Stock·NYSE·Industrials
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)
- Market cap
- $85.98B
- P/E
- 18.65
- Dividend yield
- 6.49%
- Street target
- $116.00median of 29 analysts
- 52-week range
- $90.84 $122.41
UPS stock forecast today
Where UPS stands today, and what CleaRank Financial AI makes of it.
UPS at a glance
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS): Buy, 68/100 on CleaRank's AI score.
- Trend Mixed: the price is above its 50-day but below its 200-day moving average ($98.85 and $104.60).
- Earnings UPS beat estimates in 5 of the 6 reports in our data, yet fell the next day after 3 of those beats.
- Insiders Insiders sold $2.7M and bought $1.5M over the last 18 months.
- Valuation P/E of 18.7 against 34.0 for the Industrials sector: a discount to peers (-45%).
Figures as of October 26, 2026.
CleaRank Financial AI
UPS, or United Parcel Service, Inc., carries a CleaRank rating of Buy and a model score of 68/100.
Valuation provides the biggest boost: the P/E of 18.65 is 45.1% below the sector median (a discount to peers), and the P/S of 0.96 is 76.0% below the sector median. Trend pulls the score down the most, with the price 4.09% below its 200-day average and the 50-day average 5.50% below the 200-day. The 50-day stands at $98.85 and the 200-day at $104.60. Across the past year, the price climbed 15.02%.
Only on CleaRank
Figures we compute ourselves from UPS's own price, earnings and insider-filing history. Tap one to see it in context.
UPS stock price and trading
The chart, today's range and how far the price has moved over each period.
Trend checks
1/4Price above its 50-day average ›
The price of $100.32 is 1.5% above the 50-day simple moving average of $98.85.Price above its 200-day average ›
The price is 4.1% below the 200-day simple moving average of $104.60.50-day average above the 200-day ›
The 50-day average ($98.85) is 5.5% below the 200-day average ($104.60), the arrangement of a falling longer-term trend.In the upper half of its 52-week range ›
The price sits at 30% of its 52-week range, between $90.84 and $122.41.
UPS share price
Pick a period: each tab shows how far UPS has moved over it, to the last close.
Today's trading
Where UPS sits inside today's range and its 52-week range.
UPS fundamentals and valuation
Valuation against the sector, and the revenue and earnings behind it.
Valuation and quality checks
5/5P/E below the sector median ›
The trailing P/E of 18.65 is 45.1% below the Industrials median of 34.0.P/S below the sector median ›
The price-to-sales ratio of 0.96 is 76.1% below the sector median of 4.0.Profitable over the last 12 months ›
Net income over the last 12 months was $4.6B on revenue of $89.9B, a net margin of 5.1%.Beat estimates in most recent reports ›
UPS beat the EPS estimate in 5 of the 6 reports in our data.Pays a dividend ›
The trailing dividend yield is 6.49%, or $6.56 a share a year.
Key statistics
The headline figures for UPS.
As of October 26, 2026, UPS trades at $100.32, with a market value of $85.98B, a P/E ratio of 18.65 and a dividend yield of 6.49%.
What the numbers say
CleaRank Financial AI's reading of UPS's valuation, growth and risks.
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) trades at 18.78 times earnings, compared with a sector median of 34.0 for Industrials. That makes its P/E a discount to peers, sitting 44.8% below the median. Measured on sales, the price-to-sales ratio of 0.96 is 76.0% below the sector median of 4.0. UPS has a market capitalisation of $86.0B, which gives some sense of its scale.
UPS is growing more slowly than its sector. Revenue rose 7.60% in the latest quarter year on year, while the sector median is 11.7%. The company's net margin stands at 5.08% and its operating margin at 9.05%. Return on equity is 29.60%, which is above the sector median of 17.8%. On the balance sheet and income side, debt-to-equity is 1.90, and the trailing dividend yield is 6.49%, equal to $6.56 a share each year.
UPS reported its latest quarterly results on July 28, 2026, beating the estimate by 6.02%: $1.76 a share against an estimate of $1.66. The stock still slipped 0.92% in the first session after the report.
UPS beat the EPS estimate in 5 of the 6 reports in our data, though the stock still fell in the first session after 3 of those 5 beats. The July 29, 2025 report stands out among the earlier ones: a miss of 1.27%, after which the stock fell 4.03%. Analysts' average EPS estimate for this fiscal year is $7.20, which would be growth of 0.6%, and $8.06 for next year (growth of 11.9%).
Day-to-day volatility is the first thing to plan around: UPS has moved 1.62% on an average session, and its beta against the S&P 500 is 1.05. The price is 18.05% below its 52-week high of $122.41. Insiders sold $2.7M over the last 18 months and bought $1.5M, though sales of this kind are often planned in advance and say less than purchases would.
UPS against the Industrials sector
How UPS compares with the median Industrials stock CleaRank tracks.
Price to earnings vs sector: UPS trades at a notable discount to sector peers (-45%), which may indicate undervaluation or specific company headwinds.
Return vs XLI: Since May 14, 2025, UPS has gained 0.7% against a gain of 18.8% for XLI.
