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Stock·NASDAQ·Technology

Seagate Technology Holdings (STX)

$639.01 -51.80 (-7.50%)
At close: Oct 16, 4:00 PM EDT
Hold
56 / 100
CleaRank AI scorei
Market cap
$145.31B
P/E
53.76
Dividend yield
0.46%
Street target
$1,150.00median of 25 analysts
52-week range
$209.00 $1,145.00
01

The short version

Where STX stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

STX at a glance

Seagate Technology Holdings (STX): Hold, 56/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($841.65 and $674.45).
  • Earnings STX beat estimates in 7 of its last 7 quarters, yet fell the next day after 2 of those beats.
  • Insiders Insiders sold $634.0M and made no open-market purchases over the last 18 months.
  • Valuation P/E of 53.8 against 35.1 for the Technology sector: a premium to peers (+53%).

Figures as of October 17, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

CleaRank rates Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) Hold, with a model score of 56/100.

The analysts' outlook lifts the score most: 22 of 25 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 80.0% above the price. Valuation holds it back most: the P/E of 53.76 is 53.2% above the sector median (a premium to peers) and the P/S of 12.88 is 69.5% above the sector median. The trend is down: STX trades 24.08% below its 50-day average of $841.65 and 5.26% below its 200-day average of $674.45. Over the past year the price rose 182.71%.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from STX's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

1/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $639.01 is 24.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $841.65.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 5.3% below the 200-day simple moving average of $674.45.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($841.65) is 24.8% above the 200-day average ($674.45), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 46% of its 52-week range, between $209.00 and $1,145.00.

STX share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far STX has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $226.03 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $639.01 Oct 16, 2026
High $1,094.04 Jun 22, 2026
Low $214.40 Oct 20, 2025

Today's trading

Where STX sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 7.40% wide
$639.01
$636.36 $683.48
52-week range 46% of the way up
$639.01
$209.00 $1,145.00
Open
$677.17
Previous close
$690.81
Volume
6.10M
14% above average
Market cap
$145.31B
03

Fundamentals

Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.

3.0

Valuation and quality checks

3/5
  • P/E below the sector median ›
    The trailing P/E of 53.76 is 53.2% above the Technology median of 35.1.
  • P/S below the sector median ›
    The price-to-sales ratio of 12.88 is 69.5% above the sector median of 7.6.
  • Profitable over the last 12 months ›
    Net income over the last 12 months was $3.2B on revenue of $12.2B, a net margin of 26.1%.
  • Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
    STX beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 7 reports.
  • Pays a dividend ›
    The trailing dividend yield is 0.46%, or $2.96 a share a year.

Key statistics

The headline figures for STX.

Market Cap
145.31B
P/E Ratio
53.76
EPS (TTM)
12.85
Dividend Yield
0.46%
52 Week High
1,145.00
52 Week Low
209.00

As of October 17, 2026, STX trades at $639.01, with a market value of $145.31B, a P/E ratio of 53.76 and a dividend yield of 0.46%.

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of STX's valuation, growth and risks.

Valuation

Against a Technology median trailing P/E of 35.1, STX's own trailing P/E of 53.76 is 53.2% above the sector median, and the peer comparison on this page calls that a premium to peers. On sales, the P/S of 12.88 is 69.5% above the sector median P/S of 7.6. To put the size in context, STX has a market capitalisation of $145.3B and trailing earnings of $12.85 per share.

Revenue grew 48.50% over the latest year, which is 24.3 percentage points ahead of the 24.2% median for Technology. Profitability shows a net margin of 26.11% and an operating margin of 43.07%. It generates a return on equity of 371.53%, above the sector median of 13.4%. It also reports debt-to-equity of 1.80 and a trailing dividend yield of 0.46% ($2.96 a share a year).

Earnings & Growth

The most recent available report in our data, dated April 28, 2026, showed EPS of $4.10 for STX. The figure topped the analysts' estimate by 16.81%, and in the following session the shares moved up 11.10%.

STX has beaten the EPS estimate in each of its last 7 reports, yet the stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 7 beats. Among the earlier reports, the January 27, 2026 release is the clearest example: EPS beat the estimate by 9.51%, and the share price then rose 19.14% in the first session.

