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As of October 10, 2026, State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) trades at $778.57. RSI at 56 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $767.57.
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust NYSE
$778.57
4.640 (0.60%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) offers broad exposure to the U.S. large-cap equity market by tracking the S&P 500 Index. The fund holds approximately 500 leading companies across key sectors, including Technology (38.69%), Financial Services (12.06%), and Communication Services (9.50%), reflecting a market-cap-weighted structure. SPY is a core holding for investors seeking diversified access to major U.S. corporations and is known for its significant liquidity and market representation. Its passive management ensures alignment with the index, making it a benchmark for overall U.S. equity market performance.
SPY Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$776.24
Day Range
$775.14 to $779.42
Prev Close
$773.93
Volume
22.60M
52-Week Range
$629.28 to $781.62
Market Cap
$656.00B
SPY Fund Facts
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is an exchange-traded fund designed to provide broad exposure to large-cap U.S. equities by tracking the S&P 500 Index. It holds a diversified portfolio of approximately 500 leading companies across major sectors, including technology, financials, healthcare, consumer, and industrials, making it a widely used vehicle for gaining access to the overall U.S. equity market.
Issuer
State Street Investment Management
Category
Large Blend
Inception
Jan 22, 1993
Expense ratio
0.10%
Net assets
$811.94B
NAV
$762.19
Distribution yield
0.98%
YTD return
13.07%
Turnover
3.00%
Sector weights
Energy
3.5%
Utilities
2.0%
Healthcare
9.3%
Realestate
1.8%
Technology
38.7%
Industrials
7.8%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | SPY | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 13.07% | 5.14% |
| 1 month | 2.71% | 9.43% |
| 3 months | 1.66% | 3.42% |
| 1 year | 20.26% | 27.72% |
| 3 years | 20.91% | 19.34% |
| 5 years | 12.69% | 11.20% |
| 10 years | 15.27% | 13.77% |
Fund reference data as of Oct 10, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
SPY Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
SPY ETF is trading above its 50-day SMA of $767.57 and its 200-day SMA of $722.93, indicating an overall uptrend. The price is also above its 20-day EMA of $770.03, suggesting short-term positive momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 55.58, which is in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD is positive at 3.24, further supporting a neutral to slightly bullish technical outlook.
ProTips
- Consider SPY as a core holding for broad U.S. equity market exposure.
- Monitor sector performance, particularly Technology, as it significantly influences SPY's returns.
- Utilize SPY for strategic asset allocation and benchmark tracking due to its significant liquidity and market representation.
- Be aware of the potential for sector-specific risks impacting the overall fund performance.
- The low expense ratio makes SPY a cost-effective choice for long-term investment.
Market Outlook
The outlook for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) remains cautiously optimistic, supported by its strong long-term performance and the broad diversification across U.S. large-cap equities. The neutral technical indicators suggest a period of consolidation or continued steady performance rather than a sharp move in either direction in the short term. The fund's heavy weighting in Technology and Financial Services positions it to benefit from continued economic growth and innovation in these key sectors.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.95
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.41
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.16
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with SPY? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 656.00B |
|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.0945% |
| Yield | 0.97% |
| Day High | $779.42 |
| Day Low | $775.14 |
| 52 Week High | 781.62 |
| 52 Week Low | 629.28 |
The State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is built upon the S&P 500 Index, representing the performance of 500 of the largest U.S. publicly traded companies. The fund's sector allocation is heavily weighted towards Technology (38.69%), followed by Financial Services (12.06%) and Communication Services (9.50%), indicating a concentration in these growth-oriented sectors. The fund's expense ratio is a low 0.095%, costing $9.50 per $10,000 invested, and it holds substantial net assets of $811.94 billion. This broad diversification across sectors and companies within the U.S. equity market provides a stable foundation for investors.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
As SPY tracks the S&P 500 Index, its earnings performance is a reflection of the aggregate earnings of its approximately 500 constituent companies. The sector concentration, particularly in Technology, suggests that the fund's earnings trends are significantly influenced by the performance of major tech giants. The overall health of the U.S. large-cap corporate earnings environment, as represented by the S&P 500, is a key driver of SPY's performance.
Key Risks
The primary risk for SPY is sector concentration, with a significant portion of assets in Technology, making it susceptible to downturns in that specific sector. While the fund is broadly diversified across 500 companies, a systemic shock to the U.S. equity market or a significant economic recession could negatively impact its performance. Additionally, shifts in investor sentiment or macroeconomic headwinds could lead to sector rotation away from the fund's core holdings.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 55.58 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 3.24 |
| SMA 50 | 767.57 |
| SMA 200 | 722.93 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($767.57) above the 200-day SMA ($722.93), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
SPY Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$763.00
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$778.57
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$740.11
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (55.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$801.15
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$839.30
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$877.45
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of SPY is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on October 10, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in SPY in October 2016 would be worth about $36,018 today, compared with about $36,018 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in SPY today could grow to about $26,713 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $55,511 and a bear case around $12,855. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
SPY ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $1,153 for SPY by 2030 in the base case, from $779 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $726. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on SPY's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $682 | $859 | $1,082 |
| 2028 | $683 | $948 | $1,314 |
| 2029 | $700 | $1,045 | $1,561 |
| 2030 | $726 | $1,153 | $1,832 |
| 2031 | $759 | $1,273 | $2,134 |
| 2032 | $797 | $1,404 | $2,474 |
| 2033 | $840 | $1,549 | $2,856 |
| 2034 | $888 | $1,709 | $3,287 |
| 2035 | $942 | $1,885 | $3,773 |
| 2036 | $1,001 | $2,080 | $4,322 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using SPY's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and what does it cost per $10,000 invested?
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) has an expense ratio of 0.095%. This translates to a cost of $9.50 for every $10,000 invested in the fund.
What sectors does the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hold and how concentrated is its portfolio?
SPY holds approximately 500 large-cap U.S. companies, with the largest sector allocations being Technology (38.69%), Financial Services (12.06%), and Communication Services (9.50%). The fund is broadly diversified across major sectors, reflecting the market-cap-weighted S&P 500 Index.
How has the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) performed against its category over various periods?
SPY has shown strong long-term performance. For instance, over 10 years, it returned 15.27% compared to the category's 13.77%. However, in the last year, the category outperformed SPY, with the category returning 27.72% versus SPY's 20.26%.
What is the current price prediction for the SPY ETF in 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, the base case price projection for SPY in 2030 is $1,153.42. The downside and upside projections are $726.25 and $1,831.85, respectively. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not price targets or guarantees.
What is the dividend yield for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)?
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) has a current dividend yield of approximately 0.98%.
What is the primary investment strategy of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)?
SPY is passively managed to track the S&P 500 Index, providing investors with broad exposure to large-cap U.S. equities. Its strategy focuses on mirroring the performance of approximately 500 leading companies across various sectors in a market-cap-weighted structure.
How does the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) compare to its benchmark index?
SPY is designed to track the S&P 500 Index, so its performance is intended to closely mirror that of the index. The fund's trailing returns show it generally aligns with its benchmark, though minor deviations can occur due to tracking differences and expenses.