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Stock·NASDAQ·Financial Services

CME Group Inc. (CME)

$293.48 -14.58 (-4.73%)
At close: Oct 27, 4:00 PM EDT
Buy
63 / 100
CleaRank Financial AI scorei
Market cap
$105.05B
P/E
24.06
Dividend yield
3.85%
Street target
$328.50median of 17 analysts
52-week range
$218.31 $329.16
01

CME stock forecast today

Where CME stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

CME at a glance

CME Group Inc. (CME): Buy, 63/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($278.65 and $279.76).
  • Earnings CME beat estimates in 4 of the 6 reports in our data, and the stock rose the next day every time.
  • Insiders Insiders sold $37.9M and bought $666K over the last 18 months.
  • Valuation P/E of 24.1 against 16.5 for the Financial Services sector: a premium to peers (+46%).

Figures as of October 27, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CME Group Inc. (CME) carries a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 63/100.

Trend adds the most to that score, with the price 4.90% above its 200-day average and 5.32% above its 50-day average. Valuation takes the most away: the P/E of 24.06 is 45.8% above the sector median (a premium to peers), and the P/S of 15.10 is 297.4% above the sector median. The 50-day average is $278.65 and the 200-day average is $279.76, and over the past year the price climbed 8.26%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from CME's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

CME stock price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

3/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $293.48 is 5.3% above the 50-day simple moving average of $278.65.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 4.9% above the 200-day simple moving average of $279.76.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($278.65) is 0.4% below the 200-day average ($279.76), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 68% of its 52-week range, between $218.31 and $329.16.

CME share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far CME has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $271.09 Oct 27, 2025
Latest close $293.48 Oct 27, 2026
High $326.46 Mar 2, 2026
Low $218.58 Jun 29, 2026

Today's trading

Where CME sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 4.32% wide
$293.48
$292.97 $305.64
52-week range 68% of the way up
$293.48
$218.31 $329.16
Open
$304.98
Previous close
$308.06
Volume
1.75M
25% below average
Market cap
$105.05B
03

CME fundamentals and valuation

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

3/5
  • P/E below the sector median ›
    The trailing P/E of 24.06 is 45.8% above the Financial Services median of 16.5.
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 15.10 is 297.4% above the sector median of 3.8.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was $4.4B on revenue of $7.0B, a net margin of 63.3%.
  • Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
    CME beat the EPS estimate in 4 of the 6 reports in our data.
  • Pays a dividend ›
    The trailing dividend yield is 3.85%, or $11.30 a share a year.

Key statistics

The headline figures for CME.

Market Cap
105.05B
P/E Ratio
24.06
EPS (TTM)
$12.20
Dividend Yield
3.85%
52 Week High
329.16
52 Week Low
218.31

As of October 27, 2026, CME trades at $293.48, with a market value of $105.05B, a P/E ratio of 24.06 and a dividend yield of 3.85%.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of CME's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

At 24.06 times trailing earnings, CME Group Inc. (CME) trades 45.8% above the Financial Services median P/E of 16.5, and the peer comparison on this page labels that multiple a premium to peers. Measured against sales, the P/S of 15.10 is 297.4% above the sector median of 3.8. The company carries a market value of $105.0B, and its trailing earnings stand at $12.20 per share.

CME turns sales into profit at a net margin of 63.48% and an operating margin of 65.85%, alongside a return on equity of 16.13%, above the sector median of 13.8%. Debt-to-equity of 0.15 and a trailing dividend yield of 3.85% ($11.30 a share a year) round out the fundamentals.

Earnings & Growth

CME's October 21, 2026 earnings report topped expectations by 1.00%, with EPS coming in at $3.02 versus an estimate of $2.99. The shares climbed 3.45% in the following session.

Over the 6 reports in our data, CME topped the estimate 4 times, and the stock rose in the first session after each of those beats. The consensus EPS estimate stands at $12.41 for this fiscal year and $13.21 for next, growth of 10.8% for the current year.

Key risks

A high valuation narrows the room for mistakes. The P/E of 24.06 sits 45.8% above the sector median, which the peer benchmarking labels a premium to peers. CME moves an average of 1.67% a day, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 0.27.

CME against the Financial Services sector

How CME compares with the median Financial Services stock CleaRank tracks.

P/E ratio 46% above the median
CME
24.1x
Sector median
16.5x
P/S ratio 297% above the median
CME
15.1x
Sector median
3.8x
Revenue growth, year on year 10.9 points below the median
CME
0.8%
Sector median
11.7%
Return on equity 2.3 points above the median
CME
16.1%
Sector median
13.8%

Price to earnings vs sector: CME trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+46%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.

Return vs XLF: Since May 15, 2025, CME has gained 7.1% against a gain of 9.0% for XLF.

Performance against XLF

CME and the Financial Services sector fund over the same days.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26
CME XLF

Revenue and earnings

How much CME sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$7.0B
Net income, 12 months
$4.4B
Net margin
63.3%
Revenue growth
+0.8%
Q2 '26, year on year
FY202156% marginFY202254% marginFY202358% marginFY202458% marginFY202562% margin
Revenue Net income

The quarterly bars end with Q2 '26 (the quarter to June 30, 2026); CME reported again on October 21, 2026, and that quarter is not in our statement data yet. The 12-month figures come from the statistics feed and may include it.

