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As of September 11, 2026, Nike, Inc. (NKE) trades at $36.64. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $37.67, 2.8% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $46.00 across 40 analysts. RSI at 24 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $41.15.
Nike, Inc. (NKE)
Nike, Inc. NYSE
$36.64
0.0200 (0.05%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
54 / 100
Nike, Inc. (NKE) is currently trading at $36.64, significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($41.15 and $50.92), indicating a bearish short-term trend. The company's consensus rating is a Hold, supported by a Wall Street score of 54 out of 100, with 25 out of 40 analysts rating the stock as Hold. Recent earnings have shown a substantial EPS beat in the latest quarter (453.85% surprise), but this follows a pattern of mixed performance and the company is projected to see revenue declines in the current and next fiscal quarters. Insider activity shows a net seller position, with total sales of $32.1 million against purchases of $9.7 million, contributing to a moderate sell signal.
NKE Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$36.78
Day Range
$36.62 to $36.98
Prev Close
$36.62
Volume
270.3K
52-Week Range
$36.55 to $79.13
Market Cap
$54.33B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Consumer Cyclical)
Performance vs XLY
Sector Position Analysis
Valuation is broadly in line with sector peers (-15% difference), suggesting fair market pricing relative to industry standards.
NKE Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, NKE beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
NKE Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+25.55% Upside
Median of 40 analysts (12-month)
$46.00
AI Technical Analysis
Nike's stock is currently trading below its key moving averages, with its price below the 50-day SMA ($41.15) and the 200-day SMA ($50.92), suggesting a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 23.52, indicating an oversold condition that could precede a bounce. MACD is negative at -1.17, further reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume has been significantly below average, suggesting a lack of conviction from traders in the current price action. The stock is approaching its 52-week low, with limited immediate resistance above the current price, making any upward movement potentially challenging without a shift in market sentiment.
ProTips
- Monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for any signs of revenue stabilization or growth, as this is a key factor for a potential NKE stock rebound.
- Given the oversold RSI reading, consider that a short-term technical bounce is possible, but a sustained rally will require fundamental improvements and a shift in insider sentiment.
- With insider selling exceeding buying, it is prudent to maintain a cautious approach and avoid aggressive new positions until a clear bullish trend emerges.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold $32.1 million worth of stock against $9.7 million in purchases, indicating a moderate sell signal and potential lack of confidence in near-term price appreciation.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Negative Revenue Growth Projections
Nike is projected to experience revenue declines of -4.00% in the next quarter and -2.00% in the current year, posing a significant headwind to stock performance.
Source: Wall Street Revenue EstimatesBullish
Significant EPS Beat in Latest Quarter
Nike reported an EPS of $0.72, far exceeding the estimate of $0.13 (453.85% surprise), which could signal underlying operational efficiency.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Oversold Technical Conditions
The RSI is at 23.52, indicating an oversold market condition that historically can precede a price reversal or bounce.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Nike's outlook is cautiously neutral, with the stock trading at a significant discount to its moving averages and facing projected revenue declines. The median analyst price target of $46.00 suggests a potential upside of 25.55%, but this is contingent on a reversal of current negative trends. The recent strong EPS beat offers some optimism, but it must be sustained alongside improved top-line growth to justify a more bullish stance. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and revenue guidance closely for signs of a turnaround.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 54.33B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.73 |
| EPS (TTM) | 2.10 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.47% |
| 52 Week High | 79.13 |
| 52 Week Low | 36.55 |
Nike's valuation appears somewhat stretched given its current revenue trajectory, with a P/E ratio of 17.73 compared to the sector median of 20.8. However, the company's projected revenue growth for the current year is negative at -2.00%, and the next year's growth is only projected at +4.00%, lagging behind the sector average of 6.7%. While the most recent earnings report showed a significant EPS beat, the overall trend in earnings surprises has been mixed, and the company's forward revenue estimates suggest continued headwinds. The current price action and moderate sell signal from insider transactions warrant caution regarding near-term fundamental performance.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Nike's most recent earnings report for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, revealed an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.72, significantly beating the estimate of $0.13 by 453.85% and leading to a 4.9% price increase. However, this strong beat followed a period of mixed results, including a miss in the quarter ending March 31, 2026, which saw a 15.51% price drop. The company's revenue is projected to decline by 4.00% in the next quarter and 2.00% in the current year, indicating ongoing challenges in top-line growth despite recent EPS outperformance.
