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As of September 11, 2026, TMC The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) trades at $4.01. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $3.13, 21.9% below the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $10.00 across 6 analysts. RSI at 51 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $4.18.
TMC The Metals Company Inc. (TMC)
TMC The Metals Company Inc. NASDAQ
$4.01
-0.2700 (-6.31%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
50 / 100
The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) is currently trading at $4.01, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.18 and $5.55), indicating a bearish short-term trend. However, the company's fundamentals are bolstered by significant insider buying, with $80.6M in total purchases versus $18.7M in total sales, signaling management's confidence. Wall Street analysts maintain a strong 'Buy' consensus with a median price target of $10.00, suggesting a 149.4% upside potential. Despite recent earnings misses, the company's long-term outlook hinges on its ability to commercialize its significant-sea mineral extraction technology, a venture that carries inherent risks but also substantial reward potential.
TMC Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$4.17
Day Range
$4.01 to $4.19
Prev Close
$4.28
Volume
4.88M
52-Week Range
$3.40 to $11.35
Market Cap
$2.27B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
TMC Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) is currently trading at $4.01, below its 50-day SMA of $4.18 and its 200-day SMA of $5.55, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is at 50.75, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD is slightly positive at 0.026. Volume has been below average recently, with the latest volume at 4.88 million compared to an average of 5.69 million. The stock's position below key moving averages suggests resistance at these levels, and a break above the 50-day SMA would be a key signal for a potential trend reversal.
ProTips
- Given the significant insider buying totaling $41.9 million, consider this a strong signal of management's conviction in The Metals Company Inc.'s (TMC) future prospects.
- The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.18 and $5.55), suggesting caution for short-term traders. A break above the 50-day SMA at $4.18 could signal a shift in momentum.
- With negative EPS and no current revenue, investors should closely monitor The Metals Company Inc.'s (TMC) progress in commercializing its technology and achieving profitability, as this remains the primary risk factor.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Significant Insider Buying Activity
Insiders have purchased $41.9 million worth of TMC stock against $16.7 million in sales, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.
Source: Insider FilingsBullish
High Wall Street Price Target Upside
The median analyst price target for TMC is $10.00, representing a potential upside of 149.4% from the current stock price of $4.01.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBearish
Recent Earnings Misses
The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) missed EPS estimates in its latest two reported quarters, leading to negative price reactions and highlighting operational challenges.
Source: Company Earnings ReportsBearish
Trading Below Key Moving Averages
TMC is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($4.18 and $5.55), indicating a bearish technical trend and potential resistance levels.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
The outlook for The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) over the next 6-12 months is cautiously optimistic, primarily driven by strong analyst conviction and significant insider buying. The median analyst price target of $10.00 suggests a potential for substantial appreciation from the current $4.01 price. The company's long-term success hinges on its ability to execute its significant-sea mineral extraction strategy and achieve positive cash flow and revenue generation. Upside catalysts could include successful project development milestones and positive regulatory developments, while downside risks remain significant due to the unproven nature of its core technology and current financial performance.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 2.27B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -0.7500 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 11.35 |
| 52 Week Low | 3.40 |
The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) currently trades at a price of $4.01. While its P/E ratio is not applicable due to negative EPS of -$0.75, its market capitalization stands at $2.27 billion. The company's revenue growth is currently not available, and its next year's revenue estimate is $21.9 million. The lack of current revenue and positive earnings makes traditional valuation metrics challenging. However, the significant insider buying activity, with net purchases totaling $41.9 million, suggests underlying confidence in the company's long-term prospects despite current financial metrics.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) most recently reported an EPS of -$0.12 for its August 2026 quarter, missing the estimated -$0.05 by 140% and resulting in a 9.07% price drop. The prior quarter also showed a miss, with an EPS of -$0.05 against an estimate of -$0.05, resulting in a 5.08% price decline. These earnings results indicate a pattern of missing analyst expectations, highlighting operational challenges in the near term.
