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As of September 26, 2026, IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) trades at $45.48. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $45.48, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $67.50 across 12 analysts. RSI at 67 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $39.67.
IonQ, Inc. (IONQ)
IonQ, Inc. NYSE
$45.48
0.5000 (1.11%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
73 / 100
IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) is trading at $45.48, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($39.67 and $43.63), indicating positive short-to-medium term technical momentum. The company is experiencing exceptional revenue growth, projected at +250.00% year-over-year for the current year, reaching an estimated $455.1 million. This growth is supported by a strong analyst consensus rating of Buy, with a median price target of $67.50, suggesting an upside of 48.4% from current levels. However, the company's fundamental picture is challenged by persistent net losses, with a negative EPS of -3.87 and a negative profit margin of -408.17%. Also, insider activity shows heavy net selling, with over $378.7 million in sales versus only $224.8 thousand in purchases, signaling a lack of insider confidence. The stock's valuation is also stretched, with a price-to-sales ratio of 73.16, significantly above the sector median of 7.5.
IONQ Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$44.70
Day Range
$44.12 to $46.55
Prev Close
$44.98
Volume
27.47M
52-Week Range
$25.89 to $84.64
Market Cap
$18.43B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+192%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
IONQ Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 2 quarters, IONQ beat estimates 1 times. The stock rose 1 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
IONQ Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+48.42% Upside
Median of 12 analysts (12-month)
$67.50
AI Technical Analysis
IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) is exhibiting bullish technical momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($39.67 and $43.63), as well as its 20-day EMA ($40.73). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 67.39, indicating bullish momentum, and the Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory at 90.74. The MACD is positive at 0.61, further supporting the bullish trend. Volume has been slightly above average, with the latest volume at 27.47 million compared to an average of 26.80 million. Key support levels are now established around the moving averages, while resistance is less defined given the upward trajectory. The current price action suggests continued upward pressure, provided broader market conditions remain favorable.
ProTips
- Given the significant insider selling of over $378.7 million, investors should closely monitor future earnings reports and management commentary for any signs of improving profitability or strategic shifts.
- The stock's bullish technical momentum, with prices trading above key moving averages and a strong RSI, suggests potential for further near-term gains, but the high valuation warrants caution.
- With a price-to-sales ratio of 73.16, significantly above the sector median, investors should ensure IonQ's future growth trajectory justifies this premium valuation and be prepared for potential volatility if growth expectations are not met.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts project current year revenue growth of +250.00% to $455.1 million, indicating significant market adoption and expansion for IonQ's quantum computing solutions.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Positive Technical Momentum
IonQ is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($39.67 and $43.63) with a bullish RSI, suggesting continued upward price pressure in the short term.
Source: Technical AnalysisBearish
Heavy Insider Selling
Insiders have sold over $378.7 million worth of stock, signaling a potential lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects or valuation.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
High Valuation and Unprofitability
The stock's price-to-sales ratio of 73.16 and persistent net losses present a significant risk if growth expectations are not met or if market sentiment shifts.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisMarket Outlook
IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) is expected to see continued strong revenue growth over the next 12 months, with current year estimates at $455.1 million and next year projected at $682.7 million (capped from $811.1M). The median analyst price target of $67.50 suggests a potential upside of 48.4% from the current price of $45.48, driven by the company's technological advancements in quantum computing and its expanding market reach. The primary upside catalysts include continued execution on its product roadmap and securing new customer contracts, which could accelerate revenue growth beyond current projections. Conversely, a failure to meet aggressive growth targets, increased competition, or a significant shift in investor sentiment away from high-growth, unprofitable technology stocks could lead to a downside scenario, potentially testing support levels around its 200-day moving average of $43.63.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 18.43B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -3.87 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 84.64 |
| 52 Week Low | 25.89 |
IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) presents a mixed fundamental picture, characterized by rapid revenue expansion offset by significant unprofitability. The company's revenue growth is exceptional, projected at +250.00% for the current year to $455.1 million, far exceeding the sector median of 24.1%. This growth is reflected in its price-to-sales ratio of 73.16, which is substantially higher than the sector median of 7.5, indicating a premium valuation. Despite the top-line growth, IonQ is not yet profitable, reporting a negative EPS of -3.87 and a negative profit margin of -408.17%. Its return on equity is also significantly negative at -60.48%. The balance sheet appears strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, suggesting minimal financial leverage risk. However, the current valuation appears disconnected from profitability, relying heavily on future growth expectations.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) has shown volatile earnings performance, with the most recent reported quarter to June 2026 missing EPS estimates significantly, reporting -5.08 versus an estimate of -0.60, a surprise of -746.67%. This resulted in a price drop of 0.53%. Prior to this, the company had a positive surprise in the quarter to March 2026, beating estimates by 498.08% with an EPS of 2.07 versus -0.52. Analyst estimates for the current quarter ending September 2026 project an EPS of -0.8025, with revenue expected to grow by +255.00% year-over-year to $141.6 million.
