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As of September 27, 2026, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) trades at $189.67. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $189.67, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $205.10 across 32 analysts. RSI at 69 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $163.93.
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)
Palantir Technologies Inc. NASDAQ
$189.67
-2.920 (-1.52%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
65 / 100
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is trading at $189.67, showing strong bullish momentum with its RSI at 69.36 and trading above key moving averages including the 50-day SMA ($163.93) and 200-day SMA ($152.02). The company is experiencing exceptional revenue growth, projected at 83.00% year-over-year for the current year, far exceeding the sector median of 24.1%. This growth is underpinned by strong profit margins (49.01% net, 47.12% operating) and a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, indicating a strong financial position. Despite these positive operational and financial indicators, a significant amount of insider selling has been recorded, with total sales amounting to $1.3 billion against $1.16 million in purchases, leading to a heavy insider selling. This divergence between strong company performance and insider sentiment presents a key risk. The median analyst price target stands at $205.10, suggesting an 8.1% upside from the current price, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' from 32 analysts.
PLTR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$192.71
Day Range
$189.35 to $194.21
Prev Close
$192.59
Volume
17.78M
52-Week Range
$106.37 to $207.52
Market Cap
$455.79B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+377%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
PLTR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, PLTR beat estimates 3 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
PLTR Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+8.14% Upside
Median of 32 analysts (12-month)
$205.10
AI Technical Analysis
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, with its RSI at 69.36 and trading above its 20-day EMA ($179.02), 50-day SMA ($163.93), and 200-day SMA ($152.02). The MACD at 6.0985 also indicates positive momentum, though volume was down 32.7% versus its average on the latest trading day, suggesting a slight pause in immediate buying pressure. Key support levels are now established around the 50-day SMA at $163.93 and the 200-day SMA at $152.02. Resistance is likely to be tested near the current price, with the median analyst target price at $205.10. The overall chart structure suggests an uptrend remains intact, but the recent dip in volume warrants monitoring for sustained buying interest to confirm further upward movement.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transactions closely; the current heavy insider selling warrants attention despite strong company fundamentals.
- Given the high valuation multiples, any deceleration in Palantir's hyper-growth could lead to significant price corrections.
- The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($163.93 and $152.02), indicating bullish momentum, but a decrease in volume suggests caution is warranted.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Current year revenue is estimated to grow by 83.00%, significantly outpacing sector averages and supporting the bullish outlook.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Consistent Earnings Beats
Palantir has a track record of exceeding EPS estimates, most recently with a 17.14% surprise in the quarter to June 2026, which drove a significant stock price increase.
Source: Earnings ReportsBearish
Significant Insider Selling
Over $1.3 billion in insider sales have been recorded, contrasting with minimal purchases, leading to a heavy insider selling.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
High Valuation Multiples
The stock's P/E ratio of 162.11 and P/S ratio of 74.04 are substantially higher than sector medians, posing a risk if growth expectations are not met.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is expected to continue its strong growth trajectory, with current year revenue projected to increase by 83.00% and next year by 50.00%. The median analyst price target of $205.10 suggests an 8.1% upside from the current price of $189.67, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook from Wall Street. The company's ability to maintain its high growth rates and profitability will be key to sustaining its current valuation. Potential upside catalysts include further contract wins and successful expansion into new markets, while downside risks are primarily centered around the high valuation and significant insider selling, which could signal underlying concerns not yet reflected in the company's operational performance.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 455.79B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 162.11 |
| EPS (TTM) | 1.17 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 207.52 |
| 52 Week Low | 106.37 |
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) presents a mixed valuation picture, trading at a P/E ratio of 162.11, significantly above the sector median of 34, and a price-to-sales ratio of 74.04, also considerably higher than the sector median of 7.5. However, its exceptional revenue growth of 83.00% projected for the current year and a strong net profit margin of 49.01% help justify this premium valuation. The company boasts a very healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.02 and a strong return on equity of 38.10%. These metrics indicate efficient capital utilization and financial stability. While the high P/E ratio suggests the stock is richly valued, the rapid revenue growth and profitability provide a fundamental basis for its current trading levels, though it remains sensitive to growth expectations.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) demonstrated strong earnings performance in its most recent reported quarter, the quarter to June 2026, with actual EPS of $0.41 beating the estimate of $0.35 by 17.14%, leading to a significant 29.45% price increase. Prior quarters also showed positive surprises, with the quarter to June 2026 (reported May 4) EPS of $0.33 beating estimates by 17.86% and the quarter to June 2026 (reported August 3) EPS of $0.05 beating estimates by 25%. This consistent earnings beat pattern suggests reliable operational execution.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) stems from significant insider selling, with over $1.3 billion in dispositions recorded, signaling potential concerns among management despite strong company performance. Additionally, the stock's high valuation multiples, including a P/E of 162.11 and P/S of 74.04, make it vulnerable to any slowdown in its projected hyper-growth trajectory. Competition within the data analytics and AI software space also presents an ongoing challenge.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 69.36 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 6.10 |
