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01

RSP ETF forecast today

Where RSP stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

RSP at a glance

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP): Buy, 78/100 on CleaRank's AI score.

  • Trend Up: the price is above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($215.24 and $207.38).
  • Fund Expense ratio 0.20%, $96.1B in net assets, price up 13.6% over 1 year.

Figures as of October 26, 2026.

CleaRank Financial AI

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) carries a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 78/100.

Trend is the factor that lifts that score most. The price is 4.78% above the 200-day average and 0.95% above the 50-day, and the 50-day sits 3.79% above the 200-day. Those averages are $215.24 and $207.38. The price rose 13.61% over the past year.

Only on CleaRank

Figures we compute ourselves from RSP's own price history. Tap one to see it in context.

02

RSP ETF price and trading

The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.

2.0

Trend checks

4/4
  • Price above its 50-day average ›
    The price of $217.29 is 1.0% above the 50-day simple moving average of $215.24.
  • Price above its 200-day average ›
    The price is 4.8% above the 200-day simple moving average of $207.38.
  • 50-day average above the 200-day ›
    The 50-day average ($215.24) is 3.8% above the 200-day average ($207.38), the arrangement of a rising longer-term trend.
  • In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
    The price sits at 85% of its 52-week range, between $182.11 and $223.44.

RSP share price

Pick a period: each tab shows how far RSP has moved over it, to the last close.

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
Start $191.26 Oct 24, 2025
Latest close $217.29 Oct 26, 2026
High $222.77 Aug 14, 2026
Low $182.18 Nov 20, 2025

Today's trading

Where RSP sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.

Day range 0.61% wide
$217.29
$216.82 $218.14
52-week range 85% of the way up
$217.29
$182.11 $223.44
Open
$216.84
Previous close
$216.54
Volume
7.66M
12% below average
03

RSP fund facts and valuation

What the fund holds, what it costs and how it is valued.

3.0

Fund checks

5/5
  • Expense ratio at or below 0.20% ›
    The fund charges 0.20% a year, $20.00 on a $10,000 holding.
  • Over $1B in net assets ›
    Net assets total $96.1B.
  • No sector above 35% of the fund ›
    The largest sector, Technology, makes up 18.0% of the fund.
  • Pays a distribution ›
    The distribution yield is 1.53%.
  • Price up over one year ›
    The price rose 13.61% over the past year.

RSP Fund Facts

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index, giving each company in the S&P 500 a similar portfolio weight rather than emphasizing the largest firms. The fund uses a passive investment approach and typically invests at least 90% of its assets in the securities that make up the index.

Issuer
Invesco
Category
Large Blend
Inception
Apr 24, 2003
Expense ratio
0.20%
Net assets
$96.06B
Distribution yield
1.53%
YTD total return (fund family)
9.86%
Turnover
27.00%

Sector weights

Technology 18.0%
Industrials 15.2%
Financial Services 13.5%
Healthcare 12.6%
Consumer Cyclical 10.7%
Consumer Defensive 6.3%
Other 23.6%

Total returns, as the fund family reports them

Period RSP
YTD 9.86%
1 month -4.83%
3 months -1.93%
1 year 11.33%
3 years 15.49%
5 years 8.57%
10 years 11.43%

As of Oct 27, 2026, RSP has an expense ratio of 0.20%, $96.06B in net assets and a distribution yield of 1.53%.

Fund reference data as of Oct 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund. The trailing returns are the fund family's own month-end total returns, with distributions included, so they can differ from the price changes elsewhere on this page.

Key statistics

The headline figures for RSP.

Net Assets
96.06B
Expense Ratio
0.20%
Yield
1.53%
Day High
$218.14
Day Low
$216.82
52 Week High
223.44
52 Week Low
182.11

What the numbers say

CleaRank Financial AI's reading of RSP's holdings, performance and risks.

The fund

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) is anchored by Technology, which makes up 18.0% of the fund. Industrials follows at 15.2%, and Financial Services at 13.5%. RSP is a Large Blend fund run by Invesco, and it launched on April 24, 2003.

The expense ratio is 0.20%, which comes to $20.00 a year on a $10,000 holding. Net assets total $96.1B. The distribution yield is 1.53%. Portfolio turnover runs at 27%.

Key risks

RSP's price typically moves 0.60% in a day, based on the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.

