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01

CGDV ETF forecast today

Where CGDV stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

CGDV at a glance

Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV): Buy, 62/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($47.46 and $49.41).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.33%, $38.4B in net assets, price up 14.4% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 30, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CGDV, also known as Capital Group Dividend Value ETF, earns a CleaRank rating of Buy with a model score of 62/100.

Its trend contributes most to that score: the price is 2.84% above the 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 4.10% above the 200-day. Momentum is the main drag, since the MACD line is negative. The 50-day average is $49.41 and the 200-day average is $47.46, and the price rose 14.39% over the past year.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from CGDV's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

CGDV ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

3/4
  • Price below its 50-day average ›
    The price of $48.81 is 1.2% below the 50-day simple moving average of $49.41.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 2.8% above the 200-day simple moving average of $47.46.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($49.41) is 4.1% above the 200-day average ($47.46), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 73% of its 52-week range, between $41.31 and $51.64.

CGDV share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far CGDV has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $42.67 Oct 30, 2025
Latest close $48.81 Oct 30, 2026
High $51.44 Aug 13, 2026
Low $41.46 Mar 30, 2026

Today's trading

Where CGDV sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 1.42% wide
$48.81
$48.52 $49.21
52-week range 73% of the way up
$48.81
$41.31 $51.64
Open
$49.21
Previous close
$49.55
Volume
3.36M
17% above average
03

CGDV fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

3/5
  • Expense ratio above 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.33% a year, $33.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $38.4B.
  • One sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Technology, makes up 39.3% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 1.23%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price rose 14.39% over the past year.

CGDV Fund Facts

Capital Group Dividend Value ETF is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that focuses on dividend-paying common stocks of larger, established U.S. companies. The fund seeks to provide income above the average yield of U.S. stocks while also pursuing long-term growth of capital through sound equity investing. Its portfolio is centered on large- and mid-cap companies, with most assets typically invested in U.S.-domiciled businesses and a limited allocation allowed to larger international companies.

Issuer
Capital Group
Category
Large Value
Inception
Feb 22, 2022
Expense ratio
0.33%
Net assets
$38.42B
Distribution yield
1.23%
YTD total return (fund family)
12.95%
Turnover
24.00%

Sector weights

Technology 39.3%
Industrials 12.3%
Communication Services 11.7%
Consumer Cyclical 10.0%
Healthcare 8.1%
Consumer Defensive 5.4%
Other 13.3%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period CGDV
YTD 12.95%
1 month -1.90%
3 months -0.67%
1 year 17.73%
3 years 24.50%

As of Nov 1, 2026, CGDV has an expense ratio of 0.33%, $38.42B in net assets and a distribution yield of 1.23%.

Fund reference data as of Nov 1, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for CGDV.

Net Assets
38.42B
Expense Ratio
0.33%
Yield
1.23%
Day High
$49.21
Day Low
$48.52
52 Week High
51.64
52 Week Low
41.31

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of CGDV's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

CGDV is a Large Value fund from Capital Group that launched on February 22, 2022. Technology is its biggest sector at 39.3%, with Industrials at 12.3% and Communication Services at 11.7% behind it. Because more than a third of the fund sits in one sector, its moves tend to follow that sector more closely than those of a broadly spread fund.

CGDV charges 0.33% a year, which works out to $33.00 on each $10,000 placed in the fund. Total net assets stand at $38.4B. Distribution yield is 1.23%, and portfolio turnover is 24%.

Key risks

With 39.3% of its holdings in Technology, the fund depends heavily on one sector. Normal swings for CGDV run at about 0.62% a day.

04

CGDV AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 44.6, in neutral territory.
  • RSI below 50 ›
    An RSI of 44.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line below zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of CGDV

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
62/100
Buy
What the AI sees

The trend is mixed for CGDV. At $48.81, the fund sits 1.21% below its 50-day average of $49.41, yet 2.84% above its 200-day average of $47.46. Near the top of its 52-week range, the price is 5.47% below the high of $51.64 and 18.16% above the low of $41.31.

The recent pullback sits within a stronger, longer-term record. Over the past month the price slipped 0.08%, and over the past three months it slid 1.47%, yet over the past year it climbed 14.39%. The 14-day RSI reads 44.6, which is in the neutral zone, while the MACD line is negative.

ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $49.17 sits above the price, and the 200-day SMA at $47.46 sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI is 44.6, which is neutral, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.33% a year, CGDV charges $33.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

The trend is mixed: CGDV is above its 200-day average at $47.46 but below its 50-day average at $49.41. A close above the 50-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 200-day would turn both down. The nearest levels are the 200-day SMA at $47.46 below and the 20-day EMA at $49.17 above.

