Stock·NYSE·Technology
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO)
- Market cap
- $11.38B
- P/E
- 95.06
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $395.00median of 12 analysts
- 52-week range
- $118.97 $386.46
The short version
Where ONTO stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
ONTO at a glance
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO): Buy, 75/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($286.75 and $259.26).
- Earnings ONTO beat estimates in 5 of its last 8 quarters, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $902K and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 95.1 against 35.1 for the Technology sector: a premium to peers (+171%).
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) is currently trading at $231.95, below its 50-day SMA of $286.75 and 200-day SMA of $259.26, indicating a bearish technical trend.
The company, operating in the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials industry, has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 35.3% year-over-year, significantly outpacing the sector median of 24.2%. Despite the current technical weakness, Wall Street analysts maintain a strong consensus with a median price target of $395.00, implying a 70.3% upside from the current price. Fundamental analysis reveals a high P/E ratio of 95.06, considerably above the sector average of 35.1, suggesting the stock may be richly valued. However, the company's profit margin of 11.84% and operating margin of 22.97% are strong, and its revenue growth is exceptional. Moderate insider selling, with $902.3K in sales versus no reported purchases, warrants attention as a potential risk factor.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ONTO's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $231.95 is 19.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $286.75.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 10.5% below the 200-day simple moving average of $259.26.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($286.75) is 10.6% above the 200-day average ($259.26), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 42% of its 52-week range, between $118.97 and $386.46.
ONTO share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far ONTO has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where ONTO sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
2/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 95.06 is 170.8% above the Technology median of 35.1.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 10.16 is 33.7% above the sector median of 7.6.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $132.6M on revenue of $1.1B, a net margin of 11.8%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
ONTO beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Key statistics
The headline figures for ONTO.
As of October 16, 2026, ONTO trades at $231.95, with a market value of $11.38B and a P/E ratio of 95.06.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of ONTO's valuation, growth and risks.
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) presents a mixed fundamental picture, with a high P/E ratio of 95.06, significantly exceeding the sector median of 35.1, and a price-to-sales ratio of 10.16, also above the sector median of 7.6.
This valuation suggests the stock may be trading at a premium relative to its earnings and sales. However, the company demonstrates strong operational efficiency with a profit margin of 11.84% and an operating margin of 22.97%, both of which are strong. Its return on equity stands at 6.83%, which is below the sector median of 13.4. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.77, aligning with the sector average. The company's exceptional revenue growth of 35.3% is a key strength, outpacing the sector average of 24.2%, which may justify some of the premium valuation.
ONTO against the Technology sector
How ONTO compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: ONTO trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+171%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
Return vs XLK: Since May 5, 2025, ONTO has gained 86.5% against a gain of 75.6% for XLK.
Performance against XLK
ONTO and the Technology sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much ONTO sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 1.8% in FY2025 to $1.0B, from $987M a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 13.6% in FY2025, down from 20.4% the year before.
Profitable: ONTO earned $137M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did ONTO beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: ONTO beat the analyst estimate in 5 of the last 8 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 5 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026after close | $1.69 | $1.93 | +14.20% | +14.74% | +25.72% |
| May 5, 2026after close | $1.42 | $1.42 | +0.00% | -3.59% | -8.87% |
| Feb 19, 2026after close | $1.26 | $1.26 | +0.00% | -3.96% | -3.31% |
| Nov 6, 2025after close | $0.87 | $0.92 | +5.75% | +5.57% | -1.53% |
| Aug 7, 2025after close | $1.28 | $1.25 | -2.34% | +11.01% | +18.72% |
| May 8, 2025after close | $1.47 | $1.51 | +2.72% | -30.21% | -22.69% |
| Feb 6, 2025after close | $1.41 | $1.51 | +7.09% | -11.22% | -17.45% |
| Oct 31, 2024after close | $1.32 | $1.34 | +1.52% | -11.21% | -11.11% |
As of October 16, 2026, ONTO has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on August 6, 2026, came in 14.20% above the estimate and the stock moved +14.74% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 31.5, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 31.5 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of ONTO
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($286.75) and 200-day SMA ($259.26), indicating a bearish trend.
The 14-day RSI is at 31.46, signaling bearish momentum and suggesting the stock is approaching oversold territory but not yet there. The MACD is at -6.116, further reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the current downward trend, but the price is approaching levels not seen since early 2026. Resistance is expected around the 50-day and 200-day SMAs. Volume on the latest trading day was 1.5 million shares, above the average of 1.07 million, suggesting increased selling pressure. The current technical setup points to potential further downside in the short term before any significant recovery.
Strong Analyst Price Targets ›
12 Wall Street analysts have issued price targets with a median of $395.00, implying a 70.3% upside from the current price of $231.95.
