Stock·NYSE·Industrials
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)
- Market cap
- $78.58B
- P/E
- 25.00
- Dividend yield
- 2.37%
- Street target
- $298.50median of 16 analysts
- 52-week range
- $238.82 $303.16
ITW stock forecast today
Where ITW stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
ITW at a glance
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW): Buy, 66/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($271.71 and $270.31).
- Earnings ITW beat estimates in 7 of the 7 reports in our data, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $69.1M and bought $2.1M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 25.0 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: a discount to peers (-26%).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) carries a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 66/100.
The biggest contributor to that score is valuation: the P/E of 25.00 is 26.5% below the sector median P/E, a discount to peers. The largest drag is revenue growth, with revenue up 6.10%, 5.6 percentage points slower than the sector median. The trend is up, with the price 1.55% above its 50-day average of $271.71 and 2.08% above its 200-day average of $270.31. Across the past year, the price gained 11.35%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ITW's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
ITW stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
4/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $275.93 is 1.6% above the 50-day simple moving average of $271.71.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 2.1% above the 200-day simple moving average of $270.31.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($271.71) is 0.5% above the 200-day average ($270.31), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 58% of its 52-week range, between $238.82 and $303.16.
ITW share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far ITW has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where ITW sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
ITW fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 25.00 is 26.5% below the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 4.77 is 19.2% above the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $3.2B on revenue of $16.5B, a net margin of 19.4%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
ITW beat the EPS estimate in 7 of the 7 reports in our data.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 2.37%, or $6.55 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for ITW.
As of October 27, 2026, ITW trades at $275.93, with a market value of $78.58B, a P/E ratio of 25.00 and a dividend yield of 2.37%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of ITW's valuation, growth and risks.
ITW's trailing P/E of 25.00 sits 26.5% below the Industrials median of 34.0, and the peer comparison on this page rates the P/E as a discount to peers. For scale, the company's market capitalisation is $78.6B.
ITW is growing more slowly than its sector. Revenue rose 6.10% in the most recent available quarter compared with the same quarter a year earlier, while the sector median is 11.7%. The company converts sales into profit with a net margin of 19.39% and an operating margin of 26.90%. Its return on equity of 104.62% is above the sector median of 17.8%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity stands at 3.35, and the trailing dividend yield is 2.37%, or $6.55 a share per year.
ITW's most recent available report in our data, dated April 30, 2026, beat the estimate by 3.91%, with EPS of $2.66 against the $2.56 analysts had expected. The stock moved the other way: it fell 0.98% in the following session.
ITW has beaten the EPS estimate in all 7 reports in our data, though the stock still fell in the first session after 3 of those 7 beats. Looking ahead, analysts expect EPS of $11.43 this fiscal year (growth of 9.0%) and $12.34 the year after (growth of 7.9%).
ITW's typical daily swing is about 1.22%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.98. Over the last 18 months, insiders sold $69.1M of stock and bought $2.1M. Insider sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they tell less than purchases do.
ITW against the Industrials sector
How ITW compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: ITW trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-26%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs XLI: Since May 15, 2025, ITW has gained 11.3% against a gain of 18.1% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
ITW and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much ITW sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 0.9% in FY2025 to $16.0B, from $15.9B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 19.1% in FY2025, down from 21.9% the year before.
Profitable: ITW earned $3.1B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did ITW beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: ITW beat the analyst estimate in 7 of the 7 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 7 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026after close | $2.56 | $2.66 | +3.91% | -0.98% | -0.96% |
| Feb 3, 2026after close | $2.69 | $2.72 | +1.12% | +3.55% | +5.50% |
| Oct 24, 2025after close | $2.72 | $2.81 | +3.31% | +0.84% | -0.74% |
| Jul 30, 2025after close | $2.56 | $2.58 | +0.78% | +0.91% | +1.51% |
| Apr 30, 2025after close | $2.35 | $2.38 | +1.28% | -0.28% | +0.17% |
| Feb 5, 2025after close | $2.50 | $2.54 | +1.60% | +0.33% | +0.71% |
| Oct 30, 2024after close | $2.53 | $2.65 | +4.74% | -1.21% | +4.21% |
Reports after April 30, 2026 are not yet in our data.
