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As of September 11, 2026, Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) trades at $3.02. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $3.02, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $4.50 across 12 analysts. RSI at 52 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $3.14.
Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC)
Lithium Americas Corp. NYSE
$3.02
-0.1700 (-5.33%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) is currently trading at $3.02, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($3.14 and $4.43), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The company's recent earnings report for August 2026 showed a positive surprise of 50% with EPS of -0.02 against an estimate of -0.04, though this was accompanied by a 1.46% price decrease. Despite this, overall insider activity shows a net selling position, with total sales of $3M against purchases of $147.4K, signaling moderate caution from management. The stock's health score is moderate at 3, reflecting these mixed signals. The primary risk for LAC at present is the continued selling pressure from insiders and the lack of clear revenue growth, which contrasts with its sector peers.
LAC Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$3.10
Day Range
$3.00 to $3.11
Prev Close
$3.19
Volume
11.33M
52-Week Range
$2.67 to $10.52
Market Cap
$1.10B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
LAC Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
At $3.02, Lithium Americas Corp. exhibits bearish technical momentum, trading below its 50-day SMA of $3.14 and its 200-day SMA of $4.43. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 52.21, indicating neutral momentum, but the MACD at -0.0465 suggests a slight bearish bias. Volume has been above average recently, with the latest volume at 11.33 million shares compared to a 9.78 million average, suggesting increased trading activity without a clear directional conviction. Key support is near the current price, while resistance lies at the 50-day SMA. The overall chart structure points to continued consolidation or potential downside pressure if key support levels are breached.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction trends closely; the current moderate sell signal warrants caution.
- Given the stock's position below key moving averages, consider waiting for a confirmed technical breakout before initiating new positions.
- The absence of revenue growth and negative EPS highlights the speculative nature of LAC's current valuation, emphasizing the need for strong due diligence on its project pipeline and future market demand for lithium.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold approximately $3 million worth of stock versus only $147.4K in purchases, indicating a 'Moderate Sell Signal' and potentially signaling a lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
LAC is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($3.14) and 200-day SMA ($4.43), suggesting bearish technical momentum and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Positive Recent Earnings Surprise
The latest earnings report in August 2026 showed an EPS beat of 50% (-0.02 actual vs. -0.04 estimate), which could signal improving operational efficiency, although it did not prevent a slight price drop.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Median Analyst Price Target Upside
The median analyst price target of $4.50 suggests a potential 49% upside from the current price of $3.02, indicating that a portion of Wall Street sees value and potential for recovery.
Source: Wall Street AnalysisMarket Outlook
Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) faces a challenging outlook in the next 6-12 months, with its current price of $3.02 trading below key technical levels and significant insider selling creating headwinds. The base case projection from Monte Carlo simulations suggests a price of $3.28 by 2030, offering limited upside from current levels. However, the median analyst price target of $4.50 indicates a potential 49% upside, suggesting that analysts are factoring in future growth or project development that is not yet reflected in current fundamentals or insider sentiment. Upside catalysts would need to include significant progress on project development, improved lithium market conditions, and a reversal in insider selling trends. Conversely, continued insider divestment, further deterioration in technicals, or a downturn in commodity prices could push the stock towards its downside projection of $0.91.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 1.10B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.4600 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 10.52 |
| 52 Week Low | 2.67 |
Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) presents a challenging fundamental picture with a negative EPS of -0.46, making its P/E ratio mathematically negative and thus not a reliable valuation metric. The sector averages show a P/E of -6.03 (negative due to losses) and revenue growth of 10.0%, highlighting LAC's current lack of profitability and growth visibility. While the median analyst price target of $4.50 suggests a potential 49% upside from the current price, this is not supported by current fundamental metrics, indicating a valuation disconnect or reliance on future project development.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) recently reported an EPS surprise of 50% in August 2026, with actual EPS of -0.02 beating the estimated -0.04, though the stock price declined 1.46%. This follows a mixed earnings history, including a significant miss in March 2026 (-0.25 actual vs. -0.05 estimate) and a beat in May 2026 (0.13 actual vs. 0.11 estimate). The lack of consistent positive earnings and the absence of reported revenue growth figures make it difficult to project future profitability with confidence.
