CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Shaun David, Co-Founder. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) is an actively managed fund focusing on dividend-paying U.S. large- and mid-cap companies. Its strategy aims to provide income above the average yield of U.S. stocks while pursuing long-term capital growth. The fund's portfolio is primarily invested in U.S. companies, with a notable concentration in the Technology sector, accounting for 39.25% of its assets. Other significant sector allocations include Industrials (12.25%) and Communication Services (11.66%). The ETF holds 97.14% in stocks and 2.85% in cash, reflecting a fully invested stance. Recent performance shows a slight pullback, with a -1.90% return in the last month and -0.67% over three months, though its year-to-date return stands at a positive 12.95%.
CGDV at a glance
Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV): Buy, 78/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendMixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($47.17 and $49.86).
FundExpense ratio 0.33%, $38.4B in net assets, +17.7% total return over 1 year.
As of October 14, 2026, Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) trades at $49.14. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 46, in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $49.86.
Figures as of October 14, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from CGDV's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
Capital Group Dividend Value ETF is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that focuses on dividend-paying common stocks of larger, established U.S. companies. The fund seeks to provide income above the average yield of U.S. stocks while also pursuing long-term growth of capital through sound equity investing. Its portfolio is centered on large- and mid-cap companies, with most assets typically invested in U.S.-domiciled businesses and a limited allocation allowed to larger international companies.
Issuer
Capital Group
Category
Large Value
Inception
Feb 22, 2022
Expense ratio
0.33%
Net assets
$38.42B
NAV
$49.79
Distribution yield
1.23%
YTD return
12.95%
Turnover
24.00%
Sector weights
Technology39.3%
Industrials12.3%
Communication Services11.7%
Consumer Cyclical10.0%
Healthcare8.1%
Consumer Defensive5.4%
Other13.3%
Trailing total returns
Period
CGDV
YTD
12.95%
1 month
-1.90%
3 months
-0.67%
1 year
17.73%
3 years
24.50%
As of Oct 14, 2026, CGDV has an expense ratio of 0.33%, $38.42B in net assets and a distribution yield of 1.23%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 14, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
CGDV Analysis
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreBuy
CGDV is currently trading below its 20-day EMA at $49.41 and its 50-day SMA at $49.86, indicating short-term downward pressure. However, the price remains above its 200-day SMA at $47.17, suggesting that the longer-term trend is still intact. The 14-day RSI is at 45.57, which is in neutral territory, showing no strong overbought or oversold conditions. The MACD is slightly negative at -0.037, hinting at a potential bearish momentum, but the CCI at -29.84 suggests it is not significantly oversold. The nearest support level is the 200-day SMA at $47.17, while resistance is seen at the 50-day SMA around $49.86 and the 20-day EMA near $49.41.
ProTips
Consider the ETF's expense ratio of 0.33% in relation to its performance and potential for income generation.
Market Outlook
The outlook for the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) is cautiously optimistic, contingent on the performance of its dominant Technology sector holdings and the broader market's appetite for dividend-paying stocks. While the ETF is currently experiencing some short-term technical weakness, trading below its 20-day EMA and 50-day SMA, its position above the 200-day SMA suggests underlying strength. A sustained move above the $49.86 resistance level could signal a resumption of the uptrend. Investors should monitor sector rotation and the overall economic environment, as shifts away from growth-oriented sectors could impact CGDV's performance.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.94
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.86
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.41
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.18
Weak correlation
As of October 14, 2026, CGDV's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.94 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.86 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.41 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.18 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with CGDV? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
Net Assets
38.42B
Expense Ratio
0.3300%
Yield
1.23%
Day High
$49.55
Day Low
$49.01
52 Week High
51.64
52 Week Low
41.31
The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) is built around a strategy of investing in dividend-paying large- and mid-cap U.S. companies, with a significant overweight in the Technology sector (39.25%). This concentration in technology, alongside substantial holdings in Industrials (12.25%) and Communication Services (11.66%), means the fund's performance is closely tied to these growth-oriented areas. The expense ratio for CGDV is 0.33%, costing $33.00 per $10,000 invested. With net assets totaling $38.42 billion, it is a substantial fund. The fund's actively managed approach seeks to balance income generation with capital appreciation, drawing from Capital Group's expertise.
