As of September 16, 2026, Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) trades at $66.20. RSI at 43 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $60.23.
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC)
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund CBOE
FBTC Price Analysis
Market Metrics
FBTC Fund Facts
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund is a digital asset exchange-traded fund designed to provide investors with direct exposure to the price of bitcoin through a familiar brokerage structure. The fund is passively managed and seeks to track bitcoin’s performance by holding bitcoin in custody with Fidelity Digital Assets, rather than using futures contracts. It is intended for investors who want a regulated vehicle for bitcoin exposure within traditional market accounts.
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | FBTC | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | -9.60% | -19.21% |
| 1 month | 25.57% | 5.85% |
| 3 months | 7.66% | -14.71% |
| 1 year | -27.27% | -8.45% |
| 3 years | N/A | 11.96% |
| 5 years | N/A | -27.53% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 16, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
FBTC Analysis
- Monitor bitcoin's price action closely, as FBTC's performance is directly correlated.
- Be aware of the high volatility inherent in digital assets and manage risk accordingly.
- Stay informed about regulatory developments impacting cryptocurrencies, as these can significantly influence the fund's value.
- Consider FBTC as a tactical allocation rather than a long-term core holding due to its speculative nature.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with FBTC? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Yield | 0.00% |
|---|---|
| Day High | $67.22 |
| Day Low | $65.14 |
| 52 Week High | 110.25 |
| 52 Week Low | 50.48 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 43.25 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 2.31 |
| SMA 50 | 60.23 |
| SMA 200 | 64.83 |
FBTC Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in FBTC in January 2024 would be worth about $16,194 today, compared with about $15,900 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in FBTC today could grow to about $27,355 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $199,768 and a bear case around $3,746. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
FBTC ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $99.01 for FBTC by 2030 in the base case, from $66.20 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $28.16. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FBTC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $39.04 | $73.21 | $137 |
| 2028 | $33.27 | $80.96 | $197 |
| 2029 | $30.13 | $89.53 | $266 |
| 2030 | $28.16 | $99.01 | $348 |
| 2031 | $26.84 | $109 | $447 |
| 2032 | $25.96 | $121 | $565 |
| 2033 | $25.37 | $134 | $707 |
| 2034 | $25.01 | $148 | $877 |
| 2035 | $24.83 | $164 | $1,080 |
| 2036 | $24.80 | $181 | $1,322 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using FBTC's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. FBTC is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.