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 6.4% in FY2025 to $6.5B, from $6.1B a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was 62.5% in FY2025, up from 57.5% the year before.

Profitable: CME earned $4.1B in FY2025.

Earnings reality check

Did CME beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
4 of 6
6 reports in our data
Fell after a beat
0 of 4
first session after the report
Average surprise
+0.9%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
+1.0%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
Feb '25Apr '25Jul '25Feb '26Apr '26Oct '26

Earnings record: CME beat the analyst estimate in 4 of the 6 reports in our data.

Market reaction: The stock rose in the first session after every beat.

CME earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Oct 21, 2026after close $2.99 $3.02 +1.00% +3.45% -
Apr 22, 2026after close $3.37 $3.36 -0.30% -0.08% +0.55%
Feb 4, 2026after close $2.74 $2.77 +1.09% +0.94% +2.67%
Jul 23, 2025after close $2.92 $2.96 +1.37% +0.25% +0.46%
Apr 23, 2025after close $2.81 $2.80 -0.36% +0.68% +5.97%
Feb 12, 2025after close $2.45 $2.52 +2.86% +0.46% -0.26%

As of October 27, 2026, CME has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 4 of the 6 reports in our data and rose in the first trading session after every one of those beats; its latest report, on October 21, 2026, came in 1.00% above the estimate and the stock moved +3.45% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

CME AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

3/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 58.0, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 58.0 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of CME

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
4/5
12-month analyst target
$328.50
+11.93% above price · median of 17 analysts
AI analyst consensus
63/100
Buy
What the AI sees

CME is in an uptrend. Its price of $293.48 sits 4.90% above the 200-day average of $279.76 and 5.32% above the 50-day average of $278.65. Within the 52-week range, which spans $218.31 to $329.16, the stock currently sits at 68% of the way up.

The price is up over each of these periods: 10.96% over the past month, 12.88% over the past three months and 8.26% over the past year. The price fell 4.73% in the last session on volume 25.1% below its average. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 58.0, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive.

Catalysts
Rewards
  • Earnings beat ›

    The October 21, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 1.00%, and the share price rose 3.45% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, October 21, 2026
  • Analyst upgrade ›

    JP Morgan upgraded it to Overweight from Underweight on October 22, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, October 22, 2026
Other events
  • Rating reaffirmed ›

    UBS kept its Neutral rating on October 22, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, UBS, October 22, 2026
ProTips
  1. The two closest levels to keep an eye on are the 52-week high at $329.16, above the price, and the 20-day EMA at $288.56, below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 58.0, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. CME's share price gained 3.45% in the first session after the October 21, 2026 report, and the company has beaten estimates in 4 of the 6 reports in our data.
Market outlook

CME is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($278.65 and $279.76), and that keeps the trend up. A drop through the 200-day average would be the first sign of weakness. The closest support below the price is the 20-day EMA, at $288.56.

Overhead, the next level the price would meet is the 52-week high at $329.16.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for CME, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Neutral 2 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Neutral
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Neutral
58.014-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 8.16 Bullish
Trend No clear cross
+5.3%price against the 50-day average
200-day $279.76 50-day $278.65 Price $293.48
Price against the 200-day +4.9% Bullish

As of October 27, 2026, with CME at $293.48, its 14-day RSI is 58.0 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $278.65 and its 200-day is $279.76.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 27, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What CME moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) -0.10 Weak
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) -0.20 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.01 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.00 Weak

As of October 27, 2026, CME's 1-year correlation of daily returns is -0.10 with S&P 500 (SPY), -0.20 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.01 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.00 with gold (XAU).

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05

CME price target and analyst forecast

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

2/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    9 of 17 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 6 a hold and 2 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $328.50 is 11.9% above the price.
  • More buy ratings than three months ago ›
    9 of 17 rate it a buy now, against 9 of 16 three months ago.

CME Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $227.00 Median $328.50 (+11.9%) High $367.00

Ratings

Buy 9 Hold 6 Sell 2 3 months ago: 9 of 16 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on CME
Date Firm Action Rating
Oct 22, 2026 UBS Maintains Neutral
Oct 22, 2026 Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight
Oct 22, 2026 Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight
Oct 22, 2026 Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight
Oct 22, 2026 Piper Sandler Reiterates Overweight
Oct 22, 2026 JP Morgan Upgrade Overweight

As of October 27, 2026, 17 Wall Street analysts cover CME: 9 rate it a buy or strong buy, 6 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $227.00 to $367.00. The median CME price target is $328.50, 11.9% above the price of $293.48.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

CME trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

CME trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$287.61
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$293.48
Entry at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
$267.48
Max loss
-7.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (58.0) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$301.99
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$316.37
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$330.75
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from CME's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much CME tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Beta
0.27
against the S&P 500; 1 moves with the market
Daily volatility
1.67%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$293.48
$218.31 68% of the way up $329.16

Compare CME

Put CME side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

CME price history and drawdowns

CME's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

4/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 1.67% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 35.8%, from March 2020 to March 2020, regained by May 2021.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    77% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $42,947, against $42,376 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

CME Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-35.8%
March 2020 to March 2020
Recovery
14 months
back at the old peak by May 2021
From the 10-year high
-10.1%
highest close, March 2026
1-year holds that gained
77%
of every 1-year window

As of October 27, 2026, CME's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -35.8% (March 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by May 2021, 14 months after the low, and 77% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into CME in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

CME today
$42,947
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,376
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$571
1.01x the index result
Total change
+329%
4.3x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
CME S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: CME beat the S&P 500 over this period: $42,947 against $42,376.