Key Risks
The primary risks for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) include significant insider selling, with over $3 million in sales against only $147.4K in purchases, signaling a lack of management confidence in the near-term outlook. Additionally, the stock is trading below key technical indicators like the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, suggesting bearish momentum. The absence of reported revenue growth and negative EPS further compound these risks, making the company's valuation appear speculative rather than fundamentally supported.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 52.21 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.05 |
| SMA 50 | 3.14 |
| SMA 200 | 4.43 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $3.137, 200-day: $4.431), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.28
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
LAC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$2.990
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$3.020
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$2.825
MAX LOSS
-5.5%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (52.2) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$3.079
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$3.139
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$3.229
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
LAC is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.47%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in LAC in September 2016 would be worth about $8,274 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in LAC today could grow to about $12,266 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $93,057 and a bear case around $1,617. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
LAC Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3.28 for LAC by 2030 in the base case, from $3.02 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.9097. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on LAC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $1.62 | $3.08 | $5.85 |
| 2028 | $1.27 | $3.15 | $7.79 |
| 2029 | $1.06 | $3.21 | $9.74 |
| 2030 | $0.9097 | $3.28 | $11.81 |
| 2031 | $0.7981 | $3.34 | $14.02 |
| 2032 | $0.7105 | $3.41 | $16.40 |
| 2033 | $0.6394 | $3.48 | $18.98 |
| 2034 | $0.5805 | $3.56 | $21.78 |
| 2035 | $0.5308 | $3.63 | $24.82 |
| 2036 | $0.4883 | $3.70 | $28.10 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using LAC's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
LAC Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$147.4K
3 Transactions
Sold
$3.0M
7 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$316.7K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | ZAWADZKI ALEXI ILLYA
Officer
|
Sell | 353.9K | $2.5M |
| Oct 16, 2025 | GERSPACHER RICHARD
Officer
|
Sell | 63.2K | $429.3K |
| Nov 14, 2025 | GRANDY EDWARD
General Counsel
|
Sell | 6.2K | $27.8K |
| Nov 14, 2025 | GERSPACHER RICHARD
Officer
|
Sell | 6.1K | $27.5K |
| Nov 14, 2025 | BARNUM AUBREE
Officer
|
Sell | 4.8K | $21.4K |
| Nov 14, 2025 | CROWLEY TIMOTHY AMBROSE
Officer
|
Sell | 4.8K | $21.4K |
| Nov 17, 2025 | GRANDY EDWARD
General Counsel
|
Sell | 14 | $67 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | MONTGOMERY PHILIP
Director
|
Grant | 19.3K | - |
| Apr 10, 2026 | BARNUM AUBREE
Officer
|
Grant | 15.7K | - |
| Apr 10, 2026 | COLTON LUKE
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 39.2K | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Lithium Americas Corp.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Lithium Americas Corp.'s (LAC) stock price is projected to be $3.28 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $0.91, while the upside projection reaches $11.81. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guarantees.
Is Lithium Americas Corp. stock a buy right now?
Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 60 out of 100. While the median analyst price target suggests a 49% upside, the stock is trading below key moving averages and exhibits moderate insider selling, indicating potential near-term headwinds.
What are the biggest risks facing Lithium Americas Corp.?
The main risks for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) include substantial insider selling totaling over $3 million, a bearish technical outlook with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($3.14 and $4.43), and a lack of reported revenue growth alongside negative EPS, which raises concerns about its fundamental valuation.
How did Lithium Americas Corp. perform in its latest earnings report?
In its most recent earnings report in August 2026, Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) reported an EPS of -0.02, beating the estimate of -0.04 by 50%. However, the stock price saw a slight decrease of 1.46% following the announcement.
What is the consensus rating for Lithium Americas Corp. stock?
The consensus rating for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) stock is 'Hold', supported by 12 analysts. The Wall Street score is 60 out of 100, with 2 analysts rating it Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 9 Hold.
How does Lithium Americas Corp. compare to its sector averages?
Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) lags its Basic Materials sector peers, which have an average P/E of -6.57 and revenue growth of 10.0%.
What is the outlook for Lithium Americas Corp. based on insider transactions?
Insider transactions for Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) indicate a 'Moderate Sell Signal,' with total sales of $3 million significantly outweighing total purchases of $147.4K. This net selling activity suggests a cautious or bearish sentiment among company insiders regarding the stock's near-term prospects.