Stock·NASDAQ·Financial Services
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA)
- Market cap
- $2.64B
- Dividend yield
- None
- Street target
- $17.00median of 15 analysts
- 52-week range
- $6.62 $20.29
MARA stock forecast today
Where MARA stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
MARA at a glance
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA): Sell, 27/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($10.60 and $10.87).
- Earnings MARA beat estimates in 4 of its last 6 quarters, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $15.0M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) carries a CleaRank rating of Sell and a model score of 27/100.
The analysts' outlook adds the most to that score: 9 of 15 analysts rate the stock a buy, and the median target is 148.5% above the price. Trend pulls the score down the most. The price is 37.06% below its 200-day average and 35.44% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 2.51% below the 200-day. The 50-day average is $10.60 and the 200-day is $10.87. Across the past year the price dropped 64.99%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from MARA's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
MARA stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $6.84 is 35.4% below the 50-day simple moving average of $10.60.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 37.1% below the 200-day simple moving average of $10.87.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($10.60) is 2.5% below the 200-day average ($10.87), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 2% of its 52-week range, between $6.62 and $20.29.
MARA share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far MARA has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where MARA sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
MARA fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
2/3P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 3.29 is 13.5% below the sector median of 3.8.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was -$3.5B on revenue of $804.2M, a net margin of -429.7%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
MARA beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 6 reports.
Key statistics
The headline figures for MARA.
As of October 26, 2026, MARA trades at $6.84, with a market value of $2.64B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MARA's valuation, growth and risks.
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) has no meaningful P/E, because its earnings per share over the last 12 months are negative. Measured against sales, the P/S of 3.29 is 13.5% below the sector median of 3.8. For scale, MARA carries a market value of $2.6B and trailing earnings of -$9.40 a share.
MARA is losing money. Its net margin is -429.71% and its operating margin is -265.21%. In the latest quarter, revenue shrank 26.70% year on year, a pace 38.4 percentage points slower than the 11.7% sector median for Financial Services. Return on equity, a measure of what shareholders' capital earns, comes in at -105.57%, below the sector median of 13.8%. Debt-to-equity stands at 1.40.
In its last earnings report, on August 6, 2026, MARA reported EPS of -$0.62 against an estimate of -$0.48, a worse result than analysts expected. Shares fell 5.26% in the next session.
The earnings record shows 4 beats in 6 reports, but beats have not guaranteed gains: the stock fell the next day after 3 of them. The consensus EPS estimate stands at -$3.54 for this fiscal year and -$0.34 for next.
MARA's daily returns have a 30-day standard deviation of 4.45%, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 5.35. Staying under both moving averages keeps the downtrend a live risk. The price is 66.29% below the 52-week high of $20.29. Insiders sold $15.0M of stock over the last 18 months and made no open-market purchases. Sales can be planned ahead or made to cover tax on vesting shares, so they carry less weight than buying would.
MARA against the Bitcoin Mining sector
How MARA compares with the median Bitcoin Mining stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, MARA trades at 3.29x, -14% versus the sector average of 3.80x.
Return vs BITQ: Since May 14, 2025, MARA has lost 56.9% against a gain of 9.9% for BITQ.
Performance against BITQ
MARA and the Bitcoin Mining sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much MARA sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 38.2% in FY2025 to $907M, from $656M a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -144.6% in FY2025, down from 82.4% the year before.
Loss-making: MARA lost $1.3B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did MARA beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: MARA beat the analyst estimate in 4 of the last 6 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 4 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026after close | -$0.48 | -$0.62 | -29.17% | -5.26% | -13.52% |
| May 11, 2026after close | -$0.85 | -$0.63 | +25.88% | -5.00% | -9.04% |
| Nov 4, 2025after close | $0.35 | $0.37 | +5.71% | +3.07% | -11.97% |
| Jul 29, 2025after close | -$0.28 | $1.94 | +792.86% | -0.36% | -5.96% |
| May 8, 2025after close | $0.72 | -$1.58 | -319.44% | +10.29% | +9.73% |
| Nov 12, 2024after close | -$0.29 | -$0.20 | +31.03% | -13.99% | -21.28% |
As of October 26, 2026, MARA has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 4 of its last 6 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on August 6, 2026, came in 29.17% below the estimate and the stock moved -5.26% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
MARA AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
0/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 23.4, in oversold territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 23.4 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of MARA
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) sits beneath both of its key averages. The price is 35.44% below the 50-day average of $10.60 and 37.06% below the 200-day average of $10.87. Sitting at 2% of its 52-week range, the price is 3.32% above the 52-week low of $6.62. The 50-day average is 2.51% below the 200-day average, which means the shorter-term trend is weaker than the longer one. Shares last traded at $6.84.
