ETF·CBOE
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC)
- Net assets
- $15.45B
- Expense ratio
- 0.25%
- Yield
- None
- 52-week range
- $50.48 $94.30
FBTC ETF forecast today
Where FBTC stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
FBTC at a glance
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC): Sell, 37/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 200-day but below its 50-day moving average ($63.73 and $70.49).
- Fund Expense ratio 0.25%, $15.5B in net assets, price down 28.1% over 1 year.
Figures as of October 30, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
CleaRank rates Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) Sell, with a model score of 37/100.
The trend lifts the score most: the price is 4.68% above its 200-day average, and the 50-day average is 10.61% above the 200-day. Momentum holds it back most: the 14-day RSI of 36.8 is in the bearish zone and the MACD line is negative. The 50-day average stands at $70.49 and the 200-day at $63.73. Over the past year the price fell 28.07%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from FBTC's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.
FBTC ETF price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
2/4Price below its 50-day average ›
The price of $66.71 is 5.4% below the 50-day simple moving average of $70.49.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 4.7% above the 200-day simple moving average of $63.73.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($70.49) is 10.6% above the 200-day average ($63.73), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.In the lower half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 37% of its 52-week range, between $50.48 and $94.30.
FBTC share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far FBTC has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where FBTC sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
FBTC fund facts and valuation
What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.
Fund checks
1/3Expense ratio above 0.20% ›
The fund charges 0.25% a year, $25.00 on a $10,000 holding.Over $1B in net assets ›
Net assets total $15.5B.Price down over one year ›
The price fell 28.07% over the past year.
FBTC Fund Facts
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund is a digital asset exchange-traded fund designed to provide investors with direct exposure to the price of bitcoin through a familiar brokerage structure. The fund is passively managed and seeks to track bitcoin’s performance by holding bitcoin in custody with Fidelity Digital Assets, rather than using futures contracts. It is intended for investors who want a regulated vehicle for bitcoin exposure within traditional market accounts.
Total returns, as the fund family reports them
| Period | FBTC |
|---|---|
| YTD | -4.33% |
| 1 month | 5.83% |
| 3 months | 42.80% |
| 1 year | -26.80% |
As of Nov 1, 2026, FBTC has an expense ratio of 0.25%, $15.45B in net assets and no distribution yield.
Fund reference data as of Nov 1, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.
Key statistics
The headline figures for FBTC.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of FBTC's holdings, performance and risks.
FBTC is a Digital Assets fund run by Fidelity Investments, and it began trading on January 10, 2024.
Each year the expense ratio of 0.25% adds up to $25.00 on a $10,000 holding.
FBTC's average daily move is 1.58%. The price is 29.26% below its 52-week high of $94.30. Over the past year the price fell 28.07%.
FBTC AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
1/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 36.8, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.RSI below 50 ›
An RSI of 36.8 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line below zero ›
The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of FBTC
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) is caught between its two moving averages. At $66.71, the price is 4.68% above its 200-day average of $63.73 but 5.36% below its 50-day average of $70.49. That 50-day average sits 10.61% above the 200-day one. Across the 52-week range, which runs from $50.48 to $94.30, the price currently stands at 37% of the way up.
On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 36.8, in the bearish zone, above the oversold line, with the MACD line negative. The short and long run point different ways: the price fell 8.16% over the past month, rose 21.93% over the past three months and fell 28.07% over the past year. The price fell 5.01% in the last session on volume 126.9% above its average.
- The two closest levels to watch are the 50-day SMA, which sits at $70.49 above the current price, and the 200-day SMA, which sits at $63.73 below it.
- The 14-day RSI reads 36.8, in the bearish zone, with the MACD line negative; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
- Fees add up over time. FBTC's expense ratio of 0.25% a year works out to $25.00 on every $10,000 held.
Trend signals conflict. FBTC trades above its 200-day average of $63.73 yet below its 50-day average of $70.49. Should the price close above the 50-day, both signals would point up; a close below the 200-day would point both down. For now the price is wedged between the 200-day SMA ($63.73) beneath it and the 50-day SMA ($70.49) above it.
FBTC's RSI sits in the bearish band, a reading that argues against a quick rebound.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for FBTC, from its daily closes.
As of October 30, 2026, with FBTC at $66.71, its 14-day RSI is 36.8 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $70.49 and its 200-day is $63.73.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 30, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What FBTC moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 30, 2026, FBTC's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.44 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.46 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.94 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.21 with gold (XAU).
FBTC trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
FBTC trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from FBTC's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much FBTC tends to move, against the market and on its own.
FBTC price history and drawdowns
FBTC's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
1/3Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.58% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Not yet recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 53.4%, from October 2025 to June 2026; the price is still 39.0% below that peak.Trailed the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in January 2024 is now worth $16,318, against $16,382 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
FBTC Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 30, 2026, FBTC's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 3 years with dividends reinvested was -53.4% (October 2025 to June 2026); it is still 39.0% below that peak.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into FBTC in January 2024 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: FBTC trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $16,318 against $16,382.
A $10,000 investment in FBTC in January 2024 would be worth about $16,318 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $16,382 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
FBTC price prediction 2028
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in FBTC, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 2-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 2.8 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in FBTC today could grow to about $11,887 by 2028 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $28,619 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $4,938. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
FBTC 2028 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)
The same simulation in prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $79.30 for FBTC by 2028 in the base case, from $66.71 today (1.2x over 2 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $32.94. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on FBTC's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $39.08 | $72.73 | $135 | |
| 2028 | $32.94 | $79.30 | $191 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of FBTC's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
FBTC ETF forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 30, 2026.