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As of September 26, 2026, Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) trades at $56.22. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $80.00, 42.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $80.00 across 7 analysts. RSI at 58 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $53.42.

Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG)

Penguin Solutions Inc. NASDAQ

$56.22 3.140 (5.92%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Buy
71 / 100
Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) is trading at $56.22, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($53.42 and $38.86), indicating a positive technical trend. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 47.6% and has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in recent quarters, with a notable 50% surprise in the quarter to June 2026. Analysts have assigned a median price target of $80.00, suggesting an upside of 42.3% from the current price, supported by a consensus rating of Buy. Fundamentally, PENG exhibits strong growth metrics with projected revenue growth of 31.00% for next year and a 5-year average growth estimate of 16.9%. Its current P/E ratio of 40.45 is above the sector median of 34, but this is justified by its superior revenue growth and profitability, with a net profit margin of 6.45% and an operating margin of 10.83%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77 is in line with the sector average, and its return on equity stands at a healthy 16.19%.

PENG Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$53.86
Day Range
$53.38 to $56.57
Prev Close
$53.08
Volume
1.66M
52-Week Range
$16.04 to $89.86
Market Cap
$2.88B

Peer Benchmarking

Valuation vs Sector (Technology)

Performance vs XLK

Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (19% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.

PENG Financial Performance

Revenue vs. Earnings

Annual

Quarterly

Earnings Reality Check

Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, PENG beat estimates 5 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.

PENG Analysis

Company's Health 4/5
12-Month Analyst Target +42.30% Upside
Median of 7 analysts (12-month)
$80.00
AI Technical Analysis Buy
Penguin Solutions Inc. is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($53.42 and $38.86), signaling an uptrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 58.3, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is positive at 0.198, suggesting continued upward pressure. The stock's current price is also above its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $52.61, reinforcing the bullish short-term trend. Volume has been slightly above average recently, with the latest volume at 1.66 million compared to an average of 1.51 million, indicating solid investor interest. Key support levels are near the 50-day SMA, while resistance is expected to be tested around previous highs.
ProTips
  • Monitor insider selling activity closely; while currently moderate, a significant increase could signal waning management confidence.
  • The stock is trading above key moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), suggesting a bullish trend, but watch for potential pullbacks if momentum stalls.
  • Given the premium valuation, consider position sizing carefully and ensure any investment aligns with your risk tolerance.
Key Catalysts
Bullish Strong Q2 2026 Earnings Beat

Penguin Solutions Inc. reported EPS of $0.84, beating estimates by 50%, leading to a 25.13% stock price increase, indicating positive market reaction to strong financial performance.

Source: Company Earnings Report
Bullish Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets

Seven analysts cover PENG, with a consensus rating of Buy and a median price target of $80.00, representing a 42.3% upside from the current price.

Source: Wall Street Analysts
Bearish Moderate Insider Selling Activity

Insiders have sold approximately $6 million worth of stock across 41 transactions, indicating a net seller position that could signal caution.

Source: Insider Trading Filings
Bullish Strong Revenue Growth Projections

Analysts forecast revenue growth of 31.00% for next year and an average of 16.9% over the next five years, supporting the company's growth narrative.

Source: Analyst Estimates
Market Outlook
Penguin Solutions Inc. is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with analysts projecting revenue growth of 31.00% for next year and an average annual growth rate of 16.9% over the next five years. The base case scenario suggests a potential price of $96.94 by 2030, driven by sustained demand for its information technology services and continued earnings beats. The company's strong revenue growth and healthy profit margins provide a solid foundation for future expansion. Upside potential exists if PENG can maintain its impressive revenue growth and earnings surprises, potentially pushing the stock towards its higher analyst targets and the upper end of its long-range projection. Conversely, a significant slowdown in revenue growth, increased competition, or a broader market downturn could lead to a re-rating of its premium valuation, pushing the stock towards its downside projection. The moderate insider selling warrants monitoring as a potential indicator of future price action.

Key Statistics

Market Cap 2.88B
P/E Ratio 40.45
EPS (TTM) 1.39
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52 Week High 89.86
52 Week Low 16.04
Penguin Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E ratio of 40.45, which is higher than the sector median of 34, but its revenue growth of 47.6% significantly outpaces the sector average of 24.1%. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 1.92 is below the sector median of 7.5, suggesting it may be undervalued on a sales basis relative to peers. Its return on equity at 16.19% and profit margin of 6.45% are strong, exceeding sector averages. The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77, which is in line with the sector average. The strong revenue growth and healthy profit margins suggest efficient operations and a solid business model. While the P/E ratio indicates a premium valuation, it appears justified by the company's superior growth trajectory and profitability compared to the broader technology services sector.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

Penguin Solutions Inc. has demonstrated strong earnings performance, most recently reporting an EPS of $0.84 for the quarter to June 2026, a 50% beat against the estimated $0.56. This follows a pattern of positive earnings surprises, including a 18.18% beat in the quarter to March 2026 and a 23.81% beat in the prior quarter. The stock reacted positively to the latest earnings report, gaining 25.13%.

