Stock·NYSE·Basic Materials
Dow Inc. (DOW)
- Market cap
- $24.60B
- Dividend yield
- 4.12%
- Street target
- $33.00median of 20 analysts
- 52-week range
- $20.93 $42.74
DOW stock forecast today
Where DOW stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
DOW at a glance
Dow Inc. (DOW): Hold, 54/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($29.72 and $32.48).
- Earnings DOW beat estimates in 3 of the 4 reports in our data, and the stock rose the next day every time.
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Dow Inc. (DOW) Hold with a model score of 54/100.
The trend contributes the most to the score, as the price sits 4.64% above its 200-day average and 14.39% above its 50-day average. Profitability holds the score back the most, given a net margin of -2.4% and a return on equity of -3.24% below the sector median. The 50-day average is $29.72 and the 200-day average is $32.48, and the price has risen 37.00% over the past year.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from DOW's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
DOW stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $33.99 is 14.4% above the 50-day simple moving average of $29.72.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 4.6% above the 200-day simple moving average of $32.48.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($29.72) is 8.5% below the 200-day average ($32.48), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 60% of its 52-week range, between $20.93 and $42.74.
DOW share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far DOW has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where DOW sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
DOW fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
3/4P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.60 is 85.8% below the sector median of 4.2.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was -$996.0M on revenue of $41.3B, a net margin of -2.4%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
DOW beat the EPS estimate in 3 of the 4 reports in our data.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 4.12%, or $1.40 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for DOW.
As of October 26, 2026, DOW trades at $33.99, with a market value of $24.60B, no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative) and a dividend yield of 4.12%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of DOW's valuation, growth and risks.
Dow Inc. (DOW) has no meaningful P/E, since its earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative. To put its size in context, the company has a market capitalisation of $24.6B.
DOW is currently unprofitable, with a net margin of -2.4% and an operating margin of 6.78%. Return on equity stands at -3.24%, below the sector median of 17.9%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity is 1.08, and the trailing dividend yield is 4.12%, equal to $1.40 a share annually.
DOW's most recent available report in our data, dated April 23, 2026, showed EPS of -$0.14. Analysts had expected -$0.29, so the result was better than forecast. The shares went up 0.34% in the following session.
Over the 4 reports in our data, DOW topped the estimate 3 times, and every one of those beats was followed by a gain the next day. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $2.58 for this fiscal year and $1.80 for next.
DOW's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 1.83%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.41. The price sits 20.47% below the 52-week high of $42.74, which is the level a rally would meet first.
DOW against the Basic Materials sector
How DOW compares with the median Basic Materials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, DOW trades at 0.5955x, far below the sector average of 4.20x.
Return vs XLB: Since May 14, 2025, DOW has gained 12.7% against a gain of 20.5% for XLB.
Performance against XLB
DOW and the Basic Materials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much DOW sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 7.0% in FY2025 to $40.0B, from $43.0B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -6.1% in FY2025, down from 2.8% the year before.
Loss-making: DOW lost $2.4B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did DOW beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: DOW beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the 4 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock rose in the first session after every beat.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026after close | -$0.29 | -$0.14 | +51.72% | +0.34% | +5.09% |
| Jan 29, 2026after close | -$0.51 | -$0.34 | +33.33% | +1.44% | +12.67% |
| Jul 24, 2025after close | -$0.17 | -$0.42 | -147.06% | +1.76% | -7.10% |
| Apr 24, 2025after close | -$0.01 | $0.02 | +300.00% | +0.87% | +2.59% |
Reports after April 23, 2026 are not yet in our data.
As of October 26, 2026, DOW has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of the 4 reports in our data and rose in the first trading session after every one of those beats; its most recent report in our data, on April 23, 2026, came in 51.72% above the estimate and the stock moved +0.34% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
DOW AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
2/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 78.2, in overbought territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 78.2 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of DOW
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Dow Inc. (DOW) sits in an uptrend. Trading at $33.99, the stock is 14.39% above its 50-day average of $29.72 and 4.64% above its 200-day average of $32.48. Even with the price back above the shorter average, the 50-day average is 8.52% below the 200-day average, which means the longer-run structure has not yet turned up. Over the past year, the price is 62.40% above the 52-week low of $20.93 and 20.47% below the high of $42.74.
The 14-day RSI of 78.2 is in overbought territory, and the MACD line is positive. The price is up over each of these periods: 21.31% over the past month, 18.23% over the past three months and 37.00% over the past year. Volume in the last session ran 64.6% above its average, on a day the price rose 4.23%.
