Jump to any asset
849 assets, updated daily
As of September 28, 2026, Roblox Corp. (RBLX) trades at $41.86. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $47.00, 12.3% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $47.00 across 35 analysts. RSI at 44 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $43.08.
Roblox Corp. (RBLX)
Roblox Corp. NYSE
$41.86
-4.580 (-9.86%)
At close: Sep 28, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
59 / 100
Roblox Corp. (RBLX) is trading at $41.86, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($43.08 and $56.38), indicating a bearish technical trend. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 5.84 is above the sector median of 2.4, suggesting a premium valuation relative to peers. Significant insider selling, with over $965 million in dispositions versus no reported purchases, weighs heavily on sentiment, signaling a lack of confidence from management. Despite these headwinds, Roblox is expected to see revenue growth rebound to 2.00% for the current year and 13.00% over the next five years. However, the company is currently loss-making, with a negative net profit margin of -17.61% and negative EPS of -1.41. The consensus rating among 35 analysts is 'Hold', with a median price target of $47.00, implying a 12.3% upside from the current price. Key risks include continued insider selling, competitive pressures in the gaming sector, and the challenge of returning to consistent profitability.
RBLX Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$43.60
Day Range
$41.86 to $44.59
Prev Close
$46.44
Volume
17.96M
52-Week Range
$33.88 to $142.00
Market Cap
$29.90B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Communication Services)
Performance vs IXC
Sector Position Analysis
On price-to-sales, the yardstick used here in place of P/E, RBLX trades at 5.84x, +143% versus the sector average of 2.40x.
RBLX Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 5 quarters, RBLX beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 3 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
RBLX Analysis
Company's Health
2/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+12.28% Upside
Median of 35 analysts (12-month)
$47.00
AI Technical Analysis
Roblox Corp. (RBLX) is experiencing bearish technical momentum, with volume running 45.9% above its average, suggesting increased selling pressure. The stock is trading below both its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $43.08 and its 200-day SMA of $56.38, reinforcing a downtrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43.87, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is positive but showing signs of weakening. Key support levels are being tested, with the stock currently below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($43.08 and $56.38). The current price action suggests that these moving averages are acting as resistance. The lack of strong bullish signals and the presence of significant selling volume indicate that further downside risk may persist until a clear bullish trend emerges or key resistance levels are overcome.
ProTips
- Monitor insider transaction activity closely; the current heavy net selling is a significant bearish signal.
- Given the stock's position below key moving averages and neutral RSI, consider waiting for a confirmed bullish technical setup before initiating new positions.
- The company's premium valuation relative to its sector, coupled with negative profitability, warrants a cautious approach. Focus on companies with clearer paths to sustainable earnings.
Key Catalysts
Bearish
Heavy Insider Selling Continues
Insiders have sold over $965 million worth of Roblox (RBLX) stock, with no reported purchases, indicating a strong lack of confidence from management and a significant bearish catalyst.
Source: Insider Trading DataBearish
Below Key Moving Averages
Roblox (RBLX) is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($43.08 and $56.38), signaling bearish technical momentum and potential for further price declines.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Projected Revenue Growth Rebound
Analysts forecast revenue growth to turn positive at 2.00% for the current year and accelerate to 13.00% over the next five years, offering a potential long-term positive catalyst if realized.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Persistent Unprofitability
Roblox (RBLX) continues to report negative EPS (-1.41) and a negative net profit margin (-17.61%), posing a risk to its valuation and future growth prospects.
Source: Company FundamentalsMarket Outlook
Roblox Corp. (RBLX) faces a challenging outlook, with its current price below key moving averages and significant insider selling pressure. The median analyst price target of $47.00 suggests limited upside from the current $41.86 level. While revenue is projected to grow, the company's persistent unprofitability and high valuation multiples present considerable headwinds. The path forward for Roblox hinges on its ability to achieve consistent profitability and demonstrate sustainable revenue growth that justifies its current market capitalization. Any further negative earnings surprises or continued insider divestitures could pressure the stock lower, while a successful pivot to profitability and positive user engagement trends could provide a catalyst for recovery.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 29.90B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -1.41 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 142.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 33.88 |
Roblox Corp. (RBLX) presents a mixed fundamental picture, trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 5.84, which is considerably higher than the sector median of 2.4. This premium valuation is not supported by profitability, as the company reports a negative net profit margin of -17.61% and a negative return on equity of -432.28%. The company's earnings per share (EPS) is negative at -1.41. While the company's debt-to-equity ratio of 14.23% is below the sector average, the lack of profitability and the high price-to-sales multiple raise valuation concerns. Analysts project revenue growth to turn positive at 2.00% for the current year and accelerate to 13.00% over the next five years, but the path to consistent profitability remains a key challenge.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Roblox Corp. (RBLX) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of -0.26, beating the estimated -0.33 by 21.21%. However, this beat was accompanied by a significant price drop of -26.85%. Prior to this, the company missed estimates in the quarter ending March 2026, with actual EPS of -0.35 against an estimate of -0.40, leading to a -18.33% price decline. The company has shown inconsistency in earnings performance, with both positive and negative surprises, and a recent trend of negative EPS.
