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As of September 11, 2026, Dow Inc. (DOW) trades at $28.94. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $34.50, 19.2% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $34.50 across 18 analysts. RSI at 24 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $30.13.
Dow Inc. (DOW)
Dow Inc. NYSE
$28.94
-0.7050 (-2.38%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
57 / 100
Dow Inc. (DOW) is currently trading at $28.935, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($30.13 and $31.63), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The company's recent earnings have shown mixed results, with a positive surprise in the latest quarter but a negative EPS for the trailing twelve months of -1.83. Despite this, revenue growth is projected to be positive, with current quarter estimates at +13.00% year-over-year. The stock's RSI is at 23.79, signaling oversold conditions, which may present a near-term buying opportunity for traders, though fundamental valuation remains a concern due to negative EPS.
DOW Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$29.41
Day Range
$28.71 to $29.69
Prev Close
$29.64
Volume
597.5K
52-Week Range
$20.65 to $42.74
Market Cap
$21.41B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+390%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
DOW Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, DOW beat estimates 2 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
DOW Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+19.23% Upside
Median of 18 analysts (12-month)
$34.50
AI Technical Analysis
Dow Inc. (DOW) is currently trading below its key moving averages, with its price below the 50-day SMA of $30.13 and the 200-day SMA of $31.63. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 23.79, indicating oversold territory and a potential for a short-term bounce. The MACD is at -0.326, suggesting bearish momentum. Volume has been significantly below average, with the latest volume at 597,493 compared to a 7,436,999 average, indicating a lack of conviction behind the current price action. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the lack of strong historical trends, but the current price action suggests resistance at the 50-day and 200-day SMAs.
ProTips
- Dow Inc. (DOW) is trading in oversold territory according to its RSI, which may present a short-term trading opportunity, but the negative EPS and bearish trend suggest caution for long-term investors.
- Monitor input costs and global demand for chemicals, as these factors significantly influence Dow Inc.'s (DOW) revenue and profitability.
- Given the negative EPS and current technical weakness, consider a tighter stop-loss strategy if entering a long position, potentially below the recent lows or the 200-day SMA.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprise
Dow Inc. (DOW) reported a positive EPS surprise of 6.36% in its latest quarter, indicating potential operational improvements or better-than-expected market conditions.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Current quarter revenue estimates show a year-over-year growth of +13.00%, outpacing sector averages and suggesting healthy demand for Dow's products.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Negative Trailing Twelve Month EPS
Dow Inc. (DOW) has a negative EPS of -1.83 for the trailing twelve months, raising concerns about its fundamental profitability and long-term financial health.
Source: Financial DataBearish
Below Key Moving Averages
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($30.13 and $31.63), indicating a bearish technical trend and potential for further downside.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Dow Inc. (DOW) faces a challenging outlook, with its current price below key technical indicators and a negative EPS. The median analyst price target of $34.5 suggests a limited upside of 19.2% from the current price of $28.935, aligning with a 'Hold' consensus. Positive revenue growth estimates for the current and next quarters offer some support, but the company's ability to translate this into consistent profitability remains a key concern. Potential catalysts for a bullish shift would require a sustained improvement in profitability, a clear upward trend above its moving averages, and a stronger conviction from Wall Street analysts. Conversely, any further deterioration in earnings, increased input costs, or a broader economic downturn impacting chemical demand could push the stock lower, testing its oversold technical levels.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 21.41B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -1.83 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.83% |
| 52 Week High | 42.74 |
| 52 Week Low | 20.65 |
Dow Inc. (DOW) exhibits a negative EPS of -1.83, making its P/E ratio mathematically negative and thus not a reliable valuation metric. The company's revenue growth, however, is projected to be positive, with current quarter estimates at +13.00% year-over-year, reaching $11.3 billion. Sector averages show a P/E of -15.81 (negative due to losses) and a revenue growth of 8.0%, suggesting DOW's revenue growth is currently outperforming the sector, but its profitability metrics are lagging significantly. The balance sheet strength is not detailed, but the negative EPS raises concerns about long-term profitability and sustainability.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Dow Inc. (DOW) reported a positive EPS surprise of 6.36% in its most recent quarter ending July 16, 2026, with actual EPS of $1.17 against an estimate of $1.10, leading to a 2.12% price increase. Prior to this, the company reported a significant positive surprise of 51.72% in the quarter ending April 23, 2026, with an actual EPS of -0.14 versus an estimate of -0.29. Despite these positive surprises, the trailing twelve-month EPS remains negative at -1.83, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Key Risks
