CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Roger Wohlner, Financial Journalist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) is currently trading at $24.41, below its 50-day SMA of $28.97 and 200-day SMA of $33.34, indicating a bearish technical trend. The company reported a net loss in its most recent quarter, missing analyst estimates by 4.92% and leading to a 2.93% price drop. Despite this, Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with a median price target of $45.00, suggesting an 84.4% upside potential from current levels. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 2.20% and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, which is significantly lower than the sector median of 3.8 and 16.5 respectively. However, insider transactions reveal a net selling signal, with $9.8 million in sales versus no reported purchases, raising concerns about management's short-term conviction.
ETOR at a glance
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR): Hold, 41/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendDown: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($28.97 and $33.34).
InsidersInsiders sold $9.8M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
ValuationP/E of 9.0 against 16.5 for the Financial Services sector: a discount to peers (-46%).
As of October 15, 2026, eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) trades at $24.41. Wall Street's consensus target is $45.00 across 15 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 31, showing bearish momentum without being oversold, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $28.97.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ETOR's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-46%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
ETOR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
In the last quarter, ETOR did not beat the analyst estimate.
ETOR earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Aug 11, 2026
$0.61
$0.58
-4.92%
-2.93%
-5.32%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, ETOR has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 0 of its last 1 reported quarters; its latest report, on August 11, 2026, came in 4.92% below the estimate and the stock moved -2.93% in the first session.
ETOR Analysis
Company's Health3/5
12-Month Analyst Target+84.35% above price
Median of 15 analysts (12-month)
$45.00
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreHold
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $28.97 and its 200-day SMA of $33.34, signaling a bearish trend. The 14-day RSI is at 30.6, indicating bearish momentum, and the 20-day EMA at $26.37 is acting as resistance. The current price of $24.41 is below the 20-day EMA, reinforcing the downward pressure. Volume on the latest trading day was 856,194, which is 15.7% below the average volume of 1,015,249, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from buyers at current levels. The current price action suggests further downside potential until a clear break above the moving averages occurs.
ProTips
Monitor insider transaction trends closely; the recent $9.8 million in net sales warrants attention.
A sustained break above the 50-day SMA at $28.97 would be a key technical signal for a potential trend change.
Key Catalysts
BearishModerate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold a net $9.8 million worth of eToro shares with no reported purchases, indicating potential concerns about short-term stock performance.
Source: Insider Transactions
BearishEarnings Miss and Negative EPS Estimates
eToro missed its latest EPS estimate by 4.92%, and forward EPS estimates show negative growth, suggesting potential challenges to profitability.
Source: Earnings Report
BullishPositive Wall Street Analyst Sentiment
15 Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a median price target of $45.00, suggesting an 84.4% upside potential from current levels.
Source: Analyst Ratings
BullishAttractive Valuation Metrics
eToro's P/E ratio of 8.97 and price-to-sales of 0.16 are below sector medians, and its ROE of 19.50% exceeds the industry average.
Source: Fundamental Analysis
Market Outlook
The base case for eToro (ETOR) over the next 6-12 months is cautious, given its current trading below key moving averages and a moderate insider sell signal. While Wall Street's median price target of $45.00 suggests substantial upside, the recent earnings miss and negative forward EPS estimates temper immediate optimism. The company's strong balance sheet and below-sector-average valuation metrics provide some support, but a sustained break above the 50-day SMA ($28.97) and 200-day SMA ($33.34) is needed to signal a potential trend reversal. Upside catalysts could include stronger-than-expected earnings or positive developments in the broader fintech market, while downside risks include continued insider selling and competitive pressures in the capital markets sector.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
1.94B
P/E Ratio
8.97
EPS (TTM)
2.71
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
44.21
52 Week Low
24.11
As of October 15, 2026, ETOR trades at $24.41, with a market value of $1.94B and a P/E ratio of 8.97.
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) exhibits a P/E ratio of 8.97, which is below the sector median of 16.5, suggesting it may be undervalued on this metric. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.16 is also significantly lower than the sector median of 3.8. The company's return on equity stands at 19.50%, surpassing the sector average of 13.8%. However, its profit margin of 2.20% is considerably lower than the sector median of 11.7% revenue growth. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 is exceptionally low, indicating a strong balance sheet. Despite the attractive valuation metrics, the low profit margin and recent earnings miss warrant caution.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) reported earnings on August 11, 2026, with an actual EPS of $0.58 against an estimate of $0.61, missing expectations by 4.92%. This miss resulted in a 2.93% decrease in stock price. The company's current quarter EPS estimate is $0.38861, a significant decrease from the year-ago EPS of $0.53, indicating negative earnings momentum. Revenue growth for the current year is projected at 6.00%, with next year's growth expected to accelerate to 11.00%.
