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As of September 11, 2026, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) trades at $11.83. CleaRank Financial AI rates it Hold with a fair value of $12.00, 1.4% above the current price. Wall Street's consensus target is $12.00 across 13 analysts. RSI at 67 is in neutral territory, and the price is above its 50-day average of $11.16.
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF)
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. NYSE
$11.83
-0.2600 (-2.15%)
Latest Price
AI Analyst Consensus
48 / 100
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is currently trading at $11.83, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.16 and $11.43), indicating some positive short-term momentum. However, the company's fundamental picture is mixed, with negative EPS of -1.57 and a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, supported by a median price target of $12.00. Recent insider transactions show a net seller position, with total sales significantly outweighing purchases, signaling caution from management. The company is experiencing revenue growth, with current quarter estimates showing a +21.00% year-over-year increase. Despite this growth, the negative EPS and the moderate sell signal from insider activity present notable risks. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings reports and any shifts in analyst sentiment, as the current valuation appears to be fairly priced by the market.
CLF Price Analysis
Market Metrics
Open
$11.77
Day Range
$11.69 to $12.08
Prev Close
$12.09
Volume
9.44M
52-Week Range
$7.73 to $16.70
Market Cap
$6.75B
Peer Benchmarking
Valuation vs Sector (Basic Materials)
Performance vs XLB
Sector Position Analysis
Trading at a significant premium to sector peers (+883%), suggesting market expectations for superior growth or market position.
CLF Financial Performance
Revenue vs. Earnings
Annual
Quarterly
Earnings Reality Check
Analysis: In the last 3 quarters, CLF beat estimates 3 times. The stock rose 2 times the next day. Price tends to react positively to beats.
CLF Analysis
Company's Health
3/5
12-Month Analyst Target
+1.44% Upside
Median of 13 analysts (12-month)
$12.00
AI Technical Analysis
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is currently trading above its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $11.16 and its 200-day SMA of $11.43, suggesting a generally positive trend over the medium to long term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 66.57, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought. The MACD is slightly positive at 0.18, also pointing towards upward pressure. However, the stock is trading below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $11.86, suggesting some near-term weakness or consolidation. Volume has been slightly below average recently, with a 12.2% decrease compared to the average. Key support can be found around the 50-day SMA, while resistance may emerge near the 20-day EMA and previous price highs.
ProTips
- Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) has a moderate sell signal from insider transactions, with over $43 million in sales, indicating potential caution from management.
- The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.16 and $11.43), suggesting positive medium-term technical momentum, but is currently below its 20-day EMA.
- Given the negative EPS and mixed analyst sentiment, consider position sizing carefully and monitor upcoming earnings for signs of improved profitability.
Key Catalysts
Bullish
Positive Earnings Surprise
The earnings report for the quarter ending July 23, 2026, showed an EPS beat of 9.09% and a stock price increase of 8.85%, indicating positive market reaction to better-than-expected results.
Source: Earnings ReportBearish
Moderate Insider Selling Signal
Insiders have sold over $43 million worth of CLF stock, significantly outweighing purchases of $199.6K, signaling a moderate insider selling from management.
Source: Insider TransactionsBullish
Trading Above Key Moving Averages
CLF is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.16 and $11.43), indicating positive underlying technical strength.
Source: Technical AnalysisNeutral
Mixed Analyst Ratings
The stock has a 'Hold' consensus rating with a median price target of $12.00, suggesting limited upside and a balanced view among analysts.
Source: Wall Street ConsensusMarket Outlook
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is expected to maintain its current trading range in the near term, with the median analyst price target suggesting limited upside from the current $11.83. The company's ability to achieve profitability will be a key determinant of its future performance, especially as revenue growth estimates moderate to 3.00% for next year. Potential catalysts for upside include continued positive earnings surprises and a significant improvement in profitability metrics. Conversely, risks such as persistent losses, increased insider selling, or a slowdown in steel demand could pressure the stock lower. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to manage costs and improve its bottom line in the coming quarters.