Dow Inc. (DOW) faces significant risks including its negative trailing twelve-month EPS of -1.83, which renders traditional P/E valuation metrics unusable. The stock is trading below key moving averages, signaling a bearish trend, and its RSI of 23.79, while oversold, could indicate deeper underlying issues rather than just a temporary dip. Also, the company's reliance on commodity chemical markets exposes it to cyclical downturns and volatile input costs, which could exacerbate profitability concerns.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 23.79 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -0.33 |
| SMA 50 | 30.13 |
| SMA 200 | 31.63 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $30.13, 200-day: $31.63), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 23.8 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.24
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.01
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
DOW Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$28.65
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$28.94
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$27.04
MAX LOSS
-5.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (23.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$29.51
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$30.08
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$30.94
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for DOW is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in DOW in March 2019 would be worth about $5,952 today, compared with about $26,916 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in DOW today could grow to about $9,199 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $44,584 and a bear case around $1,898. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
DOW Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $27.99 for DOW by 2030 in the base case, from $28.94 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $10.31. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on DOW's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $17.42 | $28.69 | $47.27 |
| 2028 | $14.05 | $28.46 | $57.64 |
| 2029 | $11.89 | $28.22 | $66.98 |
| 2030 | $10.31 | $27.99 | $75.93 |
| 2031 | $9.09 | $27.75 | $84.72 |
| 2032 | $8.11 | $27.52 | $93.46 |
| 2033 | $7.29 | $27.29 | $102 |
| 2034 | $6.60 | $27.07 | $111 |
| 2035 | $6.01 | $26.84 | $120 |
| 2036 | $5.49 | $26.62 | $129 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using DOW's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
DOW Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
None
No open-market sells
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
N/A
Values not reported
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2022 | UNGERLEIDER HOWARD I.
President
|
Sell | 104.1K | $7.2M |
| May 6, 2021 | EDMONDS RONALD C
Officer
|
Sell | 30.0K | $2.1M |
| Nov 26, 2019 | EDMONDS RONALD C
Officer
|
Sell | 10.0K | $556.4K |
| Nov 18, 2020 | HOLICKI PETER
Officer
|
Sell | 6.8K | $382.8K |
| Dec 13, 2019 | BELL JAMES A
Director
|
Sell | 5.4K | $289.7K |
| Jul 1, 2026 | CARTER KAREN S.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 24.2K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | ALLEN SAMUEL R
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | BANISTER GAURDIE E JR.
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | BUSH WESLEY G
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
| Apr 9, 2026 | DAVIS RICHARD K
Director
|
Grant | 5.1K | - |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Dow Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Dow Inc.'s (DOW) long-range projection for 2030 indicates a base case price of $27.99, with a downside scenario of $10.31 and an upside scenario of $75.93. These figures are derived from Monte Carlo simulations and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Dow Inc. stock a buy right now?
Dow Inc. (DOW) is currently rated as a Hold, with a consensus score of 57 out of 100. The median analyst price target is $34.5, suggesting a potential upside of 19.2% from the current price of $28.935.
What are the biggest risks facing Dow Inc.?
The primary risks for Dow Inc. (DOW) include its negative trailing twelve-month EPS of -1.83, its current trading position below key moving averages, and the inherent cyclicality and price volatility within the basic materials sector.
How is Dow Inc. performing technically?
Technically, Dow Inc. (DOW) is exhibiting bearish momentum, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($30.13 and $31.63). However, its RSI is in oversold territory at 23.79, suggesting a potential for a short-term reversal.
What is Dow Inc.'s revenue growth outlook?
Dow Inc. (DOW) is projected to see positive revenue growth, with current quarter estimates at +13.00% year-over-year, reaching $11.3 billion. Next year's revenue is estimated to be around $43.3 billion, a slight decrease of 1.00% year-over-year.
How does Dow Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Dow Inc. (DOW) shows stronger revenue growth projections (+13.00% current quarter) compared to the sector average of 8.00%. However, its profitability metrics are significantly weaker, with a negative EPS versus a sector average P/E of -15.81.
What is the Wall Street consensus for Dow Inc. stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Dow Inc. (DOW) is a 'Hold' rating, with a score of 57 out of 100. This is based on 18 analysts, with 1 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 11 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell rating.