| SMA 50 | 163.93 |
| SMA 200 | 152.02 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($163.93) above the 200-day SMA ($152.02), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.51
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.53
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.37
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with PLTR? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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PLTR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$185.88
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$189.67
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$177.98
MAX LOSS
-4.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (69.4) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$195.17
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$204.46
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$213.76
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for PLTR is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in PLTR in September 2020 would be worth about $199,653 today, compared with about $23,033 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PLTR today could grow to about $58,017 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $440,155 and a bear case around $7,647. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
PLTR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $383 for PLTR by 2030 in the base case, from $190 today (2.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $106. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PLTR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $119 | $226 | $429 |
| 2028 | $109 | $270 | $667 |
| 2029 | $106 | $321 | $975 |
| 2030 | $106 | $383 | $1,380 |
| 2031 | $109 | $457 | $1,915 |
| 2032 | $113 | $545 | $2,617 |
| 2033 | $119 | $649 | $3,538 |
| 2034 | $126 | $774 | $4,742 |
| 2035 | $135 | $923 | $6,311 |
| 2036 | $145 | $1,100 | $8,348 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PLTR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. PLTR is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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PLTR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$1.2M
1 Transactions
Sold
$1.3B
75 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$17.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | KARP ALEXANDER C.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 12.3M | $650.6M |
| Sep 26, 2024 | THIEL PETER A. J.D.
Director
|
Sell | 16.2M | $597.0M |
| Feb 18, 2021 | THIEL PETER A
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 20.0M | $504.8M |
| Oct 1, 2024 | THIEL PETER A. J.D.
Director
|
Sell | 12.4M | $457.4M |
| Nov 15, 2024 | KARP ALEXANDER C.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 6.3M | $399.1M |
| Dec 3, 2024 | SANKAR SHYAM
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 5.3M | $369.9M |
| Sep 17, 2024 | KARP ALEXANDER C.
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 9.0M | $325.6M |
| Mar 14, 2025 | COHEN STEPHEN ANDREW
President
|
Sell | 3.8M | $310.2M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | THIEL PETER A. J.D.
Director
|
Sell | 2.0M | $289.7M |
| May 10, 2024 | THIEL PETER A. J.D.
Director
|
Sell | 13.0M | $273.5M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Palantir Technologies Inc.'s stock price prediction for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) has a projected base case price of $383.20 for 2030, with a downside projection of $106.37 and an upside projection of $1380.43. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets.
Is Palantir Technologies Inc. stock a buy right now?
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) currently holds a 'Buy' consensus rating with a score of 65, supported by strong revenue growth and positive technical momentum. However, significant insider selling and a high valuation warrant careful consideration.
What is Palantir Technologies Inc.'s current valuation compared to its sector?
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) trades at a P/E ratio of 162.11 and a P/S ratio of 74.04, significantly higher than the sector medians of 34 and 7.5, respectively. This premium is partly justified by its exceptional revenue growth and profitability.
What are the key technical indicators for Palantir Technologies Inc. stock?
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) shows bullish momentum with an RSI at 69.4 and is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($163.93 and $152.02). The MACD is positive at 6.0985, indicating an uptrend, though recent volume has decreased.
How has Palantir Technologies Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in its recent earnings reports, including a 17.14% surprise in the quarter to June 2026, which corresponded with a 29.45% stock price increase.
What is the analyst consensus for Palantir Technologies Inc. stock?
The Wall Street consensus for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is 'Buy', with 32 analysts covering the stock. The median price target is $205.10, implying an 8.1% upside from the current price.
What are the main risks facing Palantir Technologies Inc.?
Key risks for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) include substantial insider selling totaling over $1.3 billion, its high valuation multiples (P/E of 162.11), and ongoing competition in the software infrastructure sector.
What is the insider sentiment for Palantir Technologies Inc. stock?
Insider sentiment for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is currently negative, with a heavy insider selling due to over $1.3 billion in insider sales compared to only $1.16 million in purchases.