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As of September 27, 2026, State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) trades at $771.35. RSI at 51 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $761.57.

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust NYSE

$771.35 4.170 (0.54%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
Hold
50 / 100
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) offers broad exposure to the U.S. large-cap equity market by tracking the S&P 500 Index. The fund holds approximately 500 leading companies across various sectors, with Technology being the largest at 38.69%, followed by Financial Services at 12.06%. Its passive management strategy ensures alignment with the index, making it a core holding for investors seeking market representation. Recent performance shows SPY lagging its category in the 1-year return, but outperforming over longer periods like 3, 5, and 10 years, indicating resilience over time despite short-term underperformance.

SPY Price Analysis

Market Metrics

Open
$768.78
Day Range
$766.29 to $772.28
Prev Close
$767.18
Volume
36.63M
52-Week Range
$629.28 to $779.37
Market Cap
$656.00B

SPY Fund Facts

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide broad exposure to large-cap U.S. equities by tracking the S&P 500 Index. It holds a diversified portfolio of approximately 500 leading companies across major sectors, including technology, financials, healthcare, consumer, and industrials, making it a widely used vehicle for gaining access to the overall U.S. equity market.

Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Large Blend
Inception
Jan 22, 1993
Expense ratio
0.10%
Net assets
$811.94B
NAV
$762.19
Distribution yield
0.98%
YTD return
13.07%
Turnover
3.00%

Sector weights

Energy 3.5%
Utilities 2.0%
Healthcare 9.3%
Realestate 1.8%
Technology 38.7%
Industrials 7.8%

Trailing returns vs category

Period SPY Category
YTD 13.07% 5.14%
1 month 2.71% 9.43%
3 months 1.66% 3.42%
1 year 20.26% 27.72%
3 years 20.91% 19.34%
5 years 12.69% 11.20%
10 years 15.27% 13.77%

Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

SPY Analysis

AI Technical Analysis Hold
SPY is currently trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating an overall uptrend. The 20-day EMA is at 765.83, the 50-day SMA is at 761.57, and the 200-day SMA is at 718.45. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.95, which is neutral, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD is slightly positive at 1.58, indicating some underlying bullish momentum, but the overall picture is one of consolidation around these key technical levels.
ProTips
  • Consider SPY as a core holding for broad U.S. equity market exposure due to its diversification and low expense ratio.
  • Monitor the performance of the Technology sector, as it significantly influences SPY's overall returns.
  • Compare SPY's trailing returns against its category to understand its long-term performance relative to similar funds.
Market Outlook
The outlook for SPY remains largely tied to the performance of the broader U.S. equity market and the S&P 500 Index. Given its neutral technical momentum, the ETF may experience a period of sideways trading or a gradual upward trend if the market continues to advance. The significant weighting in technology presents both an opportunity for growth and a risk if the sector faces headwinds. Over the next 6-12 months, SPY is expected to track the market's overall direction, with potential for modest gains if economic conditions remain stable and corporate earnings continue to grow. Key resistance levels will be closely watched for potential breakouts.

Market Correlations

How this etf moves relative to other assets

Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.95
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.49
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU) +0.14
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation

How does any other asset move with SPY? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.

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Key Statistics

Net Assets (Market Cap) 656.00B
Expense Ratio 0.0945%
Yield 0.98%
Day High $772.28
Day Low $766.29
52 Week High 779.37
52 Week Low 629.28
As a passively managed ETF tracking the S&P 500, SPY's fundamental health is tied to the performance of the underlying U.S. large-cap equity market. The sector allocation is heavily weighted towards Technology (38.69%), which can drive performance but also introduces concentration risk. Financial Services (12.06%) and Communication Services (9.50%) are the next largest exposures. The fund's expense ratio is a low 0.095%, costing approximately $9.50 per $10,000 invested annually. With net assets of over $811 billion, SPY is a highly liquid and stable vehicle.

Earnings & Growth Analysis

SPY's earnings analysis is derived from the aggregate performance of its underlying holdings in the S&P 500. The broad sector exposure suggests that trends in Technology, Financial Services, and Healthcare will significantly influence the fund's overall performance. The sector's overall health, reflected in the collective earnings growth of these large-cap companies, is a key driver for SPY's returns.

Key Risks

The primary risk for SPY lies in its significant concentration within the Technology sector, which accounts for over a third of its assets. A downturn in technology stocks could disproportionately impact the ETF's performance. Additionally, broad market downturns or significant sector rotations away from large-cap growth stocks could lead to underperformance relative to its category, as seen in the 1-year trailing returns.

Technical Indicators i

RSI (14) 50.95
MACD 1.58
SMA 50 761.57
SMA 200 718.45
Technical Rating Bullish
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($761.57) above the 200-day SMA ($718.45), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.

SPY Trade Plans

Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 2% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$763.64
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$771.35
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk Management

STOP LOSS
$740.73
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (51.0) and current market volatility

Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

TARGET 1
$786.55
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$801.82
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$824.73
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of SPY is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 27, 2026.

Growth of $10,000

A $10,000 investment in SPY in September 2016 would be worth about $35,782 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.

Compare with Another Ticker

Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SPY today could grow to about $26,640 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $55,366 and a bear case around $12,818. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

SPY ETF Price Prediction: 2030

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,141 for SPY by 2030 in the base case, from $771 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $719. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SPY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

SPY simulated price paths by year
Year Downside (10th pct) Base case Upside (90th pct)
2027 $675 $851 $1,072
2028 $677 $938 $1,301
2029 $693 $1,035 $1,545
2030 $719 $1,141 $1,813
2031 $751 $1,259 $2,112
2032 $788 $1,389 $2,447
2033 $830 $1,532 $2,824
2034 $878 $1,689 $3,250
2035 $931 $1,863 $3,729
2036 $989 $2,055 $4,271

Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SPY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)?
The expense ratio for SPY is 0.095%, which translates to approximately $9.50 per $10,000 invested annually. This low cost is a key feature for investors seeking broad market exposure.
What sectors does the SPY ETF hold and how concentrated is it?
SPY holds a diversified portfolio of approximately 500 large-cap U.S. companies. The largest sector exposure is Technology at 38.69%, followed by Financial Services at 12.06% and Communication Services at 9.50%. This indicates a significant concentration in technology.
How has SPY performed against its category over different timeframes?
SPY's trailing returns show it has underperformed its category over the past year (20.26% vs 27.72%). However, over longer periods, SPY has outperformed its category, with 3-year returns of 20.91% vs 19.34%, 5-year returns of 12.69% vs 11.20%, and 10-year returns of 15.27% vs 13.77%.
What is the price prediction for SPY ETF in 2030?
Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the base case price projection for SPY in 2030 is $1141.46. The downside projection is $718.66, and the upside projection is $1813.02. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What are the key technical indicators for SPY?
SPY's RSI is neutral at 50.95, indicating a lack of strong momentum. It is trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, suggesting an overall uptrend but with current consolidation.
What is the dividend yield of the SPY ETF?
The SPY ETF has a dividend yield of approximately 0.98%.
What is the overall health score of SPY?
SPY has a health score of 5, indicating a generally healthy ETF, likely due to its broad diversification, low costs, and strong long-term performance trends.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for SPY are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on September 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

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