As of September 10, 2026, Aon plc Class A (AON) trades at $307.77. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $387.00, 25.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $387.00 across 20 analysts. RSI at 27 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $352.43.
Aon plc Class A (AON)
Aon plc Class A NYSE
Aon plc (AON) is currently trading at $304.69, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($352.43 and $336.87), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's consensus rating is Hold, with a consensus score of 63, reflecting a neutral market sentiment. Despite recent insider net selling of $135.8M million against $7.8 million in sales, the stock is positioned below key technical indicators, suggesting near-term caution.
The company's financial performance shows modest revenue growth of 2.2% year-over-year, with forward estimates projecting around 4.0% growth for the current year and 22.0% for next year. While Aon plc offers a dividend yield of 1.03%, its valuation metrics should be considered in light of its current technical weakness and the broader market's neutral stance.
AON Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Financial Services)
Performance vs IAI
Sector Position Analysis
AON Analysis
Volume has increased significantly for Aon plc, with the latest volume at 2.27 million compared to its average of 1.61 million, a 40.6% increase, suggesting heightened trading activity. The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA of $352.43 and its 200-day SMA of $336.87, indicating a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 27.09, signaling oversold conditions, which could precede a potential bounce.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -10.25, further reinforcing the bearish momentum. Key support levels are not clearly defined by the provided data, but the oversold RSI suggests that the current price may be approaching a short-term floor. Investors should monitor for signs of a technical reversal, potentially signaled by a move back above the 50-day SMA.
- Monitor Aon plc's (AON) ability to reclaim its 50-day and 200-day moving averages to confirm a potential trend reversal.
- Given the oversold RSI, consider the potential for a short-term bounce, but be cautious of the broader bearish technical setup.
- As an MLP, Aon plc issues Schedule K-1 tax forms instead of standard 1099-DIV forms, which may create complex tax obligations-especially if held in a retirement account (IRA/401k). Consult a tax advisor.
Insiders have demonstrated net buying activity, with total purchases of $7.8 million against $7.8 million in sales, indicating a slight positive sentiment from management.
Source: Insider Trading DataAon plc's P/E ratio of 17.42 is below the Financial Services sector average of 25.5, suggesting the stock may be undervalued compared to its peers.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisThe median analyst price target of $387.00 implies a potential upside of 27.0% from the current stock price of $304.69.
Source: Wall Street SummaryThe stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($352.43 and $336.87), and the RSI is in oversold territory, suggesting potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisAon plc's current revenue growth of 2.2% is below the sector average, indicating slower top-line expansion compared to peers.
Source: Fundamental AnalysisThe base case scenario for Aon plc (AON) over the next 6-12 months suggests a potential recovery towards its median analyst price target of $387.00, implying a 27.0% upside from the current price. This outlook is supported by insider net buying and a valuation that appears attractive relative to the sector average P/E ratio. Forward revenue estimates also point towards an acceleration in growth, particularly for next year.
However, the current bearish technical trend, with the stock trading below key moving averages and showing oversold conditions on the RSI, presents a significant near-term risk. A failure to break above the 50-day SMA could lead to further downside, potentially testing lower support levels. Positive catalysts would include sustained insider buying and a clear break above technical resistance, while continued weakness in revenue growth or negative earnings surprises could exacerbate downside risks.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 64.63B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.42 |
| EPS (TTM) | 17.49 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.03% |
| 52 Week High | 382.34 |
| 52 Week Low | 303.59 |
Aon plc's current P/E ratio of 17.42 is below the sector average of 25.5, suggesting a potential valuation discount relative to its peers in the Financial Services sector. The company's earnings per share (EPS) stands at $17.49, which is strong. However, the revenue growth of 2.2% is modest and below the sector average of 10.0%, indicating slower top-line expansion.
The company's balance sheet strength and profitability metrics are not fully detailed, but the current valuation appears attractive on a P/E basis compared to the sector. The median analyst price target of $387.00 implies an upside of 27.0% from the current price, suggesting Wall Street sees potential for appreciation despite current technical weakness.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Aon plc's recent earnings reports show mixed performance. The most recent quarter (July 29, 2026) reported an EPS of $3.81, slightly beating the estimate of $3.80 by 0.26%, though the stock saw a 2.81% decline. Prior to that, the company missed estimates in two consecutive quarters, including a significant beat in May 2026 where EPS was $3.14 against an estimate of $2.34, a 34.19% surprise.
The forward revenue estimates indicate a rebound, with current quarter growth projected at +2.00% and next year's growth expected to accelerate to +22.00%. This suggests an expectation of improved top-line performance moving forward.
Key Risks
Aon plc faces risks from its current bearish technical positioning, trading significantly below its key moving averages, which could lead to further price declines. The modest revenue growth of 2.2% also presents a challenge, although forward estimates suggest an acceleration. Additionally, the mixed recent earnings performance, with some misses and price reactions, indicates potential volatility in financial results.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 27.09 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -10.25 |
| SMA 50 | 352.43 |
| SMA 200 | 336.87 |
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
AON Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in AON in September 2016 would be worth about $27,422 today, compared with about $35,241 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in AON today could grow to about $23,493 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $62,125 and a bear case around $8,884. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
AON Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $433 for AON by 2030 in the base case, from $308 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $234. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on AON's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $246 | $335 | $456 |
| 2028 | $236 | $365 | $564 |
| 2029 | $233 | $398 | $677 |
| 2030 | $234 | $433 | $801 |
| 2031 | $237 | $472 | $938 |
| 2032 | $242 | $514 | $1,091 |
| 2033 | $248 | $560 | $1,262 |
| 2034 | $255 | $610 | $1,455 |
| 2035 | $264 | $664 | $1,670 |
| 2036 | $273 | $723 | $1,912 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using AON's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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AON Insider Trading Analysis
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | DAVIES CHRISTINA
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 71.8K | $22.2M |
| Feb 16, 2024 | DAVIES CHRISTINA MARGARET
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 40.2K | $12.6M |
| Feb 16, 2021 | DAVIES CHRISTINA
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 48.4K | $11.0M |
| Feb 15, 2019 | DAVIES CHRISTINA MARGARET
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 58.2K | $9.9M |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DAVIES CHRISTINA MARGARET
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 32.9K | $9.3M |
| Feb 14, 2020 | DAVIES CHRISTINA MARGARET
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 32.8K | $7.7M |
| Feb 12, 2024 | DAVIES CHRISTINA MARGARET
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 20.6K | $6.4M |
| Feb 18, 2020 | O CONNOR MICHAEL J
President
|
Sell | 25.3K | $5.9M |
| Feb 23, 2024 | STEVENS LISA
Officer
|
Sell | 13.0K | $4.1M |
| Feb 20, 2019 | O CONNOR MICHAEL J
President
|
Sell | 22.8K | $3.9M |
