Jump to any asset
849 assets, updated daily
As of October 11, 2026, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) trades at $12.98. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $12.98, in line with the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $12.25 across 13 analysts. RSI at 59 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $11.96.
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF)
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. NYSE
$12.98
0.7900 (6.48%)
At close: Oct 9, 4:00 PM EDT
AI Analyst Consensus
48 / 100
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is currently trading at $12.98, slightly above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.96 and $11.36), but below the median Wall Street price target of $12.25. The company's consensus rating is 'Hold' with a score of 48, reflecting a mixed outlook from analysts. Recent earnings have shown positive surprises, particularly in the quarter to June 2026, with EPS exceeding estimates by 9.09% and leading to an 8.85% price increase, though prior quarters showed mixed results and price reactions. Fundamental analysis reveals a negative profit margin of -4.56% and a negative return on equity of -13.86%, indicating profitability challenges. However, revenue growth has been positive at 5.9%, and the price-to-sales ratio of 0.39 suggests the company is valued below its revenue. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.33, which is slightly above the sector median of 1.33, indicating a comparable leverage position within the Basic Materials sector.
CLF Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$12.28
Day Range
$12.23 to $13.22
Prev Close
$12.19
Volume
24.78M
52-Week Range
$7.73 to $16.70
Market Cap
$7.41B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+388%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
CLF Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, CLF beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
CLF Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
-5.62% Downside
Median of 13 analysts (12-month)
$12.25
AI Technical Analysis
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.96 and $11.36), indicating a generally positive short-to-medium term trend. The RSI is at 58.57, falling within the neutral momentum range, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volume has been notably strong, with the latest volume of 24.78 million shares significantly exceeding the average of 17.89 million, indicating increased investor interest. The stock's recent price action shows it is trading above its 20-day EMA ($12.02), reinforcing the upward momentum. Key support levels are indicated by the moving averages, while the current price action suggests potential for further upside if it can break through recent resistance. The strong volume accompanying price increases is a positive sign for continued upward movement.
ProTips
- Consider the significant insider selling activity, with over $43 million in sales versus $199.6K in purchases, indicating a lack of strong insider conviction at current price levels.
- Monitor the company's ability to translate revenue growth into positive net profit margins and earnings per share, as current profitability remains a key concern.
- Given the current price is above key moving averages and volume is strong, consider waiting for confirmation of sustained upward momentum or a clearer fundamental turnaround before initiating a long position.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprise in Q2 2026
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. reported an EPS of -0.2 for the quarter to June 2026, beating estimates by 9.09% and driving an 8.85% stock price increase, signaling potential operational improvements.
Source: Earnings ReportBullish
Strong Revenue Growth Projections
Analysts forecast significant revenue growth for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc., with +30.00% expected for the next quarter and +16.00% for the current year, indicating increasing market demand for its products.
Source: Wall Street EstimatesBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have been net sellers, with total sales exceeding $43 million against minimal purchases, indicating a potential lack of confidence in near-term stock appreciation.
Source: Insider TransactionsBearish
Median Analyst Price Target Below Current Price
The median Wall Street price target for CLF is $12.25, which is below the current trading price of $12.98, suggesting limited upside potential according to analyst consensus.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusMarket Outlook
The base case outlook for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. suggests a potential for modest recovery, with a projected 2030 base case price of $17.67. This is supported by strong forward revenue growth estimates and recent positive earnings surprises, indicating potential operational improvements. The stock is currently trading above key moving averages, signaling some positive momentum. However, significant headwinds remain, including persistent negative profitability and a 'Moderate Sell Signal' from insider transactions. The median Wall Street price target of $12.25, below the current price, also tempers optimism. Upside catalysts could include continued successful earnings beats and improved margins, while downside risks involve a failure to achieve profitability, increased debt servicing costs, or a broader downturn in steel demand.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 7.41B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -1.61 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.92% |
| 52 Week High | 16.70 |
| 52 Week Low | 7.73 |
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. exhibits a mixed fundamental picture, with a negative net profit margin of -4.56% and a negative return on equity of -13.86%. The company's price-to-sales ratio is 0.39, which is significantly lower than the sector median of 4.2, suggesting it may be undervalued relative to its sales. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.33, aligning with the sector average of 1.33, indicating a similar level of financial leverage compared to peers. Despite profitability concerns, revenue growth stands at 5.9%, and forward estimates show strong revenue growth projections for the next quarter (+30.00%) and current year (+16.00%). The company's EPS estimates for the current year are negative at -0.18108, but positive for the next year at $0.92607, suggesting an anticipated turnaround in profitability. The current valuation, while appearing low on a price-to-sales basis, is tempered by negative margins and EPS.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. recently reported a positive earnings surprise for the quarter ending June 2026, with actual EPS of -0.2 beating the estimated -0.22 by 9.09%, leading to an 8.85% stock price increase. Prior earnings reports show mixed performance, including a significant beat in the quarter to June 2026 (actual -0.09 vs estimate -0.33, surprise 72.73%) and a substantial beat in the quarter to March 2026 (actual 0.15 vs estimate 0.06, surprise 150%). However, the company has consistently reported negative EPS on a trailing twelve-month basis, with a current EPS of -1.61.
