Stock·NYSE·Basic Materials
Dow Inc. (DOW)
- Market cap
- $21.42B
- Dividend yield
- 4.72%
- Street target
- $32.50median of 19 analysts
- 52-week range
- $20.93 $42.74
The short version
Where DOW stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
DOW at a glance
Dow Inc. (DOW): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($29.60 and $32.25).
Figures as of October 16, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Dow Inc. is currently trading at $29.66, slightly above its 50-day simple moving average of $29.60 but below its 200-day SMA of $32.25.
The stock exhibits neutral momentum, with its 14-day RSI at 58.03. Despite a recent revenue growth of 19.7%, the company reported negative EPS of -$1.88 for the trailing twelve months, making its P/E ratio mathematically negative. Wall Street analysts are largely neutral on the stock, with a consensus rating of 'Hold' and a median price target of $32.50, implying a 9.6% upside from the current price. The company's profit margin is negative at -3.13%, though its operating margin stands at 11.59%. Dow Inc. operates within the Basic Materials sector, specifically in chemicals. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.52 is below the sector median of 4.2, and its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12 is in line with the sector average. However, its return on equity is negative at -5.54%, contrasting with the sector median of 17.9%. The company's recent earnings reports show a pattern of EPS misses, although the most recent available quarter (reported January 29, 2026) showed an EPS surprise of 33.33% with an actual EPS of -$0.34 versus an estimate of -$0.51. The next quarter's revenue is projected to grow by 12.00% year-over-year, but full-year 2027 revenue growth is estimated to decline by 2.00%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from DOW's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $29.66 is 0.2% above the 50-day simple moving average of $29.60.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 8.0% below the 200-day simple moving average of $32.25.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($29.60) is 8.2% below the 200-day average ($32.25), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 40% of its 52-week range, between $20.93 and $42.74.
DOW share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far DOW has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where DOW sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
2/3P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.52 is 87.7% below the sector median of 4.2.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $-1.3B on revenue of $41.3B, a net margin of -3.1%.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 4.72%, or $1.40 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for DOW.
As of October 16, 2026, DOW trades at $29.66, with a market value of $21.42B, no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative) and a dividend yield of 4.72%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of DOW's valuation, growth and risks.
Dow Inc.'s valuation appears mixed when compared to sector averages.
Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.52 is significantly lower than the sector median of 4.2, suggesting it may be undervalued on a sales basis. However, the company's negative EPS of -$1.88 renders its P/E ratio mathematically negative and unusable for comparison. Its return on equity is a negative -5.54%, starkly contrasting with the sector median of 17.9%. The company's profit margin is negative at -3.13%, although its operating margin is a healthier 11.59%. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.12, which is in line with the sector average. While revenue growth has been positive at 19.7%, the persistent negative net income and ROE raise concerns about profitability and the sustainability of its current valuation, especially given the sector's average profitability.
DOW against the Basic Materials sector
How DOW compares with the median Basic Materials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, DOW trades at 0.5185x, far below the sector average of 4.20x.
Return vs XLB: Since May 5, 2025, DOW has gained 2.5% against a gain of 20.0% for XLB.
Performance against XLB
DOW and the Basic Materials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much DOW sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 7.0% in FY2025 to $40.0B, from $43.0B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -6.1% in FY2025, down from 2.8% the year before.
Loss-making: DOW lost $2.4B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did DOW beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: DOW beat the analyst estimate in 1 of the last 2 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock rose in the first session after every beat.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026after close | -$0.51 | -$0.34 | +33.33% | +1.44% | +12.67% |
| Jul 24, 2025after close | -$0.17 | -$0.42 | -147.06% | +1.76% | -7.10% |
Reports after January 29, 2026 are not yet in our data.
As of October 16, 2026, DOW has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 1 of its last 2 reported quarters and rose in the first trading session after that beat; its most recent report in our data, on January 29, 2026, came in 33.33% above the estimate and the stock moved +1.44% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 58.0, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 58.0 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of DOW
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Dow Inc. is currently trading above its 50-day SMA ($29.60) and its 20-day EMA ($28.66), indicating some short-term positive price action.
However, the stock remains below its 200-day SMA ($32.25), suggesting a longer-term bearish trend. The 14-day RSI is at 58.03, reflecting neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. MACD is slightly negative at -0.15, hinting at a potential shift towards bearish momentum. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 6.24 million compared to an average of 8.01 million, a decrease of 22.1%. This subdued volume suggests a lack of strong conviction from traders. Key support is near the 50-day SMA, while resistance lies at the 200-day SMA. The current price action indicates a potential consolidation phase as the stock attempts to break its longer-term downtrend.