04

RSP AI analysis and technical indicators

CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.

4.0

Momentum checks

3/3
  • RSI not overbought or oversold ›
    The 14-day RSI is 59.7, in neutral territory.
  • RSI above 50 ›
    An RSI of 59.7 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.
  • MACD line above zero ›
    The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.

CleaRank Financial AI analysis of RSP

The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.

AI analyst consensus
78/100
Buy
What the AI sees

RSP's price of $217.29 sits above both of its moving averages, a pattern that matches an uptrend. The price is 0.95% above the 50-day average of $215.24 and 4.78% above the 200-day average of $207.38. Sitting at 85% of its 52-week range, the price is 2.75% below the 52-week high of $223.44.

The recent returns all show a gain, with the price up 0.98% over the past three months, 7.68% over the past six months and 13.61% over the past year. On momentum, the 14-day RSI reads 59.7, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive.

ProTips
  1. Two levels deserve attention: the 52-week high at $223.44, which sits above the price, and the 50-day SMA at $215.24, which sits below it.
  2. The 14-day RSI reads 59.7, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line positive; readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
  3. Costs compound: at 0.20% a year, RSP charges $20.00 on every $10,000 invested.
Market outlook

The trend is up because RSP sits above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($215.24 and $207.38). A slip below the 50-day would be the first sign of weakness, and that average, at $215.24, is the nearest level under the price.

The next level overhead is the 52-week high of $223.44.

Technical indicators

Momentum and trend for RSP, from its daily closes.

Technical rating Bullish 3 of 4 signals bullish
  • RSI Neutral
  • SMA cross Bullish
  • Price vs SMA Bullish
  • MACD Bullish
Momentum Neutral
59.714-day RSI
Oversold <30 Neutral Overbought >70
MACD (12, 26) 0.9 Bullish
Trend Golden cross
+1.0%price against the 50-day average
200-day $207.38 50-day $215.24 Price $217.29
Price against the 200-day +4.8% Bullish

As of October 26, 2026, with RSP at $217.29, its 14-day RSI is 59.7 (neutral territory), its 50-day simple moving average is $215.24 and its 200-day is $207.38.

Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these

What RSP moves with

Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.

-1 0 +1
S&P 500 (SPY) +0.86 Strong
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) +0.71 Strong
Bitcoin (BTC) +0.33 Weak
Gold (XAU) +0.14 Weak

As of October 26, 2026, RSP's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.86 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.71 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.33 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.14 with gold (XAU).

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05

RSP trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets

Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.

RSP trade plan

Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.

Your bias
Risk per trade 1%
Conservative Aggressive
Portfolio value
$
Position size: Enter portfolio size →

Long entry pick an entry style

Conservative
$212.94
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$217.29
Entry at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry

Risk management

Stop loss
$206.56
Max loss
-3.0%
Volatility-adjusted stop Set from the RSI (59.7) and recent volatility.

Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)

Target 1
$223.59
+5% (Conservative) +2.9% (Aggressive)
Target 2
$234.24
+10% (Conservative) +7.8% (Aggressive)
Target 3
$244.89
+15% (Conservative) +12.7% (Aggressive)

These levels come from RSP's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.

Risk profile

How much RSP tends to move, against the market and on its own.

Daily volatility
0.60%
30-day standard deviation
52-week range
$217.29
$182.11 85% of the way up $223.44

Compare RSP

Put RSP side by side with other etfs and benchmarks.

06

RSP price history and drawdowns

RSP's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.

6.0

Track record checks

3/4
  • Average daily move under 2% ›
    The price has moved 0.60% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).
  • Recovered from its worst fall ›
    The worst fall was 32.4%, from January 2020 to March 2020, regained by November 2020.
  • Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
    82% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.
  • Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
    $10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $31,630, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).

RSP Drawdowns & Recovery

Worst fall, last 10 years
-32.4%
January 2020 to March 2020
Recovery
8 months
back at the old peak by November 2020
From the 10-year high
-2.5%
highest close, August 2026
1-year holds that gained
82%
of every 1-year window

As of October 26, 2026, RSP's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -32.4% (January 2020 to March 2020); it regained that peak by November 2020, 8 months after the low, and 82% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.

Growth of $10,000

What $10,000 put into RSP in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.