Key risks

On a typical day the price of STX shifts by 4.14%, the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns. Valuation leaves less margin for error: the P/E of 53.76 is 53.2% above the sector median, a premium to peers. The downtrend is itself a risk for as long as the price stays under both moving averages. The price is 44.19% below its 52-week high of $1,145.00.

STX against the Technology sector

How STX compares with the median Technology stock CleaRank tracks.

P/E ratio 53% above the median
STX
53.8x
Sector median
35.1x
P/S ratio 69% above the median
STX
12.9x
Sector median
7.6x
Revenue growth, year on year 24.3 points above the median
STX
48.5%
Sector median
24.2%
Return on equity 358.1 points above the median
STX
371.5%
Sector median
13.4%

Price to earnings vs sector: STX trades at a significant premium to sector peers (+53%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.

Return vs XLK: Since May 6, 2025, STX has gained 580.5% against a gain of 71.7% for XLK.

Performance against XLK

STX and the Technology sector fund over the same days.

Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26
STX XLK

Revenue and earnings

How much STX sells, and how much of it becomes profit.

Revenue, 12 months
$12.2B
Net income, 12 months
$3.2B
Net margin
26.1%
Revenue growth
+48.5%
latest quarter, year on year
FY202214% marginFY2023-7% marginFY20245% marginFY202516% marginFY202626% margin
Revenue Net income

Revenue growth: Revenue grew 34.1% in FY2026 to $12.2B, from $9.1B a year earlier.

Profit margin: The net margin was 26.1% in FY2026, up from 16.1% the year before.

Profitable: STX earned $3.2B in FY2026.

Earnings reality check

Did STX beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?

Beat the estimate
7 of 7
last 7 reports
Fell after a beat
2 of 7
first session after the report
Average surprise
+9.5%
actual EPS against the estimate
Avg. first-session move
+8.0%
the stock, after the report
EPS surprise
First-session move
Oct '24Jan '25Apr '25Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26

Earnings record: STX beat the analyst estimate in 7 of the last 7 quarters.

Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 2 of those 7 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.

STX earnings surprises and the stock's reaction
Report Estimate Actual Surprise First session 5 sessions
Apr 28, 2026after close $3.51 $4.10 +16.81% +11.10% +33.16%
Jan 27, 2026after close $2.84 $3.11 +9.51% +19.14% +19.55%
Oct 28, 2025after close $2.40 $2.61 +8.75% +19.11% +12.28%
Jul 29, 2025after close $2.44 $2.59 +6.15% -3.45% -0.62%
Apr 29, 2025after close $1.74 $1.90 +9.20% +11.56% +15.07%
Jan 21, 2025after close $1.88 $2.03 +7.98% +6.84% -0.97%
Oct 22, 2024after close $1.46 $1.58 +8.22% -8.10% -10.04%

Reports after April 28, 2026 are not yet in our data.

As of October 17, 2026, STX has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 7 of its last 7 reported quarters and fell in the first trading session after 2 of those beats; its most recent report in our data, on April 28, 2026, came in 16.81% above the estimate and the stock moved +11.10% in the first session.

The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.

04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

0/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 27.6, in oversold territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 27.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of STX

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

Company's health
5/5
12-month analyst target
$1,150.00
+79.97% above price · median of 25 analysts
AI analyst consensus
56/100
Hold
What the AI sees

Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) sits beneath both of its main moving averages, trading at $639.01. The price is 24.08% below its 50-day average of $841.65 and 5.26% below its 200-day average of $674.45. The 50-day average is 24.79% above the 200-day, and that gap would shrink if the price keeps trading under the shorter average. Within its 52-week range, the price stands at 46%, with the low at $209.00 and the high at $1,145.00.

On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 27.6, in oversold territory, with the MACD line negative. A recent pullback sits inside a stronger longer record: the price fell 18.41% over the past month, fell 18.87% over the past three months and rose 182.71% over the past year.

Catalysts
Rewards
  • Earnings beat ›

    The April 28, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 16.81%, and the share price rose 11.10% in the first session after it.

    Source: Earnings report, April 28, 2026
Risks
  • Rating reaffirmed ›

    Argus Research kept its Buy rating on July 30, 2026.

