Stock·NASDAQ·Industrials
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)
- Market cap
- $32.88B
- P/E
- 9.66
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $150.00median of 25 analysts
- 52-week range
- $84.64 $138.77
The short version
Where UAL stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
UAL at a glance
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL): Buy, 77/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($112.54 and $108.80).
- Earnings UAL beat estimates in 8 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 5 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $65.5M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 9.7 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: a discount to peers (-72%).
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is currently trading at $101.31, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($112.54 and $108.80), indicating near-term technical weakness.
The stock's RSI is at 36.2, signaling bearish momentum. Despite these technical headwinds, Wall Street maintains a strong 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $150, representing a 48.1% upside from the current price. Significant insider selling, totaling $65.5 million with no reported purchases, presents a notable risk. This heavy selling pressure, coupled with the stock's position below key technical indicators, warrants caution. The company's fundamentals show a return on equity of 23.25% and a profit margin of 5.56%, which are solid, but the debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02 is high, and the current P/E ratio of 9.66 is below the sector median of 34, suggesting potential undervaluation if growth estimates are met.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from UAL's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $101.31 is 10.0% below the 50-day simple moving average of $112.54.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 6.9% below the 200-day simple moving average of $108.80.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($112.54) is 3.4% above the 200-day average ($108.80), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 31% of its 52-week range, between $84.64 and $138.77.
UAL share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far UAL has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where UAL sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 9.66 is 71.6% below the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.51 is 87.2% below the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $3.5B on revenue of $62.9B, a net margin of 5.6%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
UAL beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Key statistics
The headline figures for UAL.
As of October 15, 2026, UAL trades at $101.31, with a market value of $32.88B and a P/E ratio of 9.66.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of UAL's valuation, growth and risks.
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 9.66, which is significantly below the sector median of 34.
This valuation is further supported by a price-to-sales ratio of 0.51, also below the sector median of 4. The company demonstrates a strong return on equity of 23.25% and a net profit margin of 5.56%. However, its debt-to-equity ratio stands at 2.02, which is high and warrants monitoring. While current growth estimates for the year show a contraction of -25.5%, analysts project a substantial rebound with 62% growth next year, indicating confidence in future earnings potential.
UAL against the Industrials sector
How UAL compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: UAL trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-72%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs XLI: Since May 5, 2025, UAL has gained 35.3% against a gain of 23.7% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
UAL and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much UAL sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 3.5% in FY2025 to $59.1B, from $57.1B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 5.7% in FY2025, up from 5.5% the year before.
Profitable: UAL earned $3.4B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did UAL beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: UAL beat the analyst estimate in 8 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 5 of those 8 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026after close | $1.85 | $1.99 | +7.57% | -1.79% | -3.07% |
| Apr 21, 2026after close | $1.08 | $1.19 | +10.19% | -5.58% | -6.92% |
| Jan 20, 2026after close | $2.94 | $3.10 | +5.44% | +2.20% | -4.17% |
| Oct 15, 2025after close | $2.68 | $2.78 | +3.73% | -5.63% | -7.48% |
| Jul 16, 2025after close | $3.81 | $3.87 | +1.57% | +3.11% | +2.22% |
| Apr 15, 2025after close | $0.74 | $0.91 | +22.97% | -0.01% | +1.54% |
| Jan 21, 2025after close | $3.03 | $3.26 | +7.59% | -2.31% | -3.78% |
| Oct 15, 2024after close | $3.17 | $3.33 | +5.05% | +12.44% | +16.30% |
As of October 15, 2026, UAL has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 5 of those beats; its latest report, on July 15, 2026, came in 7.57% above the estimate and the stock moved -1.79% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 36.2, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 36.2 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of UAL
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($112.54) and 200-day SMA ($108.80), indicating a bearish trend.
The 14-day RSI is at 36.2, classified as bearish, suggesting a lack of upward momentum. The nearest support level is the current price of $101.31, with the 200-day SMA at $108.80 acting as resistance. Volume was below average on recent trading days, with the latest volume at 3.84 million compared to an average of 4.81 million, suggesting subdued investor interest. The stock's chart structure indicates a downward bias, with resistance from moving averages capping potential rallies.
Strong Analyst Price Target Upside ›
The median Wall Street price target for UAL is $150, representing a potential 48.1% upside from the current price, suggesting analyst confidence in future recovery.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusProjected Earnings Rebound in Next Year ›
Analysts forecast a significant increase in EPS for next year to $12.83 from an estimated $7.92 in the current year, indicating expected profit growth.
Source: Wall Street Estimates
Heavy Insider Selling Exceeding $65 Million ›
Insiders have sold over $65.5 million worth of UAL stock with no reported purchases, signaling potential concerns about future performance or valuation.
Source: Insider TransactionsStock Trading Below Key Moving Averages ›
UAL is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($112.54 and $108.80), indicating a bearish technical trend and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical Analysis
- Given the heavy insider selling totaling $65.5 million, investors should closely monitor future transactions and management commentary for any shifts in sentiment.
- The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($112.54 and $108.80), indicating bearish momentum; consider waiting for a confirmed break above these levels before initiating new long positions.
- With a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02, investors should be mindful of the company's leverage and its sensitivity to interest rate changes and economic downturns.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for UAL, from its daily closes.
As of October 15, 2026, with UAL at $101.31, its 14-day RSI is 36.2 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $112.54 and its 200-day is $108.80.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What UAL moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 15, 2026, UAL's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.63 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.56 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.25 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.11 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
23 of 25 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $150.00 is 48.1% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
23 of 25 rate it a buy now, against 23 of 25 three months ago.
