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As of September 27, 2026, Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) trades at $379.77. RSI at 50 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $375.71.
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF NYSE
$379.77
1.690 (0.45%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
75 / 100
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) offers comprehensive exposure to the U.S. equity market, tracking the CRSP U.S. Total Market Index. The fund's strategy is passive, aiming to replicate the performance of a broad market index that includes large, mid, small, and micro-cap stocks across various sectors like Technology (35.06%), Financial Services (12.55%), and Healthcare (9.85%). As of September 2026, VTI has demonstrated a Year-to-Date return of 13.45%, reflecting its role as a core holding for investors seeking diversified U.S. equity exposure.
VTI Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$378.63
Day Range
$377.46 to $380.33
Prev Close
$378.08
Volume
2.81M
52-Week Range
$310.40 to $385.12
Market Cap
$725.71B
VTI Fund Facts
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides broad exposure to the U.S. equity market through a single diversified portfolio. The fund seeks to track the CRSP U.S. Total Market Index using a passive, index-sampling approach, giving investors access to large-, mid-, small-, and micro-cap stocks across growth and value styles.
Issuer
Vanguard
Category
Large Blend
Inception
May 24, 2001
Expense ratio
0.03%
Net assets
$2.34T
NAV
$377.55
Distribution yield
1.03%
YTD return
13.45%
Turnover
3.00%
Sector weights
Energy
3.5%
Utilities
2.1%
Healthcare
9.9%
Realestate
2.4%
Technology
35.1%
Industrials
9.6%
Trailing returns vs category
| Period | VTI | Category |
|---|---|---|
| YTD | 13.45% | 5.14% |
| 1 month | 2.66% | 9.43% |
| 3 months | 1.80% | 3.42% |
| 1 year | 20.25% | 27.72% |
| 3 years | 20.65% | 19.34% |
| 5 years | 11.71% | 11.20% |
| 10 years | 14.81% | 13.77% |
Fund reference data as of Sep 27, 2026. Expense ratio and net assets are reported by the fund; returns are total returns and can differ from price change.
VTI Analysis
AI Technical Analysis
As of September 2026, VTI is trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $375.71 and its 200-day SMA of $354.42, indicating an upward trend. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $377.39, also above the current price, reinforcing the short-term positive momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.07, classifying it as neutral, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 0.60, further supporting a bullish technical outlook.
ProTips
- Consider VTI as a foundational holding for its broad market exposure and low expense ratio.
- Monitor the performance of the Technology sector, as it significantly influences VTI's returns.
- Given its total market exposure, VTI is sensitive to overall economic conditions and market sentiment.
Market Outlook
The outlook for Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) remains positive, supported by its broad diversification and low costs. As of September 2026, the ETF is trading above key moving averages, and its neutral RSI suggests room for further upward movement without immediate overbought conditions. The strong performance of its top sectors, particularly Technology, is expected to continue driving returns, although potential sector rotation or macroeconomic headwinds could alter this trajectory. Investors can anticipate VTI to continue serving as a core holding for long-term U.S. equity market exposure.
Market Correlations
How this etf moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+1.00
Strong correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.94
Strong correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.50
Moderate correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.15
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with VTI? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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Key Statistics
| Net Assets (Market Cap) | 725.71B |
|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.0300% |
| Yield | 1.03% |
| Day High | $380.33 |
| Day Low | $377.46 |
| 52 Week High | 385.12 |
| 52 Week Low | 310.40 |
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) provides broad diversification across the U.S. equity market, holding approximately 99.58% in stocks. Its sector allocation is heavily weighted towards Technology (35.06%), followed by Financial Services (12.55%) and Healthcare (9.85%), indicating a significant concentration in these growth-oriented sectors. The fund's low expense ratio of 0.03% (costing $3.00 per $10,000 invested) and substantial net assets of over $2.34 trillion make it an efficient and stable vehicle for capturing overall market performance. The sector's health is largely tied to the performance of these dominant sectors and the broader economic environment.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Its performance is driven by the aggregate earnings trends of its underlying holdings across the U.S. stock market. As of September 2026, the technology sector, which represents the largest portion of VTI's holdings, has shown strong earnings growth, contributing significantly to the fund's year-to-date return of 13.45%. The broad market exposure ensures that the fund benefits from positive earnings surprises across various industries, while also being exposed to any sector-specific earnings downturns.
Key Risks
The primary risk for VTI lies in its significant concentration within the Technology sector, which accounts for over a third of its assets. A downturn in technology stocks could disproportionately impact the ETF's performance. Additionally, as a total market fund, VTI is exposed to broader market risks, including economic slowdowns, interest rate hikes, and geopolitical events that could affect the entire U.S. equity landscape.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 50.07 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.60 |
| SMA 50 | 375.71 |
| SMA 200 | 354.42 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($375.71) above the 200-day SMA ($354.42), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
VTI Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$372.17
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$379.77
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$361.01
MAX LOSS
-3.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (50.1) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$390.78
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$409.39
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$428.00
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
ETF Investment Disclaimer
This AI-generated analysis of VTI is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. ETFs are subject to market risk including possible loss of principal. Performance depends on the underlying index or assets tracked. Read the fund prospectus before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in VTI in September 2016 would be worth about $34,244 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in VTI today could grow to about $26,108 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $54,963 and a bear case around $12,402. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
VTI ETF Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $557 for VTI by 2030 in the base case, from $380 today (1.5x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $348. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on VTI's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $330 | $418 | $529 |
| 2028 | $330 | $460 | $642 |
| 2029 | $337 | $506 | $761 |
| 2030 | $348 | $557 | $893 |
| 2031 | $362 | $614 | $1,039 |
| 2032 | $379 | $675 | $1,202 |
| 2033 | $399 | $743 | $1,386 |
| 2034 | $421 | $818 | $1,593 |
| 2035 | $445 | $901 | $1,825 |
| 2036 | $471 | $992 | $2,087 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using VTI's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the expense ratio for the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)?
The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) has a very low expense ratio of 0.03%, which translates to a cost of $3.00 per $10,000 invested. This low cost is a key feature for investors seeking efficient market exposure.
What sectors does the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) hold and how concentrated is it?
VTI holds approximately 99.58% in stocks and is heavily concentrated in Technology (35.06%), Financial Services (12.55%), and Healthcare (9.85%). This broad diversification across market capitalizations and sectors aims to capture the overall U.S. equity market performance.
How has the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) performed against its category?
In the year-to-date period of 2026, VTI returned 13.45% compared to its category's 5.14%. Over the past year, VTI returned 20.25% while its category returned 27.72%. However, over longer periods like 3, 5, and 10 years, VTI has outperformed its category.
What are the key technical levels for VTI?
As of September 2026, VTI is trading above its 50-day SMA of $375.71 and its 200-day SMA of $354.42. The 20-day EMA is at $377.39, indicating a positive trend. The RSI is neutral at 50.07.
What is the dividend yield for VTI?
The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) has a dividend yield of approximately 1.03% as of September 2026, with a dividend rate of $3.90.
What is the VTI ETF price prediction for 2030?
Based on a Monte Carlo simulation, the projected base price for VTI in 2030 is $557.48. The simulation also indicates a downside price of $348.15 and an upside price of $892.69. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
What are the main risks associated with investing in VTI?
The primary risks include concentration in the Technology sector, which could lead to significant underperformance if that sector declines. VTI is also subject to broad market risks, such as economic downturns and geopolitical events, due to its total market exposure.