Stock·NYSE·Basic Materials
Mosaic Co (MOS)
- Market cap
- $5.97B
- Dividend yield
- 4.68%
- Street target
- $26.00median of 20 analysts
- 52-week range
- $16.99 $32.25
MOS stock forecast today
Where MOS stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
MOS at a glance
Mosaic Co (MOS): Sell, 23/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($22.30 and $24.01).
- Earnings MOS beat estimates in 2 of the 5 reports in our data, yet fell the next day after 1 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $6.9M and bought $17K over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
Mosaic Co (MOS) carries a CleaRank rating of Sell and a model score of 23/100.
The analysts' outlook is the biggest contributor to the score, with the median target 38.4% above the price. The trend is the biggest drag: the price is 21.73% below the 200-day average and 15.72% below the 50-day, and the 50-day average is 7.13% under the 200-day. The 50-day average is $22.30 and the 200-day is $24.01. Across the past year the price has declined 36.43%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from MOS's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
MOS stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $18.79 is 15.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $22.30.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 21.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $24.01.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($22.30) is 7.1% below the 200-day average ($24.01), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 12% of its 52-week range, between $16.99 and $32.25.
MOS share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far MOS has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where MOS sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
MOS fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
2/4P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.49 is 88.4% below the sector median of 4.2.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was -$638.5M on revenue of $12.2B, a net margin of -5.2%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
MOS beat the EPS estimate in 2 of the 5 reports in our data.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 4.68%, or $0.88 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for MOS.
As of October 27, 2026, MOS trades at $18.79, with a market value of $5.97B, no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative) and a dividend yield of 4.68%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MOS's valuation, growth and risks.
MOS does not have a meaningful P/E, because its earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative, which makes the P/E not meaningful. On sales, the P/S of 0.49 sits 88.3% below the sector median of 4.2. The company carries a market value of $6.0B, and its trailing earnings stand at -$2.01 per share.
MOS is losing money. Its net margin is -5.21% and its operating margin is -0.12%, while return on equity stands at -5.07%, below the sector median of 17.9%. In the latest quarter, year on year, revenue shrank 6.00%, which leaves it 25.0 percentage points behind the 19.0% median for Basic Materials. Debt-to-equity is 0.52, and the trailing dividend yield is 4.68%, equal to $0.88 a share each year.
In its latest quarterly report, on August 4, 2026, MOS posted EPS of $0.13 against an estimate of $0.14, missing the estimate by 7.14%. Even so, the share price rose 3.08% in the first session after the report.
MOS has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the 5 reports in our data, yet the stock fell after 1 of those 2 beats in the next session. Analysts forecast EPS of $0.34 for this fiscal year, a fall of 85.0%, and $1.52 for the year after.
MOS shows a 30-day standard deviation of daily returns of 2.53%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.92. For as long as the price remains beneath both moving averages, the downtrend stays a risk in its own right. The price is 41.74% below the 52-week high of $32.25.
MOS against the Basic Materials sector
How MOS compares with the median Basic Materials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, MOS trades at 0.4877x, far below the sector average of 4.20x.
Return vs XLB: Since May 15, 2025, MOS has lost 45.8% against a gain of 20.2% for XLB.
Performance against XLB
MOS and the Basic Materials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much MOS sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 8.4% in FY2025 to $12.1B, from $11.1B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 4.8% in FY2025, up from 1.8% the year before.
Profitable: MOS earned $575M in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did MOS beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: MOS beat the analyst estimate in 2 of the 5 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 1 of those 2 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026after close | $0.14 | $0.13 | -7.14% | +3.08% | +1.72% |
| May 11, 2026after close | $0.22 | $0.05 | -77.27% | +2.75% | -1.74% |
| Nov 4, 2025after close | $0.95 | $1.04 | +9.47% | -1.24% | -3.16% |
| Aug 5, 2025after close | $0.72 | $0.51 | -29.17% | -13.31% | -12.58% |
| May 6, 2025after close | $0.45 | $0.49 | +8.89% | +3.65% | +12.41% |
As of October 27, 2026, MOS has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 2 of the 5 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 1 of those beats; its latest report, on August 4, 2026, came in 7.14% below the estimate and the stock moved +3.08% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
MOS AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 39.9, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 39.9 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of MOS
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Mosaic Co (MOS) is priced at $18.79, below both of its main moving averages. The stock sits 15.72% below its 50-day average of $22.30 and 21.73% below its 200-day average of $24.01. Its position in the 52-week range is 12%, with the price 10.59% above the 52-week low of $16.99. Both averages point the same way, since the 50-day is 7.13% below the 200-day.
On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 39.9, in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, with the MACD line negative. The price is down over each of these periods: 18.34% over the past month, 18.59% over the past three months and 36.43% over the past year.
Analyst downgrade ›
RBC Capital downgraded it to Sector Perform from Outperform on October 5, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, RBC Capital, October 5, 2026
Earnings miss, but the stock rose ›
The August 4, 2026 report missed the EPS estimate by 7.14%, and the share price rose 3.08% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 4, 2026New analyst coverage ›
Keybanc started coverage at Sector Weight on September 11, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Keybanc, September 11, 2026
- Two levels matter most right now: the 20-day EMA at $19.35, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $16.99, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 39.9, within the bearish zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
- After the August 4, 2026 report the share price rose 3.08% in the first session; MOS beat estimates in 2 of the 5 reports in our data.