Key Statistics
| Market Cap | 6.75B |
|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A (Negative EPS) |
| EPS (TTM) | -1.57 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.01% |
| 52 Week High | 16.70 |
| 52 Week Low | 7.73 |
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) presents a mixed fundamental picture, with a negative EPS of -1.57 rendering its P/E ratio mathematically negative and thus not a reliable valuation metric. The company's market capitalization stands at $6.75 billion. While revenue growth is positive, with current quarter estimates projecting a 21.00% year-over-year increase, the lack of profitability is a significant concern. Compared to sector averages, CLF's revenue growth of 5.9% is below the estimated sector average of 8.00%. The current price of $11.83 is trading near the median analyst price target of $12.00, indicating that the stock is currently valued fairly by the market, with limited upside potential.
Earnings & Growth Analysis
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) has shown a pattern of mixed earnings results. The most recent quarter ending July 23, 2026, reported an EPS of -0.20, beating the estimated -0.22 by 9.09%, which coincided with an 8.85% stock price increase. Prior to that, on June 11, 2026, the company reported an EPS of -0.09, significantly beating estimates of -0.33 by 72.73%, though the stock saw a more modest gain of 0.51%. Earlier in 2026, the company missed estimates, such as on April 20, 2026, where EPS of -0.40 missed by 4.76% and led to a price decrease of 6.17%.
Key Risks
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) faces significant risks stemming from its persistent negative earnings, as indicated by a negative EPS of -1.57. The moderate sell signal from insider transactions, with over $43 million in sales versus minimal purchases, suggests a lack of confidence from management regarding near-term prospects. Also, the company's revenue growth, while positive, lags behind sector averages, and its stock is trading near the median analyst price target, limiting immediate upside potential.
Technical Indicators
| RSI (14) | 66.57 |
|---|---|
| MACD | 0.18 |
| SMA 50 | 11.16 |
| SMA 200 | 11.43 |
RSI
Bullish
SMA Cross
Bearish
Price vs SMA
Bullish
MACD
Bullish
Moving averages show a lagging Death Cross (50-day: $11.16, 200-day: $11.43), price action is firmly bullish above key moving averages.
Market Correlations
How this stock moves relative to other assets
Based on 1 year of daily price data. Correlations may vary over different time periods.
S&P 500 (SPY)
+0.46
Moderate correlation
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
+0.42
Moderate correlation
Bitcoin (BTC)
+0.13
Weak correlation
Gold (XAU)
+0.21
Weak correlation
Check Custom Correlation
Calculating correlation...
CLF Trade Plans
Specific entry, exit, and risk management levels
Select Your Trade Bias
Risk Tolerance
Conservative
2%
Aggressive
Portfolio Value
$
Position Size: Enter portfolio size →
Entry Strategies (click to switch)
CONSERVATIVE
$11.71
Slight discount to current
Wait for small dip
AGGRESSIVE
$11.83
At current price
Enter now if confident
Risk Management
STOP LOSS
$11.13
MAX LOSS
-5.0%
Volatility-Adjusted Stop Loss
Calculated based on RSI (66.6) and current market volatility
Profit Targets (Based on Conservative Entry)
TARGET 1
$12.06
+3% (Conservative)
+2.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 2
$12.30
+5% (Conservative)
+4.0% (Aggressive)
TARGET 3
$12.65
+8% (Conservative)
+6.9% (Aggressive)
Consider scaling out: Take 50% profit at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, let 20% run to Target 3
Calculate Your Trade
High-Volatility Risk Disclaimer
CLF is classified as a high-volatility asset (Daily Vol: 3.30%). Aggressive price swings can lead to rapid capital loss. Liquidity risks may prevent exiting trades at desired prices. This AI-generated analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Generated on September 11, 2026.Growth of $10,000
A $10,000 investment in CLF in September 2016 would be worth about $20,864 today, compared with about $35,030 for the same investment in the S&P 500 benchmark.
Compare with Another Ticker
Monte Carlo Projection (10yr)
CleaRank's 10-year Monte Carlo simulation projects that a $10,000 investment in CLF today could grow to about $20,458 by 2036 in the base case, with a bull case near $155,211 and a bear case around $2,697. Projections are statistical simulations, not guarantees.
