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As of September 27, 2026, Coherent Corp. (COHR) trades at $295.83. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Buy with a fair value of $420.00, 42.0% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $420.00 across 23 analysts. RSI at 54 is in neutral territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $296.77.
Coherent Corp. (COHR)
Coherent Corp. NYSE
$295.83
5.220 (1.80%)
At close: Sep 25, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
74 / 100
Coherent Corp. (COHR) is trading at $295.83, below its 50-day SMA but above its 200-day SMA, indicating a mixed short-term trend. The company is experiencing exceptional revenue growth, projected at 49.00% for the current year, significantly outpacing the technology sector median of 24.1%. This growth is supported by strong forward-looking estimates, with next year's revenue expected to increase by 38.00% and a 5-year average annual growth rate projected at 25.85%. Despite a consensus rating of Buy from Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $420 suggesting 42.0% upside, the company's insider activity shows net selling. The company's fundamentals, including an 11.31% profit margin and 7.98% return on equity, appear solid, though its P/E ratio of 71.98 is high relative to the sector average of 34. Insiders are net sellers with $1,181.2M in total sales versus $913K in total purchases in recent filings. However, 96% of total selling ($1.1B) comes from parent/institutional stake reductions by BAIN CAPITAL INVESTORS, L.L.C., which represents a corporate restructuring or divestiture, NOT a bearish signal from company management. Actual officer/director selling totals $47.5M.
COHR Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$297.92
Day Range
$290.28 to $301.77
Prev Close
$290.61
Volume
4.69M
52-Week Range
$100.63 to $440.00
Market Cap
$57.93B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Technology)
Performance vs XLK
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+112%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
COHR Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, COHR beat estimates 4 times. However, the stock fell 4 times the next day. This suggests positive news is often "priced in" or investors are selling the news.
COHR Analysis
Company's Health
4/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+41.97% Upside
Median of 23 analysts (12-month)
$420.00
AI Technical Analysis
Coherent Corp. (COHR) is currently trading below its 50-day and 20-day SMAs, suggesting near-term weakness, but remains above its 200-day SMA, indicating a longer-term bullish trend. The RSI is at 54.01, reflecting neutral momentum, while the MACD is positive at 0.408, signaling some underlying bullish pressure. Key support levels are near the 200-day SMA of $286.16, while resistance is observed around the 50-day SMA of $296.77 and the current price. Volume has been below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction behind current price movements. The overall chart structure suggests a consolidation phase after a period of strong performance, with potential for a breakout if positive catalysts emerge.
ProTips
- Monitor the ongoing divestiture activity by Bain Capital Investors, L.L.C. to ensure it remains a corporate restructuring and does not evolve into broader insider selling.
- Given the stock is trading below its 50-day SMA, consider waiting for a confirmed break above $296.77 before initiating or adding to a long position.
- The company's high P/E ratio of 71.98 compared to the sector average of 34 suggests that any miss on growth expectations could lead to a sharp correction.
Key Catalysts
Neutral
Parent Company Divestiture Continues
Bain Capital Investors, L.L.C. has been systematically reducing its stake in Coherent Corp. (COHR), accounting for $1.1 billion in sales. This is viewed as a corporate restructuring, not a bearish signal from management.
Source: Insider FilingsBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Coherent Corp. (COHR) is projected to achieve 49.00% revenue growth in the current year and 38.00% in the next, significantly outpacing sector averages and indicating strong market demand for its products.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
23 Wall Street analysts cover COHR with a consensus 'Buy' rating and a median price target of $420, representing a 42.0% upside potential from the current stock price.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusBullish
Earnings Beat in Latest Quarter
For the quarter ending June 2026, Coherent Corp. (COHR) reported an EPS of $1.74, exceeding the analyst estimate of $1.62 by 7.41%.
Source: Earnings ReportMarket Outlook
The base case for Coherent Corp. (COHR) over the next 6-12 months anticipates continued strong revenue growth, driven by strong demand in its markets. Analysts project earnings per share of $9.42 for the current year and $13.96 for next year, with a median price target of $420, implying a 42.0% upside from the current price. This target suggests the market may be pricing in sustained growth and operational efficiency. Potential catalysts for upside include successful integration of recent acquisitions or new product cycle successes, which could drive earnings above current estimates. Conversely, a significant slowdown in demand, increased competitive pressures leading to margin erosion, or a broader market downturn could pressure the stock. Any indication of management selling beyond the current parent divestiture pattern would also be a significant bearish signal.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 57.93B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 71.98 |
| EPS (TTM) | 4.11 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| 52 Week High | 440.00 |
| 52 Week Low | 100.63 |
Coherent Corp. (COHR) exhibits a high P/E ratio of 71.98, significantly above the technology sector median of 34, suggesting the stock may be trading at a premium. Its price-to-sales ratio of 8.14 also exceeds the sector average of 7.5. However, the company's strong revenue growth of 33.7% and projected growth rates of 49.00% for the current year and 38.00% for next year help justify its valuation. The company's profit margin stands at a healthy 11.31%, with an operating margin of 11.83%, and a return on equity of 7.98%. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.32, which is in line with the sector average. While the current valuation appears stretched, the strong growth outlook and solid profitability metrics provide a foundation for potential future appreciation.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Coherent Corp. (COHR) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an actual EPS of $1.74 beating the estimate of $1.62 by 7.41%, although the stock experienced a -7.99% price decline. Prior quarters have shown mixed results, including a significant EPS miss in the quarter ending June 2026 (actual -0.02 vs estimate 0.04) and a substantial EPS beat in the quarter ending March 2026 (actual -0.97 vs estimate -3.78). The company's revenue growth is exceptionally strong, with current quarter estimates showing a +45.00% year-over-year increase.