Source: Wall Street ResearchConsistent Earnings Beats ›
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) has a history of exceeding EPS estimates, with the latest quarter showing a 14.2% surprise and driving a 14.74% stock price increase.
Source: Company Earnings ReportsHigh Revenue Growth ›
The company reported 35.3% revenue growth, significantly outpacing the sector median of 24.2%, indicating strong market demand for its products.
Source: Company Financials
Moderate Insider Selling ›
Insiders have sold $902.3K worth of stock with no reported purchases, suggesting a potential lack of immediate buying conviction from management.
Source: Insider Transaction DataBearish Technical Indicators ›
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($286.75 and $259.26), and the 14-day RSI is at 31.46, indicating bearish momentum and potential for further downside.
Source: Technical Analysis
- The stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($286.75 and $259.26), indicating bearish momentum. Consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout before initiating new positions.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for ONTO, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with ONTO at $231.95, its 14-day RSI is 31.5 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $286.75 and its 200-day is $259.26.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What ONTO moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, ONTO's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.55 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.63 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.24 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.11 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
12 of 12 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $395.00 is 70.3% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
12 of 12 rate it a buy now, against 10 of 10 three months ago.
ONTO Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $231.95, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | RBC Capital | Initiates | Outperform |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Initiates | Buy |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy |
As of October 16, 2026, 12 Wall Street analysts cover ONTO: 12 rate it a buy or strong buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $330.00 to $450.00, with a median of $395.00, 70.3% above the price of $231.95.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
ONTO trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
ONTO moves about 4.3% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much ONTO tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
ONTO's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
3/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 4.31% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 62.8%, from July 2024 to May 2025, regained by April 2026.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
72% of 1-year holding periods in the last 7 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2019 is now worth $65,652, against $28,113 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
ONTO Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 16, 2026, ONTO's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 7 years with dividends reinvested was -62.8% (July 2024 to May 2025); it regained that peak by April 2026, 11 months after the low, and 72% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into ONTO in October 2019 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: ONTO beat the S&P 500 over this period: $65,652 against $28,113.
A $10,000 investment in ONTO in October 2019 would be worth about $65,652 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $28,113 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to ONTO, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +11.70%, up in 6 of 7 years.
Weakest month, July: an average of -6.12%, up in 4 of 7 years.
This month, October: has averaged +2.97%, up in 5 of 6 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 7 years, ONTO's strongest calendar month has been January (average +11.70%, up in 6 of 7 years) and its weakest July (average -6.12%, up in 4 of 7 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 7 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in ONTO, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ONTO today could grow to about $29,403 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $223,072 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,876. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ONTO Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $357 for ONTO by 2030 in the base case, from $232 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $99.12. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ONTO's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $136 | $258 | $490 | |
| 2028 | $116 | $288 | $712 | |
| 2029 | $106 | $321 | $973 | |
| 2030 | $99.12 | $357 | $1,286 | |
| 2031 | $94.91 | $398 | $1,667 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of ONTO's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. ONTO is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
ONTO insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: No insider bought ONTO shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 16, 2026, ONTO insiders reported 2 open-market sales worth $902K and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | David B Miller
Director
|
Sell | 2.0K | $600.0K |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Susan D. Lynch
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $302.3K |
| May 20, 2026 | Stephen Douglas Kelley
Director
|
Grant | 761 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Susan D. Lynch
Director
|
Grant | 761 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | David B Miller
Director
|
Grant | 761 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Stephen S Schwartz
Director
|
Grant | 761 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | Christopher A Seams
Director
|
Grant | 761 | - |
| May 20, 2026 | May Su
Director
|
Grant | 761 | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Shirley Chen
Officer
|
Grant | 2.5K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Ido Dolev
Officer
|
Grant | 3.4K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Yoon Ah Oh
General Counsel
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Michael P Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 14.5K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Brian K Roberts
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 3.1K | - |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Ramil Yaldaei
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 7.7K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Yoon Ah Oh
General Counsel
|
Grant | 724 | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Michael P Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 4.6K | - |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ramil Yaldaei
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 649 | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Yoon Ah Oh
General Counsel
|
Grant | 3.1K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Michael P Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 18.4K | - |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Michael P Plisinski
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 25.0K | - |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Shirley Chen
Officer
|
Grant | 13.0K | - |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Brian K Roberts
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 21.2K | - |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Ido Dolev
Officer
|
Grant | 27.0K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Stephen Douglas Kelley
Director
|
Grant | 2.1K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Susan D. Lynch
Director
|
Grant | 2.1K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | David B Miller
Director
|
Grant | 2.1K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Stephen S Schwartz
Director
|
Grant | 2.1K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | Christopher A Seams
Director
|
Grant | 2.1K | - |
| May 21, 2025 | May Su
Director
|
Grant | 2.1K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.