Key Risks
IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) faces significant risks, primarily stemming from its heavy insider selling, with over $378.7 million in dispositions, indicating a lack of management confidence. The company's current valuation is extremely high, with a price-to-sales ratio of 73.16, far exceeding sector averages, making it vulnerable to any slowdown in its projected growth. Also, IonQ continues to report substantial net losses, with a negative EPS of -3.87, raising concerns about its path to profitability and long-term financial sustainability.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 67.39 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.61 |
| SMA 50 | 39.67 |
| SMA 200 | 43.63 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $39.67, 200-day: $43.63), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.43
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.46
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.43
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with IONQ? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
IONQ Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$44.57
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$45.48
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$40.89
MAX LOSS
-8.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (67.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$46.80
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$49.03
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$51.26
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
IONQ is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.43%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in IONQ in January 2021 would be worth about $42,111 today, compared with about $20,916 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in IONQ today could grow to about $41,844 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $317,452 and a bear case around $5,515. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
IONQ Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $80.63 for IONQ by 2030 in the base case, from $45.48 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $22.38. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on IONQ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $27.65 | $52.48 | $99.60 |
| 2028 | $24.47 | $60.55 | $150 |
| 2029 | $23.03 | $69.87 | $212 |
| 2030 | $22.38 | $80.63 | $290 |
| 2031 | $22.20 | $93.03 | $390 |
| 2032 | $22.34 | $107 | $516 |
| 2033 | $22.73 | $124 | $675 |
| 2034 | $23.33 | $143 | $876 |
| 2035 | $24.12 | $165 | $1,128 |
| 2036 | $25.08 | $190 | $1,444 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using IONQ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. IONQ is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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IONQ Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$224.8K
2 Transactions
Sold
$378.7M
39 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$9.2M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2025 | CHAPMAN PETER HUME
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 4.5M | $170.9M |
| Jun 11, 2025 | DE MASI NICCOLO M
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 2.6M | $104.8M |
| Jun 20, 2025 | CHAPMAN PETER HUME
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 1.5M | $59.8M |
| Dec 9, 2021 | YOU HARRY L
Director
|
Sell | 2.2M | $45.4M |
| Mar 11, 2025 | CHAPMAN PETER HUME
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 2.0M | $37.4M |
| Dec 3, 2021 | YOU HARRY L
Director
|
Sell | 1.8M | $33.3M |
| May 31, 2022 | NEW ENTERPRISE ASSOCIATES 15, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 2.9M | $17.1M |
| Jun 16, 2025 | KRAMER THOMAS G
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 216.0K | $8.2M |
| Apr 11, 2022 | GV 2016 GP, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 544.2K | $6.1M |
| Nov 20, 2025 | ALAMEDDINE RIMA
Officer
|
Sell | 100.0K | $4.7M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is IonQ's stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, IonQ's stock price prediction for 2030 has a base case of $80.63, a downside case of $22.38, and an upside case of $290.44. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is IonQ stock a buy right now?
IonQ (IONQ) is currently rated a Buy by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $67.50, suggesting a 48.4% upside from its current price of $45.48. The stock exhibits bullish technical momentum, trading above key moving averages with a positive RSI.
What are the main risks for IonQ stock?
The primary risks for IonQ include significant insider selling totaling over $378.7 million, a very high valuation with a price-to-sales ratio of 73.16, and persistent net losses with a negative EPS of -3.87.
How is IonQ's revenue growth compared to its sector?
IonQ's revenue growth is exceptional, projected at +250.00% for the current year, significantly outpacing the Technology sector median of 24.1%.
What is IonQ's profitability status?
IonQ is currently not profitable, reporting a negative EPS of -3.87 and a negative profit margin of -408.17%. Its return on equity is also negative at -60.48%.
What is the Wall Street consensus for IonQ?
The Wall Street consensus for IonQ is predominantly Buy, with 12 analysts covering the stock. There is one Strong Buy rating, nine Buy ratings, and two Hold ratings, contributing to a Wall Street score of 73 out of 100.
How does IonQ's valuation compare to its peers?
IonQ's valuation is significantly higher than its sector peers, with a price-to-sales ratio of 73.16 compared to the sector median of 7.5. This suggests the market has high growth expectations for the company.