As of October 27, 2026, ITW has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 7 of the 7 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its most recent report in our data, on April 30, 2026, came in 3.91% above the estimate and the stock moved -0.98% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
ITW AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 57.2, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 57.2 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of ITW
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
ITW is in an uptrend. The stock sits at $275.93, 1.55% above its 50-day average of $271.71 and 2.08% above its 200-day average of $270.31. The 50-day average is 0.52% above the 200-day, so the two averages point the same way. Over the past year, the price is 15.54% above the 52-week low of $238.82 and 8.98% below the high of $303.16.
The short-term and long-term picture diverge. Over the past month the price rose 0.59%, but over the past three months it fell 6.52%, and over the past year it rose 11.35%. Last session volume was 55.7% above its average, even though the price slipped 0.10% that day. The 14-day RSI sits at 57.2, in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is positive.
Analyst downgrade ›
JP Morgan downgraded it to Neutral from Overweight on October 9, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, October 9, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The April 30, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 3.91%, and the share price fell 0.98% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, April 30, 2026
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 52-week high at $303.16 above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $271.90 below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 57.2, which is neutral, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum in either direction.
- The share price fell 0.98% in the first session after the April 30, 2026 report. Across the 7 reports in our data, ITW beat estimates each time.
The uptrend rests on ITW staying above its 50-day average at $271.71 and its 200-day average at $270.31; a close below the 50-day would be the first crack in it. On a pullback, the first level the price would meet is the 20-day EMA at $271.90.
The next level overhead for ITW is the 52-week high at $303.16. The 14-day RSI of 57.2 sits in neutral territory, between 40 and 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for ITW, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with ITW at $275.93, its 14-day RSI is 57.2 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $271.71 and its 200-day is $270.31.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What ITW moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, ITW's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.52 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.35 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.03 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.09 with gold (XAU).
ITW price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
1 of 16 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 12 a hold and 3 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $298.50 is 8.2% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
1 of 16 rate it a buy now, against 2 of 16 three months ago.
ITW Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Underperform |
| Jul 29, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral |
| Jul 13, 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight |
As of October 27, 2026, 16 Wall Street analysts cover ITW: 1 rate it a buy or strong buy, 12 a hold and 3 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $249.00 to $326.00. The median ITW price target is $298.50, 8.2% above the price of $275.93.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
ITW trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
ITW trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from ITW's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much ITW tends to move, against the market and on its own.
ITW price history and drawdowns
ITW's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.22% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 29.8%, from January 2018 to October 2018, regained by October 2019.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
77% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $30,671, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
ITW Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, ITW's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -29.8% (January 2018 to October 2018); it regained that peak by October 2019, 12 months after the low, and 77% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into ITW in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: ITW trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $30,671 against $42,376.
A $10,000 investment in ITW in October 2016 would be worth about $30,671 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to ITW, and which have not.
Strongest month, July: an average of +5.15%, up in 9 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -2.09%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +2.53%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, ITW's strongest calendar month has been July (average +5.15%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.09%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
ITW stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in ITW, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in ITW today could grow to about $13,347 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $24,640 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,230. The simulation models price only; at today's 2.37% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ITW Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $368 for ITW by 2030 in the base case, from $276 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $199. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ITW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $218 | $297 | $403 | |
| 2028 | $207 | $319 | $492 | |
| 2029 | $201 | $343 | $583 | |
| 2030 | $199 | $368 | $680 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of ITW's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
ITW insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
ITW insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $2.1M on the open market and sold $69.1M.