Key Risks
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. faces significant risks, including persistent negative profitability as indicated by its -4.56% net profit margin and -13.86% return on equity. Insider activity shows a 'Moderate Sell Signal' with net sellers, and the total sell value of $43 million significantly outweighs total purchases. Also, the median analyst price target of $12.25 is below the current stock price of $12.98, suggesting limited upside potential according to Wall Street.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 58.57 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.10 |
| SMA 50 | 11.96 |
| SMA 200 | 11.36 |
RSI
Neutral
SMA Cross
Bullish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Golden Cross in effect with the 50-day SMA ($11.96) above the 200-day SMA ($11.36), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.45
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.17
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.23
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
How does any other asset move with CLF? One year of daily closes, Pearson correlation.
Try
CLF Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies pick an entry style
Conservative
$12.85
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
Aggressive
$12.98
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$11.29
MAX LOSS
-12.1%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (58.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$13.24
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$13.49
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$13.88
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
CLF is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.53%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on October 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CLF in October 2016 would be worth about $23,262 today, compared with about $36,479 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CLF today could grow to about $21,636 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $164,142 and a bear case around $2,852. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CLF Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $17.67 for CLF by 2030 in the base case, from $12.98 today (1.4x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $4.91. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CLF's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $7.39 | $14.02 | $26.61 |
| 2028 | $6.12 | $15.15 | $37.49 |
| 2029 | $5.39 | $16.36 | $49.64 |
| 2030 | $4.91 | $17.67 | $63.67 |
| 2031 | $4.56 | $19.09 | $80.01 |
| 2032 | $4.29 | $20.62 | $99.10 |
| 2033 | $4.09 | $22.28 | $121 |
| 2034 | $3.93 | $24.07 | $147 |
| 2035 | $3.80 | $26.00 | $178 |
| 2036 | $3.70 | $28.08 | $213 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CLF's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
CLF Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$199.6K
1 Transactions
Sold
$43.0M
4 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$8.6M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2021 | ARCELORMITTAL
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 40.0M | $644.8M |
| Feb 11, 2026 | GONCALVES LOURENCO CELSO
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.0M | $37.3M |
| Mar 6, 2024 | GONCALVES LOURENCO CELSO
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 187.1K | $3.8M |
| Jun 5, 2026 | GONCALVES CELSO L. JR.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 214.3K | $2.9M |
| Feb 17, 2026 | SMITH CLIFFORD T.
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $2.1M |
| Jun 8, 2022 | TAYLOR DOUGLAS C
Director
|
Sell | 50.0K | $1.1M |
| Mar 7, 2023 | TAYLOR DOUGLAS C
Director
|
Sell | 42.0K | $892.6K |
| May 23, 2025 | GRAHAM JAMES D.
Officer
|
Sell | 120.0K | $822.0K |
| Mar 6, 2024 | FEDOR TERRY G
Officer
|
Sell | 27.4K | $553.8K |
| Mar 6, 2024 | SMITH CLIFFORD T.
Officer
|
Sell | 27.4K | $553.8K |
Page 1 of 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030, based on Monte Carlo simulations, projects a base case price of $17.67, with a downside scenario of $4.91 and an upside scenario of $63.67. These figures represent statistical outcomes and are not guaranteed price targets.
Is Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. profitable?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is not currently profitable, reporting a negative net profit margin of -4.56% and a negative return on equity of -13.86%. However, forward-looking EPS estimates indicate a potential return to profitability in the next fiscal year.
What is the consensus rating for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. stock?
The consensus rating for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. stock is 'Hold', with a consensus score of 48 out of 100. This rating is based on the analysis of 13 Wall Street analysts.
How did Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. perform in its most recent earnings report?
In the quarter ending June 2026, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. reported an EPS of -0.2, which beat the analyst estimate of -0.22 by 9.09%. This positive surprise contributed to an 8.85% increase in the stock price.
What are the key risks facing Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.?
Key risks for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. include its current lack of profitability, significant insider selling activity, and a median analyst price target that falls below the current stock price, suggesting limited immediate upside.
How does Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. compare to its sector peers?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.33, which is in line with the Basic Materials sector median. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 0.39 is significantly lower than the sector median of 4.2, and its profitability metrics (net margin, ROE) are considerably weaker than sector averages.
What is the outlook for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.'s revenue growth?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has demonstrated positive revenue growth of 5.9% and is projected to see substantial increases in the near future, with next quarter's revenue growth estimated at +30.00% and current year growth at +16.00%.