Key Risks
The primary risks for The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) include its negative EPS and lack of current revenue, making it highly dependent on future commercialization success. The stock's current trading price below key moving averages suggests potential for further downside if market sentiment shifts. Also, the company's reliance on significant-sea mineral extraction technology presents significant environmental and regulatory hurdles that could impede progress.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 50.75 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.03 |
| SMA 50 | 4.18 |
| SMA 200 | 5.55 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $4.176, 200-day: $5.551), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.33
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.25
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
TMC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$3.970
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$4.010
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$3.628
MAX LOSS
-8.6%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (50.8) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$4.089
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$4.168
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$4.287
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
TMC is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.74%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in TMC in September 2021 would be worth about $4,261 today, compared with about $17,013 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in TMC today could grow to about $5,385 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $40,854 and a bear case around $710. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
TMC Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $3.13 for TMC by 2030 in the base case, from $4.01 today (0.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $0.869. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on TMC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $1.99 | $3.77 | $7.15 |
| 2028 | $1.43 | $3.54 | $8.77 |
| 2029 | $1.10 | $3.33 | $10.10 |
| 2030 | $0.869 | $3.13 | $11.28 |
| 2031 | $0.7022 | $2.94 | $12.33 |
| 2032 | $0.5757 | $2.77 | $13.29 |
| 2033 | $0.4772 | $2.60 | $14.17 |
| 2034 | $0.399 | $2.44 | $14.97 |
| 2035 | $0.336 | $2.30 | $15.71 |
| 2036 | $0.2846 | $2.16 | $16.38 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using TMC's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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TMC Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$41.9M
2 Transactions
Sold
$16.7M
8 Transactions
Insiders
14
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$5.9M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2025 | ILVES ERIKA
Officer
|
Sell | 1.6M | $9.2M |
| Aug 26, 2025 | O'SULLIVAN ANTHONY
Officer
|
Sell | 585.1K | $3.3M |
| Mar 26, 2026 | SHESKY CRAIG
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 345.6K | $1.6M |
| May 21, 2025 | O'SULLIVAN ANTHONY
Officer
|
Sell | 164.3K | $738.3K |
| Dec 2, 2025 | O'SULLIVAN ANTHONY
Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $664.0K |
| Apr 1, 2025 | SHESKY CRAIG
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 353.7K | $585.5K |
| Jun 26, 2025 | MAY BRENDAN
Director
|
Sell | 69.2K | $521.4K |
| Mar 22, 2024 | SHESKY CRAIG
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 233.4K | $375.5K |
| Dec 30, 2024 | ILVES ERIKA
Officer
|
Sell | 217.1K | $241.0K |
| Mar 30, 2023 | O'SULLIVAN ANTHONY
Officer
|
Sell | 243.2K | $178.9K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) stock a buy right now?
With a median analyst price target of $10.00 and strong insider buying, TMC presents a compelling buy case. However, current technicals show the stock trading below its key moving averages, and recent earnings have missed expectations, indicating near-term risks.
What is TMC's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, The Metals Company Inc.'s (TMC) base case price projection for 2030 is $3.13, with a downside price of $0.87 and an upside price of $11.28. These are statistical outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
What are the biggest risks facing The Metals Company Inc. (TMC)?
Key risks include its negative EPS, lack of current revenue, and the significant environmental and regulatory challenges associated with significant-sea mineral extraction. The stock's current technical downtrend also poses a near-term risk.
How is The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) performing financially?
The company currently has negative EPS of -$0.75 and no reported revenue growth. Recent earnings reports have shown misses against analyst estimates, indicating ongoing financial challenges.
What is the Wall Street consensus on The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) stock?
Wall Street analysts maintain a strong 'Buy' consensus for TMC, with 6 analysts rating it as either 'Buy' or 'Strong Buy'. The median price target is $10.00, suggesting substantial upside potential.
What is the insider sentiment for The Metals Company Inc. (TMC)?
Insider sentiment is positive, with net purchases totaling $41.9 million against $16.7 million in sales. This 'Moderate Buy Signal' indicates management's confidence in the company's future prospects.
What is the outlook for The Metals Company Inc. (TMC) in the next 6-12 months?
The base case outlook for TMC over the next 6-12 months anticipates potential upside driven by analyst targets and insider confidence, though near-term headwinds from technicals and earnings misses persist. Success hinges on overcoming operational and regulatory hurdles in its novel extraction technology.