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As of September 27, 2026, HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) trades at $213.74. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $250.00, 17.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $250.00 across 34 analysts. RSI at 35 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $231.32.
HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS)
HubSpot, Inc. NYSE
$213.74
-7.820 (-3.53%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
At $213.74, HubSpot, Inc. is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($231.32 and $250.71), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's consensus rating is Hold, supported by a Wall Street score of 59 and a median analyst price target of $250, implying a 17% upside. Analysts project strong revenue growth of 18% for the current year and 14% for the next, alongside a strong 37.1% EPS growth estimate for the current year. However, significant insider selling, with total sales of $74.9 million against $2.8 million in purchases, presents a notable risk, signaling a lack of insider confidence in the near-term price action. The company operates in the Software - Application industry within the broader Technology sector, which has a median P/E of 34 and revenue growth of 24.1%.
HUBS Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$221.26
Day Range
$212.36 to $223.87
Prev Close
$221.56
Volume
869.9K
52-Week Range
$169.63 to $525.51
Market Cap
$10.94B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+124%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
HUBS Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, HUBS beat estimates 5 times. However, the stock fell 4 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
HUBS Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+16.96% Upside
Median of 34 analysts (12-month)
$250.00
AI Technical Analysis
HubSpot's technical indicators suggest a bearish short-term outlook, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 34.93, indicating bearish momentum and trading below the oversold threshold. The stock is currently trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages, with values of $229.12, $231.32, and $250.71 respectively, reinforcing the downward trend. The MACD is also negative at -4.33, further supporting the bearish sentiment. Key support levels are not clearly defined due to the current downward momentum, while resistance is expected around the recent moving average levels. Volume has been significantly below average, down 60.2%, which could indicate a lack of conviction from buyers at current levels.
ProTips
- Given the significant insider selling and bearish technicals, consider a more conservative entry point or a tighter stop-loss strategy to manage risk.
- The stock's current trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($231.32 and $250.71) suggests potential for further downside, with resistance expected around $231 and $250.
- Despite the current headwinds, HubSpot's strong projected revenue and EPS growth indicate a solid long-term growth story, warranting continued monitoring for a technical and insider sentiment turnaround.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Pressure
Insiders have sold $74.9 million worth of stock against only $2.8 million in purchases, indicating a significant lack of confidence in the near-term stock performance.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Bearish Technical Momentum
The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($231.32 and $250.71), with a bearish RSI of 34.93, suggesting potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisBullish
Strong Forward Growth Estimates
Analysts project strong revenue growth of 18% for the current year and 37.1% EPS growth, indicating strong underlying business expansion.
Source: Analyst EstimatesBullish
Positive Long-Range Projection
Monte Carlo simulations forecast a base case price of $320.73 by 2030, suggesting significant long-term appreciation potential.
Source: Long-Range ProjectionMarket Outlook
HubSpot's outlook is cautiously optimistic, with a median analyst price target of $250 suggesting a potential 17% upside from the current price. Analysts anticipate continued strong revenue and EPS growth, driven by the company's position in the software market. The long-range projection suggests a base case of $320.73 by 2030. However, the current bearish technical setup, with the stock trading below key moving averages and a bearish RSI, indicates potential near-term challenges. Significant insider selling also casts a shadow over the immediate prospects, suggesting that the stock may face headwinds before realizing its long-term growth potential.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 10.94B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 76.06 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.81 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 525.51 |
| 52 Week Low | 169.63 |
HubSpot's valuation appears stretched relative to its sector averages, with a Price-to-Sales ratio of 3.17 compared to the sector median of 7.5, and a P/E ratio of 76.06, significantly higher than the sector median of 34. Despite this premium valuation, the company demonstrates strong growth potential, with projected revenue growth of 18% for the current year and 14% for the next, and an impressive 37.1% EPS growth estimate for the current year. Its profit margin stands at 4.26% and operating margin at 4.87%, with a return on equity of 7.89%, which is below the sector average of 13.4%. The debt-to-equity ratio is a healthy 0.14, well below the sector average, indicating a strong balance sheet.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
HubSpot recently reported earnings for the quarter to June 2026, with an actual EPS of $3.26, beating the estimate of $3.02 by 7.95%. This followed a beat in the prior quarter to March 2026, where actual EPS was $2.72 against an estimate of $2.47, a 10.12% surprise. However, the stock experienced significant price drops of -19.1% and -19.03% following these earnings reports, suggesting that market expectations or forward guidance may not have met investor expectations despite the EPS beats. The company's revenue growth is projected to be around 14% for the current and next quarters.
