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As of September 26, 2026, BlackBerry Limited (BB) trades at $8.210. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $9.500, 15.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $9.500 across 8 analysts. RSI at 58 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $8.316.
BlackBerry Ltd (BB)
BlackBerry Ltd NYSE
$8.21
-0.5200 (-5.96%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
50 / 100
BlackBerry Ltd is trading at $8.21, slightly below its 50-day SMA but above its 200-day SMA, indicating a mixed technical picture. The company's fundamentals show a profit margin of 10.31% and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, which is below the sector median of 0.29. Recent earnings have shown positive surprises, with the quarter to September 2026 EPS actual of $0.07 beating estimates by 75%, though the stock reacted negatively with a 5.96% drop. Insider activity shows a net buying trend, with total purchases of $10.2 million versus $6.6 million in sales, suggesting some level of insider confidence. However, the Wall Street consensus is a 'Hold' with a median price target of $9.50, implying a modest 15.7% upside. The company is expected to grow revenue by 5.00% in the current quarter and 7.00% in the next quarter, with full-year growth projected at 13.00%. Key risks include the neutral RSI and the mixed analyst ratings, which temper the positive insider sentiment.
BB Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$8.75
Day Range
$8.04 to $8.81
Prev Close
$8.73
Volume
32.25M
52-Week Range
$3.12 to $13.59
Market Cap
$4.82B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+157%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
BB Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, BB beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 2 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
BB Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+15.71% Upside
Median of 8 analysts (12-month)
$9.500
AI Technical Analysis
Volume has surged 59.3% above its average, indicating increased trading activity for BlackBerry Ltd. The stock is currently trading above its 200-day SMA of $6.26 and its 20-day EMA of $8.16, but below its 50-day SMA of $8.32. The RSI is at 58.47, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is slightly positive at 0.0124. Key support levels are indicated by the 20-day EMA at $8.16 and the 50-day SMA at $8.32, with resistance potentially forming around recent highs. The current price action suggests a consolidation phase, with the increased volume potentially signaling a shift in momentum, though the neutral RSI warrants caution.
ProTips
- Monitor BlackBerry Ltd's ability to translate its strong revenue growth into sustained EPS beats, as the current negative short-term EPS estimates pose a risk.
- The increased trading volume suggests growing investor interest; watch for a decisive break above the 50-day SMA ($8.32) as a potential bullish signal.
- Given the premium valuation, consider position sizing carefully and maintain a stop-loss below the 200-day SMA ($6.26) to mitigate downside risk.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Insider Buying Trend
Insiders have purchased $10.2 million worth of shares against $6.6 million in sales, indicating a net buying position and potentially signaling confidence in the company's future prospects.
Source: Insider Trading DataBullish
Consistent EPS Beats
BlackBerry Ltd has demonstrated a pattern of exceeding analyst EPS estimates, most recently with a 75% surprise in the quarter to September 2026, suggesting operational efficiency.
Source: Earnings ReportsNeutral
Mixed Wall Street Analyst Ratings
The current Wall Street consensus is 'Hold' with a median price target of $9.50, reflecting a divided analyst community with ratings ranging from Buy to Sell.
Source: Analyst RatingsBearish
Elevated Valuation Multiples
BlackBerry Ltd's P/E and Price-to-Sales ratios are significantly higher than sector averages, creating a risk of valuation compression if growth falters.
Source: Financial AnalysisMarket Outlook
BlackBerry Ltd's outlook is cautiously optimistic, with a base case price projection of $9.41 for 2030, suggesting a modest upside from current levels. The company's strong revenue growth and positive insider sentiment provide a foundation for potential appreciation. The projected revenue growth of 13.00% for the current year and 9.00% for the next year indicates continued business expansion. However, the path forward faces headwinds from elevated valuation multiples and a neutral technical momentum. A significant downside risk exists if the company fails to meet its ambitious growth targets or if market sentiment shifts away from growth stocks. Upside catalysts could include stronger-than-expected earnings surprises or new strategic partnerships that accelerate revenue growth beyond current estimates.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 4.82B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 87.30 |
| EPS (TTM) | 0.1000 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 13.59 |
| 52 Week Low | 3.12 |
BlackBerry Ltd's valuation metrics present a mixed picture, with a P/E ratio of 87.30 and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 8.83, both significantly higher than the sector medians of 34.0 and 7.5 respectively. The company's profit margin stands at a healthy 10.31%, and its return on equity is 8.10%, aligning with the sector median of 13.4%. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.29, which is in line with the sector average. Despite the premium valuation multiples, the company's profitability and revenue growth of 25.6% are strong. However, the forward growth estimates for EPS are negative in the short term, with current and next quarter estimates at -4% and -3.3% respectively, which contrasts with the positive revenue growth outlook. This suggests potential margin compression or increased operating expenses impacting profitability in the near term.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
BlackBerry Ltd's recent earnings performance has been characterized by positive EPS surprises, with the quarter to September 2026 reporting an actual EPS of $0.07 against an estimate of $0.04, a 75% beat. This follows a pattern of beats in the prior three reported quarters. However, the stock reacted negatively to the latest earnings release, declining by 5.96%. Revenue growth for the current quarter is estimated at +5.00%, with a projected full-year growth of 13.00%.