A $10,000 investment in CME in October 2016 would be worth about $42,947 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,376 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to CME, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb10/10 upMar5/10 upApr4/10 upMay5/10 upJun6/10 upJul5/10 upAug7/10 upSep4/10 upOct5/9 upNov8/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, February: an average of +5.06%, up in 10 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -2.62%, up in 5 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +1.61%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, CME's strongest calendar month has been February (average +5.06%, up in 10 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.62%, up in 5 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

08

CME stock price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in CME, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$7,288
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$13,713
median path
Upside, 2030
$25,802
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in CME today could grow to about $13,713 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $25,802 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $7,288. The simulation models price only; at today's 3.85% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

CME Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$293
Base case, 2030
$402
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$214 to $757
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $402 for CME by 2030 in the base case, from $293 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $214. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CME's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

CME simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $232 $318 $436
2028 $220 $344 $537
2029 $215 $372 $643
2030 $214 $402 $757

Method: a lognormal simulation of CME's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

09

CME insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

CME insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
$666K
4 open-market purchases
Sold
$37.9M
27 open-market sales
Insiders filing
31
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$1.2M
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

Net insider selling: Insiders bought $666K on the open market and sold $37.9M.

As of October 27, 2026, CME insiders reported 27 open-market sales worth $37.9M and 4 open-market purchases worth $666K over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in CME
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Oct 22, 2026
Martin J Gepsman
Director
Sell 400 $121.0K
Sep 25, 2026
William R Shepard
Director
Buy 292 $78.6K
Sep 15, 2026
Derek Louis Sammann
Officer
Grant 2.9K $787.9K
Sep 15, 2026
Kendal L Vroman
Officer
Grant 2.6K $713.0K
Sep 14, 2026
Elizabeth A Cook
Director
Sell 500 $140.1K
Sep 10, 2026
Terrence A Duffy
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 15.0K $4.1M
Jun 25, 2026
Kathryn Benesh
Director
Grant 645 $145.1K
Jun 25, 2026
Timothy S Bitsberger
Director
Grant 645 $145.1K
Jun 25, 2026
Charles P Carey
Director
Grant 1.1K $240.1K
Jun 25, 2026
Elizabeth A Cook
Director
Grant 645 $145.1K
Page 1 of 10

Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings

10

CME stock forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 27, 2026.

CME Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is CME Group Inc. (CME) a buy right now?
CME scores 63/100 on CleaRank's model, which puts it in the Buy band. The biggest support is the trend: the price is 4.90% above its 200-day average and 5.32% above its 50-day average. Against that, valuation weighs on the score, as the P/E of 24.06 is 45.8% above the sector median (a premium to peers) and the P/S of 15.10 is 297.4% above the sector median. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has CME Group Inc. (CME) performed over the past year?
CME's price climbed 8.26% across the past year, 12.88% over three months and 10.96% in the last month. The stock now sits 10.84% under its 52-week high of $329.16.
What are the key price levels for CME?
The 52-week high of $329.16 is the first level above the price. On the downside, the 20-day EMA at $288.56 comes first, followed by the 200-day SMA at $279.76.
Is CME expensive compared with Financial Services stocks?
CME's trailing P/E of 24.06 is 45.8% above the Financial Services median of 16.5, a gap the peer comparison on this page labels a premium to peers.
Does CME pay a dividend?
CME pays a trailing dividend yield of 3.85%, which works out to $11.30 per share each year. Because yield is the dividend divided by the share price, it moves whenever either of those figures changes.
What do Wall Street analysts think of CME?
Among the 17 analysts who cover CME, 9 rate it buy, 6 rate it hold and 2 rate it sell. The median 12-month price target is $328.50, which is 11.9% above the current price.
How often has CME beaten earnings estimates?
In our data CME has beaten the EPS estimate in 4 of the 6 reports in our data. The share price dropped in the first session after 0 of those 4 beats.
How volatile is CME?
On an average day CME's price moves 1.67%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns. Measured against the S&P 500, its beta is 0.27.
Are CME insiders buying or selling?
Insiders sold $37.9M of stock over the last 18 months and bought $666K on the open market. Insider sales are often scheduled ahead of time or made to cover taxes on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than purchases.
What is the 52-week range of CME?
Over the past 52 weeks CME has traded between $218.31 and $329.16. At $293.48 the stock sits at 68% of that range, 34.43% above the low and 10.84% below the high.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for CME are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 28, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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