Head-to-head · Commodity vs Commodity
Copper vs Gold
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HG1 vs XAU/USD: the verdict
How HG1 and XAU/USD compare today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
The verdict
CleaRank Financial AI favours
HG1
HG1
XAU/USD
44/100
AI score
26/100
+24.3%
1-year change
-1.7%
23.6%
Volatility (30d, yearly)
26.4%
41.2
RSI (14-day)
49.5
The verdict
Copper Futures (HG1) comes out ahead on CleaRank's model, scoring 44/100 (Hold) against 26/100 (Sell) for Gold Spot (XAU/USD). The widest gap is the trend, where XAU/USD is weaker: the price is 8.07% below its 200-day average and 1.63% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 6.52% below the 200-day.
Key difference
HG1 also has the edge over the past year, with the price up 23.73% across that stretch.
Outlook
HG1 would need to regain its 50-day average at $6.5302 and its 200-day at $6.4039 to turn its downtrend. XAU/USD would need to regain its 50-day average at $4,127.91 and its 200-day at $4,415.79 to turn its downtrend.
Price, side by side
Both prices start at 0% on the first day of the period you pick, so the moves compare directly.
Rebased price
-6%-4%-2%0%-2.8%-6.5%
Nov '26
-10%-5%0%+5%-4.7%-8%
Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
-15%-10%-5%0%+5%-4.5%-14%
Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
0%+10%+20%+30%+24%-1.7%
Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jul '26Sep '26Nov '26
0%+20%+40%+60%+30%+22%
May '25Sep '25Dec '25Apr '26Jul '26Nov '26
Over 1 year: HG1 gained 24.3% and XAU/USD lost 1.7%, a gap of 26.0 points in HG1's favour.
Key metrics
Size and recent performance for each.
Size and market performance
HG1
XAU/USD
70%
Position in 52-week range
11%
-3.7%
Price against 50-day average
-1.6%
Momentum and sentiment
The indicators behind each AI score, side by side.
Indicators side by side
HG1
XAU/USD
44/100
AI score
26/100
41.2
RSI (14-day)
49.5
-3.7%
Price against 50-day average
-1.6%
-2.0%
Price against 200-day average
-8.1%
Technicals
HG1 is in a downtrend, trading 3.74% below its 50-day average and 2.04% below its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 41.2, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative. XAU/USD is in a downtrend, trading 1.63% below its 50-day average and 8.07% below its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 49.5, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative. HG1 sits higher in its 52-week range, at 71% against 12% for XAU/USD.
Sentiment
HG1 fell 5.60% over the past month and fell 4.91% over three months. XAU/USD fell 2.82% over the past month and fell 6.69% over three months.
Risk and practical tips
How much each moves, how much return each has paid for that risk, and what to watch if you hold either.
Risk measures
HG1
XAU/USD
23.6%
Volatility (30d, yearly)
26.4%
0.41
Sharpe ratio
0.78
Risk
On a typical day the two move by similar amounts: 1.32% for HG1 and 1.39% for XAU/USD.
ProTips
- For HG1, watch the 20-day EMA at $6.3966 above the price and the 52-week low at $4.9150 below it.
- For XAU/USD, watch the 50-day SMA at $4,127.91 above the price and the 20-day EMA at $4,051.19 below it.
HG1 vs XAU/USD: long-term scenarios
Simulated paths from each price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Simulated growth of $10,000
$10K$15K$20K$25K$26.8K$18.6K$10K$10K
202620282030203220342035
HG1
XAU/USD
$3,733
Downside, 2035 (10th)
$5,386
$10,000
Base case, 2035 (median)
$10,000
$26,788
Upside, 2035 (90th)
$18,568
In the median simulated path, $10,000 in HG1 stays near $10,000 and $10,000 in XAU/USD stays near $10,000 by 2035. The paths come from each asset's own volatility with no trend assumed; they are statistical outcomes, not forecasts.
HG1 vs XAU/USD: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which is better, HG1 or XAU/USD?+
On CleaRank's model HG1 scores higher, 44/100 (Hold) against 26/100 (Sell) for XAU/USD. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
Which has performed better over the past year, HG1 or XAU/USD?+
HG1 has done better: its price rose 23.73% over the past year, while XAU/USD fell 0.96%.
Which is riskier, HG1 or XAU/USD?+
Neither asset stands out on risk by our measures. HG1 has a typical daily move of 1.32%, while XAU/USD has one of 1.39%.
Which has stronger momentum right now, HG1 or XAU/USD?+
Both MACD lines are negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
Which is closer to its 52-week high, HG1 or XAU/USD?+
HG1 is closer: it trades 8.36% below its 52-week high of $6.8617, against 27.15% below $5,595.46 for XAU/USD.
Are HG1 and XAU/USD in an uptrend?+
HG1 is in a downtrend, trading 3.74% below its 50-day average and 1.81% below its 200-day. XAU/USD is in a downtrend, trading 1.63% below its 50-day average and 7.69% below its 200-day.