CleaRank Financial AI • AI-powered analysis using real-time market data from TwelveData
Analysis reviewed by Anthony Beachey, Financial Journalist. Data refreshed daily. Not financial advice.
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is currently experiencing a downward price trend, trading below its key moving averages. The fund, which focuses on U.S. aerospace and defense companies, has seen its price fall below the 20-day EMA, 50-day SMA, and 200-day SMA. This technical weakness is accompanied by a bearish signal from its 14-day RSI, which is currently at 30.61. The fund's strategy is to provide diversified exposure to manufacturers, assemblers, and distributors involved in aircraft, defense systems, and related equipment, tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index.
ITA at a glance
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA): Sell, 25/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
TrendDown: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($224.92 and $230.13).
FundExpense ratio 0.37%, $12.1B in net assets, -0.8% total return over 1 year.
As of October 14, 2026, iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) trades at $204.31. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 31, showing bearish momentum without being oversold, and the price is below its 50-day simple moving average of $224.92.
Figures as of October 14, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from ITA's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide diversified exposure to U.S. aerospace and defense companies. It seeks to track the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index, giving investors access to manufacturers, assemblers, and distributors involved in aircraft, defense systems, satellites, and related equipment.
Issuer
iShares
Category
Industrials
Inception
May 1, 2006
Expense ratio
0.37%
Net assets
$12.14B
Distribution yield
0.27%
YTD return
-3.25%
Turnover
18.00%
Sector weights
Industrials100.0%
Trailing total returns
Period
ITA
YTD
-3.25%
1 month
-9.17%
3 months
-14.52%
1 year
-0.80%
3 years
25.92%
5 years
15.63%
10 years
13.47%
As of Oct 14, 2026, ITA has an expense ratio of 0.37%, $12.14B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.27%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 14, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
ITA Analysis
AI Analyst Consensus ScoreSell
ITA's price trend is currently bearish, as it trades below its 20-day EMA (209.88), 50-day SMA (224.92), and 200-day SMA (230.13). The MACD is also negative at -5.21, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. The Stochastic indicator is at 23.43, further suggesting a lack of upward momentum. The fund's recent performance shows a 1-month return of -9.17% and a 3-month return of -14.52%, aligning with the current technical weakness.
Market Outlook
The outlook for ITA is currently bearish, driven by its negative technical indicators and recent price weakness. While the aerospace and defense sector can be influenced by long-term government contracts and geopolitical stability, the immediate technical picture suggests further downside potential. A sustained move above the 50-day SMA would be needed to signal a potential trend reversal.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)+0.65
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)+0.56
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)+0.28
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)+0.23
Weak correlation
As of October 14, 2026, ITA's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.65 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.56 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.28 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.23 with gold (XAU).
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ITA? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
Net Assets
12.14B
Expense Ratio
0.3700%
Yield
0.27%
Day High
$205.53
Day Low
$203.61
52 Week High
256.60
52 Week Low
195.71
The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is concentrated in the Industrials sector, with 100.00% of its assets allocated to stocks. The fund's expense ratio is 0.37%, costing $37.00 per $10,000 invested. Its net assets stand at $12,136,253,440. The overview highlights that the fund provides exposure to major industry names such as GE Aerospace, RTX, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, and Northrop Grumman, indicating a focus on large-cap companies within the aerospace and defense supply chains.
Fund Performance Analysis
Its top holdings, including GE Aerospace, RTX, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, and Northrop Grumman, are significant players in the aerospace and defense industry. The performance of these underlying companies and the broader sector's earnings trends will directly influence ITA's performance. Given the current bearish technicals, it suggests that the market may be anticipating or reacting to headwinds affecting the earnings potential of these key constituents.
Key Risks
The primary risks for ITA include significant concentration in the aerospace and defense sector, making it vulnerable to industry-specific downturns or shifts in government defense spending. Geopolitical events or supply chain disruptions could negatively impact the performance of its top holdings.
Technical Indicators i
RSI (14-day)
30.61
MACD (12, 26)
-5.21
SMA (50-day)
224.92
SMA (200-day)
230.13
Technical RatingBearish
RSI
Bearish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $224.92, 200-day: $230.13), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
As of October 14, 2026, with ITA at $204.31, its 14-day RSI is 30.6 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $224.92 and its 200-day is $230.13.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 14, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
ITA Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative2%Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$208.40
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$204.31
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$214.65
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (30.6) and current market volatility
These levels come from ITA's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ITA in October 2016 would be worth about $32,337 today, compared with about $36,506 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark. This is price change only; dividends paid along the way would add to it.
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ITA Drawdowns & Recovery
Worst fall, last 10 years
-48.3%
February 2020 to March 2020
Recovery
45 months
back at the old peak by December 2023
From the 10-year high
-19.3%
highest close, August 2026
1-year holds that gained
80%
of every 1-year window
As of October 14, 2026, ITA's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -48.3% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by December 2023, 45 months after the low, and 80% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ITA today could grow to about $22,704 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $58,781 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,769. The simulation models price only; at today's 0.27% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ITA 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $284 for ITA by 2030 in the base case, from $204 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $155. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ITA's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
ITA simulated price paths by year
Year
10th percentile
Base case
90th percentile
2027
$164
$222
$300
2028
$157
$241
$368
2029
$155
$261
$440
2030
$155
$284
$518
2031
$157
$308
$603
Method: a lognormal simulation of ITA's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)?
The expense ratio for ITA is 0.37%, which translates to a cost of $37.00 per $10,000 invested over the year.
What sectors does the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) hold?
ITA is highly concentrated, holding 100.00% in the Industrials sector, focusing specifically on U.S. aerospace and defense companies.
How does the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) typically perform in volatile markets?
ITA's recent performance shows a 3-month return of -14.52%, indicating significant volatility and a negative trend in the short term, which is consistent with its current bearish technical indicators.
Does ITA pay a distribution?
Yes. As of October 14, 2026, ITA's distribution yield is 0.27% at the current price of $204.31. Yields move with the share price and with changes to the payout.
Is ITA in an uptrend?
No. iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) trades at $204.31, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($224.92 and $230.13). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 30.6, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What is ITA's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -48.3%, from February 2020 to March 2020. It regained that peak by December 2023, 45 months after the low. Over the same period, 80% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are ITA's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, November has been ITA's strongest month on average (+3.62%, rising in 7 of 10 years) and March its weakest (-3.81%, rising in 4 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does ITA move with the stock market?
Over the past year ITA's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.65). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.56; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.28; Gold (XAU): +0.23. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in ITA be worth today?
$10,000 put into ITA in October 2016 would be worth about $32,337 today, against about $36,506 for the same amount in the S&P 500. That is price change only; distributions would add to it.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for ITA in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from ITA's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $283.62, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $155.40 and $517.63. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.