Key Risks

A primary risk for Penguin Solutions Inc. is its valuation, with a P/E ratio of 40.45 exceeding the sector median, which could lead to increased volatility if growth expectations are not met. Insiders have been net sellers, with approximately $6 million in sales over the recent period, signaling a degree of caution from management. Additionally, while the company's growth is strong, any deceleration could put pressure on its premium valuation.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 58.30
MACD 0.20
SMA 50 53.42
SMA 200 38.86
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($53.42) above the 200-day SMA ($38.86), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.

Market Correlations

How this stock moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.52
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.61
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.16
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.10
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with PENG? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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PENG Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$55.10
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$56.22
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$50.16
MAX LOSS
-9.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (58.3) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$57.85
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$60.61
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$63.36
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
PENG is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.43%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in PENG in May 2017 would be worth about $83,599 today, compared with about $32,058 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in PENG today could grow to about $39,043 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $296,206 and a bear case around $5,146. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

PENG Stock Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $96.94 for PENG by 2030 in the base case, from $56.22 today (1.7x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $26.91. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on PENG's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

PENG simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $33.94 $64.42 $122
2028 $29.83 $73.82 $183
2029 $27.88 $84.60 $257
2030 $26.91 $96.94 $349
2031 $26.51 $111 $466
2032 $26.49 $127 $612
2033 $26.77 $146 $795
2034 $27.29 $167 $1,024
2035 $28.02 $192 $1,310
2036 $28.93 $220 $1,665

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using PENG's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. PENG is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

People Also Watch

PENG Insider Trading Analysis

Source: SEC Form 4
▲ Bought
None
No open-market buys
▼ Sold
$6.0M
22 Transactions
● Insiders
13
Active Traders
$ Avg Transaction
$274.8K
Moderate size
Recent insider transactions in PENG
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Jul 21, 2025
PACHECO JACK A
Officer
Sell 63.4K $1.6M
May 12, 2026
NAYYAR SANDEEP
Director
Sell 20.0K $890.3K
Jun 1, 2026
CLARK JOSEPH GATES
Officer
Sell 10.4K $609.4K
May 12, 2026
STRAUB MAXIMILIANE C
Director
Sell 12.0K $537.4K
Jun 13, 2023
PACHECO JACK A
Officer
Sell 15.0K $375.0K
Jul 5, 2023
NAYYAR SANDEEP
Director
Sell 12.4K $338.4K
Jul 26, 2024
PACHECO JACK A
Chief Operating Officer
Sell 13.3K $308.8K
Apr 9, 2026
CLARK JOSEPH GATES
Officer
Sell 12.5K $282.9K
Aug 20, 2024
PACHECO JACK A
Officer
Sell 13.3K $281.8K
Dec 9, 2024
PACHECO JACK A
Officer
Sell 13.3K $267.4K

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Penguin Solutions Inc. stock a buy?
Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) is currently rated a Buy with a consensus score of 71. Analysts have set a median price target of $80.00, indicating a potential upside of 42.3% from the current price of $56.22. The stock exhibits strong revenue growth and positive earnings surprises.
What is Penguin Solutions Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Penguin Solutions Inc.'s stock price is projected to reach a base case of $96.94 by 2030, with a downside projection of $26.91 and an upside projection of $349.22. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not definitive price targets.
How has Penguin Solutions Inc. performed in recent earnings reports?
Penguin Solutions Inc. has consistently beaten analyst expectations. Most recently, for the quarter ending June 2026, the company reported an EPS of $0.84, significantly exceeding the estimate of $0.56 by 50%. This positive performance led to a 25.13% increase in stock price.
What are the key financial metrics for Penguin Solutions Inc. compared to its sector?
Penguin Solutions Inc. shows a higher P/E ratio (40.45) than the sector median (34), but compensates with superior revenue growth (47.6% vs 24.1%) and a lower price-to-sales ratio (1.92 vs 7.5). Its return on equity (16.19%) and profit margin (6.45%) also outperform sector averages.
What is the technical outlook for Penguin Solutions Inc. stock?
Technically, Penguin Solutions Inc. is in an uptrend, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($53.42 and $38.86). The RSI is neutral at 58.3, and the MACD is positive, suggesting continued upward momentum with support near the 50-day SMA.
What are the main risks facing Penguin Solutions Inc.?
Key risks include its premium valuation relative to the sector, potential volatility if growth falters, and moderate insider selling activity totaling approximately $6 million. Any slowdown in its strong growth trajectory could negatively impact the stock price.
How does Wall Street view Penguin Solutions Inc. stock?
Wall Street analysts maintain a positive outlook on Penguin Solutions Inc., with a consensus rating of Buy. Out of seven analysts, two rate it Strong Buy and four rate it Buy, contributing to a Wall Street score of 71 out of 100. The median price target is $80.00.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for PENG are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on September 26, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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