    Source: Analyst action, Argus Research, July 30, 2026
ProTips
  1. Keep an eye on the two closest levels: the 200-day SMA at $674.45 overhead and the 52-week low at $209.00 underneath.
  2. A 14-day RSI of 27.6 places the stock in oversold territory, and the MACD line is negative. Readings above 70 or below 30 point to stretched momentum.
  3. STX beat estimates in 7 of the last 7 reports, and after the April 28, 2026 report the share price climbed 11.10% in the first session.
Market outlook

As long as STX stays under both its 50-day average of $841.65 and its 200-day average of $674.45, the downtrend holds. A close back above the 200-day average would be the first sign of repair. That 200-day level, at $674.45, is the nearest hurdle above the price.

STX's next support sits at the 52-week low of $209.00. With the RSI in oversold territory, the first sign that selling pressure is easing would be a move back above the oversold line.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for STX, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 1 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Oversold
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Oversold
27.614-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -44.86 Bearish
Trend Golden cross
-24.1%price against the 50-day average
200-day $674.45 50-day $841.65 Price $639.01
Price against the 200-day -5.3% Bearish

As of October 17, 2026, with STX at $639.01, its 14-day RSI is 27.6 (oversold territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $841.65 and its 200-day is $674.45.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 17, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What STX moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.45 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.53 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.20 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.20 Weak

As of October 17, 2026, STX's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.45 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.53 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.20 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.20 with gold (XAU).

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05

What Wall Street expects

The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.

5.0

Analysts checks

2/3
  • Most analysts rate it a buy ›
    22 of 25 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell.
  • Median target above the price ›
    The median 12-month target of $1,150.00 is 80.0% above the price.
  • More buy ratings than three months ago ›
    22 of 25 rate it a buy now, against 22 of 25 three months ago.

STX Wall Street View

12-month price targets

Low $700.00 Median $1,150.00 (+80.0%) High $1,600.00

The price, $639.01, sits below every analyst's target.

Ratings

Buy 22 Hold 3 Sell 0 3 months ago: 22 of 25 buy

Recent rating actions

Recent analyst rating actions on STX
Date Firm Action Rating
Jul 30, 2026 Argus Research Maintains Buy
Jul 30, 2026 Barclays Maintains Overweight
Jul 29, 2026 Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight
Jul 29, 2026 JP Morgan Maintains Overweight
Jul 29, 2026 TD Cowen Maintains Buy
Jul 29, 2026 Susquehanna Maintains Neutral

As of October 17, 2026, 25 Wall Street analysts cover STX: 22 rate it a buy or strong buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $700.00 to $1,600.00, with a median of $1,150.00, 80.0% above the price of $639.01.

Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.

06

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

STX trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$632.62
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$639.01
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk management

Stop loss
$555.31
Max loss
-12.2%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (27.6) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$651.60
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$664.25
+5% (Conservative) +3.9% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$683.23
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

STX moves about 4.1% a day on average, so a stop can fill well past its level. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much STX tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
4.14%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$639.01
$209.00 46% of the way up $1,145.00

Compare STX

Put STX side by side with other stocks and benchmarks.

07

The long record

STX's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

7.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 4.14% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 55.1%, from December 2021 to October 2022, regained by June 2024.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    73% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $272,177, against $42,055 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

STX Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-55.1%
December 2021 to October 2022
Recovery
20 months
back at the old peak by June 2024
From the 10-year high
-41.6%
highest close, June 2026
1-year holds that gained
73%
of every 1-year window

As of October 17, 2026, STX's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -55.1% (December 2021 to October 2022); it regained that peak by June 2024, 20 months after the low, and 73% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into STX in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

STX today
$272,177
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,055
the same $10,000 in SPY
Ahead of the index by
$230,122
6.5x the index result
Total change
+2,622%
27.2x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
STX S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: STX beat the S&P 500 over this period: $272,177 against $42,055.

A $10,000 investment in STX in October 2016 would be worth about $272,177 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,055 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to STX, and which have not.

Jan8/10 upFeb5/10 upMar5/10 upApr6/10 upMay7/10 upJun5/10 upJul5/10 upAug5/10 upSep7/10 upOct4/9 upNov10/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, January: an average of +14.33%, up in 8 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -1.36%, up in 5 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged -0.54%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, STX's strongest calendar month has been January (average +14.33%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -1.36%, up in 5 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

08

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in STX, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$5,071
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$29,779
median path
Upside, 2036
$174,858
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in STX today could grow to about $29,779 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $174,858 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,071. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.46% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

STX Stock Price Prediction: 2030

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$639
Base case, 2030
$989
1.5x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$323 to $3,029
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $989 for STX by 2030 in the base case, from $639 today (1.5x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $323. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on STX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

STX simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $407 $713 $1,247
2028 $360 $795 $1,754
2029 $336 $887 $2,338
2030 $323 $989 $3,029
2031 $315 $1,103 $3,855

Method: a lognormal simulation of STX's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

09

Insider trading

What the people running the company have bought and sold.

