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As of September 26, 2026, eToro Group Ltd. Class A Common Shares (ETOR) trades at $26.39. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell with a fair value of $26.39, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $46.00 across 15 analysts. RSI at 13 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $31.92.
eToro Group Ltd. Class A Common Shares (ETOR)
eToro Group Ltd. Class A Common Shares NASDAQ
$26.39
-0.4200 (-1.57%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) is trading at $26.39, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.92 and $34.10), indicating a strong bearish technical trend. The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at an extremely oversold 13.02, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce but within a larger downtrend. Insiders have been net sellers, with over $9.8 million in sales versus no reported purchases, signaling a lack of confidence in the near-term outlook. This insider activity, coupled with the bearish technicals, presents a significant risk to the current valuation. Despite the negative technicals and insider selling, Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $46.00, implying a 74.3% upside. However, the company's recent earnings have shown mixed results, with the latest quarter missing estimates by 4.92%. Forward revenue growth estimates also show a deceleration, with current quarter revenue expected to decline 5.00% year-over-year. The company's profit margin of 2.20% and operating margin of 2.28% are considerably lower than sector medians, raising concerns about profitability and competitive positioning within the Capital Markets industry.
ETOR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$26.99
Day Range
$26.35 to $27.14
Prev Close
$26.81
Volume
825.8K
52-Week Range
$24.74 to $46.28
Market Cap
$2.10B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a notable discount to sector peers (-41%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
ETOR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, ETOR beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
ETOR Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
AI Technical Analysis
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) is trading below its key moving averages, with the price currently below its 50-day SMA of $31.92 and its 200-day SMA of $34.10. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is significantly oversold at 13.02, indicating extreme selling pressure and a potential for a short-term rebound. The MACD is also negative at -1.398, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 825,800 compared to an average of 1,132,340, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined given the extended downtrend, but the current price of $26.39 is a critical psychological level. The oversold RSI suggests a potential for a bounce, but the sustained trend below moving averages indicates that any upside may be limited and could face resistance near the 50-day SMA.
ProTips
- Given the significantly oversold RSI and significant insider selling, consider waiting for a confirmed technical bounce or a change in insider sentiment before initiating new positions.
- eToro's profit margins are notably lower than sector averages; monitor future earnings reports closely for signs of margin expansion or further compression.
- The current price of $26.39 is a critical psychological level; a sustained break below this could signal further downside towards the $7.40 Monte Carlo downside projection.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Consistent Insider Selling Exceeds $9.8 Million
Insiders have sold over $9.8 million worth of eToro stock with no reported purchases, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Oversold Technical Conditions Persist
The RSI is at an extreme 13.02, and the stock is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($31.92 and $34.10), suggesting strong bearish momentum.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Recent Earnings Miss and Revenue Slowdown
The latest earnings report missed EPS estimates by 4.92%, and current quarter revenue growth is projected to decline by 5.00% year-over-year.
Source: Earnings ReportsBullish
Wall Street 'Buy' Consensus and Median Target of $46.00
Despite current headwinds, 15 analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $46.00, suggesting potential for significant upside if sentiment shifts.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsMarket Outlook
The base case scenario for eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) suggests continued pressure on the stock price in the near term, driven by its significantly oversold technicals and consistent insider selling. While the median analyst target price of $46.00 implies significant upside, the current price action and negative sentiment are strong headwinds. The company's weak profit margins relative to the sector and decelerating revenue growth present challenges to achieving higher valuations. Potential catalysts for a turnaround could include a significant improvement in earnings surprises, a reversal of insider selling trends, or a broader market rally that lifts financial services stocks. However, downside risks are substantial, including further deterioration in profitability, increased competition, or a failure to meet forward revenue estimates. The stock's current price of $26.39, trading well below its moving averages, indicates that the market is pricing in these risks.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 2.10B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 9.78 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.74 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 46.28 |
| 52 Week Low | 24.74 |
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) trades at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.78, which is below the sector median of 16.5, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation on earnings. However, its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 0.18 is significantly lower than the sector median of 3.8, which could indicate market concerns about revenue quality or future growth prospects. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 19.50%, which is above the sector average of 13.8, indicating efficient use of shareholder equity. Despite a strong ROE, eToro's profit margin of 2.20% and operating margin of 2.28% are substantially lower than the sector medians, raising questions about its ability to translate revenue into profit. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 is very low, indicating a strong balance sheet with minimal leverage. While the valuation appears cheap on a P/E basis, the low profit margins and below-average revenue growth compared to the sector warrant caution.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) reported mixed earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, missing analyst estimates for EPS by 4.92% ($0.58 actual vs $0.61 estimate), leading to a 2.93% price decline. Prior quarters showed some positive surprises, including a 26.83% EPS beat in the quarter ending March 2026. However, the most recent quarter's miss and the negative revenue growth of -5.00% for the current quarter suggest a potential slowdown in business momentum.
