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Head-to-head · ETF vs ETF

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

ETF·NYSE

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF VTI

$371.57 ▼ 1.76%
Buy
66 / 100 AI score
Full VTI analysis →
vs

ETF·NYSE

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY

$755.72 ▼ 1.77%
Buy
66 / 100 AI score
Full SPY analysis →
01

VTI vs SPY: the verdict

How VTI and SPY compare today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.

The verdict

CleaRank Financial AI Level on score
VTI SPY
66/100 AI score 66/100
+11.2% 1-year change +11.2%
11.8% Volatility (30d, yearly) 11.6%
41.1 RSI (14-day) 40.2
The verdict
The biggest gap sits in momentum, where SPY lags because its MACD line is negative.
Outlook
VTI's uptrend holds while it stays above its 50-day average at $377.54 and its 200-day at $359.19. SPY sits between its 50-day average at $767.49 and its 200-day at $728.85.
02

Price, side by side

Both prices start at 0% on the first day of the period you pick, so the moves compare directly.

Rebased price

Nov '25Jan '26Mar '26Jun '26Aug '26Oct '26
VTI SPY

Over 1 year: VTI gained 11.2% and SPY gained 11.2%, a gap of 0.1 points in VTI's favour.

03

Key metrics

Size and recent performance for each.

Size and market performance

VTI SPY
$2.32T Size (net assets / market cap) $809.2B
4.7M Volume (shares, last session) 77.6M
82% Position in 52-week range 83%
-1.6% Price against 50-day average -1.5%
Reading
Holding VTI costs less. Its expense ratio is 0.03%, while SPY's is 0.095%. For a $10,000 holding, that works out to $3.00 a year with VTI and $9.50 with SPY. VTI is also the bigger fund, holding $2.32T in net assets compared with $809.2B for SPY.
04

Momentum and sentiment

The indicators behind each AI score, side by side.

Indicators side by side

VTI SPY
66/100 AI score 66/100
41.1 RSI (14-day) 40.2
-1.6% Price against 50-day average -1.5%
+3.4% Price against 200-day average +3.7%
Technicals
VTI is in a mixed trend, trading 1.55% below its 50-day average and 3.40% above its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 41.0, in the neutral zone. SPY is in a mixed trend, trading 1.53% below its 50-day average and 3.69% above its 200-day average. Its 14-day RSI is 40.2, in the neutral zone, with the MACD line negative. VTI sits higher in its 52-week range, at 91% against 83% for SPY.
Sentiment
VTI rose 0.79% over the past month and rose 3.27% over three months. SPY fell 0.91% over the past month and rose 1.16% over three months.
05

Risk and practical tips

How much each moves, how much return each has paid for that risk, and what to watch if you hold either.

Risk measures

VTI SPY
11.8% Volatility (30d, yearly) 11.6%
0.66 Sharpe ratio 0.67
Risk
They move about the same on an average day, 0.65% for VTI and 0.65% for SPY. Their worst falls in the price history were 30.0% for VTI (February 2020 to March 2020) and 28.7% for SPY.
ProTips
  1. For VTI, watch the 52-week high at $385.12 above the price and the 50-day SMA at $377.54 below it.
  2. For SPY, watch the 50-day SMA at $767.49 above the price and the 200-day SMA at $728.85 below it.
  3. Costs compound: VTI charges $3.00 a year on $10,000 and SPY $9.50.
06

VTI vs SPY: long-term scenarios

Simulated paths from each price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.

Simulated growth of $10,000

202620282030203220342036
VTI median VTI 90th SPY median SPY 90th
VTI SPY
$10,952 Downside, 2036 (10th) $11,227
$23,068 Base case, 2036 (median) $23,346
$48,590 Upside, 2036 (90th) $48,547

In the median simulated path, $10,000 in VTI grows to about $23,100 and $10,000 in SPY to about $23,300 by 2036. The paths come from each asset's own historical volatility and trend; they are statistical outcomes, not forecasts.

07

Trade plans for both

Entry, stop and target levels from each moving average and its volatility. Educational, not advice.

Actionable Trade Plans

Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative 3% Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$ ✎
Position Size: $200 - $300 per asset
VTI
Current: $371.57
ENTRY ZONES
$352.99
$371.57
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$342.40
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5% from current
$390.15
+10% from current
$408.73
+15% from current
$427.31
SPY
Current: $755.72
ENTRY ZONES
$717.93
$755.72
RISK MANAGEMENT
STOP LOSS
$696.40
MAX LOSS
-3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on volatility and technical support levels.
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative)
+5% from current
$793.51
+10% from current
$831.29
+15% from current
$869.08
Disclaimer
The content is for educational purposes only. The verdict weighs trend, valuation and risk together. Trading involves risk of loss.

Note: The AI favored VTI based on price momentum, on today's data.
08

VTI vs SPY: questions people ask

Answered from the figures on this page.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is better, VTI or SPY?+
They score the same on CleaRank's model, 66/100. This describes the data on this page and is not a personal recommendation.
Which has performed better over the past year, VTI or SPY?+
Over the past year VTI gained 12.00%, while SPY gained 11.16%, so VTI has been the stronger performer.
Which is cheaper to own, VTI or SPY?+
VTI is the cheaper fund to hold, with an expense ratio of 0.03% compared with 0.095% for SPY.
Which pays more income, VTI or SPY?+
VTI has the higher yield, 1.06% against 0.99% for SPY. A yield is the payout divided by the price, so it changes when either one does.
Which is riskier, VTI or SPY?+
They carry about the same risk on the measures we track. Average daily move: 0.65% for VTI, 0.65% for SPY. Worst fall in the price history: 30.0% for VTI, 28.7% for SPY.
Which has stronger momentum right now, VTI or SPY?+
Readings above 70 or below 30 mark stretched momentum.
Which fund is larger, VTI or SPY?+
VTI is the bigger fund by net assets, holding $2.32T against $809.2B for SPY.
How would $10,000 have grown in VTI or SPY?+
Invested in October 2016, $10,000 would be worth $40,702 today in VTI and $42,358 in SPY.
Which is closer to its 52-week high, VTI or SPY?+
VTI is closer: it trades 1.79% below its 52-week high of $385.12, against 3.31% below $781.62 for SPY.

Disclaimer: CleaRank.com is a financial data and analytics provider, not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial regulatory body. This AI-generated comparison of VTI vs SPY is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or digital assets. The comparison metrics, trade plans, and AI signals are hypothetical, hindsight-based, and simulated. Different asset classes carry different risk profiles - stocks, ETFs, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and forex each have unique regulatory frameworks and risk factors. Market data is provided "as-is" and may be delayed by 15 minutes or more. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You should never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analysis generated on October 31, 2026.

Disclaimer:

Engaging in financial markets carries significant risk of total capital loss. Markets are volatile, unpredictable, and past success does not guarantee future results. Never invest funds you cannot afford to lose. CleaRank does not offer financial, investment, or advisory services. We provide no recommendations, endorsements, or guarantees regarding market outcomes. You alone are responsible for your decisions.

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