Key Risks
Significant insider selling, totaling $74.9 million in dispositions against only $2.8 million in purchases, presents a major risk, indicating a lack of confidence from management in the near term. The stock is trading below key technical indicators, including the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling potential for further downside. Additionally, the current valuation, while showing strong growth prospects, is at a premium compared to sector averages, increasing the risk of a valuation correction if growth falters.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 34.93 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -4.33 |
| SMA 50 | 231.32 |
| SMA 200 | 250.71 |
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $231.32, 200-day: $250.71), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.26
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.16
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
-0.09
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with HUBS? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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HUBS Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$211.60
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$213.74
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$194.40
MAX LOSS
-8.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (34.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$217.95
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$222.18
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$228.53
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
HUBS is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.01%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in HUBS in September 2016 would be worth about $38,658 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in HUBS today could grow to about $27,583 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $209,266 and a bear case around $3,636. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
HUBS Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $321 for HUBS by 2030 in the base case, from $214 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $89.03. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on HUBS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $125 | $237 | $449 |
| 2028 | $106 | $262 | $648 |
| 2029 | $95.51 | $290 | $879 |
| 2030 | $89.03 | $321 | $1,155 |
| 2031 | $84.71 | $355 | $1,488 |
| 2032 | $81.77 | $393 | $1,888 |
| 2033 | $79.81 | $435 | $2,369 |
| 2034 | $78.57 | $481 | $2,948 |
| 2035 | $77.91 | $533 | $3,642 |
| 2036 | $77.71 | $590 | $4,473 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using HUBS's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. HUBS is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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HUBS Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$2.8M
4 Transactions
Sold
$74.9M
34 Transactions
Insiders
16
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$2.0M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | SHAH DHARMESH P
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $18.5M |
| Nov 16, 2021 | SHAH DHARMESH
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 22.0K | $18.4M |
| Dec 10, 2024 | SHAH DHARMESH P
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $18.2M |
| Nov 19, 2024 | SHAH DHARMESH P
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $16.8M |
| Dec 11, 2020 | SHAH DHARMESH
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 40.0K | $15.7M |
| Jun 3, 2024 | SHAH DHARMESH P
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 26.0K | $15.5M |
| Jul 8, 2024 | SHAH DHARMESH P
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $14.7M |
| Oct 6, 2021 | SHAH DHARMESH
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 20.0K | $13.2M |
| Dec 1, 2023 | SHAH DHARMESH P
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 23.0K | $11.7M |
| Sep 9, 2025 | SHAH DHARMESH P
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 22.0K | $11.0M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is HubSpot's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, HubSpot's stock price forecast for 2030 shows a base case of $320.73, with a downside projection of $89.03 and an upside projection of $1155.41. These figures represent simulation outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is HubSpot stock a buy right now?
HubSpot's current consensus rating is Hold, with a median analyst price target of $250, suggesting a potential 17% upside from the current price of $213.74. However, significant insider selling and bearish technical indicators suggest caution.
What are the key technical levels for HubSpot stock?
HubSpot is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of $231.32 and its 200-day SMA of $250.71, indicating resistance at these levels. The RSI is in bearish territory at 34.93, suggesting limited immediate upside momentum.
What is the recent insider activity for HubSpot?
Insiders have been net sellers of HubSpot stock, with total sales reaching $74.9 million compared to $2.8 million in purchases in recent filings. This heavy sell signal suggests a lack of insider confidence.
How does HubSpot's valuation compare to its sector?
HubSpot trades at a premium compared to its sector peers, with a P/E ratio of 76.06 against the sector median of 34 and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 3.17 versus the sector median of 7.5. Its return on equity of 7.89% is also below the sector average of 13.4%.
What are the growth prospects for HubSpot?
Analysts project strong growth for HubSpot, with estimated EPS growth of 37.1% for the current year and revenue growth of 18% for the current year and 14% for the next. Long-term growth is estimated at a compound annual rate of 35.2% over the next five years.
What was HubSpot's most recent earnings performance?
In the quarter to June 2026, HubSpot reported an EPS of $3.26, beating estimates by 7.95%. However, the stock price declined by 19.1% following this report, indicating potential concerns beyond the headline EPS figure.