Stock·NYSE·Basic Materials
BHP Group Ltd. (BHP)
- Market cap
- $209.93B
- P/E
- 21.40
- Dividend yield
- 4.16%
- Street target
- $77.00median of 8 analysts
- 52-week range
- $52.18 $98.71
BHP stock forecast today
Where BHP stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
BHP at a glance
BHP Group Ltd. (BHP): Hold, 56/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($81.21 and $87.46).
- Insiders Insiders bought $145K and made no open-market sales in the filings on record.
- Valuation P/E of 21.4 against 30.2 for the Basic Materials sector: a discount to peers (-29%).
Figures as of October 27, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates BHP Group Ltd. (BHP) Hold with a model score of 56/100.
Valuation contributes the most to that score. The P/E of 21.40 is 29.1% below the sector median (a discount to peers), and the P/S of 3.57 is 15.0% below the sector median. Momentum pulls the score down the most, since the MACD line is negative. The trend is mixed: the stock trades 5.56% below its 50-day average of $87.46 but 1.71% above its 200-day average of $81.21. Across the past year the price rose 46.51%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from BHP's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
BHP stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
3/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $82.60 is 5.6% below the 50-day simple moving average of $87.46.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 1.7% above the 200-day simple moving average of $81.21.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($87.46) is 7.7% above the 200-day average ($81.21), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 65% of its 52-week range, between $52.18 and $98.71.
BHP share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far BHP has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where BHP sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
BHP fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
4/4P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 21.40 is 29.1% below the Basic Materials median of 30.2.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 3.57 is 14.9% below the sector median of 4.2.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $9.8B on revenue of $58.8B, a net margin of 16.7%.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 4.16%, or $3.44 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for BHP.
As of October 27, 2026, BHP trades at $82.60, with a market value of $209.93B, a P/E ratio of 21.40 and a dividend yield of 4.16%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of BHP's valuation, growth and risks.
BHP Group Ltd. (BHP) carries a trailing P/E of 21.40, which is 29.1% below the Basic Materials median of 30.2. The peer comparison on this page places the P/E at a discount to peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.57 is 15.0% below the sector median of 4.2, and trailing earnings stand at $3.86 per share.
Revenue growth lags the sector. In the most recent available quarter, year on year, revenue rose 18.30%, while the sector median is 19.0%. BHP keeps a net margin of 16.73% and an operating margin of 43.34%, and its return on equity of 24.00% sits above the sector median of 17.9%. On the balance sheet, debt-to-equity stands at 0.50, and the trailing dividend yield is 4.16%, equal to $3.44 a share each year.
Analysts expect EPS of $4.69 for this fiscal year, a decline of 9.7%. For the year after, they forecast $4.78, which is growth of 1.9%.
BHP's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 1.74%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.82. Measured from the 52-week high of $98.71, the price is 16.32% below that peak.
BHP against the Basic Materials sector
How BHP compares with the median Basic Materials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: BHP trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-29%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs XLB: Since May 15, 2025, BHP has gained 63.5% against a gain of 20.2% for XLB.
Performance against XLB
BHP and the Basic Materials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much BHP sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 7.9% in FY2025 to $51.3B, from $55.7B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 21.7% in FY2025, up from 17.2% the year before.
Profitable: BHP earned $11.1B in FY2025.
BHP AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 46.6, in neutral territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 46.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of BHP
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
BHP Group Ltd. (BHP) shows a mixed trend. At $82.60, the stock sits 5.56% below its 50-day average of $87.46 yet 1.71% above its 200-day average of $81.21. The 50-day average is 7.69% above the 200-day, so the longer averages have not yet adjusted to the softer price. Over the past year, the price is 58.30% above the 52-week low of $52.18 and 16.32% below the 52-week high of $98.71.
A recent pullback sits within a longer record that is still firmer. Over the past month the price slid 2.79%, and over the past three months it fell 1.42%, yet over the past year it climbed 46.51%. Last session volume was 34.4% above its average on a day the price gained 4.39%. Momentum is middling: the 14-day RSI sits at 46.6, in the neutral zone, and the MACD line is negative.
Rating reaffirmed ›
B of A Securities kept its Neutral rating on June 22, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, B of A Securities, June 22, 2026
- Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 20-day EMA at $82.89 above the price and the 200-day SMA at $81.21 below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 46.6 is neutral, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
BHP has a mixed trend, sitting above its 200-day average at $81.21 but below its 50-day average at $87.46. A close above the 50-day would turn both signals up, while a close below the 200-day would turn both down. The closest levels are the 200-day SMA at $81.21 underneath and the 20-day EMA at $82.89 overhead.
The 14-day RSI of 46.6 places BHP in the neutral band, which runs from 40 to 60.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for BHP, from its daily closes.
As of October 27, 2026, with BHP at $82.60, its 14-day RSI is 46.6 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $87.46 and its 200-day is $81.21.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What BHP moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 27, 2026, BHP's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.53 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.52 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.34 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.48 with gold (XAU).
BHP price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
2 of 8 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 2 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $77.00 is 6.8% below the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
2 of 8 rate it a buy now, against 1 of 8 three months ago.
BHP Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral |
As of October 27, 2026, 8 Wall Street analysts cover BHP: 2 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $62.00 to $96.00. The median BHP price target is $77.00, 6.8% below the price of $82.60.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
BHP trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
BHP trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from BHP's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much BHP tends to move, against the market and on its own.
BHP price history and drawdowns
BHP's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
4/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.74% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 43.9%, from July 2019 to March 2020, regained by August 2020.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
77% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $47,598, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
BHP Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 27, 2026, BHP's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -43.9% (July 2019 to March 2020); it regained that peak by August 2020, 5 months after the low, and 77% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into BHP in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: BHP beat the S&P 500 over this period: $47,598 against $42,376.
A $10,000 investment in BHP in October 2016 would be worth about $47,598 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to BHP, and which have not.
Strongest month, January: an average of +6.70%, up in 8 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -2.15%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged -2.10%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, BHP's strongest calendar month has been January (average +6.70%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.15%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
BHP stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in BHP, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in BHP today could grow to about $13,525 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $31,003 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,901. The simulation models price only; at today's 4.16% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BHP Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $112 for BHP by 2030 in the base case, from $82.60 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $48.74. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BHP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $58.84 | $89.08 | $135 | |
| 2028 | $53.43 | $96.06 | $173 | |
| 2029 | $50.51 | $104 | $212 | |
| 2030 | $48.74 | $112 | $256 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of BHP's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
BHP insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
BHP insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Net insider buying: Insiders bought $145K on the open market.
As of October 27, 2026, BHP insiders reported no open-market sales and 3 open-market purchases worth $145K in the filings on record; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | Goldberg (Gary J)
|
Buy | 1.0K | $42.6K |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Goldberg (Gary J)
|
Buy | 1.0K | $49.8K |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Goldberg (Gary J)
|
Buy | 1.0K | $52.3K |
Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings
BHP stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.