Key Risks
eToro faces significant risks from its significantly oversold technical indicators and consistent insider selling, with over $9.8 million in sales reported versus no purchases. The company's profit margins are considerably lower than sector averages, and recent earnings have shown a miss, raising concerns about profitability and competitive pressures within the Capital Markets industry. Also, forward revenue growth estimates indicate a deceleration, with a projected 5.00% decline in the current quarter.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 13.02 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.40 |
| SMA 50 | 31.92 |
| SMA 200 | 34.10 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $31.92, 200-day: $34.10), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 13.0 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.38
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.37
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ETOR? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
ETOR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$26.92
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$26.39
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$28.25
MAX LOSS
-5.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (13.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$25.57
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$24.23
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$22.88
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for ETOR is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ETOR in May 2025 would be worth about $5,075 today, compared with about $13,144 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ETOR today could grow to about $10,271 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $77,919 and a bear case around $1,354. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ETOR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $26.67 for ETOR by 2030 in the base case, from $26.39 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $7.40. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ETOR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $13.94 | $26.46 | $50.22 |
| 2028 | $10.72 | $26.53 | $65.66 |
| 2029 | $8.77 | $26.60 | $80.71 |
| 2030 | $7.40 | $26.67 | $96.09 |
| 2031 | $6.38 | $26.74 | $112 |
| 2032 | $5.58 | $26.82 | $129 |
| 2033 | $4.93 | $26.89 | $147 |
| 2034 | $4.40 | $26.96 | $165 |
| 2035 | $3.95 | $27.03 | $185 |
| 2036 | $3.57 | $27.10 | $206 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ETOR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ETOR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$9.8M
5 Transactions
Insiders
6
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | SHALEV EDDY
Director
|
Sell | 100.0K | $4.1M |
| Aug 28, 2026 | SHALEV EDDY
Director
|
Sell | 100.0K | $3.1M |
| Jun 1, 2026 | BER HEDVA
Officer
|
Sell | 55.2K | $2.3M |
| Aug 12, 2026 | POLITI SANTO
Director
|
Sell | 5.8K | $162.0K |
| May 14, 2026 | POLITI SANTO
Director
|
Sell | 2.9K | $118.7K |
| Sep 4, 2026 | STEPAK AVNER
Director
|
Grant | 33.8K | - |
| Aug 3, 2026 | SHEMESH LIOR
Director
|
Grant | 5.2K | - |
| Aug 3, 2026 | UNGER LAURA SIMONE
Director
|
Grant | 5.2K | - |
| Jun 1, 2026 | BER HEDVA
Officer
|
Option | 55.2K | $935.3K |
| Apr 27, 2026 | POLITI SANTO
Director
|
Grant | 9.3K | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) stock a buy right now?
eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) is currently trading at $26.39. While Wall Street analysts have a 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $46.00, the stock exhibits significantly oversold technicals (RSI 13.02) and significant insider selling, suggesting potential downside risk. The consensus score is 21, indicating a Sell rating.
What is ETOR's stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, eToro's stock forecast for 2030 includes a base case price of $26.67 and a downside case of $7.40. The upside case projection is $96.09, but these are statistical outcomes and not guaranteed price targets.
How are eToro's recent earnings?
eToro's most recent earnings report for the quarter ending June 2026 showed an EPS miss of 4.92% ($0.58 actual vs $0.61 estimate), resulting in a 2.93% stock price drop. While previous quarters had positive surprises, the latest miss and projected revenue decline raise concerns.
What are the main risks facing eToro Group Ltd.?
Key risks for eToro include its significantly oversold technical indicators, consistent insider selling totaling over $9.8 million, lower-than-sector profit margins, and a projected deceleration in revenue growth. These factors suggest potential for further price declines despite analyst targets.
How does eToro's valuation compare to its sector?
eToro's P/E ratio of 9.78 is below the sector median of 16.5, suggesting it may be undervalued on earnings. However, its profit margins are significantly lower than the sector average, and its revenue growth is decelerating, which could justify the lower valuation.
What is the Wall Street consensus for ETOR stock?
Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Buy' consensus for eToro, with 10 out of 15 analysts recommending Buy or Strong Buy. The consensus score is 70 out of 100, and the median price target is $46.00, implying a substantial upside from the current price.
What is the outlook for eToro's revenue growth?
eToro's revenue growth is projected to slow, with an estimated 5.00% decline in the current quarter and flat growth expected in the next quarter. For the full year 2026, revenue growth is estimated at 6.00%, increasing to 11.00% in 2027, indicating a gradual recovery but still below historical sector averages.