As of September 27, 2026, Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) trades at $90.99. RSI at 22 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $97.07.
Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ)
Vanguard Real Estate ETF NYSE
VNQ Price Analysis
Market Metrics
VNQ Fund Facts
Vanguard Real Estate ETF is a real estate sector exchange-traded fund that provides diversified exposure to U.S. property-related companies. It is designed to track the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index, giving investors access to a broad mix of real estate investment trusts and real estate operating businesses across property types such as industrial, residential, retail, health care, self-storage, data centers, and communications infrastructure.
Sector weights
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | VNQ | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 11.13% | 11.54% |
| 1 month | -2.48% | 9.00% |
| 3 months | 1.68% | 8.50% |
| 1 year | 8.63% | 14.73% |
| 3 years | 9.61% | 9.62% |
| 5 years | 1.47% | 3.81% |
| 10 years | 4.87% | 5.85% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
VNQ Analysis
- Consider the significantly oversold RSI (21.58) as a potential indicator for a short-term bounce, but do not rely on it for a sustained trend change.
- Monitor the 200-day SMA at $94.35 as a key resistance level; a sustained break above this could signal a shift in momentum.
- Evaluate the broader macroeconomic environment for real estate, including interest rate trends and economic growth forecasts, as these will significantly impact sector performance.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
How does any other asset move with VNQ? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 35.09B |
|---|---|
| Yield | 3.74% |
| Day High | $91.55 |
| Day Low | $90.46 |
| 52 Week High | 101.80 |
| 52 Week Low | 86.84 |
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Key Risks
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 21.58 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.56 |
| SMA 50 | 97.07 |
| SMA 200 | 94.35 |
VNQ Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Short entry pick an entry style
Risk Management
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in VNQ in September 2016 would be worth about $10,363 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VNQ today could grow to about $13,946 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $32,585 and a bear case around $5,969. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
VNQ ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $104 for VNQ by 2030 in the base case, from $90.99 today (1.1x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $60.77. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VNQ's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $71.93 | $94.07 | $123 |
| 2028 | $66.54 | $97.25 | $142 |
| 2029 | $63.16 | $101 | $160 |
| 2030 | $60.77 | $104 | $178 |
| 2031 | $58.97 | $107 | $196 |
| 2032 | $57.57 | $111 | $214 |
| 2033 | $56.46 | $115 | $234 |
| 2034 | $55.58 | $119 | $254 |
| 2035 | $54.87 | $123 | $275 |
| 2036 | $54.31 | $127 | $296 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VNQ's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.