As of October 27, 2026, ITW insiders reported 7 open-market sales worth $69.1M and 3 open-market purchases worth $2.1M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Sell | 41.4K | $11.9M |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Option | 41.4K | $7.8M |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Matteo C. Pigozzo
Officer
|
Sell | 277 | $80.1K |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Susan Crown
Director
|
Grant | 58 | $17.2K |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Grant | 117 | $35.0K |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jennifer F. Scanlon
Director
|
Grant | 117 | $35.0K |
| Aug 7, 2026 | David Byron Smith Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 130 | $38.6K |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Jennifer F. Scanlon
Director
|
Buy | 806 | $199.9K |
| May 8, 2026 | Daniel J Brutto
Director
|
Grant | 765 | $194.9K |
| May 8, 2026 | Susan Crown
Director
|
Grant | 833 | $212.2K |
| May 8, 2026 | Darrell L Ford
Director
|
Grant | 765 | $194.9K |
| May 8, 2026 | Kelly J. Grier
Director
|
Grant | 765 | $194.9K |
| May 8, 2026 | James W Griffith
Director
|
Grant | 765 | $194.9K |
| May 8, 2026 | Jay L. Henderson
Director
|
Grant | 765 | $194.9K |
| May 8, 2026 | Jaime A Irick
Director
|
Grant | 765 | $194.9K |
| May 8, 2026 | Richard H Lenny
Director
|
Grant | 765 | $194.9K |
| May 8, 2026 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | $479.7K |
| May 8, 2026 | Jennifer F. Scanlon
Director
|
Grant | 846 | $215.5K |
| May 8, 2026 | David Byron Smith Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 917 | $233.6K |
| May 8, 2026 | Pamela B Strobel
Director
|
Grant | 765 | $194.9K |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Axel Beck
Officer
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Javier Gracia Carbonell
Officer
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | T. Kenneth Escoe
Officer
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Patricia A Hartzell
Officer
|
Grant | 1.9K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Michael M Larsen
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 6.4K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Mary Katherine Lawler
Officer
|
Grant | 2.7K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Herlihy Christopher A O
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 7.0K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Grant | 9.6K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Randall J Scheuneman
Officer
|
Grant | 803 | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Guilherme De Figueiredo Silva
Officer
|
Grant | 598 | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Sharon Szafranski
Officer
|
Grant | 2.1K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Mark A Thibeault
Officer
|
Grant | 469 | - |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Christopher P Rauch
General Counsel
|
Grant | 477 | - |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Mary Katherine Lawler
Officer
|
Sell | 17.3K | $5.0M |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Susan Crown
Director
|
Grant | 61 | $17.9K |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Mary Katherine Lawler
Officer
|
Option | 17.3K | $2.8M |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Grant | 119 | $35.0K |
| Feb 6, 2026 | David Byron Smith Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 131 | $38.5K |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Axel Beck
Officer
|
Sell | 4.2K | $1.2M |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Axel Beck
Officer
|
Option | 5.9K | $843.5K |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Sell | 167.3K | $48.7M |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Option | 167.3K | $24.1M |
| Dec 10, 2025 | David Byron Smith Jr.
Director
|
Buy | 6.7K | $1.7M |
| Dec 10, 2025 | David Byron Smith Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 6.7K | - |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Darrell L Ford
Director
|
Grant | 142 | $34.9K |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Grant | 142 | $34.9K |
| Nov 7, 2025 | David Byron Smith Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 157 | $38.5K |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Pamela B Strobel
Director
|
Sell | 1.5K | $373.0K |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Pamela B Strobel
Director
|
Grant | 1.0K | - |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Randall J Scheuneman
Officer
|
Sell | 6.8K | $1.8M |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Randall J Scheuneman
Officer
|
Option | 6.8K | $870.7K |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Grant | 3.8K | - |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Darrell L Ford
Director
|
Grant | 138 | $35.0K |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Grant | 138 | $35.0K |
| Aug 1, 2025 | David Byron Smith Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 153 | $38.6K |
| Jun 2, 2025 | David Byron Smith Jr.
Director
|
Buy | 872 | $210.3K |
| Jun 2, 2025 | David Byron Smith Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 872 | - |
| May 2, 2025 | Daniel J Brutto
Director
|
Grant | 763 | $184.9K |
| May 2, 2025 | Susan Crown
Director
|
Grant | 763 | $184.9K |
| May 2, 2025 | Darrell L Ford
Director
|
Grant | 907 | $219.8K |
| May 2, 2025 | Kelly J. Grier
Director
|
Grant | 763 | $184.9K |
| May 2, 2025 | James W Griffith
Director
|
Grant | 763 | $184.9K |
| May 2, 2025 | Jay L. Henderson
Director
|
Grant | 763 | $184.9K |
| May 2, 2025 | Jaime A Irick
Director
|
Grant | 763 | $184.9K |
| May 2, 2025 | Richard H Lenny
Director
|
Grant | 763 | $184.9K |
| May 2, 2025 | Ernest Scott Santi
Director
|
Grant | 1.9K | $469.6K |
| May 2, 2025 | David Byron Smith Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 922 | $223.4K |
| May 2, 2025 | Pamela B Strobel
Director
|
Grant | 763 | $184.9K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
ITW stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.