eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)

eToro Group Ltd. fell 7.55% in the first session after its November 10, 2026 report, when adjusted EPS of $0.14 missed the $0.28 analyst estimate by 50.00%. The stock closed at $22.99 on November 11, 2026, up 6.63% on the session, but it remains near the bottom of its 52-week range at 7% of the way up from $21.30 to $44.21. The price sits below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($25.99 and $32.42), and the one-year return is down 44.25%.

The November 10, 2026 report was the fourth miss in the last five reports. Adjusted EPS of $0.14 came in 50.00% below the $0.28 estimate, and the stock fell 7.55% in the first session afterward. Across the five most recent reports, the share price was lower in the first session after three of them and higher after two. The only beat, on February 17, 2026, was followed by a 20.43% gain, which shows how strongly the stock reacts to earnings surprises.

Return on equity of 19.50% is above the sector median of 13.8%, which suggests the company earns good returns on the capital it holds, even though its margins are thin.

The trailing P/E ratio of 8.48, a discount to peers and 48.6% below the sector median of 16.5. The price-to-sales ratio of 0.15 compares with a sector median of 3.8. The discount reflects the stock's recent decline and the weak earnings record, not a lack of revenue. Analysts expect EPS to rise 28.2% next year, which would be the main driver if that forecast is met.

Of 15 analysts with a current rating, 10 rate the stock buy or strong buy, 5 hold it and none sell it. Three months ago, 9 of 14 ratings were buy. Insiders sold $9.8M of stock across five sales over the last 18 months and made no open-market purchases. Those sales are often planned in advance or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than purchases would.

The base case is that ETOR keeps trading in a range near its 52-week low while the market tests whether earnings can catch up with revenue. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $2.33, with expected growth of 2.5%, and $2.98 for next year, with expected growth of 28.2%. The median 12-month analyst target is $39.00, with a range from $25.00 to $75.00. Upside would need the 20-day EMA at $23.56 and the 50-day SMA at $25.99 to be reclaimed, followed by evidence that quarterly EPS can meet estimates. A break below the 52-week low of $21.30 would weaken the case, and the stock would then face the lowest analyst target of $25.00 as a reference point well above it.

Support: the 52-week low at $21.30 is the nearest level below the price and marks the bottom of the trading range over the past year. Resistance: the 20-day exponential moving average at $23.56 is the nearest level above the price and is the first level a rally would meet. The 50-day simple moving average at $25.99 comes next and has been the trend reference for the stock's recent decline. The 200-day simple moving average at $32.42 is the longer-term trend level, and the 52-week high at $44.21 is the top of the range.