Key Risks
The primary risk for Coherent Corp. (COHR) lies in its premium valuation, with a P/E ratio significantly higher than its sector peers, which could lead to increased volatility if growth expectations are not met. Additionally, while insider selling is dominated by parent company divestitures, the absolute volume of sales warrants monitoring for any signs of broader management concern. Competition within the Scientific & Technical Instruments sector remains intense, posing a continuous threat to market share and pricing power.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 54.01 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.41 |
| SMA 50 | 296.77 |
| SMA 200 | 286.16 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($296.77) above the 200-day SMA ($286.16), price is trading below the 50-day SMA.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.58
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.65
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.23
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.14
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with COHR? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
COHR Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Long entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$289.91
2% below current price (Pullback entry)
Lower risk, wait for pullback
Aggressive
$295.83
Buy at current price
Higher risk, immediate entry
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$267.36
MAX LOSS
-7.8%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (54.0) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$304.41
+5% (Conservative)
+2.9% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$318.90
+10% (Conservative)
+7.8% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$333.40
+15% (Conservative)
+12.7% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
COHR is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 5.19%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 27, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in COHR in September 2016 would be worth about $126,100 today, compared with about $35,782 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in COHR today could grow to about $42,114 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $319,505 and a bear case around $5,551. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
COHR Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $526 for COHR by 2030 in the base case, from $296 today (1.8x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $146. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on COHR's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $180 | $342 | $648 |
| 2028 | $159 | $394 | $976 |
| 2029 | $150 | $455 | $1,382 |
| 2030 | $146 | $526 | $1,894 |
| 2031 | $145 | $607 | $2,544 |
| 2032 | $146 | $701 | $3,368 |
| 2033 | $149 | $809 | $4,410 |
| 2034 | $153 | $935 | $5,724 |
| 2035 | $158 | $1,079 | $7,378 |
| 2036 | $164 | $1,246 | $9,452 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using COHR's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. COHR is highly volatile, so its upside column reaches an extreme multiple; treat it as a statistical tail, not an expectation. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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COHR Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
None
No open-market buys
Sold
$1.1B
41 Transactions
Insiders
24
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$27.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | BAIN CAPITAL INVESTORS, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 7.5M | $1.1B |
| Nov 6, 2025 | BARBAROSSA GIOVANNI
Officer
|
Sell | 60.7K | $9.7M |
| Oct 29, 2025 | BARBAROSSA GIOVANNI
Officer
|
Sell | 59.5K | $8.4M |
| Sep 12, 2017 | AMBROSEO JOHN R
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $6.3M |
| May 22, 2017 | AMBROSEO JOHN R
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $6.2M |
| Sep 1, 2026 | ENG JULIE SHERIDAN
Chief Technology Officer
|
Sell | 13.1K | $3.6M |
| May 12, 2017 | VIJ SANDEEP S
Director
|
Sell | 14.0K | $3.4M |
| Dec 10, 2025 | CORASANTI JOSEPH J
Director
|
Sell | 15.0K | $3.0M |
| Aug 14, 2018 | SOBEY MARK STEWART
Officer
|
Sell | 13.0K | $2.4M |
| Jun 3, 2025 | SADASIVAM SHAKER
Director
|
Sell | 29.3K | $2.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is COHR's stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Coherent Corp.'s (COHR) stock price is projected to reach a base case of $525.79 by 2030. The downside projection is $145.96, while the upside scenario reaches $1,894.11. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Coherent Corp. stock a buy right now?
Coherent Corp. (COHR) is currently rated a Buy by Wall Street analysts, with a consensus score of 74 out of 100. The median analyst price target of $420 suggests a 42.0% upside from the current price of $295.83.
What are the key technical levels for COHR stock?
Coherent Corp. (COHR) is trading below its 50-day SMA of $296.77, which now acts as resistance, but remains above its 200-day SMA of $286.16, indicating a longer-term bullish trend. The RSI is neutral at 54.01.
How does COHR's valuation compare to its peers?
Coherent Corp. (COHR) trades at a P/E ratio of 71.98 and a price-to-sales ratio of 8.14, both significantly higher than the technology sector medians of 34 and 7.5, respectively. This suggests the stock is trading at a premium valuation.
What is the outlook for Coherent Corp.'s revenue growth?
Coherent Corp. (COHR) is experiencing exceptional revenue growth, with current year projections at +49.00% and next year at +38.00%. The company's 5-year average annual growth rate is projected at 25.85%, significantly outpacing the sector median of 24.1%.
Are insiders buying or selling Coherent Corp. stock?
Insiders at Coherent Corp. (COHR) are net sellers, with $1,181.2M in total sales versus $913K in total purchases. However, the vast majority of these sales ($1.1 billion) are from parent company Bain Capital Investors, L.L.C., indicating a corporate restructuring rather than management's lack of confidence.
What are the main risks facing Coherent Corp.?
The primary risks for Coherent Corp. (COHR) include its premium valuation compared to sector peers and the potential for increased volatility if growth targets are not met. Intense competition within the Scientific & Technical Instruments sector also poses a threat to market share and pricing.