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01

The short version

Where VNQ stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

VNQ at a glance

Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ): Hold, 55/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($94.27 and $94.44).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.13%, $66.4B in net assets, +1.7% total return over 1 year.

Figures as of October 16, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) is trading at $91.76, below its 50-day SMA of $94.27 and 200-day SMA of $94.44, indicating a neutral to bearish trend.

The fund's 14-day RSI is 49.56, suggesting neutral momentum. VNQ is designed to track the MSCI US Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index, offering diversified exposure to U.S. property-related companies. Its asset allocation is heavily weighted towards stocks (99.07%) with a small cash position (0.69%).

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from VNQ's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $91.76 is 2.7% below the 50-day simple moving average of $94.27.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 2.8% below the 200-day simple moving average of $94.44.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($94.27) is 0.2% below the 200-day average ($94.44), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 33% of its 52-week range, between $86.84 and $101.80.

VNQ share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far VNQ has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $90.58 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $91.76 Oct 16, 2026
High $100.95 Jul 28, 2026
Low $87.00 Mar 27, 2026

Today's trading

Where VNQ sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 1.29% wide
$91.76
$91.28 $92.46
52-week range 33% of the way up
$91.76
$86.84 $101.80
Open
$91.92
Previous close
$91.44
Volume
459.06K
89% below average
03

Fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

4/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.13% a year, $13.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $66.4B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Realestate, makes up 99.4% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 3.80%.
  • Positive return over one year ›
    The fund family reports a one-year total return of 1.68%.

VNQ Fund Facts

Vanguard Real Estate ETF is a real estate sector exchange-traded fund that provides diversified exposure to U.S. property-related companies. It is designed to track the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index, giving investors access to a broad mix of real estate investment trusts and real estate operating businesses across property types such as industrial, residential, retail, health care, self-storage, data centers, and communications infrastructure.

Issuer
Vanguard
Category
Real Estate
Inception
Dec 2, 2003
Expense ratio
0.13%
Net assets
$66.42B
NAV
$90.66
Distribution yield
3.80%
YTD return
4.19%
Turnover
7.00%

Sector weights

Realestate 99.4%

Trailing total returns

Period VNQ
YTD 4.19%
1 month -6.25%
3 months -6.25%
1 year 1.68%
3 years 10.04%
5 years 1.34%
10 years 4.39%

As of Oct 16, 2026, VNQ has an expense ratio of 0.13%, $66.42B in net assets and a distribution yield of 3.80%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 16, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

Key statistics

The headline figures for VNQ.

Net Assets
66.42B
Expense Ratio
0.13%
Yield
3.80%
Day High
$92.46
Day Low
$91.28
52 Week High
101.80
52 Week Low
86.84

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of VNQ's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) holds 99.41% in Real Estate, as per its sector allocation.

The fund's strategy is to track the MSCI US Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index, providing exposure to a broad mix of real estate investment trusts and real estate operating businesses. With net assets of $66.42 billion and an expense ratio of 0.13%, VNQ is a significant player in the real estate ETF space. The fund's overview highlights its role as a core tool for investors seeking liquid, index-based exposure to the U.S. real estate market.

Performance
The performance of its underlying holdings, which are primarily Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), dictates the fund's returns. The real estate sector's aggregate earnings trends, influenced by factors such as interest rates and property demand, will directly impact VNQ's performance. Investors should monitor the earnings reports of major REITs within the MSCI US Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index to gauge the sector's health.
Key risks
VNQ's primary risk stems from its sector concentration in Real Estate, making it susceptible to downturns in the property market. Rising interest rates, a common headwind for REITs, could negatively impact property valuations and increase borrowing costs for real estate companies. Additionally, the fund's performance is tied to the specific companies within the MSCI US Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index, introducing concentration risk if a few large holdings underperform.
04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 49.6, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 49.6 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of VNQ

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
55/100
Hold
What the AI sees

VNQ is currently trading below its 50-day SMA ($94.27) and 200-day SMA ($94.44), suggesting a bearish trend in the medium to long term.

However, the price is above its 20-day EMA ($91.28), indicating some short-term support. The 14-day RSI is at 49.56, which is in the neutral territory, not signaling overbought or oversold conditions. The Stochastic indicator is at 84.00, suggesting it is approaching overbought levels. The CCI is at 136.17, indicating bullish momentum.

