Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC)
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund CBOE
FBTC at a glance
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC): Buy, 75/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($67.13 and $64.26).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.25%, $15.5B in net assets, -26.8% total return over 1 year.
As of October 15, 2026, Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) trades at $71.08. The 14-day RSI (daily closes) is 51, in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day simple moving average of $67.13.
Figures as of October 15, 2026.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from FBTC's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
FBTC Price Analysis
Market Metrics
FBTC Fund Facts
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund is a digital asset exchange-traded fund designed to provide investors with direct exposure to the price of bitcoin through a familiar brokerage structure. The fund is passively managed and seeks to track bitcoin’s performance by holding bitcoin in custody with Fidelity Digital Assets, rather than using futures contracts. It is intended for investors who want a regulated vehicle for bitcoin exposure within traditional market accounts.
Trailing total returns
| Period | FBTC |
|---|---|
| YTD | -4.33% |
| 1 month | 5.83% |
| 3 months | 42.80% |
| 1 year | -26.80% |
As of Oct 15, 2026, FBTC has an expense ratio of 0.25%, $15.45B in net assets and a distribution yield of 0.00%.
Fund reference data as of Oct 15, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
FBTC Analysis
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
As of October 15, 2026, FBTC's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.44 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.46 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.94 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.24 with gold (XAU).
How does any other asset move with FBTC? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Net Assets | 15.45B |
|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.2500% |
| Yield | 0.00% |
| Day High | $72.22 |
| Day Low | $70.79 |
| 52 Week High | 101.31 |
| 52 Week Low | 50.48 |
Fund Performance Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14-day) | 51.11 |
|---|---|
| MACD (12, 26) | 1.22 |
| SMA (50-day) | 67.13 |
| SMA (200-day) | 64.26 |
As of October 15, 2026, with FBTC at $71.08, its 14-day RSI is 51.1 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $67.13 and its 200-day is $64.26.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 15, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).
FBTC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from FBTC's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in FBTC in January 2024 would be worth about $17,387 today, compared with about $16,156 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
FBTC Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 15, 2026, FBTC's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 3 years was -51.0% (October 2025 to June 2026); it is still 33.0% below that peak.
From weekly closing values. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FBTC today could grow to about $24,618 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $177,088 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $3,422. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
FBTC 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $102 for FBTC by 2030 in the base case, from $71.08 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $29.26. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FBTC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $41.68 | $77.78 | $145 |
| 2028 | $35.22 | $85.11 | $206 |
| 2029 | $31.60 | $93.14 | $274 |
| 2030 | $29.26 | $102 | $355 |
| 2031 | $27.63 | $112 | $450 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of FBTC's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.