STX insider trading

Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.

Bought
None
no open-market buys
Sold
$634.0M
110 open-market sales
Insiders filing
17
over the last 18 months
Average trade
$5.8M
buys and sales together

Month by month

Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.

May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

Insider buying: No insider bought STX shares on the open market in the last 18 months. Sales are often planned in advance or cover tax on vesting shares, so they say less than purchases would.

As of October 17, 2026, STX insiders reported 110 open-market sales worth $634.0M and no open-market purchases over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.

Insider transactions in STX
Date Insider Type Shares Value
Sep 21, 2026
John Christopher Morris
Chief Technology Officer
Sell 9.4K $8.2M
Sep 21, 2026
John Christopher Morris
Chief Technology Officer
Option 915 $144.9K
Sep 15, 2026
William D Mosley
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 97.9K $75.6M
Sep 15, 2026
Ban-Seng Teh
Officer
Sell 52.7K $41.2M
Sep 15, 2026
Gianluca Romano
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 50.0K $38.6M
Sep 15, 2026
John Christopher Morris
Chief Technology Officer
Sell 15.5K $11.9M
Sep 14, 2026
Gianluca Romano
Chief Financial Officer
Sell 5.6K $4.7M
Sep 14, 2026
William D Mosley
Chief Executive Officer
Sell 1.9K $1.5M
Sep 14, 2026
Ban-Seng Teh
Officer
Sell 989 $770.4K
Sep 14, 2026
John Christopher Morris
Chief Technology Officer
Sell 492 $385.0K
Page 1 of 12

Source: TwelveData, from reported insider filings

10

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 17, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) a buy right now?
CleaRank rates STX Hold, on a model score of 56/100. Most of the lift comes from the analysts' outlook, as 22 of 25 analysts rate it a buy and the median target is 80.0% above the price. The biggest drag is valuation: the P/E of 53.76 is 53.2% above the sector median (a premium to peers) and the P/S of 12.88 is 69.5% above the sector median. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) performed over the past year?
Over the past year the price rose 182.71%. Over shorter periods it fell 18.87% in three months and fell 18.41% in the past month. It now trades 44.19% below its 52-week high of $1,145.00.
What are the key price levels for STX?
The levels above the price are the 200-day SMA at $674.45 and the 20-day EMA at $793.20. The only level below it is the 52-week low at $209.00.
Is STX expensive compared with Technology stocks?
Seagate's trailing P/E of 53.76 is 53.2% above the Technology median of 35.1, and the peer comparison on this page labels that a premium to peers. The price-to-sales ratio of 12.88 is 69.5% above the sector median of 7.6. These medians are drawn from 111 stocks across the entire sector, not just direct rivals.
Does STX pay a dividend?
STX pays a trailing dividend yield of 0.46%, equal to $2.96 a share each year. Because the yield is the dividend divided by the price, it moves whenever either of those figures changes.
What do Wall Street analysts think of STX?
Of the 25 analysts covering STX, 22 rate it buy, 3 hold and 0 sell. Their median 12-month target is $1,150.00, 80.0% above the current price.
How often has STX beaten earnings estimates?
STX beat the EPS estimate in 7 of the last 7 reports in our data. The share price fell in the first session after 2 of those 7 beats.
How volatile is STX?
On an average day STX's price moves 4.14%, based on the 30-day standard deviation of daily returns.
Are STX insiders buying or selling?
Insiders sold $634.0M of stock over the last 18 months and made no open-market purchases. Such sales are often planned ahead or carried out to cover tax on vesting shares, which makes them a weaker signal than purchases.
What is the 52-week range of STX?
Over the past 52 weeks STX has traded between $209.00 and $1,145.00. At $639.01, the stock is at 46% of that span, 205.75% above the low and 44.19% below the high.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The stock analysis, trade plans, and AI-generated signals presented for STX are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. They do not represent actual trades made by CleaRank or its affiliates. Stock prices can be volatile and are subject to market, economic, and company-specific risks. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any data. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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