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01

The short version

Where NLR stands today, in four lines, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

NLR at a glance

VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR): Sell, 25/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Down: the price is below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($111.67 and $127.82).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.52%, $3.5B in net assets, -21.7% total return over 1 year.

Figures as of October 16, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

The VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR) is currently navigating a challenging price trend, trading below its 20-day exponential moving average (102.92), 50-day simple moving average (111.67), and 200-day simple moving average (127.82).

The fund's year-to-date return stands at -16.40%, reflecting a difficult period for the uranium and nuclear energy sector. Its sector allocation is concentrated in Energy (46.58%), Utilities (33.46%), and Industrials (18.62%), indicating a focus on companies integral to the nuclear value chain. Despite a recent monthly decline of -12.80%, longer-term returns show resilience, with 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year returns at 16.37%, 17.06%, and 10.91% respectively.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from NLR's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

Price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

0/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $93.69 is 16.1% below the 50-day simple moving average of $111.67.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 26.7% below the 200-day simple moving average of $127.82.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($111.67) is 12.6% below the 200-day average ($127.82), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 2% of its 52-week range, between $91.88 and $165.21.

NLR share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far NLR has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $157.47 Oct 16, 2025
Latest close $93.69 Oct 16, 2026
High $164.37 Jan 28, 2026
Low $93.69 Oct 16, 2026

Today's trading

Where NLR sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 3.51% wide
$93.69
$93.69 $96.97
52-week range 2% of the way up
$93.69
$91.88 $165.21
Open
$96.44
Previous close
$96.46
Volume
7.47K
98% below average
03

Fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

2/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.52% a year, $52.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $3.5B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Energy, makes up 46.6% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 3.06%.
  • Positive return over one year ›
    The fund family reports a one-year total return of -21.71%.

NLR Fund Facts

VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF is a thematic exchange-traded fund that provides diversified exposure to companies involved in the global uranium and nuclear energy value chain. It seeks to track the MVIS Global Uranium & Nuclear Energy Index, which includes businesses engaged in uranium mining, nuclear reactor construction and maintenance, electricity generation from nuclear sources, and the supply of equipment, technology, and related services to the nuclear industry.

Issuer
VanEck
Category
Natural Resources
Inception
Aug 13, 2007
Expense ratio
0.52%
Net assets
$3.55B
Distribution yield
3.06%
YTD return
-16.40%
Turnover
42.00%

Sector weights

Energy 46.6%
Utilities 33.5%
Industrials 18.6%
Technology 1.3%

Trailing total returns

Period NLR
YTD -16.40%
1 month -12.80%
3 months -10.80%
1 year -21.71%
3 years 16.37%
5 years 17.06%
10 years 10.91%

As of Oct 16, 2026, NLR has an expense ratio of 0.52%, $3.55B in net assets and a distribution yield of 3.06%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 16, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.

Key statistics

The headline figures for NLR.

Net Assets
3.55B
Expense Ratio
0.52%
Yield
3.06%
Day High
$96.97
Day Low
$93.69
52 Week High
165.21
52 Week Low
91.88

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of NLR's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

The VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR) holds assets totaling $3,546,939,392, with an expense ratio of 0.52%, costing $52.00 per $10,000 invested.

The fund's strategy focuses on companies across the uranium and nuclear energy value chain, including miners, reactor builders, and power generators. Its sector breakdown shows a significant weighting towards Energy (46.58%) and Utilities (33.46%), highlighting its exposure to essential infrastructure and energy production. The fund's turnover rate is 42.00%, suggesting a moderate rebalancing of its holdings.

Performance
Its underlying holdings in the Energy and Utilities sectors are critical to global power generation. The sector's performance is intrinsically linked to the demand for nuclear power and the price of uranium. Companies involved in uranium mining and nuclear reactor construction are subject to regulatory environments and long-term capital investment cycles. The current negative YTD return of -16.40% suggests that aggregate earnings expectations or realized performance within these sub-sectors have been under pressure.
Key risks
The primary risk for NLR is its concentration in the uranium and nuclear energy sector, making it susceptible to sector-specific downturns, regulatory changes, and shifts in global energy policy. The fund's current trading below key moving averages and its bearish RSI status indicate significant negative momentum, posing a risk of further price declines. Additionally, geopolitical events impacting uranium supply or demand could disproportionately affect the fund's performance.
04

AI analysis and technicals

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

1/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 31.8, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 31.8 is below the 50 midpoint, so sellers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is negative, so the 12-day average is below the 26-day average.

CleaRank AI analysis of NLR

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
25/100
Sell
What the AI sees
NLR is currently trading below its key moving averages, with its price at 93.685 significantly below the 20-day EMA (102.92), 50-day SMA (111.67), and 200-day SMA (127.82). This indicates a bearish short-term trend. The 14-day RSI is at 31.76, which is classified as bearish momentum. The Stochastic indicator at 9.24 also suggests oversold conditions, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -141.79 further supports the view of a significantly oversold market, potentially signaling a near-term bounce but within a broader downtrend.
ProTips
  1. Consider the high expense ratio of 0.52% when evaluating long-term investment potential.
Market outlook
The outlook for the VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR) is currently bearish, given its trading below key moving averages and bearish momentum indicators. The price is significantly below the 50-day SMA (111.67) and 200-day SMA (127.82), suggesting continued downward pressure in the short to medium term. A potential catalyst for a reversal would be a sustained improvement in uranium prices or positive regulatory developments favoring nuclear energy expansion.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for NLR, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bearish 0 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Bearish
  • SMA cross Bearish
  • Price vs SMA Bearish
  • MACD Bearish
Momentum Bearish
31.814-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) -4.27 Bearish
Trend Death cross
-16.1%price against the 50-day average
200-day $127.82 50-day $111.67 Price $93.69
Price against the 200-day -26.7% Bearish

As of October 16, 2026, with NLR at $93.69, its 14-day RSI is 31.8 (showing bearish momentum without being oversold), its 50-day simple moving average is $111.67 and its 200-day is $127.82.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 16, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26).

