CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Ryan Brothwell, Financial Journalist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) is currently trading at $2.225, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($2.87 and $4.13), indicating a bearish trend. The company's financial health is challenged by negative EPS of -$0.42 and a profit margin of 0.00%, with no reported revenue growth. The company's limited profitability and lack of revenue growth present a fundamental concern. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.60, which is in line with sector averages, but the negative return on equity of -3.70% highlights operational inefficiencies. The current price action and insider sentiment suggest caution, despite the potential upside indicated by analyst targets.
LAC at a glance
Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC): Hold, 41/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendDown: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($2.87 and $4.13).
EarningsLAC beat estimates in 4 of its last 7 quarters, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
InsidersInsiders sold $3.0M and bought $147K over the last 18 months.
As of October 15, 2026, Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) trades at $2.225. Wall Street's consensus target is $4.500 across 12 analysts. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 30.4, showing bearish momentum without being oversold, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $2.874.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from LAC's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
In the last 7 quarters, LAC beat the analyst estimate 4 times; the stock fell in the first session after 3 of those beats.
LAC earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report
EPS estimate
EPS actual
Surprise
First session
5 sessions
Aug 13, 2026 (after close)
-$0.04
-$0.02
+50.00%
-1.46%
-13.41%
Nov 13, 2025 (after close)
-$0.05
-$0.03
+40.00%
-3.04%
+4.13%
Aug 14, 2025 (after close)
-$0.05
-$0.06
-20.00%
+1.40%
-3.85%
May 15, 2025 (after close)
-$0.04
-$0.02
+50.00%
-10.76%
-10.44%
Mar 28, 2025 (after close)
-$0.03
-$0.04
-33.33%
+0.37%
-5.19%
Nov 7, 2024 (after close)
-$0.02
-$0.03
-50.00%
-4.16%
-5.38%
Aug 14, 2024 (after close)
-$0.04
-$0.01
+75.00%
+8.14%
+26.70%
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
As of October 15, 2026, LAC has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 4 of its last 7 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on August 13, 2026, came in 50.00% above the estimate and the stock moved -1.46% in the first session.
LAC Analysis
Company's Health2/5
12-Month Analyst Target+102.25% above price
Median of 12 analysts (12-month)
$4.500
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreHold
Lithium Americas Corp. is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($2.87 and $4.13), with the 50-day SMA at $2.87 and the 200-day SMA at $4.13, signaling a downtrend. The 14-day RSI is at 30.4, indicating bearish momentum and approaching oversold conditions, while the MACD is at -0.20, further reinforcing the bearish trend. The stock's current price of $2.225 is also below its 20-day EMA of $2.50. Key support levels are not clearly defined by recent price action, but the current price is approaching the lower bounds of its recent trading range. The combination of bearish technical indicators and low volume suggests that further downside pressure is possible in the near term.
ProTips
The stock's current position below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($2.87 and $4.13), coupled with a low RSI, suggests a bearish trend that may persist in the short term.
Key Catalysts
BearishBearish Technical Momentum
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($2.87 and $4.13), with a 14-day RSI at 30.4, signaling bearish momentum and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical Analysis
NeutralNegative EPS and No Revenue Growth
The company consistently reports negative EPS and has zero revenue growth estimates, indicating it is in a pre-revenue or development stage.
Source: Company Financials
Market Outlook
The outlook for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) is cautious, with the stock currently trading at $2.225 and facing significant technical and fundamental headwinds. The median Wall Street price target of $4.50 suggests a potential for substantial upside, driven by analyst expectations for future development and lithium market dynamics. However, the company's current financial state, characterized by negative EPS, zero revenue growth estimates, and moderate insider selling, presents a considerable risk to this upside. Key catalysts for a positive shift would include successful project development and commencement of commercial production, leading to actual revenue generation and improved profitability.
Key Statistics
Market Cap
751.50M
P/E Ratio
N/A (Negative EPS)
EPS (TTM)
-0.4200
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52 Week High
9.02
52 Week Low
2.04
As of October 15, 2026, LAC trades at $2.23, with a market value of $751.50M and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
Lithium Americas Corp. exhibits a negative EPS of -$0.42, making its P/E ratio mathematically negative and thus not a useful valuation metric. The company's profit margin and operating margin are both 0.00%, indicating no profitability from operations. Compared to the sector averages, LAC's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 is in line with the median of 0.60. However, its return on equity is a negative -3.70%, significantly underperforming the sector's median ROE of 17.9%. The lack of revenue and profit growth, coupled with negative EPS, suggests significant fundamental challenges that are not currently reflected in the analyst price targets.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Lithium Americas Corp. has shown a pattern of missing EPS estimates, though recent quarters have seen positive surprises in terms of the magnitude of the miss. In the most recent report on August 13, 2026, actual EPS was -$0.02 against an estimate of -$0.04, a 50% positive surprise, though the stock price declined 1.46%. Prior to that, the November 13, 2025, results showed actual EPS of -$0.03 versus an estimate of -$0.05, a 40% positive surprise, with a 3.04% price drop. Despite these positive surprises relative to estimates, the company consistently reports negative EPS, and revenue estimates are consistently reported as $0 for upcoming quarters and years, indicating a lack of commercial production or sales. This suggests that the company is still in a development or pre-revenue phase, with ongoing losses.
