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As of September 26, 2026, United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) trades at $113.99. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $113.99, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $160.00 across 25 analysts. RSI at 55 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $116.33.
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ
$113.99
2.800 (2.52%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is trading at $113.99, below its 50-day moving average but above its 200-day moving average, indicating a mixed short-term trend with longer-term support. Analysts maintain a strong Buy consensus, with a median price target of $160, suggesting a 40.4% upside potential. The company is expected to see significant revenue growth, with current year estimates at +15.00% year-over-year. Despite a heavy sell signal from insider transactions totaling $65.5 million in sales, the overall analyst sentiment and forward-looking growth estimates support a positive outlook for the stock.
UAL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$113.21
Day Range
$110.72 to $115.71
Prev Close
$111.19
Volume
3.41M
52-Week Range
$84.64 to $138.77
Market Cap
$37.00B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Industrials)
Performance vs XLI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-69%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
UAL Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, UAL beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
UAL Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+40.36% Upside
Median of 25 analysts (12-month)
$160.00
AI Technical Analysis
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is currently trading above its 20-day and 200-day moving averages, but below its 50-day moving average, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish short-term momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.59, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is slightly negative at -1.02. Key support is observed near the 200-day SMA of $109.01, with resistance potentially forming around the 50-day SMA of $116.33. Volume has been below average recently, which may temper the conviction of current price action.
ProTips
- Despite a heavy insider selling from insiders, the strong Wall Street Buy consensus and median price target of $160 suggest that analysts believe the selling is not indicative of fundamental weakness.
- UAL is trading above its 200-day SMA, indicating that longer-term investors are currently seeing value, but it is below its 50-day SMA, suggesting caution for short-term traders.
- Given the high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02, investors should monitor the company's cash flow and debt servicing capabilities closely, especially in a rising interest rate environment.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Analyst Buy Consensus and Upside Potential
25 analysts cover UAL with a median price target of $160, offering a 40.4% upside from the current price, indicating significant Wall Street optimism.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBullish
Positive Revenue Growth Estimates
Current year revenue estimates project a 15.00% year-over-year growth, signaling strong demand and operational expansion for United Airlines.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Above 200-Day Moving Average
UAL is trading above its 200-day Simple Moving Average ($109.01), suggesting that the longer-term trend remains positive.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold a total of $65.5 million in stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a heavy insider selling and potential lack of management confidence in the near term.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
High Debt-to-Equity Ratio
UAL's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02 is higher than the sector average, increasing financial risk, particularly in a rising interest rate environment.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is positive, driven by strong analyst conviction and a median price target of $160, implying a 40.4% upside from the current price. The company's revenue is expected to grow by 15.00% this year, and forward-looking EPS estimates are strong, with next year's EPS projected at $14.59. Potential catalysts include continued strong travel demand and effective cost management. However, downside risks include a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02 and significant insider selling pressure, which could weigh on investor sentiment if not offset by positive operational developments or improved market conditions.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 37.00B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 10.66 |
| EPS (TTM) | 10.69 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 138.77 |
| 52 Week Low | 84.64 |
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.66, which is significantly below the sector median of 34, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to its peers. The company's fundamentals show a strong return on equity of 23.25% and a net profit margin of 5.56%. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.59 is also below the sector median of 4. However, the debt-to-equity ratio stands at 2.02, which is higher than the sector average, indicating a more leveraged balance sheet.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
In the quarter to June 2026, United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.99, beating the analyst estimate of $1.85 by 7.57%, though the stock saw a 1.79% decline on the news. The company has shown a mixed but generally positive earnings surprise trend over the last four reported quarters, with three out of the last four quarters beating analyst expectations.
Key Risks
The primary risk for United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stems from significant insider selling, with over $65.5 million in sales reported, indicating a potential lack of confidence from management in the short term. Additionally, the company carries a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02, which could pose challenges during economic downturns or periods of rising interest rates.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 54.59 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.02 |
| SMA 50 | 116.33 |
| SMA 200 | 109.01 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($116.33) above the 200-day SMA ($109.01), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.63
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.56
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.25
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with UAL? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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UAL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$111.71
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$113.99
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$103.89
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (54.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$117.30
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$122.88
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$128.47
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for UAL is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in UAL in September 2016 would be worth about $23,052 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in UAL today could grow to about $21,532 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $163,358 and a bear case around $2,838. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
UAL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $155 for UAL by 2030 in the base case, from $114 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $43.00. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on UAL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $64.85 | $123 | $234 |
| 2028 | $53.69 | $133 | $329 |
| 2029 | $47.29 | $143 | $435 |
| 2030 | $43.00 | $155 | $558 |
| 2031 | $39.91 | $167 | $701 |
| 2032 | $37.59 | $181 | $868 |
| 2033 | $35.79 | $195 | $1,063 |
| 2034 | $34.37 | $211 | $1,290 |
| 2035 | $33.25 | $227 | $1,554 |
| 2036 | $32.35 | $245 | $1,862 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using UAL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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UAL Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$65.5M
18 Transactions
Insiders
11
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$3.6M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | KIRBY JOHN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 159.3K | $18.8M |
| Dec 3, 2025 | KIRBY JOHN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 120.0K | $12.9M |
| Jun 16, 2026 | KIRBY JOHN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 49.4K | $6.0M |
| Nov 22, 2024 | JOJO LINDA P
Officer
|
Sell | 60.0K | $5.7M |
| Jul 28, 2020 | SHAPIRO EDWARD L
Director
|
Sell | 157.7K | $5.2M |
| Nov 20, 2020 | MUNOZ OSCAR X
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 115.2K | $4.6M |
| May 26, 2026 | GEBO KATE
Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $4.2M |
| Jul 28, 2026 | HART BRETT J
President
|
Sell | 30.1K | $3.6M |
| Aug 12, 2025 | GEBO KATE
Officer
|
Sell | 36.3K | $3.5M |
| Sep 10, 2021 | HART BRETT J
President
|
Sell | 77.8K | $3.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock a buy right now?
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is currently rated a Buy by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $160.00, suggesting a potential upside of 40.4% from its current price of $113.99. The stock is trading above its 200-day moving average, indicating longer-term support.
What is UAL's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) has a base case forecast of $154.92 for 2030, with a downside projection of $43.00 and an upside projection of $558.08. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
How are United Airlines' recent earnings?
In the quarter to June 2026, UAL reported an EPS of $1.99, beating estimates by 7.57%. The stock experienced a 1.79% decline following this report, but overall earnings have shown a positive surprise trend in recent quarters.
What is the Wall Street consensus for UAL stock?
The Wall Street consensus for UAL stock is predominantly Buy, with 4 Strong Buy, 19 Buy, and 1 Hold rating among 25 analysts. The overall consensus score is 75 out of 100.
What are the key risks facing United Airlines Holdings, Inc.?
A significant risk for UAL is the heavy insider selling, with over $65.5 million in sales. The company also holds a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.02, which could be a concern in challenging economic conditions.
How does UAL's valuation compare to its sector peers?
UAL's P/E ratio of 10.66 is substantially lower than the sector median of 34, and its price-to-sales ratio of 0.59 is also below the sector average of 4, suggesting it may be undervalued compared to other Industrials companies.
What is the revenue growth outlook for United Airlines?
United Airlines is projected to experience strong revenue growth, with current year estimates indicating a 15.00% year-over-year increase. Next year's revenue growth is estimated at 5.00%.