Key Risks
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) faces significant risks from its bearish technical positioning, trading below key moving averages and exhibiting bearish momentum. Insider selling, with $9.8 million in sales and no reported purchases. Also, the company's recent earnings miss and negative earnings growth estimates suggest potential headwinds to future profitability.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
30.60
MACD (12, 26)
-1.35
SMA (50-day)
28.97
SMA (200-day)
33.34
Technical RatingBearish
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $28.97, 200-day: $33.34), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 15, 2026, with ETOR at $24.41, its 14-day RSI is 30.6 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $28.97 and its 200-day is $33.34.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.39
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.37
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.43
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.11
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, ETOR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.39 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.37 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.43 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.11 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ETOR? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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ETOR Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $29.00Median $45.00 (+84.4%)High $90.00
The price, $24.41, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Buy 10Hold 5Sell 03 months ago: 10 of 15 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on ETOR
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Oct 12, 2026
TD Cowen
Maintains
Buy
Oct 9, 2026
Citizens
Maintains
Market Outperform
Sep 18, 2026
Mizuho
Maintains
Outperform
Sep 15, 2026
Canaccord Genuity
Maintains
Buy
Sep 9, 2026
Goldman Sachs
Maintains
Neutral
Sep 1, 2026
Keybanc
Initiates
Overweight
As of October 15, 2026, 15 Wall Street analysts cover ETOR: 10 rate it a buy or strong buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $29.00 to $90.00, with a median of $45.00, 84.4% above the price of $24.41.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
ETOR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$24.17
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$24.41
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$22.47
MAX LOSS
-7.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (30.6) and current market volatility
These levels come from ETOR's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ETOR in May 2025 would be worth about $4,694 today, compared with about $13,114 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
ETOR Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, past year
-67.9%
June 2025 to October 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 67.9% below the June 2025 peak
From the 1-year high
-67.9%
highest close, June 2025
As of October 15, 2026, ETOR's worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year was -67.9% (June 2025 to October 2026); it is still 67.9% below that peak.
From daily closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ETOR today could grow to about $9,607 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $72,883 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,266. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ETOR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $24.02 for ETOR by 2030 in the base case, from $24.41 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $6.67. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ETOR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
ETOR simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$12.81
$24.31
$46.14
2028
$9.78
$24.21
$59.93
2029
$7.95
$24.12
$73.18
2030
$6.67
$24.02
$86.53
2031
$5.71
$23.93
$100
Method: a lognormal simulation of ETOR's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
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ETOR Insider Trading Analysis
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
▲Bought
None
No open-market buys
▼Sold
$9.8M
5 Transactions
●Insiders
6
Active Traders
$Avg Transaction
$2.0M
Large trades
As of October 15, 2026, ETOR insiders reported 5 open-market sales worth $9.8M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in ETOR
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Sep 4, 2026
STEPAK AVNER
Director
Grant
33.8K
-
Aug 28, 2026
SHALEV EDDY
Director
Sell
100.0K
$3.1M
Aug 12, 2026
POLITI SANTO
Director
Sell
5.8K
$162.0K
Aug 3, 2026
SHEMESH LIOR
Director
Grant
5.2K
-
Aug 3, 2026
UNGER LAURA SIMONE
Director
Grant
5.2K
-
Jun 1, 2026
BER HEDVA
Officer
Sell
55.2K
$2.3M
Jun 1, 2026
BER HEDVA
Officer
Option
55.2K
$935.3K
May 14, 2026
SHALEV EDDY
Director
Sell
100.0K
$4.1M
May 14, 2026
POLITI SANTO
Director
Sell
2.9K
$118.7K
Apr 27, 2026
POLITI SANTO
Director
Grant
9.3K
-
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the key risks for eToro?
Key risks for eToro include its bearish technical trend, with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($28.97 and $33.34), and significant insider selling totaling $9.8 million. Recent earnings misses and negative forward EPS estimates also pose a threat.
What is the Wall Street consensus on eToro stock?
Wall Street analysts have a consensus rating of 'Buy' for eToro, with a median price target of $45.00, indicating an 84.4% upside potential. There are no 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell' ratings among the 15 analysts covering the stock.
What is eToro's recent earnings performance?
eToro missed its most recent earnings estimate by 4.92%, reporting $0.58 per share against an expected $0.61. This resulted in a 2.93% decline in its stock price following the announcement.
What is the long-term outlook for eToro?
The long-term outlook for eToro is mixed. While analysts project revenue growth and a potential upside to $86.53 in the long range, current bearish technicals, insider selling, and recent earnings misses present significant near-term challenges.
Is ETOR in an uptrend?
No. eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) trades at $24.41, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($28.97 and $33.34). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 30.6, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
Are insiders buying or selling ETOR?
Selling, on balance. In the last 18 months, ETOR's officers, directors and large holders reported 5 sales worth $9.8M and no open-market purchases. Grants and option exercises are not counted as buying.
What is ETOR's biggest drop in the past year?
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the past year was -67.9%, from June 2025 to October 2026. It has not regained that peak yet and is still 67.9% below it.
How closely does ETOR move with the stock market?
Over the past year ETOR's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.39). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.37; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.43; Gold (XAU): +0.11. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in ETOR be worth today?
$10,000 put into ETOR in May 2025 would be worth about $4,694 today, against about $13,114 for the same amount in the S&P 500.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for ETOR in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from ETOR's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $24.02, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $6.67 and $86.53. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.