Key Risks
Lithium Americas Corp. faces significant risks including persistent insider selling, with $3 million in sales against $147,420 in purchases, signaling a moderate sell signal. The company's technical indicators are bearish, with the price trading below key moving averages and a low RSI, suggesting potential for further price declines. Also, the absence of revenue growth and consistent negative EPS indicates substantial operational and financial challenges that could impede future development.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
30.40
MACD (12, 26)
-0.205
SMA (50-day)
2.87
SMA (200-day)
4.13
Technical RatingBearish
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $2.874, 200-day: $4.131), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 15, 2026, with LAC at $2.23, its 14-day RSI is 30.4 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $2.87 and its 200-day is $4.13.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.31
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.32
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.36
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.24
Weak correlation
As of October 15, 2026, LAC's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.31 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.32 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.36 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.24 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with LAC? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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LAC Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Low $3.30Median $4.50 (+102.2%)High $10.00
The price, $2.23, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Buy 3Hold 9Sell 03 months ago: 2 of 12 buy
Recent rating actions
Recent analyst rating actions on LAC
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Sep 9, 2026
JP Morgan
Assumes
Overweight
Aug 14, 2026
BMO Capital
Maintains
Market Perform
Jul 1, 2026
Goldman Sachs
Initiates
Neutral
Apr 20, 2026
Wedbush
Assumes
Neutral
As of October 15, 2026, 12 Wall Street analysts cover LAC: 3 rate it a buy or strong buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $3.30 to $10.00, with a median of $4.50, 102.2% above the price of $2.23.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
LAC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$2.203
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$2.225
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$1.822
MAX LOSS
-17.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (30.4) and current market volatility
LAC moves about 3.1% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LAC in October 2016 would be worth about $10,656 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,405 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Compare with Another Ticker
LAC Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-91.3%
April 2022 to October 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 90.7% below the April 2022 peak
From the 10-year high
-90.7%
highest close, April 2022
1-year holds that gained
50%
of every 1-year window
As of October 15, 2026, LAC's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -91.3% (April 2022 to October 2026); it is still 90.7% below that peak, and 50% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LAC today could grow to about $10,749 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $81,545 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,417. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LAC Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $2.29 for LAC by 2030 in the base case, from $2.23 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $0.6357. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LAC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
LAC simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$1.18
$2.24
$4.25
2028
$0.9121
$2.26
$5.59
2029
$0.7494
$2.27
$6.90
2030
$0.6357
$2.29
$8.25
2031
$0.5504
$2.31
$9.67
Method: a lognormal simulation of LAC's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
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LAC Insider Trading Analysis
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
▲Bought
$147.4K
3 Transactions
▼Sold
$3.0M
8 Transactions
●Insiders
15
Active Traders
$Avg Transaction
$289.2K
Moderate size
As of October 15, 2026, LAC insiders reported 8 open-market sales worth $3.0M and 3 open-market purchases worth $147K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
Recent insider transactions in LAC
Date
Insider
Type
Shares
Value
Jun 26, 2026
MONTGOMERY PHILIP
Director
Grant
19.3K
-
Apr 10, 2026
BARNUM AUBREE
Officer
Grant
15.7K
-
Apr 10, 2026
COLTON LUKE
Chief Financial Officer
Grant
39.2K
-
Apr 10, 2026
CROWLEY TIMOTHY AMBROSE
Officer
Grant
15.7K
-
Apr 10, 2026
EVANS JONATHAN DAVID
Chief Executive Officer
Grant
97.9K
-
Apr 10, 2026
GERSPACHER RICHARD
Officer
Grant
34.2K
-
Apr 10, 2026
GRANDY EDWARD
General Counsel
Grant
21.2K
-
Apr 10, 2026
ZAWADZKI ALEXI ILLYA
Officer
Grant
17.7K
-
Mar 20, 2026
BROWN MICHAEL JOHN
Director
Buy
1.0K
$3.8K
Feb 9, 2026
BARNUM AUBREE
Officer
Grant
8.5K
-
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the biggest risks facing Lithium Americas Corp.?
The primary risks for Lithium Americas Corp. include moderate insider selling totaling $3 million, bearish technical momentum indicated by a low 14-day RSI and price below moving averages, and a lack of revenue growth alongside persistent negative EPS.
How does Lithium Americas Corp. compare to its sector averages?
Lithium Americas Corp.'s debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 is in line with the sector median of 0.60. However, its return on equity is a negative -3.70%, significantly underperforming the sector's median ROE of 17.9%.
What is the growth outlook for Lithium Americas Corp.?
Growth estimates for Lithium Americas Corp. are negative for the next year (-124.3%) and the next five years annualized (-122.3%), despite a positive current year estimate of 80.1%. Revenue estimates are currently zero for upcoming periods.
Is LAC in an uptrend?
No. Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) trades at $2.23, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($2.87 and $4.13). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 30.4, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
How does LAC stock react to earnings?
Of its last 7 reports, LAC beat the estimate 4 times, and the shares still fell the next day after 3 of those beats. Most recently, on Aug 13, 2026, earnings came in 50.0% above the estimate and the stock moved -1.5% the next day.
Are insiders buying or selling LAC?
Selling, on balance. In the last 18 months, LAC's officers, directors and large holders reported 8 sales worth $3.0M and 3 open-market purchases worth $147K. Grants and option exercises are not counted as buying.
What is the analyst price target for LAC?
As of October 15, 2026, the 12 Wall Street analysts covering LAC have 12-month targets from $3.30 to $10.00, with a median of $4.50, 102.2% above the current price of $2.23. 3 rate it a buy or strong buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Three months ago 2 of 12 rated it a buy.
What is LAC's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -91.3%, from April 2022 to October 2026 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 90.7% below it. Over the same period, 50% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are LAC's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, September has been LAC's strongest month on average (+19.18%, rising in 7 of 10 years) and December its weakest (-7.88%, rising in 4 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does LAC move with the stock market?
Over the past year LAC's daily returns were weakly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.31). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.32; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.36; Gold (XAU): +0.24. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
