As of September 27, 2026, Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) trades at $157.68. RSI at 23 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $162.95.
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM)
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF NYSE
VYM Price Analysis
Market Metrics
VYM Fund Facts
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the FTSE High Dividend Yield Index. The fund focuses on U.S. companies with dividend yields that are generally above average, excluding real estate investment trusts, and it is designed to provide broad exposure to large-cap value equities. Its portfolio is market-cap weighted and includes a diversified mix of sectors such as financials, healthcare, industrials, consumer staples, and technology.
Sector weights
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | VYM | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 15.52% | 7.82% |
| 1 month | 1.18% | 6.23% |
| 3 months | 3.55% | 3.90% |
| 1 year | 20.68% | 26.16% |
| 3 years | 18.25% | 15.87% |
| 5 years | 11.99% | 10.13% |
| 10 years | 11.78% | 11.26% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
VYM Analysis
- Consider VYM as a core income-generating holding within a diversified portfolio.
- Monitor the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, as rising rates can pressure dividend stocks.
- The ETF's low expense ratio makes it an efficient vehicle for capturing high dividend yield exposure over the long term.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with VYM? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 60.00B |
|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.0600% |
| Yield | 2.33% |
| Day High | $157.87 |
| Day Low | $156.63 |
| 52 Week High | 167.61 |
| 52 Week Low | 137.42 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 23.22 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.64 |
| SMA 50 | 162.95 |
| SMA 200 | 155.44 |
VYM Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in VYM in September 2016 would be worth about $21,937 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VYM today could grow to about $20,996 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $40,794 and a bear case around $10,806. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
VYM ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $212 for VYM by 2030 in the base case, from $158 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $139. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VYM's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $138 | $170 | $210 |
| 2028 | $136 | $183 | $246 |
| 2029 | $137 | $197 | $283 |
| 2030 | $139 | $212 | $323 |
| 2031 | $143 | $228 | $365 |
| 2032 | $147 | $246 | $412 |
| 2033 | $152 | $265 | $462 |
| 2034 | $158 | $285 | $517 |
| 2035 | $164 | $307 | $577 |
| 2036 | $170 | $331 | $643 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VYM's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.