MOS stays in a downtrend while it sits below its 50-day average of $22.30 and its 200-day average of $24.01. A close back above the 50-day average would be the first sign of a repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $19.35 is the first hurdle.
The next level below the price is the 52-week low of $16.99. The RSI is in the bearish zone, a reading that argues against a fast rebound.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for MOS, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with MOS at $18.79, its 14-day RSI is 39.9 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $22.30 and its 200-day is $24.01.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What MOS moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, MOS's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.28 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.23 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.10 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.26 with gold (XAU).
MOS price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
8 of 20 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 10 a hold and 2 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $26.00 is 38.4% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
8 of 20 rate it a buy now, against 10 of 20 three months ago.
MOS Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | CIBC | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral |
| Oct 5, 2026 | RBC Capital | Downgrade | Sector Perform |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Keybanc | Initiates | Sector Weight |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Freedom Broker | Downgrade | Sell |
As of October 27, 2026, 20 Wall Street analysts cover MOS: 8 rate it a buy or strong buy, 10 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $17.00 to $35.00. The median MOS price target is $26.00, 38.4% above the price of $18.79.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
MOS trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
MOS trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from MOS's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much MOS tends to move, against the market and on its own.
MOS price history and drawdowns
MOS's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 2.53% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 80.6%, from November 2018 to March 2020, regained by April 2021.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
46% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $9,554, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
MOS Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, MOS's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -80.6% (November 2018 to March 2020); it regained that peak by April 2021, 13 months after the low, and 46% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into MOS in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: MOS trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $9,554.11 against $42,376.
A $10,000 investment in MOS in October 2016 would be worth about $9,554 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to MOS, and which have not.
Strongest month, July: an average of +6.39%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, June: an average of -3.84%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -0.26%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, MOS's strongest calendar month has been July (average +6.39%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest June (average -3.84%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
MOS stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MOS, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in MOS today could grow to about $10,733 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $34,396 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,349. The simulation models price only; at today's 4.68% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MOS Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $20.17 for MOS by 2030 in the base case, from $18.79 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $6.29. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MOS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $10.68 | $19.13 | $34.24 | |
| 2028 | $8.54 | $19.47 | $44.35 | |
| 2029 | $7.23 | $19.81 | $54.32 | |
| 2030 | $6.29 | $20.17 | $64.63 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of MOS's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
MOS insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
MOS insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $17K on the open market and sold $6.9M.
As of October 27, 2026, MOS insiders reported 3 open-market sales worth $6.9M and 1 open-market purchase worth $17K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Walter F. Precourt III
Officer
|
Sell | 23.0K | $508.8K |
| May 28, 2026 | Cheryl K Beebe
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | Gregory L Ebel
Director
|
Grant | 7.3K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | Timothy S Gitzel
Director
|
Grant | 4.9K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | Emery N Koenig
Director
|
Grant | 4.9K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | Jody Lynne Mary Kuzenko
Director
|
Grant | 4.9K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | Sonya C Little
Director
|
Grant | 4.9K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | David Thomas Seaton
Director
|
Grant | 3.2K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | Kathleen M Shanahan
Director
|
Grant | 4.9K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | Joao Roberto Goncalves Teixeira
Director
|
Grant | 4.9K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | Gretchen H Watkins
Director
|
Grant | 4.9K | - |
| May 28, 2026 | Kelvin R Westbrook
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Philip Eugene Bauer
General Counsel
|
Grant | 10.8K | - |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Bruce M Bodine
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 19.5K | - |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Russell A Flugel
Officer
|
Grant | 5.5K | - |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Walter F. Precourt III
Officer
|
Option | 17.3K | $138.3K |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Karen A Swager
Officer
|
Grant | 17.3K | - |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Yijun Wang
Officer
|
Grant | 10.8K | - |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Philip Eugene Bauer
General Counsel
|
Grant | 5.9K | - |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Jody Lynne Mary Kuzenko
Director
|
Buy | 685 | $17.5K |
| May 29, 2025 | Walter F. Precourt III
Officer
|
Sell | 18.0K | $643.1K |
| May 29, 2025 | Cheryl K Beebe
Director
|
Grant | 3.0K | - |
| May 29, 2025 | Gregory L Ebel
Director
|
Grant | 9.0K | - |
| May 29, 2025 | Timothy S Gitzel
Director
|
Grant | 6.0K | - |
| May 29, 2025 | Emery N Koenig
Director
|
Grant | 6.0K | - |
| May 29, 2025 | Jody Lynne Mary Kuzenko
Director
|
Grant | 6.0K | - |
| May 29, 2025 | Sonya C Little
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| May 29, 2025 | David Thomas Seaton
Director
|
Grant | 3.9K | - |
| May 29, 2025 | Kathleen M Shanahan
Director
|
Grant | 2.4K | - |
| May 29, 2025 | Joao Roberto Goncalves Teixeira
Director
|
Grant | 6.0K | - |
| May 29, 2025 | Gretchen H Watkins
Director
|
Grant | 6.0K | - |
| May 29, 2025 | Kelvin R Westbrook
Director
|
Grant | 3.0K | - |
| May 23, 2025 | Russell A Flugel
Officer
|
Grant | 4.1K | - |
| May 8, 2025 | Bruce M Bodine
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 180.7K | $5.7M |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
MOS stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.