Key Risks
Nike faces significant risks including a bearish technical setup with the stock trading well below key moving averages and an oversold RSI suggesting potential for further downside before any rebound. Insider selling activity, totaling $32.1 million against $9.7 million in purchases, signals a moderate sell signal from management. Also, projected revenue declines in the current and upcoming fiscal years, coupled with a majority of analysts rating the stock a Hold, indicate potential for continued underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 23.52 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.17 |
| SMA 50 | 41.15 |
| SMA 200 | 50.92 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $41.15, 200-day: $50.92), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 23.5 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.39
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.29
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.06
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.01
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
NKE Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$36.27
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$36.64
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$35.08
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (23.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$37.36
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$38.09
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$39.18
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for NKE is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in NKE in September 2016 would be worth about $6,538 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NKE today could grow to about $10,719 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $40,360 and a bear case around $2,847. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
NKE Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $37.67 for NKE by 2030 in the base case, from $36.64 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $16.29. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NKE's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $24.26 | $36.90 | $56.11 |
| 2028 | $20.53 | $37.15 | $67.22 |
| 2029 | $18.10 | $37.41 | $77.34 |
| 2030 | $16.29 | $37.67 | $87.13 |
| 2031 | $14.86 | $37.93 | $96.87 |
| 2032 | $13.68 | $38.20 | $107 |
| 2033 | $12.69 | $38.46 | $117 |
| 2034 | $11.83 | $38.73 | $127 |
| 2035 | $11.09 | $39.00 | $137 |
| 2036 | $10.43 | $39.27 | $148 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using NKE's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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NKE Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$9.7M
10 Transactions
Sold
$32.1M
17 Transactions
Insiders
22
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.5M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2020 | KNIGHT PHILIP H
Retired
|
Sell | 800.0K | $100.2M |
| Jul 8, 2021 | PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 140.0K | $22.4M |
| Dec 30, 2020 | PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 130.0K | $18.4M |
| Feb 14, 2024 | PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 168.4K | $17.7M |
| Dec 8, 2020 | CAMPION ANDREW
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 120.0K | $16.8M |
| Nov 2, 2021 | PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 100.0K | $16.8M |
| Jun 1, 2020 | PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 165.0K | $16.4M |
| May 14, 2024 | PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 168.4K | $15.7M |
| Oct 13, 2021 | PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 100.0K | $15.5M |
| Dec 2, 2019 | PARKER MARK G
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 165.0K | $15.4M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Nike's current stock price and consensus rating?
Nike (NKE) is currently trading at $36.64 per share. The consensus rating among 40 Wall Street analysts is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 54 out of 100.
Is Nike stock a buy right now?
With a 'Hold' consensus rating and the stock trading below its key moving averages, NKE is not currently recommended as a strong buy. Analysts have a median price target of $46.00, suggesting a 25.55% upside from the current price, but the technicals and insider selling trends warrant caution.
What are the biggest risks for Nike stock?
Key risks include the stock's bearish technical trend, trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($41.15 and $50.92), and moderate insider selling activity. Additionally, projected revenue declines in the near term present a fundamental headwind.
How has Nike performed in recent earnings reports?
Nike recently reported a substantial EPS beat of 453.85% for the quarter ending June 30, 2026. However, prior quarters showed mixed results, and the company faces projected revenue declines in the upcoming fiscal periods.
What is Nike's stock forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Nike's stock price is projected to be $37.67 in 2030 under a base case scenario. The downside projection is $16.29, and the upside projection is $87.13. These are statistical outcomes, not price targets.
How does Nike's valuation compare to its sector?
Nike's P/E ratio of 17.73 is below the sector median of 20.8, but its projected revenue growth of -2.00% for the current year is below the sector average of 6.7%, suggesting its current valuation may not fully reflect future growth challenges.
What is the sentiment from Nike's insider transactions?
Insider transactions indicate a 'Moderate Sell Signal', with total sales of $32.1 million significantly outweighing total purchases of $9.7 million. This net selling activity by insiders suggests a cautious outlook on the stock's near-term prospects.