Stock·NASDAQ·Financial Services
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA)
- Market cap
- $2.91B
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Street target
- $17.00median of 15 analysts
- 52-week range
- $6.66 $22.09
The short version
Where MARA stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
MARA at a glance
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA): Sell, 27/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($10.87 and $10.95).
- Earnings MARA beat estimates in 3 of its last 5 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $14.8M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
Figures as of October 17, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) carries a CleaRank rating of Sell and a model score of 27/100.
The analysts' outlook is the biggest contributor to the score, with 9 of 15 analysts rating the stock a buy and the median target 125.8% above the price. The trend is the largest drag: the price sits 31.24% below its 200-day average and 30.71% below its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 0.76% below the 200-day. The averages themselves stand at $10.87 for the 50-day and $10.95 for the 200-day. Across the past year, the price dropped 62.85%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from MARA's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
Price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
0/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $7.53 is 30.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $10.87.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 31.2% below the 200-day simple moving average of $10.95.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($10.87) is 0.8% below the 200-day average ($10.95), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 6% of its 52-week range, between $6.66 and $22.09.
MARA share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far MARA has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where MARA sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
Fundamentals
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
2/3P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 3.62 is 4.8% below the sector median of 3.8.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $-3.5B on revenue of $804.2M, a net margin of -429.7%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
MARA beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 5 reports.
Key statistics
The headline figures for MARA.
As of October 17, 2026, MARA trades at $7.53, with a market value of $2.91B and no P/E ratio (its trailing earnings are negative).
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of MARA's valuation, growth and risks.
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) has no meaningful P/E, not meaningful, because the company lost money over the last 12 months. On sales, its P/S of 3.62 is 4.7% below the sector median of 3.8. To put the size in context, the market value is $2.9B, and trailing earnings come to -$9.40 per share.
MARA is losing money. Its net margin stands at -429.71% and its operating margin at -265.21%. Revenue shrank 26.70% over the latest year, leaving it 38.4 percentage points behind the 11.7% median for Financial Services. Return on equity, a measure of how well shareholders' capital is put to work, comes in at -105.57%, below the sector median of 13.8%. Debt-to-equity is 1.40.
MARA's most recent earnings report, dated August 6, 2026, showed EPS of -$0.62 compared with an estimate of -$0.48. That left the company having missed the estimate by 29.17%. In the next session, the shares dropped 5.26%.
The earnings record shows 3 beats in 5 reports, but beats have not guaranteed gains: the stock fell the next day after 2 of them. The largest of the earlier reactions came after the May 8, 2025 report, which missed the estimate by 319.44% while the stock rose 10.29%. The consensus EPS estimate stands at -$5.15 for this fiscal year and -$0.21 for next.
The 30-day standard deviation of MARA's daily returns is 4.53%. The downtrend is itself a risk for as long as the price stays under both moving averages. The price is 65.91% below its 52-week high of $22.09. Over the last 18 months, insider sales totalled $14.8M with no open-market purchases; planned sales and tax sales on vesting shares make selling a weaker signal than buying.
MARA against the Bitcoin Mining sector
How MARA compares with the median Bitcoin Mining stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to sales vs sector: On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, MARA trades at 3.62x, -5% versus the sector average of 3.80x.
Return vs BITQ: Since May 6, 2025, MARA has lost 42.7% against a gain of 12.9% for BITQ.
Performance against BITQ
MARA and the Bitcoin Mining sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much MARA sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue grew 38.2% in FY2025 to $907M, from $656M a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was -144.6% in FY2025, down from 82.4% the year before.
Loss-making: MARA lost $1.3B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did MARA beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: MARA beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the last 5 quarters.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 3 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026after close | -$0.48 | -$0.62 | -29.17% | -5.26% | -13.52% |
| Nov 4, 2025after close | $0.35 | $0.37 | +5.71% | +3.07% | -11.97% |
| Jul 29, 2025after close | -$0.28 | $1.94 | +792.86% | -0.36% | -5.96% |
| May 8, 2025after close | $0.72 | -$1.58 | -319.44% | +10.29% | +9.73% |
| Nov 12, 2024after close | -$0.29 | -$0.20 | +31.03% | -13.99% | -21.28% |
As of October 17, 2026, MARA has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 3 of its last 5 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its latest report, on August 6, 2026, came in 29.17% below the estimate and the stock moved -5.26% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
AI analysis and technicals
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
0/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 22.9, in oversold territory.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 22.9 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank AI analysis of MARA
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA) changed hands at $7.53 today, which leaves the stock beneath both of its key averages. It sits 30.71% under its 50-day average of $10.87 and 31.24% under its 200-day average of $10.95. Within its 52-week range the stock stands at 6%, with the price 13.06% above the 52-week low of $6.66. The 50-day average is 0.76% below the 200-day average, meaning the shorter-term trend is the weaker of the two.