Key Risks
Roblox Corp. (RBLX) faces significant risks stemming from heavy insider selling, with over $965 million in dispositions, indicating a lack of management confidence. The company's premium valuation, reflected in its price-to-sales ratio of 5.84 compared to the sector median of 2.4, is a concern given its persistent unprofitability and negative EPS. Also, the stock is trading below key moving averages, suggesting bearish technical momentum and potential for further downside.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 43.87 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 1.30 |
| SMA 50 | 43.08 |
| SMA 200 | 56.38 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $43.08, 200-day: $56.38), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.32
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.09
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.12
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with RBLX? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
RBLX Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$41.44
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$41.86
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$37.39
MAX LOSS
-9.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (43.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$42.68
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$43.51
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$44.76
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
RBLX is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 4.13%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 28, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in RBLX in March 2021 would be worth about $6,682 today, compared with about $19,800 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in RBLX today could grow to about $9,029 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $68,498 and a bear case around $1,190. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
RBLX Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $40.18 for RBLX by 2030 in the base case, from $41.86 today (1.0x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $11.15. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on RBLX's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $21.83 | $41.43 | $78.64 |
| 2028 | $16.57 | $41.01 | $102 |
| 2029 | $13.38 | $40.60 | $123 |
| 2030 | $11.15 | $40.18 | $145 |
| 2031 | $9.49 | $39.78 | $167 |
| 2032 | $8.19 | $39.37 | $189 |
| 2033 | $7.15 | $38.97 | $212 |
| 2034 | $6.30 | $38.57 | $236 |
| 2035 | $5.58 | $38.18 | $261 |
| 2036 | $4.98 | $37.79 | $287 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using RBLX's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
RBLX Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$965.2M
123 Transactions
Insiders
17
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$7.8M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | MERITECH CAPITAL PARTNERS V, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 5.4M | $365.1M |
| Jun 6, 2025 | BASZUCKI DAVID BRENT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.8M | $170.9M |
| May 5, 2025 | BASZUCKI DAVID BRENT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.9M | $137.2M |
| Mar 10, 2021 | BASZUCKI GREGORY
Director
|
Sell | 1.5M | $101.1M |
| Mar 10, 2021 | BASZUCKI DAVID
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 1.3M | $83.9M |
| Jun 2, 2025 | BASZUCKI DAVID BRENT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 950.0K | $83.6M |
| Mar 11, 2021 | DONATO CRAIG
Officer
|
Sell | 1.1M | $77.5M |
| Mar 10, 2021 | GUTHRIE MICHAEL
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 1.2M | $77.4M |
| May 5, 2025 | BASZUCKI GREGORY
Director
|
Sell | 973.9K | $70.2M |
| Jun 17, 2025 | BASZUCKI DAVID BRENT
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 628.7K | $63.2M |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Roblox (RBLX) stock a buy right now?
Roblox (RBLX) is currently rated a 'Hold' by Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $47.00, suggesting a 12.3% upside from its current price of $41.86. However, significant insider selling and negative profitability metrics present considerable risks.
What is Roblox's (RBLX) stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Roblox's (RBLX) base case price projection for 2030 is $40.18, with a downside scenario of $11.15 and an upside scenario of $144.76. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
What are the main risks facing Roblox (RBLX)?
The primary risks for Roblox (RBLX) include substantial insider selling totaling over $965 million, a premium valuation relative to its sector peers, and persistent unprofitability with negative EPS and profit margins.
How does Roblox's (RBLX) valuation compare to its sector?
Roblox (RBLX) trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 5.84, which is significantly higher than the sector median of 2.4. This suggests investors are paying a premium for Roblox's revenue compared to its peers in the Communication Services sector.
What is the recent earnings performance of Roblox (RBLX)?
Roblox (RBLX) recently reported an EPS beat for the quarter ending June 2026 (-0.26 actual vs. -0.33 estimate), but this was followed by a sharp price decline. The company has shown inconsistent earnings and continues to report negative EPS.
What is the analyst consensus for Roblox (RBLX)?
The consensus rating for Roblox (RBLX) among 35 analysts is 'Hold', with a score of 59 out of 100. The ratings are distributed among 4 Strong Buys, 13 Buys, 16 Holds, and 2 Sells.
What is the technical outlook for Roblox (RBLX) stock?
Roblox (RBLX) exhibits bearish technical momentum, trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($43.08 and $56.38), with volume above average. The RSI is neutral, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction but no immediate oversold conditions.