Performance against XLI
UPS and the Industrials sector fund over the same days.
Revenue and earnings
How much UPS sells, and how much of it becomes profit.
Revenue growth: Revenue fell 2.6% in FY2025 to $88.7B, from $91.1B a year earlier.
Profit margin: The net margin was 6.3% in FY2025, unchanged from the year before.
Profitable: UPS earned $5.6B in FY2025.
Earnings reality check
Did UPS beat what analysts expected, and how did the stock react?
Earnings record: UPS beat the analyst estimate in 5 of the 6 reports in our data.
Market reaction: The stock fell in the first session after 3 of those 5 beats, so a beat has not been enough on its own.
| Report | Estimate | Actual | Surprise | First session | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026after close | $1.66 | $1.76 | +6.02% | -0.92% | +3.39% |
| Apr 28, 2026after close | $1.02 | $1.07 | +4.90% | +2.57% | -5.65% |
| Oct 28, 2025after close | $1.30 | $1.74 | +33.85% | +1.08% | -3.23% |
| Jul 29, 2025after close | $1.57 | $1.55 | -1.27% | -4.03% | -4.47% |
| Apr 29, 2025after close | $1.38 | $1.49 | +7.97% | -1.48% | -3.02% |
| Jan 30, 2025after close | $2.53 | $2.75 | +8.70% | -0.58% | -1.24% |
As of October 26, 2026, UPS has beaten the analyst EPS estimate in 5 of the 6 reports in our data and fell in the first trading session after 3 of those beats; its latest report, on July 28, 2026, came in 6.02% above the estimate and the stock moved -0.92% in the first session.
The first session is the first full trading day on the news: the report day itself for a report before the open, the next day for one after the close. Surprise is actual EPS against the consensus estimate.
UPS AI analysis and technical indicators
CleaRank's score and reasoning, the indicators behind it, and what the price moves with.
Momentum checks
3/3RSI not overbought or oversold ›
The 14-day RSI is 60.1, showing bullish momentum without being overbought.RSI above 50 ›
An RSI of 60.1 is above the 50 midpoint, so buyers have had the upper hand over the last 14 days.MACD line above zero ›
The MACD line is positive, so the 12-day average is above the 26-day average.
CleaRank Financial AI analysis of UPS
The score, the reasoning behind it, and what could move the price next.
The trend is mixed for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). At $100.32, the stock sits 1.49% above its 50-day average of $98.85, yet 4.09% below its 200-day average of $104.60. Over the past year, the price is 10.44% above the 52-week low of $90.84 and 18.05% below the 52-week high of $122.41.
UPS shows bullish momentum without being overbought: its 14-day RSI sits at 60.1, which is in the bullish zone and below the overbought line, and the MACD line is positive. Short and long horizons disagree, though. The price rose 6.77% over the past month and 15.02% over the past year, yet it fell 11.18% across the past three months. In the last session, volume ran 43.6% above its average while the price fell 0.73%.
Rating reaffirmed ›
Citigroup kept its Buy rating on October 7, 2026.
Source: Analyst action, Citigroup, October 7, 2026
Earnings beat, but the stock fell ›
The July 28, 2026 report beat the EPS estimate by 6.02%, and the share price fell 0.92% in the first session after it.
Source: Earnings report, July 28, 2026
- Two levels matter most: the 200-day SMA at $104.60, which sits above the price, and the 50-day SMA at $98.85, which sits below it.
- A 14-day RSI of 60.1 falls in the bullish zone, and the MACD line is positive. Readings above 70 or below 30 would signal stretched momentum.
- The share price fell 0.92% in the first session after the July 28, 2026 report. Across the 6 reports in our data, UPS beat estimates in 5.
The trend is mixed: UPS is above its 50-day average at $98.85 but below its 200-day average at $104.60. A close above the 200-day would turn both signals up, and a close below the 50-day would turn both down. The nearest levels are the 50-day SMA at $98.85 below and the 200-day SMA at $104.60 above.
Momentum, with the RSI in the bullish zone, still backs the move.
Technical indicators
Momentum and trend for UPS, from its daily closes.
As of October 26, 2026, with UPS at $100.32, its 14-day RSI is 60.1 (showing bullish momentum without being overbought), its 50-day simple moving average is $98.85 and its 200-day is $104.60.
Calculated by CleaRank on daily closes as of October 26, 2026: Wilder's 14-day RSI, 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, MACD line (12, 26). How we calculate these
What UPS moves with
Correlation of daily returns over one year: +1 moves in step, 0 has no link, -1 moves the opposite way.
As of October 26, 2026, UPS's 1-year correlation of daily returns is +0.38 with S&P 500 (SPY), +0.29 with Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), +0.00 with Bitcoin (BTC) and +0.07 with gold (XAU).
UPS price target and analyst forecast
The analysts' target range and how their ratings split.
Analysts checks
1/3Most analysts rate it a buy ›
14 of 29 analysts rate it a buy or strong buy, 12 a hold and 3 a sell.Median target above the price ›
The median 12-month target of $116.00 is 15.6% above the price.More buy ratings than three months ago ›
14 of 29 rate it a buy now, against 14 of 29 three months ago.