Key Risks
The primary risks for BlackBerry Ltd include its elevated valuation multiples, with P/E and Price-to-Sales ratios significantly above sector averages, suggesting potential downside if growth expectations are not met. Additionally, while insider buying is a positive signal, the neutral RSI and mixed analyst ratings indicate a lack of strong conviction from the broader market, creating uncertainty around near-term price direction. The negative short-term EPS growth estimates also pose a risk to profitability.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 58.47 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.01 |
| SMA 50 | 8.32 |
| SMA 200 | 6.26 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($8.316) above the 200-day SMA ($6.260), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.48
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.16
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.08
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with BB? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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BB Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$8.128
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$8.210
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$6.960
MAX LOSS
-14.4%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (58.5) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$8.372
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$8.534
+5% (Conservative)
+3.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$8.778
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
BB is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.58%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 26, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in BB in September 2016 would be worth about $10,499 today, compared with about $36,004 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in BB today could grow to about $14,049 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $106,587 and a bear case around $1,852. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
BB Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $9.41 for BB by 2030 in the base case, from $8.21 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $2.61. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on BB's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $4.48 | $8.49 | $16.12 |
| 2028 | $3.55 | $8.79 | $21.75 |
| 2029 | $3.00 | $9.09 | $27.58 |
| 2030 | $2.61 | $9.41 | $33.88 |
| 2031 | $2.32 | $9.73 | $40.78 |
| 2032 | $2.10 | $10.07 | $48.37 |
| 2033 | $1.91 | $10.42 | $56.75 |
| 2034 | $1.76 | $10.78 | $66.01 |
| 2035 | $1.63 | $11.15 | $76.23 |
| 2036 | $1.52 | $11.53 | $87.51 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using BB's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
BB Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$10.0M
3 Transactions
Sold
$6.8M
33 Transactions
Insiders
9
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$466.8K
Moderate size
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPH
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 277.0K | $3.1M |
| Oct 6, 2021 | EACOBACCI THOMAS
President
|
Sell | 171.3K | $1.6M |
| Jul 23, 2021 | EACOBACCI THOMAS
President
|
Sell | 110.0K | $1.1M |
| Jan 20, 2021 | WILSON MARK GEORGE
Officer
|
Sell | 78.5K | $991.5K |
| Jan 2, 2026 | GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPH
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 231.8K | $885.3K |
| Sep 25, 2020 | CAPELLI STEVEN M
Officer
|
Sell | 141.5K | $662.2K |
| Jan 2, 2025 | GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPH
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 155.8K | $573.4K |
| Jan 20, 2021 | RAI STEVE
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 33.0K | $428.7K |
| May 13, 2022 | DICKMAN MARJORIE JILL
Officer
|
Sell | 68.5K | $390.6K |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPH
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 87.7K | $340.4K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is BlackBerry Ltd (BB) stock a buy right now?
BlackBerry Ltd (BB) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 50. While insider buying and positive recent earnings surprises are encouraging, the stock's elevated valuation multiples and neutral technical momentum suggest a cautious approach is warranted.
What is BlackBerry Ltd's (BB) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, BlackBerry Ltd's (BB) stock price forecast for 2030 includes a base case of $9.41, a downside projection of $2.61, and an upside projection of $33.88. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
How has BlackBerry Ltd (BB) performed in its recent earnings reports?
BlackBerry Ltd (BB) has consistently beaten EPS estimates in its recent earnings reports, including a 75% surprise in the quarter to September 2026. Despite these beats, the stock experienced a 5.96% decline following the latest results, indicating market sentiment may be influenced by factors beyond immediate earnings performance.
What are the key technical indicators for BlackBerry Ltd (BB) stock?
BlackBerry Ltd (BB) is trading above its 200-day and 20-day moving averages but below its 50-day moving average. The RSI is neutral at 58.47, and the MACD shows slight positive momentum. Volume has recently increased significantly, suggesting growing investor interest.
How does BlackBerry Ltd's (BB) valuation compare to its sector peers?
BlackBerry Ltd (BB) trades at a premium compared to its sector peers, with a P/E ratio of 87.30 and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 8.83, significantly higher than the sector medians of 34.0 and 7.5, respectively. This suggests investors are pricing in higher growth expectations.
What is the Wall Street consensus for BlackBerry Ltd (BB) stock?
The Wall Street consensus for BlackBerry Ltd (BB) stock is a 'Hold', with a median price target of $9.50, implying a 15.7% upside from the current price. The analyst score is 50 out of 100, reflecting a balanced view among the 8 analysts covering the stock.
Are BlackBerry Ltd (BB) insiders buying or selling shares?
Insiders at BlackBerry Ltd (BB) are net buyers of the stock, with total purchases of $10.2 million compared to $6.6 million in sales. This 'Slight Buy Signal' suggests a degree of confidence from management, although it is not a strong accumulation trend.