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As of September 27, 2026, iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) trades at $213.81. RSI at 24 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $233.17.

iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF CBOE

$213.81 1.050 (0.49%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Sell
25 / 100
The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is currently experiencing a bearish price trend, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($233.17 and $230.43). The fund's recent performance indicates weakness, with a notable divergence from its category returns over shorter periods. As an ETF focused on the aerospace and defense sector, ITA's price action reflects the broader industry's current market sentiment and investor flows. The fund's strategy is to provide diversified exposure to U.S. companies involved in aircraft, defense systems, and related equipment, tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index.

ITA Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$213.29
Day Range
$212.16 to $215.13
Prev Close
$212.76
Volume
600.4K
52-Week Range
$195.71 to $256.60

ITA Fund Facts

iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide diversified exposure to U.S. aerospace and defense companies. It seeks to track the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index, giving investors access to manufacturers, assemblers, and distributors involved in aircraft, defense systems, satellites, and related equipment.

Issuer
iShares
Category
Industrials
Inception
May 1, 2006
Expense ratio
0.37%
Net assets
$13.63B
NAV
$219.36
Distribution yield
0.47%
YTD return
6.52%
Turnover
18.00%

Sector weights

Industrials 100.0%

Trailing returns vs category

Period ITA Category
YTD 6.52% 13.30%
1 month -4.69% 9.31%
3 months -3.00% 5.10%
1 year 15.61% 45.64%
3 years 26.19% 21.72%
5 years 17.53% 11.25%
10 years 14.50% 13.58%

Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

ITA Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Sell
ITA is currently in a bearish trend, trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day exponential and simple moving averages. The 50-day SMA is at 233.17 and the 200-day SMA is at 230.43, with the current price of 213.81 falling below both. Momentum indicators are signaling oversold conditions, with an RSI of 23.68 and a Stochastic reading of 15.88. The MACD is also negative at -6.13, further reinforcing the bearish short-term outlook.
ProTips
  • Consider the fund's high concentration in the industrials sector and its exposure to large-cap defense contractors.
  • Monitor geopolitical developments and government defense spending policies as key catalysts for the sector.
  • Evaluate the fund's performance against its benchmark and category peers, paying close attention to divergences.
Market Outlook
The 6-12 month outlook for ITA appears bearish, given its current technical positioning and recent underperformance relative to its category. While the aerospace and defense sector can benefit from increased government spending, persistent supply chain issues and potential project delays could weigh on performance. A significant shift in the macroeconomic environment or a resolution to supply chain bottlenecks could alter this outlook, but currently, the trend suggests caution.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

S&P 500 (SPY) +0.65
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.57
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.30
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.21
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with ITA? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Yield 0.62%
Day High $215.13
Day Low $212.16
52 Week High 256.60
52 Week Low 195.71
The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) holds 99.84% in stocks, indicating a highly concentrated exposure to the industrials sector. Its net assets stand at $13.63 billion, with an expense ratio of 0.37%, costing $37.00 per $10,000 invested. The fund's overview highlights its focus on major industry names such as GE Aerospace, RTX, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, and Northrop Grumman. This concentration means the fund's performance is heavily tied to the fortunes of these large-cap aerospace and defense companies.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

The underlying aerospace and defense companies it holds are critical to the sector's performance. Recent trends in the sector suggest that while defense spending remains a tailwind, supply chain issues and project delays could impact the earnings of key constituents. Investors should monitor the earnings reports of ITA's top holdings for insights into the sector's aggregate profitability and future growth prospects.

Key Risks

The primary risk for ITA is its high concentration within the aerospace and defense sector, making it susceptible to sector-specific downturns or regulatory changes. Geopolitical events, while potentially boosting defense spending, can also introduce volatility and uncertainty. Also, the fund's current technical setup, with prices below key moving averages and oversold indicators, suggests a risk of further downside in the short term.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 23.68
MACD -6.13
SMA 50 233.17
SMA 200 230.43
Technical Rating Bearish
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($233.17) above the 200-day SMA ($230.43), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 23.7 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.

ITA Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$218.09
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$213.81
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$225.28
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (23.7) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$207.18
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$196.28
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$185.37
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of ITA is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 27, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in ITA in September 2016 would be worth about $33,034 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ITA today could grow to about $25,676 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $66,425 and a bear case around $9,925. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

ITA ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $312 for ITA by 2030 in the base case, from $214 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $171. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ITA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

ITA simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $174 $235 $317
2028 $169 $258 $395
2029 $169 $284 $478
2030 $171 $312 $569
2031 $175 $343 $671
2032 $180 $376 $786
2033 $187 $414 $916
2034 $194 $455 $1,064
2035 $203 $500 $1,231
2036 $212 $549 $1,420

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ITA's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current price prediction for ITA ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price projection for ITA ETF in 2030 is $311.77, with a downside scenario at $170.91. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not price targets or guarantees.
What is the expense ratio for the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF?
The expense ratio for ITA is 0.37%, which translates to a cost of $37.00 per $10,000 invested over a year.
What sectors does the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF concentrate in?
ITA is heavily concentrated in the Industrials sector, with 99.84% of its asset allocation in stocks. Its overview indicates a focus on U.S. aerospace and defense companies involved in aircraft, defense systems, and related equipment.
How has ITA performed against its category over the last year?
In the past year, ITA returned 15.61%, while its category returned 45.64%, indicating underperformance relative to its peers.
What are the key technical levels for ITA?
ITA is currently trading below its 50-day SMA of 233.17 and its 200-day SMA of 230.43. The RSI is at 23.68, indicating oversold conditions.
What is the dividend yield for ITA?
The dividend yield for ITA is approximately 0.61%.
What are the main risks associated with investing in ITA?
The primary risks include sector concentration in aerospace and defense, susceptibility to geopolitical events and regulatory changes, and current bearish technical indicators suggesting potential further price declines.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for ITA are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on September 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

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