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As of September 15, 2026, Ecolab Inc. (ECL) trades at $273.42. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Sell on near-term price action, while its valuation model puts fair value at $330.00, 20.7% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $330.00 across 24 analysts. RSI at 23 is in oversold territory, and the price is below its 50-day average of $278.02.
Ecolab Inc. (ECL)
Ecolab Inc. NYSE
$273.42
-2.090 (-0.76%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
21 / 100
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) is currently trading at $273.42, below its 50-day SMA of $278.02 and its 200-day SMA of $273.16. The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is significantly oversold at 22.86, suggesting a potential for a short-term bounce. However, insider transactions show a moderate sell signal, with total sales of $31.2 million against total purchases of $3.1 million. The company's fundamentals remain solid, with a net profit margin of 12.57% and a return on equity of 21.96%, though its debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38 is higher than the sector median of 1.38. Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with a consensus rating of 'Buy' and a median price target of $330.00, implying an upside of 20.7% from the current price. Forward estimates indicate expected revenue growth of 11.00% for the current year and 8.00% for the next, with earnings per share projected to grow to $9.42 next year. The company's dividend yield is approximately 1.04%.
ECL Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$277.28
Day Range
$273.02 to $277.28
Prev Close
$275.51
Volume
9.6K
52-Week Range
$243.15 to $309.27
Market Cap
$77.23B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+22%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
ECL Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 4 quarters, ECL beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 3 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
ECL Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
AI Technical Analysis
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) is exhibiting bearish momentum with its RSI at 22.86, indicating oversold conditions. The stock is trading below its 50-day SMA ($278.02) and its 20-day EMA ($278.45), reinforcing the current downward trend. The MACD is also negative at -1.46, suggesting bearish pressure. Key support is found near the 200-day SMA at $273.16, which is currently being tested. Resistance levels are observed at the 50-day SMA ($278.02) and the 20-day EMA ($278.45). Volume has been significantly below average recently, which could indicate a lack of conviction behind the current price action. The chart structure suggests that a break below the 200-day SMA could lead to further downside.
ProTips
- Consider the moderate insider sell signal as a cautionary indicator for short-term price action.
- The stock's current position below its 50-day SMA ($278.02) but above its 200-day SMA ($273.16), combined with an oversold RSI, suggests potential for a near-term bounce, but confirmation is needed.
- Given the premium valuation relative to sector averages, monitor revenue and earnings growth closely to justify the current price.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Strong Earnings Beat in June 2026 Quarter
ECL reported EPS of $3.52, exceeding estimates by 6.02%, which drove a 2.13% stock price increase, indicating positive market reaction to operational performance.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets
The median Wall Street price target for ECL is $330.00, representing a 20.7% upside from the current price, with a consensus 'Buy' rating from 24 analysts.
Source: Wall Street AnalystsBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold a net $31.2 million worth of stock versus purchases of $3.1 million, indicating a moderate sell signal from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Testing Key 200-Day Moving Average Support
ECL is trading at its 200-day SMA of $273.16, a critical technical level. A break below this could signal further downside pressure.
Source: Technical AnalysisMarket Outlook
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) is expected to see continued growth, with analysts projecting revenue to reach $19.4 billion next year and earnings per share to hit $9.42. The median analyst price target of $330.00 suggests a potential upside of 20.7% from the current price of $273.42, supported by strong profitability and a solid earnings beat in the most recent quarter. However, the current technical setup presents near-term headwinds. The stock is trading below key moving averages and shows oversold conditions, coupled with insider selling. A failure to hold the 200-day SMA at $273.16 could lead to a retest of lower levels, potentially challenging the bullish outlook if broader market sentiment or company-specific issues emerge.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 77.23B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 36.93 |
| EPS (TTM) | 7.46 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.04% |
| 52 Week High | 309.27 |
| 52 Week Low | 243.15 |
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) trades at a P/E ratio of 36.93, which is above the sector median of 30.2, suggesting a premium valuation. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 4.59, also higher than the sector average of 4.2. The company's return on equity is strong at 21.96%, exceeding the sector average of 17.9%, and its profit margin is 12.57%. Despite the premium valuation, the company demonstrates strong profitability and growth. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 1.38, aligning with the sector median. Analysts project revenue growth of 11.00% for the current year and 8.00% for the next, with earnings per share expected to increase from $7.53 to $8.17 this year and $9.42 next year. This growth outlook supports the current valuation to some extent.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) most recently reported earnings for the quarter ending June 2026, with an EPS of $3.52, beating the estimate of $3.32 by 6.02% and leading to a 2.13% price increase. Prior to that, the March 2026 quarter saw EPS of $1.70, meeting estimates exactly, but resulted in a price decline of 3.88%. The company has a mixed earnings surprise history over the last few reported quarters.