ProTips
  1. Monitor the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index for sector-specific trends.
Market outlook
The outlook for VNQ is neutral to slightly bearish in the short to medium term, given its current trading position below key moving averages. The neutral RSI suggests a lack of strong momentum in either direction. However, the real estate sector is sensitive to interest rate changes, which could present headwinds. If interest rates stabilize or begin to decline, it could provide a tailwind for VNQ. Conversely, continued rate hikes or a significant economic slowdown could pressure the fund's performance.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for VNQ, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Neutral
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Neutral
49.614-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -0.901 Bearish
Trend No clear cross
-2.7%price against the 50-day average
200-day $94.44 50-day $94.27 Price $91.76
Price against the 200-day -2.8% Bearish

As of October 16, 2026, with VNQ at $91.76, its 14-day RSI is 49.6 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $94.27 and its 200-day is $94.44.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What VNQ moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.50 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.32 Weak
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.17 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.15 Weak

As of October 16, 2026, VNQ's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.50 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.32 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.17 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.15 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

VNQ trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Entry Strategies pick an entry style

Conservative
$90.84
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$91.76
At current price
Enter now if confident

Risk management

Stop loss
$88.12
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (49.6) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$93.57
+3% (Conservative) +2.0% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$95.38
+5% (Conservative) +3.9% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$98.11
+8% (Conservative) +6.9% (Aggressive)

These levels come from VNQ's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much VNQ tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
0.83%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$91.76
$86.84 33% of the way up $101.80

Compare VNQ

Put VNQ side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

The long record

VNQ's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 0.83% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 36.2%, from February 2020 to March 2020, regained by April 2021.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    62% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $16,285, against $42,525 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

VNQ Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-36.2%
February 2020 to March 2020
Recovery
13 months
back at the old peak by April 2021
From the 10-year high
-9.1%
highest close, July 2026
1-year holds that gained
62%
of every 1-year window

As of October 16, 2026, VNQ's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -36.2% (February 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by April 2021, 13 months after the low, and 62% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into VNQ in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

VNQ today
$16,285
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,525
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$26,240
0.4x the index result
Total change
+63%
1.6x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
VNQ S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: VNQ trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $16,285 against $42,525.

A $10,000 investment in VNQ in October 2016 would be worth about $16,285 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,525 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to VNQ, and which have not.

Jan7/10 upFeb5/10 upMar4/10 upApr7/10 upMay7/10 upJun9/10 upJul10/10 upAug6/10 upSep3/10 upOct3/9 upNov7/10 upDec4/10 up

Strongest month, November: an average of +3.42%, up in 7 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -3.33%, up in 4 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged -0.43%, up in 3 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, VNQ's strongest calendar month has been November (average +3.42%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -3.33%, up in 4 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in VNQ, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$6,128
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$14,308
median path
Upside, 2036
$33,411
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VNQ today could grow to about $14,308 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $33,411 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,128. The simulation models price only; at today's 3.80% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

VNQ 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$91.76
Base case, 2030
$106
1.2x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$61.94 to $181
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $106 for VNQ by 2030 in the base case, from $91.76 today (1.2x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $61.94. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VNQ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

VNQ simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $72.74 $95.11 $124
2028 $67.46 $98.58 $144
2029 $64.21 $102 $163
2030 $61.94 $106 $181
2031 $60.26 $110 $200

Method: a lognormal simulation of VNQ's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ)?
The Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) has an expense ratio of 0.13%. This translates to a cost of $13.00 per $10,000 invested annually.
What sectors does VNQ concentrate its holdings in?
VNQ is heavily concentrated in the Real Estate sector, holding 99.41% of its assets in this category. Its overview indicates exposure to various property types including industrial, residential, retail, health care, self-storage, data centers, and communications infrastructure.
What is the dividend yield for VNQ?
The Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) currently has a dividend yield of 3.80%.
What are the key technical indicators for VNQ?
VNQ's key technical indicators include a 14-day RSI of 49.6 (neutral), a 50-day SMA of $94.27 (price is below), and a 200-day SMA of $94.44 (price is below).
What is the net asset value and net assets of VNQ?
The net asset value (NAV) per share for VNQ is $90.66, and the total net assets of the fund are $66.42 billion.
What is VNQ's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -36.2%, from February 2020 to March 2020 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by April 2021, 13 months after the low. Over the same period, 62% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are VNQ's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, November has been VNQ's strongest month on average (+3.42%, rising in 7 of 10 years) and March its weakest (-3.33%, rising in 4 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does VNQ move with the stock market?
Over the past year VNQ's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.50). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.32; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.17; Gold (XAU): +0.15. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in VNQ be worth today?
$10,000 put into VNQ in October 2016 would be worth about $16,285 today with dividends reinvested, against about $42,525 for the same amount in the S&P 500 on the same basis.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for VNQ in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from VNQ's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $105.90, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $61.94 and $181.06. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for VNQ are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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