Mixed Wall Street Analyst Ratings ›
Dow Inc. has a 'Hold' consensus rating from 19 analysts, with a median price target of $32.50. This mixed sentiment suggests a lack of strong conviction from the analyst community.
Source: Wall Street SummaryNegative EPS and ROE ›
The company's persistent negative EPS (-$1.88) and negative ROE (-5.54%) present ongoing fundamental challenges that could limit upside potential.
Source: Company Fundamentals
Below Average Trading Volume ›
Recent trading volume for Dow Inc. has been approximately 22.1% below its average, indicating subdued investor interest and potentially limiting significant price movements.
Source: Volume DataProjected Revenue Decline in 2027 ›
Forward-looking revenue estimates indicate a projected decline of 2.00% for the year 2027, suggesting potential headwinds for future top-line growth.
Source: Wall Street Revenue Estimates
- The stock's current position below the 200-day SMA and neutral RSI suggest a cautious approach, with potential for consolidation or a retest of support levels.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for DOW, from its daily closes.
As of October 16, 2026, with DOW at $29.66, its 14-day RSI is 58.0 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $29.60 and its 200-day is $32.25.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What DOW moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 16, 2026, DOW's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.31 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.22 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.10 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.02 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
5 of 19 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 13 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $32.50 is 9.6% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
5 of 19 rate it a buy now, against 7 of 18 three months ago.
DOW Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral |
| Sep 30, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral |
| Sep 25, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Keybanc | Initiates | Sector Weight |
| Jul 25, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral |
As of October 16, 2026, 19 Wall Street analysts cover DOW: 5 rate it a buy or strong buy, 13 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $29.00 to $41.00, with a median of $32.50, 9.6% above the price of $29.66.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
DOW trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from DOW's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much DOW tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
DOW's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.62% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 63.9%, from May 2022 to October 2025; the price is still 45.6% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
56% of 1-year holding periods in the last 8 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in March 2019 is now worth $8,932.94, against $30,571 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
DOW Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 16, 2026, DOW's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 8 years with dividends reinvested was -63.9% (May 2022 to October 2025); it is still 45.6% below that peak, and 56% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into DOW in March 2019 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: DOW trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $8,932.94 against $30,571.
A $10,000 investment in DOW in March 2019 would be worth about $8,933 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $30,571 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to DOW, and which have not.
Strongest month, February: an average of +5.09%, up in 5 of 7 years.
Weakest month, June: an average of -5.56%, up in 3 of 8 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.65%, up in 3 of 7 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 8 years, DOW's strongest calendar month has been February (average +5.09%, up in 5 of 7 years) and its weakest June (average -5.56%, up in 3 of 8 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 8 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in DOW, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DOW today could grow to about $9,252 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $44,578 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $1,920. The simulation models price only; at today's 4.72% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
DOW Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $28.75 for DOW by 2030 in the base case, from $29.66 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $10.64. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DOW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $17.90 | $29.43 | $48.39 | |
| 2028 | $14.46 | $29.20 | $58.99 | |
| 2029 | $12.25 | $28.98 | $68.56 | |
| 2030 | $10.64 | $28.75 | $77.72 | |
| 2031 | $9.38 | $28.53 | $86.73 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of DOW's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
DOW insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Insider buying: No insider bought DOW shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Karen S. Carter
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 24.2K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Samuel R Allen
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Gaurdie E Banister Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Wesley G Bush
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Richard K Davis
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Jerri L Devard
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Debra L Dial
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Jeffrey M Fettig
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Jacqueline C. Hinman
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Mejia Luis Alberto Moreno
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Jill S Wyant
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Daniel Yohannes
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Lisa Bryant
Officer
|
Grant | 14.0K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Karen S. Carter
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 34.7K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Keith Cleason
Officer
|
Grant | 12.4K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Andrea L Dominowski
Officer
|
Grant | 4.5K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | James R Fitterling
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 129.0K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Philo Brendy Lange
Officer
|
Grant | 12.0K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | John Maurice Sampson
Officer
|
Grant | 21.7K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Jeffrey L. Tate
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 21.2K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Bruggencate Macro Ten
Officer
|
Grant | 10.6K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Amy E. Wilson
General Counsel
|
Grant | 27.1K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.