UAL Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $101.31, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 2, 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy |
| Sep 28, 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform |
| Sep 24, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Rothschild & Co | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 15, 2026, 25 Wall Street analysts cover UAL: 23 rate it a buy or strong buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $102.00 to $203.00, with a median of $150.00, 48.1% above the price of $101.31.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
UAL trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from UAL's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much UAL tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
UAL's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.18% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 79.4%, from November 2018 to May 2020, regained by November 2024.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
61% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $18,661, against $42,405 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
UAL Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 15, 2026, UAL's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -79.4% (November 2018 to May 2020); it regained that peak by November 2024, 54 months after the low, and 61% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into UAL in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: UAL trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $18,661 against $42,405.
A $10,000 investment in UAL in October 2016 would be worth about $18,661 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,405 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to UAL, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +12.18%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -11.60%, up in 1 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +4.04%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, UAL's strongest calendar month has been November (average +12.18%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -11.60%, up in 1 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in UAL, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in UAL today could grow to about $18,518 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $140,487 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,441. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
UAL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $130 for UAL by 2030 in the base case, from $101 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $35.98. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on UAL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $56.77 | $108 | $205 | |
| 2028 | $46.30 | $115 | $284 | |
| 2029 | $40.17 | $122 | $370 | |
| 2030 | $35.98 | $130 | $467 | |
| 2031 | $32.90 | $138 | $578 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of UAL's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
UAL insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: No insider bought UAL shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 15, 2026, UAL insiders reported 18 open-market sales worth $65.5M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Andrew P Nocella
Officer
|
Sell | 5.0K | $585.0K |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Edward L Shapiro
Director
|
Grant | 50.0K | - |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Andrew P Nocella
Officer
|
Sell | 3.0K | $396.9K |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Michael D. Leskinen
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $1.3M |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Brett J Hart
President
|
Sell | 30.1K | $3.6M |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Andrew P Nocella
Officer
|
Sell | 4.2K | $506.0K |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kate Gebo
Officer
|
Grant | 5.0K | - |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Brett J Hart
President
|
Grant | 7.5K | - |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Brett J Hart
President
|
Option | 21.5K | $1.7M |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Torbjorn J Enqvist
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $2.4M |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Torbjorn J Enqvist
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 25.0K | - |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kate Gebo
Officer
|
Grant | 17.8K | - |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Brett J Hart
President
|
Grant | 46.4K | - |
| Jul 24, 2026 | John Scott Kirby
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 71.3K | - |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Michael D. Leskinen
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 17.8K | - |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Andrew P Nocella
Officer
|
Grant | 21.4K | - |
| Jul 21, 2026 | John Scott Kirby
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 159.3K | $18.8M |
| Jul 21, 2026 | John Scott Kirby
Chief Executive Officer
|
Option | 159.3K | $9.4M |
| Jun 16, 2026 | John Scott Kirby
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 49.4K | $6.0M |
| May 27, 2026 | Kate Gebo
Officer
|
Grant | 3.7K | - |
| May 26, 2026 | Kate Gebo
Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $4.2M |
| May 22, 2026 | James Moon Whitehurst
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| May 1, 2026 | Andrew P Nocella
Officer
|
Sell | 7.0K | $631.3K |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Brigitte Bokemeier
Officer
|
Grant | 2.1K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kate Gebo
Officer
|
Grant | 35.1K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Brett J Hart
President
|
Grant | 79.3K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | John Scott Kirby
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 129.4K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Michael D. Leskinen
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 24.0K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Andrew P Nocella
Officer
|
Grant | 31.1K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Brigitte Bokemeier
Officer
|
Grant | 485 | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Torbjorn J Enqvist
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 56.7K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Kate Gebo
Officer
|
Grant | 56.1K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Brett J Hart
President
|
Grant | 120.5K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | John Scott Kirby
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 199.2K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Michael D. Leskinen
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 28.3K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Andrew P Nocella
Officer
|
Grant | 48.5K | - |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Brett J Hart
President
|
Grant | 5.7K | - |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Brett J Hart
President
|
Sell | 19.0K | $2.0M |
| Dec 3, 2025 | John Scott Kirby
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 120.0K | $12.9M |
| Dec 3, 2025 | John Scott Kirby
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 20.0K | - |
| Sep 24, 2025 | John Scott Kirby
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 76.6K | - |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Kate Gebo
Officer
|
Sell | 36.3K | $3.5M |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Barney Harford
Director
|
Sell | 24.8K | $2.3M |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Kate Gebo
Officer
|
Grant | 11.8K | - |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Michael D. Leskinen
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 23.0K | $2.1M |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Michelle Freyre
Director
|
Sell | 900 | $82.9K |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Kate Gebo
Officer
|
Grant | 25.6K | - |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Brett J Hart
President
|
Sell | 24.8K | $2.2M |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Torbjorn J Enqvist
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 25.0K | - |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Kate Gebo
Officer
|
Grant | 17.8K | - |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Brett J Hart
President
|
Grant | 46.4K | - |
| Jul 25, 2025 | John Scott Kirby
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 71.3K | - |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Michael D. Leskinen
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 17.8K | - |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Andrew P Nocella
Officer
|
Grant | 21.4K | - |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Torbjorn J Enqvist
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $1.8M |
| May 23, 2025 | Michelle Freyre
Director
|
Grant | 3.5K | - |
| May 23, 2025 | James Moon Whitehurst
Director
|
Grant | 3.5K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 15, 2026.