On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 22.9, in oversold territory, with the MACD line negative. Every period on the chart shows a loss, with the price down 29.56% over the past three months, 35.09% over the past six months and 62.85% over the past year.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Morgan Stanley kept its Underweight rating on October 12, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Morgan Stanley, October 12, 2026
Earnings miss ›
The August 6, 2026 report missed the EPS estimate by 29.17%, and the share price fell 5.26% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, August 6, 2026Analyst downgrade ›
JP Morgan downgraded it to Underweight from Overweight on September 14, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, JP Morgan, September 14, 2026
- The two nearest levels to watch are the 20-day EMA at $10.15, which sits above the price, and the 52-week low at $6.66, which sits below it.
- The 14-day RSI is 22.9, which is in the oversold zone, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
- Following the August 6, 2026 report, the share price dropped 5.26% in the first session. Over the last 5 reports, MARA beat estimates in 3.
MARA remains in a downtrend while it sits below both its 50-day average of $10.87 and its 200-day average of $10.95. A move back above the 50-day average would be the first sign of a repair. Overhead, the 20-day EMA at $10.15 is the first level the price would need to clear.
For MARA, the nearest level below the price is the 52-week low at $6.66. The RSI is in oversold territory, so a recovery back above the oversold line would be the first sign that selling pressure is easing.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for MARA, from its daily closes.
As of October 17, 2026, with MARA at $7.53, its 14-day RSI is 22.9 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $10.87 and its 200-day is $10.95.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
What MARA moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 17, 2026, MARA's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.49 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.52 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.62 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.21 with gold (XAU).
What Wall Street expects
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
2/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
9 of 15 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 2 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $17.00 is 125.8% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
9 of 15 rate it a buy now, against 8 of 13 three months ago.
MARA Wall Street View
12-month price targets
The price, $7.53, sits below every analyst's target.
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight |
| Sep 14, 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Underweight |
| Sep 11, 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Assumes | Buy |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight |
As of October 17, 2026, 15 Wall Street analysts cover MARA: 9 rate it a buy or strong buy, 4 a hold and 2 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $11.00 to $30.00, with a median of $17.00, 125.8% above the price of $7.53.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
A trade plan, if you want one
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
MARA trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
MARA moves about 4.5% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much MARA tends to move, against the market and on its own.
The long record
MARA's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 4.53% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 98.9%, from October 2016 to April 2020, regained by February 2021.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
36% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $1,994.17, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
MARA Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 17, 2026, MARA's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -98.9% (October 2016 to April 2020); it regained that peak by February 2021, 10 months after the low, and 36% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into MARA in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: MARA trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $1,994.17 against $42,055.
A $10,000 investment in MARA in October 2016 would be worth about $1,994 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to MARA, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +45.10%, up in 4 of 10 years.
Weakest month, March: an average of -11.61%, up in 2 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +7.56%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, MARA's strongest calendar month has been November (average +45.10%, up in 4 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -11.61%, up in 2 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
Long-term scenarios
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in MARA, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in MARA today could grow to about $5,772 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $43,789 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $761. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
MARA Stock Price Prediction: 2030
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $6.04 for MARA by 2030 in the base case, from $7.53 today (0.8x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $1.68. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on MARA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $3.76 | $7.13 | $13.53 | |
| 2028 | $2.73 | $6.75 | $16.70 | |
| 2029 | $2.10 | $6.39 | $19.37 | |
| 2030 | $1.68 | $6.04 | $21.77 | |
| 2031 | $1.37 | $5.72 | $23.97 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of MARA's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
Insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
MARA insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Insider buying: No insider bought MARA shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.
As of October 17, 2026, MARA insiders reported 48 open-market sales worth $14.8M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 8.4K | $100.5K |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $253.3K |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $147.4K |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 8.4K | $100.5K |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $299.8K |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $174.4K |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 7.0K | $112.0K |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $391.9K |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $228.0K |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 7.0K | $99.8K |
| May 18, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $330.1K |
| May 18, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $192.0K |
| May 18, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 8.3K | $99.0K |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 42.1K | $505.1K |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $321.3K |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $186.9K |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $252.5K |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $146.9K |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 494.8K | - |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Grant | 197.9K | - |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 752.1K | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Grant | 509.1K | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Grant | 203.6K | - |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Grant | 773.9K | - |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $210.7K |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.0K | $122.6K |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Georges J Antoun
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Janet George
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Barbara Humpton
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Jay P Leupp
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Vicki Mealer-Burke
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Grant | 82.8K | - |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $297.1K |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $296.2K |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $398.7K |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $416.4K |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $329.8K |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Zabi Nowaid
General Counsel
|
Sell | 30.0K | $480.2K |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $16.6K |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $538.3K |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $789.8K |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $20.7K |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 55.0K | $927.7K |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $564.0K |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $16.1K |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Vicki Mealer-Burke
Director
|
Sell | 14.9K | $226.6K |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $420.3K |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $546.3K |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $16.2K |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $536.9K |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $661.6K |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $17.4K |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $420.8K |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 34.7K | $550.5K |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 1.0K | $16.0K |
| May 16, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 27.5K | $431.3K |
| May 16, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 16.7K | $261.9K |
| May 9, 2025 | Frederick G Thiel
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 55.0K | $825.2K |
| May 9, 2025 | Salman Hassan Khan
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 33.4K | $501.0K |
| May 9, 2025 | Douglas K Mellinger
Director
|
Sell | 3.0K | $48.0K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
Questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.