Key Risks
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) faces valuation risk, trading at a higher P/E ratio than its sector peers. Insider activity indicates a moderate sell signal, with significant net selling by officers. Also, the stock is currently testing its 200-day moving average, and a break below this level could signal further downside momentum.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 22.86 |
|---|---|
| MACD | -1.46 |
| SMA 50 | 278.02 |
| SMA 200 | 273.16 |
RSI
Oversold
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bearish
MACD
Bearish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($278.02) above the 200-day SMA ($273.16), price is trading below the 50-day SMA, RSI at 22.9 suggests oversold conditions; potential bounce setup.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.44
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.31
Weak correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
-0.02
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with ECL? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
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ECL Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Short entry pick an entry style
Conservative
$278.89
2% above current price
Lower risk, wait for rally
Aggressive
$273.42
Short at current price
Higher risk, chasing the move
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$288.09
MAX LOSS
-3.3%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (22.9) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$264.94
-5% (Conservative)
-3.1% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$251.00
-10% (Conservative)
-8.2% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$237.06
-15% (Conservative)
-13.3% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
Disclaimer
This AI-generated trade plan for ECL is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis is based on historical data patterns and technical indicators which may not predict future results. Stock trading involves risk of loss. Verify all data independently and consult a qualified financial advisor. Generated on September 15, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in ECL in September 2016 would be worth about $23,332 today, compared with about $35,344 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in ECL today could grow to about $21,673 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $59,930 and a bear case around $7,838. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
ECL Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $373 for ECL by 2030 in the base case, from $273 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $196. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on ECL's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $214 | $295 | $407 |
| 2028 | $203 | $319 | $503 |
| 2029 | $198 | $345 | $602 |
| 2030 | $196 | $373 | $709 |
| 2031 | $196 | $403 | $826 |
| 2032 | $198 | $435 | $956 |
| 2033 | $201 | $470 | $1,100 |
| 2034 | $204 | $508 | $1,261 |
| 2035 | $209 | $548 | $1,440 |
| 2036 | $214 | $593 | $1,639 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using ECL's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
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ECL Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$3.1M
6 Transactions
Sold
$31.2M
18 Transactions
Insiders
27
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$1.4M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | GATES WILLIAM HENRY III
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 796.8K | $195.9M |
| Nov 13, 2024 | GATES WILLIAM HENRY III
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 304.3K | $75.8M |
| Nov 22, 2024 | GATES WILLIAM HENRY III
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 276.5K | $67.2M |
| Nov 15, 2024 | GATES WILLIAM HENRY III
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 200.0K | $49.3M |
| Nov 19, 2024 | GATES WILLIAM HENRY III
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 163.5K | $40.1M |
| Sep 14, 2021 | BAKER DOUGLAS M JR
Officer and Director
|
Sell | 173.0K | $38.7M |
| Nov 11, 2024 | GATES WILLIAM HENRY III
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 139.6K | $34.9M |
| Dec 3, 2020 | BAKER DOUGLAS M JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 148.1K | $32.7M |
| Nov 7, 2024 | GATES WILLIAM HENRY III
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 126.1K | $31.0M |
| Jun 8, 2020 | BAKER DOUGLAS M JR
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 128.4K | $29.3M |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Ecolab Inc.'s stock price forecast for 2030?
Based on Monte Carlo simulations, Ecolab Inc.'s (ECL) stock price is projected to be $372.56 in 2030 under base case assumptions. The downside projection is $195.80, while the upside projection reaches $708.88. These are statistical outcomes, not guarantees.
Is Ecolab Inc. stock a buy right now?
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) is currently trading at $273.42, below its 50-day SMA and with an oversold RSI at 22.9. While Wall Street analysts have a median price target of $330.00, implying a 20.7% upside, insider transactions show a moderate sell signal.
What are the key technical indicators for Ecolab Inc.?
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) is showing bearish momentum with an RSI at 22.9 (oversold) and is trading below its 50-day SMA ($278.02) and 20-day EMA ($278.45). The MACD is negative at -1.46, and the stock is testing its 200-day SMA at $273.16.
What is Ecolab Inc.'s dividend yield?
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.04%, with a dividend rate of $2.84.
How does Ecolab Inc. compare to its sector averages?
Ecolab Inc. (ECL) trades at a higher P/E (36.93 vs 30.2) and P/S (4.59 vs 4.2) than the sector median. However, its ROE (21.96% vs 17.9%) and profit margin (12.57%) are stronger. Its revenue growth (9.7%) is below the sector median of 19%.
What is the recent insider trading activity for Ecolab Inc.?
Insiders at Ecolab Inc. (ECL) are net sellers, with total sales of $31.2 million compared to total purchases of $3.1 million in recent filings. This activity signals a moderate sell trend among management.
What are the forward-looking growth estimates for Ecolab Inc.?
Analysts project Ecolab Inc. (ECL) to achieve revenue growth of 11.00% for the current year and 8.00% for the next. Earnings per share are expected to grow to $9.42 next year, and the company has a projected 5-year average annual growth rate of 13.4%.