What NLR moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.54 Moderate
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.58 Moderate
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.44 Moderate
Gold (XAU) +0.44 Moderate

As of October 16, 2026, NLR's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.54 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.58 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.44 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.44 with gold (XAU).

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05

A trade plan, if you want one

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

NLR trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 2%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Short entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$95.56
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$93.69
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move

Risk management

Stop loss
$100.59
Max loss
-5.3%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (31.8) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$90.78
-5% (Conservative) -3.1% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$86.00
-10% (Conservative) -8.2% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$81.22
-15% (Conservative) -13.3% (Aggressive)

These levels come from NLR's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much NLR tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
2.48%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$93.69
$91.88 2% of the way up $165.21

Compare NLR

Put NLR side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

The long record

NLR's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

1/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 2.48% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 38.3%, from October 2025 to October 2026; the price is still 40.0% below that peak.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    81% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $26,873, against $42,525 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

NLR Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-38.3%
October 2025 to October 2026
Recovery
Not yet
still 40.0% below the October 2025 peak
From the 10-year high
-43.0%
highest close, January 2026
1-year holds that gained
81%
of every 1-year window

As of October 16, 2026, NLR's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -38.3% (October 2025 to October 2026); it is still 40.0% below that peak, and 81% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into NLR in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

NLR today
$26,873
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,525
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$15,652
0.6x the index result
Total change
+169%
2.7x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
NLR S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: NLR trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $26,873 against $42,525.

A $10,000 investment in NLR in October 2016 would be worth about $26,873 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,525 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to NLR, and which have not.

Jan8/10 upFeb4/10 upMar5/10 upApr7/10 upMay5/10 upJun4/10 upJul5/10 upAug6/10 upSep5/10 upOct6/9 upNov3/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, January: an average of +3.62%, up in 8 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -1.70%, up in 5 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +3.53%, up in 6 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, NLR's strongest calendar month has been January (average +3.62%, up in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -1.70%, up in 5 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

Long-term scenarios

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in NLR, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2036
$6,866
10th percentile
Base case, 2036
$19,238
median path
Upside, 2036
$53,903
90th percentile
202620282030203220342036
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in NLR today could grow to about $19,238 by 2036 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $53,903 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $6,866. The simulation models price only; at today's 3.06% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

NLR 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in share prices, year by year.

Price today
$93.69
Base case, 2030
$122
1.3x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$63.44 to $234
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $122 for NLR by 2030 in the base case, from $93.69 today (1.3x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $63.44. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on NLR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

NLR simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $72.21 $100 $139
2028 $67.36 $107 $169
2029 $64.84 $114 $200
2030 $63.44 $122 $234
2031 $62.71 $130 $269

Method: a lognormal simulation of NLR's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles.

08

Questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 16, 2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expense ratio for the VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR)?
The VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR) has an expense ratio of 0.52%, which translates to a cost of $52.00 per $10,000 invested annually.
What sectors does the VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR) primarily invest in?
NLR is concentrated in the Energy sector, accounting for 46.58% of its holdings, followed by Utilities at 33.46% and Industrials at 18.62%.
What is the turnover rate for the VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR)?
The turnover rate for the VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR) is 42.00%, indicating a moderate frequency of portfolio adjustments.
Does NLR pay a distribution?
Yes. As of October 16, 2026, NLR's distribution yield is 3.06% at the current price of $93.69. Yields move with the share price and with changes to the payout.
Is NLR in an uptrend?
No. VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR) trades at $93.69, below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($111.67 and $127.82). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 31.8, showing bearish momentum without being oversold.
What is NLR's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF (NLR)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -38.3%, from October 2025 to October 2026 (with dividends reinvested). It has not regained that peak yet and is still 40.0% below it. Over the same period, 81% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
What are NLR's best and worst months?
Over the last 10 years, January has been NLR's strongest month on average (+3.62%, rising in 8 of 10 years) and March its weakest (-1.70%, rising in 5 of 10 years). Seasonal averages describe the past and do not predict a given year.
How closely does NLR move with the stock market?
Over the past year NLR's daily returns were moderately correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) (+0.54). Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): +0.58; Bitcoin (BTC): +0.44; Gold (XAU): +0.44. A figure near +1 means the two usually move together; near 0 means little relationship.
What would $10,000 invested in NLR be worth today?
$10,000 put into NLR in October 2016 would be worth about $26,873 today with dividends reinvested, against about $42,525 for the same amount in the S&P 500 on the same basis.
What does CleaRank's simulation show for NLR in 2030?
CleaRank's Monte Carlo simulation, built from NLR's own historical volatility, puts the 2030 base case near $121.71, with 10th and 90th percentile outcomes of $63.44 and $233.52. It is a range of simulated outcomes, not a price target.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for NLR are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 17, 2026.

Disclaimer:

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