CLF Stock Price Prediction: 2030
CleaRank's simulation projects a price near $15.75 for CLF by 2030 in the base case, from $11.83 today (1.3x over 4 years). The downside path ends near $4.37. These are outcomes of a Monte Carlo simulation run on CLF's historical return distribution, not price targets, and they assume no dividends are reinvested.
| Year | Downside (10th pct) | Base case | Upside (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $6.70 | $12.71 | $24.12 |
| 2028 | $5.52 | $13.65 | $33.79 |
| 2029 | $4.83 | $14.66 | $44.49 |
| 2030 | $4.37 | $15.75 | $56.74 |
| 2031 | $4.04 | $16.92 | $70.91 |
| 2032 | $3.78 | $18.18 | $87.34 |
| 2033 | $3.58 | $19.53 | $106 |
| 2034 | $3.42 | $20.97 | $128 |
| 2035 | $3.30 | $22.53 | $154 |
| 2036 | $3.19 | $24.20 | $184 |
Method: 10,000 simulated price paths using CLF's historical volatility and drift, re-run daily. The base case is the median path; the two outer columns are the 10th and 90th percentile outcomes, which widen with time because uncertainty compounds. Simulations are not guarantees, and past volatility does not predict future returns. This is analysis, not investment advice.
People Also Watch
CLF Insider Trading Analysis
Bought
$199.6K
1 Transactions
Sold
$43.0M
4 Transactions
Insiders
13
Active Traders
Avg Transaction
$8.6M
Large trades
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2021 | ARCELORMITTAL
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
|
Sell | 40.0M | $644.8M |
| Feb 11, 2026 | GONCALVES LOURENCO CELSO
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 3.0M | $37.3M |
| Mar 6, 2024 | GONCALVES LOURENCO CELSO
Chief Executive Officer
|
Sell | 187.1K | $3.8M |
| Jun 5, 2026 | GONCALVES CELSO L. JR.
Chief Financial Officer
|
Sell | 214.3K | $2.9M |
| Feb 17, 2026 | SMITH CLIFFORD T.
Chief Operating Officer
|
Sell | 200.0K | $2.1M |
| Jun 8, 2022 | TAYLOR DOUGLAS C
Director
|
Sell | 50.0K | $1.1M |
| Mar 7, 2023 | TAYLOR DOUGLAS C
Director
|
Sell | 42.0K | $892.6K |
| May 23, 2025 | GRAHAM JAMES D.
Officer
|
Sell | 120.0K | $822.0K |
| Mar 6, 2024 | FEDOR TERRY G
Officer
|
Sell | 27.4K | $553.8K |
| Mar 6, 2024 | SMITH CLIFFORD T.
Officer
|
Sell | 27.4K | $553.8K |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.'s stock forecast for 2030?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) has a Monte Carlo simulation outcome for 2030 with a base price projection of $15.75. The downside projection is $4.37, and the upside projection is $56.74. These figures represent statistical simulation outcomes, not guaranteed price targets.
Is Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. stock a buy right now?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) currently holds a 'Hold' consensus rating from Wall Street analysts, with a median price target of $12.00, offering minimal upside from its current price of $11.83. While the stock is trading above key moving averages, insider selling and negative EPS present considerable risks.
What are the biggest risks facing Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.?
The primary risks for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) include its ongoing negative earnings, evidenced by a -1.57 EPS, and a moderate sell signal from insider transactions totaling over $43 million in sales. Additionally, its revenue growth is below sector averages, and the stock is trading near its median analyst price target, limiting potential upside.
How is Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. performing compared to its sector?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is in the Basic Materials sector. Its reported revenue growth of 5.9% is below the sector average of 8.00%. The company's negative EPS also contrasts with the sector's average ROE of 12.00%.
What is the recent earnings performance of Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) recently reported an EPS of -0.20 for the quarter ending July 23, 2026, beating estimates by 9.09% and leading to an 8.85% stock price increase. However, earlier quarters in 2026 showed mixed results, including a miss on April 20, 2026.
What is the dividend yield for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.01% with a dividend rate of $0.12.
What is the current technical momentum for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. stock?
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) exhibits bullish momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages ($11.16 and $11.43), with an RSI at 66.6 indicating positive sentiment without being overbought. However, it is trading below its 20-day EMA, suggesting some near-term consolidation.