A 14-day RSI of 44.6 places CGDV in the neutral band, which spans 40 to 60.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for CGDV, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
44.614-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.0922 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-1.2%price against the 50-day average
200-day $47.46 50-day $49.41 Price $48.81
Price against the 200-day +2.8% Bullish

As of October 30, 2026, with CGDV at $48.81, its 14-day RSI is 44.6 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $49.41 and its 200-day is $47.46.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What CGDV moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.94 Strong
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.86 Strong
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.40 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.18 Weak

As of October 30, 2026, CGDV's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.94 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.86 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.40 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.18 with gold (XAU).

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05

CGDV trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

CGDV trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$47.83
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$48.81
Entry at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
$46.40
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (44.6) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$50.23
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$52.62
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$55.01
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from CGDV's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much CGDV tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
0.62%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$48.81
$41.31 73% of the way up $51.64

Compare CGDV

Put CGDV side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

CGDV price history and drawdowns

CGDV's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

4/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 0.62% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 19.3%, from March 2022 to September 2022, regained by April 2023.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    97% of 1-year holding periods in the last 5 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in February 2022 is now worth $21,266, against $18,795 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

CGDV Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall since February 2022
-19.3%
March 2022 to September 2022
Recovery
7 months
back at the old peak by April 2023
From the high since February 2022
-5.1%
highest close, August 2026
1-year holds that gained
97%
of every 1-year window

As of October 30, 2026, CGDV's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since February 2022 with dividends reinvested was -19.3% (March 2022 to September 2022); it regained that peak by April 2023, 7 months after the low, and 97% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into CGDV in February 2022 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

CGDV today
$21,266
from $10,000 in February 2022, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$18,795
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$2,471
1.1x the index result
Total change
+113%
2.1x the starting amount
2023202420252026
CGDV S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: CGDV beat the S&P 500 over this period: $21,266 against $18,795.

A $10,000 investment in CGDV in February 2022 would be worth about $21,266 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $18,795 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to CGDV, and which have not.

Jan4/4 upFeb3/4 upMar3/5 upApr2/5 upMay4/5 upJun4/5 upJul5/5 upAug3/5 upSep2/5 upOct2/4 upNov3/4 upDec2/4 up

Strongest month, November: an average of +4.79%, up in 3 of 4 years.

Weakest month, September: an average of -1.99%, up in 2 of 5 years.

This month, November: has averaged +4.79%, up in 3 of 4 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 5 years, CGDV's strongest calendar month has been November (average +4.79%, up in 3 of 4 years) and its weakest September (average -1.99%, up in 2 of 5 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 5 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

CGDV price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in CGDV, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$9,661
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$14,264
median path
Upside, 2030
$21,062
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 4.7 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in CGDV today could grow to about $14,264 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $21,062 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $9,661. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.23% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

CGDV 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$48.81
Base case, 2030
$69.62
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$47.15 to $103
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $69.62 for CGDV by 2030 in the base case, from $48.81 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $47.15. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CGDV's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

CGDV simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $43.90 $53.34 $64.82
2028 $44.25 $58.30 $76.79
2029 $45.46 $63.71 $89.28
2030 $47.15 $69.62 $103

Method: a lognormal simulation of CGDV's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

CGDV ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.

CGDV Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) a buy right now?
CleaRank's model scores CGDV 62/100, a Buy rating. The trend does the most to lift the score, since the price is 2.84% above its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 4.10% above the 200-day. The main offset is momentum: the MACD line is negative. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price rose 14.39%. Over shorter periods it fell 1.47% in three months and fell 0.08% in the past month. It now trades 5.47% below its 52-week high of $51.64.
What does CGDV cost to own?
The expense ratio for CGDV is 0.33%, or $33.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. That cost comes out of the fund's assets instead of being charged as a separate bill.
What are the largest sectors in CGDV?
Technology accounts for 39.3% of the fund, the largest share. Industrials follows at 12.3%, and Communication Services at 11.7%.
Does CGDV pay a dividend?
Yes, CGDV pays a distribution yield of 1.23%. Yield is the payout divided by the price, so it moves whenever either of those moves.
What are the key price levels for CGDV?
The 20-day EMA at $49.17 and the 50-day SMA at $49.41 are the nearest levels above the price. Below the price, the 200-day SMA at $47.46 comes first, followed by the 52-week low at $41.31.
How volatile is CGDV?
On an average day, CGDV's price moves 0.62%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of CGDV?
Over the past 52 weeks, CGDV has moved between $41.31 and $51.64. With the price at $48.81, it sits at 73% of that span, 18.16% above the low and 5.47% below the high.
Is CGDV in an uptrend?
Not clearly. Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) trades at $48.81, above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($47.46 and $49.41). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 44.6, in neutral territory.
What is CGDV's biggest drop in the period since February 2022?
Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since February 2022 was -19.3%, from March 2022 to September 2022 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by April 2023, 7 months after the low. Over the same period, 97% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for CGDV are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on November 1, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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