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Netflix vs The Walt Disney Company
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Comparative Analysis
Disney (DIS) wins this head-to-head comparison against Netflix (NFLX), primarily driven by stronger recent momentum and a more favorable technical setup. While both companies operate in the competitive streaming and entertainment sector, DIS exhibits a more positive price trend and analyst sentiment, suggesting a potential for continued outperformance. NFLX, despite its established market position, faces headwinds from slowing growth and a less compelling technical picture. DIS's recent earnings beats and higher analyst target median further solidify its advantage.
Key Differentiator
The primary differentiator favoring Disney (DIS) is its superior technical momentum and more positive analyst outlook. DIS's price is trending above key moving averages with strong momentum indicators, and analysts have set a significantly higher median target price compared to its current trading level. This suggests a greater conviction among market participants and analysts regarding DIS's near-to-medium term prospects, despite NFLX's higher profitability margins.
Joint Outlook
The outlook for Disney (DIS) appears more constructive in the near-to-medium term, supported by its current technical momentum and analyst targets suggesting further upside. A scenario of continued positive earnings surprises and successful integration of its streaming services could push DIS towards its analyst targets. For Netflix (NFLX), the outlook is more uncertain; while its profitability is strong, sustaining high growth rates and navigating competitive pressures will be key. A scenario where NFLX successfully expands into new markets or content areas could reignite its growth, but failure to do so may see its stock consolidate or face downward pressure given its current technical setup.
Price Analysis Comparison
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | NFLX | DIS |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 22.20 | 22.39 |
| Market Cap | 293.39B | 187.48B |
| Price/Sales | 6.08 | 1.90 |
| Price/Book | 9.75 | 1.71 |
| EV/EBITDA | 20.48 | 11.21 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A | 0.69% |
Netflix (NFLX) trades at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.20, which is slightly lower than Disney's (DIS) P/E of 22.39. However, NFLX's revenue growth at 13.4% significantly outpaces DIS's 6.8%. Despite the similar P/E ratios, NFLX's higher growth rate suggests it may offer better value on a forward-looking basis if that growth can be sustained.
Profitability & Efficiency
| Metric | NFLX | DIS |
|---|---|---|
| Rev. Growth (Qtly) | 13.40% | 6.80% |
| Profit Margin | 28.22% | 8.70% |
| Return on Equity | 49.54% | 8.01% |
| Return on Assets | 16.08% | 4.81% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.55 | 0.39 |
Netflix (NFLX) boasts a superior net profit margin of 28.22% and a return on equity of 49.54%, significantly outperforming Disney (DIS) which has a net profit margin of 8.7% and a return on equity of 8.01%. NFLX also shows a much higher return on assets at 16.08% compared to DIS's 4.81%. These figures indicate that NFLX is considerably more efficient at converting revenue into profit and generating returns for shareholders.
Earnings Reality Check
NFLX
Last 5 Qs: NFLX beat estimates 3x out of 5. Fell 3x after beats. (Sell the news?)
DIS
Last 4 Qs: DIS beat estimates 4x out of 4. Fell 2x after beats. (Sell the news?)
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | NFLX | DIS |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 44.86 | 61.64 |
| 50-Day MA | $75.19 | $105.82 |
| 200-Day MA | $83.10 | $103.63 |
Disney (DIS) shows a stronger technical profile, with its price trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($105.82 and $103.63), and its 20-day EMA ($106.04) also indicating upward momentum. The RSI at 61.64 suggests firm momentum without being overbought, and the CCI at 113.94 confirms bullish strength. Netflix (NFLX), conversely, is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($75.19 and $83.10), with its 20-day EMA at $71.25, indicating a weaker trend. NFLX's RSI of 44.86 and CCI of 39.25 point to neutral to soft momentum.
AI Analyst Sentiment
AI rating: CleaRank Financial AI's overall score for each asset, the same score shown on its own analysis page. It combines price trend and momentum with valuation, analyst and insider data where they exist.
NFLX
AI Score: 50/100
DIS
AI Score: 76/100
Risk Stratification
| Metric | NFLX | DIS |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (Volatility) | 1.61 | 1.42 |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 | 0.29 |
For Netflix (NFLX), key risks include increased competition in the streaming space, potential saturation of its subscriber base, and the execution risk associated with its content strategy. Its lower profitability metrics compared to its revenue growth could also pose a challenge if cost controls falter. Disney (DIS) faces risks related to the cyclical nature of its theme park and studio entertainment businesses, ongoing investments in its streaming segment which are still less profitable than NFLX, and potential shifts in consumer entertainment preferences. Integration challenges and the performance of its legacy media assets also present hurdles.
Comparative ProTips
- Consider DIS for its current technical strength and positive analyst sentiment, which may signal near-term outperformance.
- Monitor NFLX's ability to sustain its high profitability margins and accelerate revenue growth to justify its current valuation.
- For income-focused investors, DIS offers a small dividend yield, whereas NFLX provides no income, making DIS slightly more attractive on this front.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
Simulated growth of $10,000 in each asset, from its own historical volatility and trend. Statistical outcomes, not forecasts.
Actionable Trade Plans
Compare entry, exit, and risk management levels for both assets
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
3%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
✎
Position Size: $200 - $300 per asset
NFLX
Current: $70.57
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$67.04
Aggressive
$70.57
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$65.03
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5% from current
$74.10
+10% from current
$77.63
+15% from current
$81.16
DIS
Current: $108.99
ENTRY ZONES
Conservative
$103.54
Aggressive
$108.99
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$100.43
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5% from current
$114.44
+10% from current
$119.89
+15% from current
$125.34
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This comparison involves assets with varying risk profiles. The content is for educational purposes only. The verdict weighs trend, valuation and risk together. Past correlation does not guarantee future lockstep movement. Trading involves risk of loss. Note: The AI favored DIS based on price momentum. This is valid for the specified timeframe only.
Frequently Asked Questions
How do NFLX and DIS compare on profitability?+
NFLX is significantly more profitable, boasting a net profit margin of 28.22% and a return on equity of 49.54%, compared to DIS's 8.7% net profit margin and 8.01% return on equity.
What is the valuation difference between NFLX and DIS?+
Both stocks trade at very similar P/E ratios around 22.2 to 22.4, but NFLX shows much higher revenue growth at 13.4% versus DIS's 6.8%.
Which stock has better technical indicators?+
DIS exhibits stronger technicals, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($105.82 and $103.63) with a higher RSI and CCI, indicating a more positive trend compared to NFLX.
How does analyst sentiment differ for NFLX and DIS?+
Analysts are more bullish on DIS, with a median target price of $127.50 and predominantly 'Buy' ratings, whereas NFLX's median target of $90 is below its current price and its ratings are more mixed.
How have NFLX and DIS performed over the past year?+
Over the 12 months to October 15, 2026, NFLX's price fell 41.4% and DIS's fell 2.4%. These are price changes; dividends are not included.
Which is more volatile, NFLX or DIS?+
NFLX has been more volatile. Over the 30 days to October 15, 2026, NFLX's annualized volatility was 30.9% and DIS's 23.1%, measured from daily closing prices.