Earnings beat ›
The April 23, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 51.72%, and the share price rose 0.34% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, April 23, 2026Analyst upgrade ›
B of A Securities upgraded it to Neutral from Underperform on October 19, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, B of A Securities, October 19, 2026
New analyst coverage ›
Barclays started coverage at Underweight on October 13, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Barclays, October 13, 2026
- The two nearest levels to watch are the 52-week high of $42.74, which sits above the price, and the 200-day SMA at $32.48, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 78.2, in the overbought zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- After the April 23, 2026 report the share price rose 0.34% in the first session; DOW beat estimates in 3 of the 4 reports in our data.
The uptrend depends on DOW holding above its 50-day average of $29.72 and its 200-day average of $32.48. A close below the 200-day average would be the first sign that the trend is weakening. If the price pulls back, the 200-day SMA at $32.48 is the first level it would reach.
The next level overhead for DOW is the 52-week high at $42.74. With the RSI stretched past the overbought line, a pullback in momentum would not be surprising, even while the uptrend holds.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for DOW, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with DOW at $33.99, its 14-day RSI is 78.2 (overbought territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $29.72 and its 200-day is $32.48.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What DOW moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, DOW's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.30 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.21 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.07 with Bitcoin (BTC) and -0.03 with gold (XAU).
DOW price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
0/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
5 of 20 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 1 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $33.00 is 2.9% below the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
5 of 20 rate it a buy now, against 7 of 18 three months ago.
DOW Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 23, 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform |
| Oct 19, 2026 | B of A Securities | Upgrade | Neutral |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Barclays | Initiates | Underweight |
As of October 26, 2026, 20 Wall Street analysts cover DOW: 5 rate it a buy or strong buy, 14 a hold and 1 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $30.00 to $41.00. The median DOW price target is $33.00, 2.9% below the price of $33.99.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
DOW trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
DOW trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from DOW's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much DOW tends to move, against the market and on its own.
DOW price history and drawdowns
DOW's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.83% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 63.9%, from May 2022 to October 2025; the price is still 37.7% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
57% of 1-year holding periods in the last 8 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in March 2019 is now worth $10,237, against $30,317 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
DOW Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, DOW's worst peak-to-trough fall over the period since March 2019 with dividends reinvested was -63.9% (May 2022 to October 2025); it is still 37.7% below that peak, and 57% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into DOW in March 2019 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: DOW trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $10,237 against $30,317.
A $10,000 investment in DOW in March 2019 would be worth about $10,237 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $30,317 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to DOW, and which have not.
Strongest month, February: an average of +5.09%, up in 5 of 7 years.
Weakest month, June: an average of -5.56%, up in 3 of 8 years.
This month, October: has averaged +0.65%, up in 3 of 7 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 8 years, DOW's strongest calendar month has been February (average +5.09%, up in 5 of 7 years) and its weakest June (average -5.56%, up in 3 of 8 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 8 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
DOW stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in DOW, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 8 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in DOW today could grow to about $10,102 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $27,320 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,735. The simulation models price only; at today's 4.12% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
DOW Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $34.34 for DOW by 2030 in the base case, from $33.99 today (1.0x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $12.70. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DOW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $20.72 | $34.08 | $56.04 | |
| 2028 | $16.91 | $34.16 | $69.04 | |
| 2029 | $14.47 | $34.25 | $81.07 | |
| 2030 | $12.70 | $34.34 | $92.86 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of DOW's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
DOW insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
DOW insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Insider trading: No insider bought DOW shares on the open market in the last 18 months.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Karen S. Carter
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 24.2K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Samuel R Allen
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Gaurdie E Banister Jr.
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Wesley G Bush
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Richard K Davis
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Jerri L Devard
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Debra L Dial
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Jeffrey M Fettig
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Jacqueline C. Hinman
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Mejia Luis Alberto Moreno
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Jill S Wyant
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Daniel Yohannes
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Lisa Bryant
Officer
|
Grant | 14.0K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Karen S. Carter
Chief Operating Officer
|
Grant | 34.7K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Keith Cleason
Officer
|
Grant | 12.4K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Andrea L Dominowski
Officer
|
Grant | 4.5K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | James R Fitterling
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 129.0K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Philo Brendy Lange
Officer
|
Grant | 12.0K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | John Maurice Sampson
Officer
|
Grant | 21.7K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Jeffrey L. Tate
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 21.2K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Bruggencate Macro Ten
Officer
|
Grant | 10.6K | - |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Amy E. Wilson
General Counsel
|
Grant | 27.1K | - |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
DOW stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.