/USD moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, GBP/USD's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.12 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.11 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.30 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.39 with gold (XAU).
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
GBP/USD trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
With leverage, losses on GBP/USD can exceed the deposit, and news can gap the price through these levels. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much GBP/USD tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
GBP/USD's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/2Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 0.30% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $10,896, against $36,340 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into GBP/USD in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: GBP/USD trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $10,896 against $36,340.
A $10,000 investment in GBP/USD in October 2016 would be worth about $10,896 today, compared with about $36,340 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to GBP/USD, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +1.56%, up in 7 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -1.35%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.64%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, GBP/USD's strongest calendar month has been January (average +1.56%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -1.35%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in GBP/USD, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in GBP/USD today could grow to about $10,000 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $14,030 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,128. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
GBP/USD 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1.33 for GBP/USD by 2030 in the base case, from $1.33 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $1.08. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on GBP/USD's historical return distribution, not price targets.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $1.20 | $1.33 | $1.48 | |
| 2028 | $1.15 | $1.33 | $1.55 | |
| 2029 | $1.11 | $1.33 | $1.61 | |
| 2030 | $1.08 | $1.33 | $1.65 | |
| 2031 | $1.05 | $1.33 | $1.69 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of GBP/USD's own volatility with no trend assumed, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.