RSP today
$31,630
from $10,000 in October 2016, dividends reinvested
S&P 500 today
$42,015
the same $10,000 in SPY
Behind the index by
$10,385
0.8x the index result
Total change
+216%
3.2x the starting amount
20182020202220242026
RSP S&P 500 (SPY)

Against the market: RSP trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $31,630 against $42,015.

A $10,000 investment in RSP in October 2016 would be worth about $31,630 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).

Seasonal patterns

Which calendar months have been kind to RSP, and which have not.

Jan6/10 upFeb5/10 upMar4/10 upApr7/10 upMay8/10 upJun8/10 upJul10/10 upAug6/10 upSep5/10 upOct5/9 upNov9/10 upDec7/10 up

Strongest month, November: an average of +4.71%, up in 9 of 10 years.

Weakest month, March: an average of -2.69%, up in 4 of 10 years.

This month, October: has averaged +0.17%, up in 5 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.

Over the last 10 years, RSP's strongest calendar month has been November (average +4.71%, up in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.69%, up in 4 of 10 years).

Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.

07

RSP price prediction 2030

Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Monte Carlo projection

Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in RSP, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.

Downside, 2030
$8,450
10th percentile
Base case, 2030
$13,535
median path
Upside, 2030
$21,677
90th percentile
20262027202820292030
Upside (90th) Base case (median) Downside (10th) 10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in RSP today could grow to about $13,535 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $21,677 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $8,450. The simulation models price only; at today's 1.53% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.

RSP 2030 Scenarios (Monte Carlo)

The same simulation in prices, year by year.

Price today
$217
Base case, 2030
$294
1.4x over 4 years
Range, 2030
$184 to $471
10th to 90th percentile

CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $294 for RSP by 2030 in the base case, from $217 today (1.4x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $184. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RSP's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.

RSP simulated price paths by year
Year 10th percentile Base case 90th percentile range base today
2027 $185 $234 $297
2028 $181 $253 $353
2029 $181 $273 $410
2030 $184 $294 $471

Method: a lognormal simulation of RSP's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works

08

RSP ETF forecast: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.

RSP Forecast: Frequently Asked Questions

Is Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) a buy right now?
RSP scores 78/100 on CleaRank's model, which puts it in the Buy band. Most of the lift comes from the trend, as the price is 4.78% above its 200-day average and 0.95% above its 50-day average, and the 50-day average is 3.79% above the 200-day. No factor pulls the score down. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
How has Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) performed over the past year?
Across the past year the price climbed 13.61%. Shorter stretches also show gains: up 0.98% over three months and 2.93% over the past month. Today the price is 2.75% below its 52-week high of $223.44.
What does RSP cost to own?
Each year RSP costs 0.20% of assets in expenses, which works out to $20.00 on a $10,000 holding. That charge comes out of the fund's assets, so investors do not receive a separate bill.
What are the largest sectors in RSP?
By sector, Technology is the biggest slice at 18.0% of the fund. Industrials follows at 15.2%, and Financial Services is third at 13.5%.
Does RSP pay a dividend?
Yes, RSP pays a distribution yield of 1.53%. Yield is the payout measured against the price, so it moves whenever either of those moves.
What are the key price levels for RSP?
On the upside, the first level is the 52-week high at $223.44. On the downside, the 50-day SMA at $215.24 comes first, followed by the 20-day EMA at $214.43.
How volatile is RSP?
On an average day RSP's price moves 0.60%, measured as the 30-day standard deviation of its daily returns.
What is the 52-week range of RSP?
Over the past 52 weeks, RSP has moved between $182.11 and $223.44. At $217.29, the price is at 85% of that span. It stands 19.32% above the low and 2.75% below the high.
Is RSP in an uptrend?
Yes. Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) trades at $217.29, above both its 50- and 200-day moving averages ($215.24 and $207.38). Its 14-day RSI on daily closes is 59.7, in neutral territory.
What is RSP's biggest drop in the last 10 years?
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP)'s worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years was -32.4%, from January 2020 to March 2020 (with dividends reinvested). It regained that peak by November 2020, 8 months after the low. Over the same period, 82% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. The ETF analysis and AI-generated insights presented for RSP are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. ETFs are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. ETF performance depends on the underlying index or assets it tracks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Expense ratios, tracking error, and liquidity vary by fund. All trade setups and performance metrics shown are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Investors should read the fund prospectus carefully before investing. Consult a qualified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Analysis generated on October 27, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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