On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 23.4, in oversold territory, with the MACD line negative. The recent returns all show a loss, with the price down 41.89% over the past three months, 38.82% over the past six months and 64.99% over the past year.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Piper Sandler kept its Overweight rating on October 20, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Piper Sandler, October 20, 2026
Earnings miss ›
The August 6, 2026 report missed the EPS estimate by 29.17%, and the share price fell 5.26% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 6, 2026Analyst downgrade ›
JP Morgan downgraded it to Underweight from Overweight on September 14, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, September 14, 2026
- The two nearest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA at $8.84, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $6.62, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 23.4, which places it in the oversold zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
- Shares fell 5.26% in the first session after the August 6, 2026 report. Over the last 6 reports, MARA beat estimates in 4 of them.
MARA stays in a downtrend while it trades below both its 50-day average of $10.60 and its 200-day average of $10.87. Repair would begin with a close back above the 50-day. The first obstacle above the price is the 20-day EMA, at $8.84.
MARA's next level below the price is the 52-week low of $6.62. The RSI sits in the oversold zone, and a climb back above the oversold line would be the first sign that selling pressure is easing.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for MARA, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with MARA at $6.84, its 14-day RSI is 23.4 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $10.60 and its 200-day is $10.87.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What MARA moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, MARA's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.50 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.53 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.62 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.24 with gold (XAU).
MARA price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
9 of 15 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 2 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $17.00 is 148.5% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
9 of 15 rate it a buy now, against 8 of 13 three months ago.
MARA Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $6.84, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight |
| Sep 14, 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Underweight |
| Sep 11, 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Assumes | Buy |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight |
As of October 26, 2026, 15 Wall Street analysts cover MARA: 9 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $10.00 to $30.00. The median MARA price target is $17.00, 148.5% above the price of $6.84.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
MARA trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
MARA trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
MARA moves about 4.4% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much MARA tends to move, against the market and on its own.
MARA price history and drawdowns
MARA's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 4.45% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 98.9%, from November 2016 to April 2020, regained by February 2021.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
35% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $1,952, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
MARA Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, MARA's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -98.9% (November 2016 to April 2020); it regained that peak by February 2021, 10 months after the low, and 35% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into MARA in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: MARA trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $1,952.05 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in MARA in October 2016 would be worth about $1,952 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to MARA, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +21.52%, up in 5 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -12.28%, up in 5 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +8.59%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, MARA's strongest calendar month has been November (average +21.52%, up in 5 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -12.28%, up in 5 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
MARA stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MARA, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in MARA today could grow to about $7,995 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $28,802 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $2,219. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MARA Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $5.47 for MARA by 2030 in the base case, from $6.84 today (0.8x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $1.52. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MARA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $3.41 | $6.47 | $12.28 | |
| 2028 | $2.47 | $6.12 | $15.14 | |
| 2029 | $1.91 | $5.78 | $17.55 | |
| 2030 | $1.52 | $5.47 | $19.70 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of MARA's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
MARA insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
MARA insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: No insider bought MARA shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 26, 2026, MARA insiders reported 49 open-market sales worth $15.0M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $126.1K |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 8.4K | $100.5K |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $253.3K |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $147.4K |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 8.4K | $100.5K |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $299.8K |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $174.4K |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 7.0K | $112.0K |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $391.9K |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $228.0K |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 7.0K | $99.8K |
| May 18, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $330.1K |
| May 18, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $192.0K |
| May 18, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 8.3K | $99.0K |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 42.1K | $505.1K |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $321.3K |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $186.9K |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $252.5K |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $146.9K |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 494.8K | - |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Grant | 197.9K | - |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 752.1K | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 509.1K | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Grant | 203.6K | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 773.9K | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $210.7K |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $122.6K |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Georges J Antoun
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Janet George
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Barbara Humpton
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Jay P Leupp
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Vicki Mealer-Burke
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $297.1K |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $296.2K |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $398.7K |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $416.4K |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $329.8K |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 30.0K | $480.2K |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $16.6K |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $538.3K |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $789.8K |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $20.7K |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 55.0K | $927.7K |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $564.0K |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $16.1K |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Vicki Mealer-Burke
Director
|
Sell | 14.9K | $226.6K |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $420.3K |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $546.3K |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $16.2K |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $536.9K |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $661.6K |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $17.4K |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $420.8K |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $550.5K |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $16.0K |
| May 16, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $431.3K |
| May 16, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.7K | $261.9K |
| May 9, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 55.0K | $825.2K |
| May 9, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 33.4K | $501.0K |
| May 9, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 3.0K | $48.0K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
MARA stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.