Fund Performance Analysis
Its significant exposure to the Technology sector means its performance is influenced by the earnings trends of major tech companies. The fund's focus on dividend-paying stocks suggests an emphasis on mature companies with stable cash flows, which typically have more predictable earnings. The overall sector earnings environment, particularly within technology and industrials, will be a key driver for the fund's capital growth component. The ETF's strategy implies a preference for companies with a history of consistent dividend payouts, often indicative of strong underlying profitability.
Key Risks
The primary risk for CGDV is its high concentration in the Technology sector, which can lead to significant volatility if this sector experiences a downturn. Additionally, as an actively managed fund, its performance is dependent on the skill of the portfolio managers in selecting dividend-paying stocks that also offer capital growth potential. The current technical setup, with the price below its short-term moving averages, suggests potential for further downside in the near term.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
45.57
MACD (12, 26)
-0.0369
SMA (50-day)
49.86
SMA (200-day)
47.17
Technical RatingBearish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Neutral
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($49.86) above the 200-day SMA ($47.17), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 14, 2026, with CGDV at $49.14, its 14-day RSI is 45.6 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $49.86 and its 200-day is $47.17.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 14, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
CGDV Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$48.16
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$49.14
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$46.71
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (45.6) and current market volatility
These levels come from CGDV's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CGDV in February 2022 would be worth about $20,166 today, compared with about $18,165 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
Compare with Another Ticker
CGDV Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 5 years
-19.9%
March 2022 to September 2022
Recovery
8 months
back at the old peak by June 2023
From the 5-year high
-4.5%
highest close, August 2026
1-year holds that gained
95%
of every 1-year window
As of October 14, 2026, CGDV's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 5 years was -19.9% (March 2022 to September 2022); it regained that peak by June 2023, 8 months after the low, and 95% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CGDV today could grow to about $24,568 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $45,554 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $13,250 (above the amount invested: over ten years most simulated paths of a rising, moderately volatile asset end higher). The simulation models price only; at today's 1.23% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CGDV 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $70.40 for CGDV by 2030 in the base case, from $49.14 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $47.64. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CGDV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
CGDV simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$44.23
$53.76
$65.35
2028
$44.63
$58.82
$77.52
2029
$45.89
$64.35
$90.24
2030
$47.64
$70.40
$104
2031
$49.77
$77.02
$119
Method: a lognormal simulation of CGDV's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) and what does it cost per $10,000 invested?
The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) has an expense ratio of 0.33%. This translates to a cost of $33.00 for every $10,000 invested in the fund.
What sectors does the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) concentrate in?
CGDV is heavily concentrated in the Technology sector, holding 39.25% of its assets. Other significant allocations include Industrials at 12.25% and Communication Services at 11.66%.
What is the dividend yield for the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV)?
The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) has a dividend yield of 1.23%.
How has the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) performed year-to-date and over the past year?
The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) has achieved a year-to-date return of 12.95% and a 1-year trailing return of 17.73%.
How does the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) compare to its benchmark in terms of returns?
CGDV has shown strong trailing returns, with a 1-year return of 17.73% and a 3-year return of 24.50%. Its year-to-date return is 12.95%.
Is CGDV in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) trades at $49.14, above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($47.17 and $49.86). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 45.6, in neutral territory.
What is CGDV's biggest drop in the last 5 years?
Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 5 years was -19.9%, from March 2022 to September 2022. It regained that peak by June 2023, 8 months after the low. Over the same period, 95% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are CGDV's best and worst months?
Over the last 5 years, November has been CGDV's strongest month on average (+4.79%, rising in 3 of 4 years) and September its weakest (-2.16%, rising in 2 of 5 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does CGDV move with the stock market?
Over the past year CGDV's daily returns were strongly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.94). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.86; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.41; Gold (XAU): +0.18. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for CGDV in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from CGDV's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $70.40, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $47.64 and $104.03. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.