UPS Wall Street View
12-month price targets
Ratings
Recent rating actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform |
As of October 26, 2026, 29 Wall Street analysts cover UPS: 14 rate it a buy or strong buy, 12 a hold and 3 a sell or strong sell. Their 12-month price targets range from $76.00 to $135.00. The median UPS price target is $116.00, 15.6% above the price of $100.32.
Source: TwelveData analyst consensus. Targets and ratings belong to the analysts, not to CleaRank.
UPS trade plan: entry, stop loss and targets
Entry, stop and target levels from the moving averages and recent volatility. Educational, not advice.
UPS trade plan
Entry, stop and target levels, sized to your account. Change the bias or the risk and every level updates.
Long entry pick an entry style
Risk management
Profit targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
These levels come from UPS's moving averages and recent volatility, not from a forecast. Educational levels, not financial advice; the full disclaimer is at the foot of the page.
Risk profile
How much UPS tends to move, against the market and on its own.
UPS price history and drawdowns
UPS's worst falls and recoveries, what $10,000 became, and which months have been kind to it.
Track record checks
2/4Average daily move under 2% ›
The price has moved 1.62% on an average day (30-day standard deviation of daily returns).Recovered from its worst fall ›
The worst fall was 57.9%, from February 2022 to October 2025; the price is still 45.7% below that peak.Most 1-year holds ended higher ›
51% of 1-year holding periods in the last 10 years ended with a gain.Beat the S&P 500 since the chart begins ›
$10,000 invested in October 2016 is now worth $13,644, against $42,015 in the S&P 500 (SPY).
UPS Drawdowns & Recovery
As of October 26, 2026, UPS's worst peak-to-trough fall over the last 10 years with dividends reinvested was -57.9% (February 2022 to October 2025); it is still 45.7% below that peak, and 51% of 1-year holding periods ended with a gain.
From weekly closing values with dividends reinvested. A drawdown is the fall from the highest value reached so far to a later low.
Growth of $10,000
What $10,000 put into UPS in October 2016 is worth now, against the same amount in the S&P 500.
Against the market: UPS trailed the S&P 500 over this period: $13,644 against $42,015.
A $10,000 investment in UPS in October 2016 would be worth about $13,644 today with dividends reinvested, compared with about $42,015 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark (also with dividends reinvested).
Seasonal patterns
Which calendar months have been kind to UPS, and which have not.
Strongest month, November: an average of +4.33%, up in 7 of 10 years.
Weakest month, September: an average of -3.29%, up in 4 of 10 years.
This month, October: has averaged +1.05%, up in 4 of 9 years. Past seasonality does not repeat on schedule.
Over the last 10 years, UPS's strongest calendar month has been November (average +4.33%, up in 7 of 10 years) and its weakest September (average -3.29%, up in 4 of 10 years).
Average return for each calendar month over the last 10 years, from weekly closing prices with dividends included.
UPS stock price prediction 2030
Thousands of simulated paths from the price history. A range of outcomes, not a forecast.
Monte Carlo projection
Thousands of simulated paths for $10,000 in UPS, from its own past volatility. The shaded area holds 80% of them.
CleaRank's 4-year Monte Carlo simulation, based on 10 years of price history, projects that a $10,000 investment in UPS today could grow to about $11,127 by 2030 in the base case, with a 90th-percentile outcome near $22,916 and a 10th-percentile outcome around $5,403. The simulation models price only; at today's 6.49% yield, dividends would add to these figures. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
UPS Stock Price Prediction 2030: Simulated Scenarios
The same simulation in share prices, year by year.
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $112 for UPS by 2030 in the base case, from $100 today (1.1x over 4 years). The 10th-percentile path ends near $54.20. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on UPS's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | 10th percentile | Base case | 90th percentile | range base today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $71.80 | $103 | $148 | |
| 2028 | $63.49 | $106 | $176 | |
| 2029 | $58.14 | $109 | $203 | |
| 2030 | $54.20 | $112 | $230 |
Method: a lognormal simulation of UPS's own volatility and capped historical trend, re-run daily; base case is the median path, the outer columns the 10th and 90th percentiles. How the simulation works
UPS insider trading
What the people running the company have bought and sold.
UPS insider trading
Shares the company's directors and officers bought and sold, from their own filings.
Month by month
Open-market purchases above the line, sales below.
Net insider selling: Insiders bought $1.5M on the open market and sold $2.7M.
As of October 26, 2026, UPS insiders reported 1 open-market sale worth $2.7M and 3 open-market purchases worth $1.5M over the last 18 months; grants and option exercises are not counted.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Norman Michael Brothers Jr.
Officer
|
Sell | 25.0K | $2.7M |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Christiana Smith Shi
Director
|
Buy | 500 | $44.1K |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Carol B. Tome
Chief Executive Officer
|
Buy | 11.7K | $1.0M |
| Jul 31, 2025 | William R Johnson
Director
|
Buy | 5.0K | $432.5K |
Source: TwelveData, from SEC Form 4 filings
UPS stock forecast: questions people ask
Answered from the figures on this page, as of October 26, 2026.